US100/NASDAQ NEXT MOVEAfter successfully forecasting today's move (white line), this big drawdown was unexpected but it means two things :
- it has to correct before tonight
- it will not go under the green lower uptrend limit, because then it turns into a whole new trend and the 1D/4H/2H RSI is too low for any downtrend to start now.
It will go back up at 3:30 PM fot the big daily punch.
Xauusd(w)
Strategic Short Positioning at ResistanceAnalysis: Today’s U.S. ADP employment data revealed a significant downside surprise, typically bearish for gold. However, gold prices have held steady, underscoring the strong fundamental support from factors such as geopolitical tensions and the lack of selling pressure. The market's reluctance to react sharply suggests the path of least resistance for gold remains upward. Despite this, gold sits at elevated levels, and while today’s data may not have triggered an immediate reaction, there’s an expectation of selling pressure as the U.S. trading session opens. Thus, our strategy focuses on initiating short positions to capitalize on potential pullbacks.
Trade Strategy:
Entry: Short gold between 2778-2780
Take-Profit Target: 2770
Mindset: Remain confident in the short strategy, stay composed, and await the gradual absorption of bearish data. Execute with discipline to optimize returns.
GOLD Moves: Key Levels to Watch TodayGOLD Analysis Overview
Current Market Levels:
The market is expected to sell off from the zone of 2780-2785.
A potential buy opportunity may arise from the zone of 2760-2755.
Intraday Trading Strategy:
Sell Zone: Monitor price action around 2780-2785 for potential short positions.
Buy Zone: Look for bullish signals around 2760-2755 for potential long entries.
Key Economic Indicator:
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Release: Scheduled for this Friday, which may significantly impact market volatility. Stay alert for potential price swings surrounding the announcement.
Trading Considerations:
Be cautious and prepare for increased volatility as NFP data is released.
Implement proper risk management strategies to mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion: If you find this analysis valuable, consider sharing it with your trading community to enhance collaborative insights.
Risk aversion will make gold prices continue to rise!The current trend of gold is a unilateral bullish trend. In the trending market, long positions can not only gain greater profit margins, but also have a greater chance of winning if the retracement is small. But don’t regard it as a top just because the price is high and has retraced slightly.
In the bullish trend, even if gold retreats, it will bottom out and rebound. The lower support for gold is around 2776, and the upper resistance is around 2793,2806.
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you XAUUSD analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the trend line and rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price broke this level and then continued to move up, until it reached 2680 points, after which it turned around and made a correction movement to the trend line. When Gold reached this line, the price broke it and dropped to support 2, but soon turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line and even made a gap. Then price some time traded near the trend line and later broke it. After which Gold reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, broke it, and rose even higher in this area. But sometimes, the price fell to the support zone, and now it rising. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make small correction and then continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 2775 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold can grow a little and then rebound downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In the chart we can see how the price declined to trend line and then started to grow inside pennant. In this pattern, price some time rising near trend line and later rebounded to the support zone, which coincided with the support 2. Then price made correction, after which continued to move up and soon broke the support 2, after which rose until to resistance line of the pennant. Then Gold turned around and started to decline and quickly fell to the support 2, which coincided with the trend line and then rebounded. Price made a gap and then exited from the pennant, after which continued to move up to the support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Soon, Gold broke this level, rose a little and made retest, after a breakout. After this movement, price rebounded and continued to move up, and now trades close 2790 points. So, in my mind, XAUUSD will reach 2795 and then start to decline to 2715 support level, which I set my goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSD Trading Setup - Gold : Triangle Pattern ?Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD Currency Pair.
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️ Buy Now or buy on 2739.0
⭕️SL @ 2723.0
🔵TP1 @ 2784.0
🔵TP2 @ 2799.9
🔵TP3 @ 2840.0
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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XAUUSD - Areas with high potentialGold and silver still have room to grow, according to Max Layton, head of research at Commodity City. Leighton says the best bull markets for gold and silver usually occur when the US and European markets are weakening and China looks poised to grow.
Investors have flocked to gold this year as geopolitical factors, a changing economic landscape and persistent inflation concerns have fueled fears of volatility in other assets.
When there is too much euphoria, we must be careful of price correction!
Levels discussed on Livestream 30th October30th October
DXY: Look to break 104.20 and 61.8%, to trade down to 104 and 103.80
NZDUSD: Buy 0.5990 SL 20 TP 60 (Counter Trend)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6580 SL 20 TP 50 (Bearish Channel)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2960 SL 25 TP 50 (Break trendline0
EURUSD: Buy 1.0845 SL 20 TP 55 (Hesitation at 1.0870)
USDJPY: Ranging between 152.70 and 153.86 (looking for breakout potential)
USDCHF: Sell 0.8690 SL 15 TP 35
USDCAD: Sell 1.3875 SL 30 TP 60
Gold: Could retrace to 2770, look for rejection and buying opportunities
XAU/USD 30 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally continues, driven by the Fed’s dovish tone and escalating geopolitical tensions, further reinforcing its safe-haven appeal.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS, positioning it within an internal low and a fractal high, with the bearish CHoCH level denoted by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Since the internal range has yet to establish, I’ll remain on standby for now.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As noted in the weekly analysis from 27 October 2024, the daily timeframe’s CHoCH positioning was distant, making it likely for both H4 and M15 to print bullish iBOS, which has since materialised.
Price has now printed two bullish iBOS' within a significantly narrowed internal range, and we’re currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high, with CHoCH positioning marked by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react at the internal 50% EQ discount to target the weak internal high. However, a bearish iBOS is also plausible.
As emphasised before, price remains highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s softer stance.
M15 Chart:
Gold Prices Surge, Testing the 2,800 Resistance LevelGold reached a peak of $2,771.61/oz on October 29, driven by political uncertainties and expectations of a Fed rate cut, climbing 0.9% to $2,766/oz.
Currently, gold remains in a strong uptrend, approaching the critical resistance level at 2,800 – a barrier that could put pressure on further growth.
However, the support zone at 2,700, along with the trendline, acts as a potential “launchpad” if there’s a slight pullback.
A smart strategy is to wait for a pullback to this support zone to buy in, capitalizing on a possible rebound.
Don’t forget to place a stop-loss below the support level, as in this game, a single slip could shift the entire market landscape.
XAUUSD_1Hhello
Short time gold analysis
Analysis based on Elliott waves
The first case: the market is in a blue wave and the ceiling of wave 3 has been reached, and we enter a short correction towards the 2765 range and the price increases again towards wave 5 towards the range of 2806 dollars.
The second case: the market is in a red wave and continues to rise and completes wave 3 and enters the correction to the $2770 range and increases the price again towards wave 5.
And in any case, we are buyers for any correction to the bottom for the next rising waves
Important numbers as support 2761 and 2771 dollars
Important numbers as resistance $2785 and $2806
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD new era levels, pay attention to today's GDP dataOn Asian markets on Wednesday (October 30), OANDA:XAUUSD delivery maintained its uptrend during the day and the gold price has now reached $2,780/ounce once again refreshing its all-time high and heading towards the target technical point noted by readers in yesterday's publication . OANDA:XAUUSD Continuing its upward momentum from the previous session, spot gold rose more than $32 on Tuesday due to uncertainty over the US presidential election and conflict in the Middle East, as well as expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Federal Reserve, has enhanced the investment appeal of gold.
During this trading day, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data. This is the most important economic data of the day and is expected to cause big fluctuations. on the financial market in general and gold in particular.
Current market expectations suggest that the initial value of US real GDP in the third quarter is expected to grow at a quarterly rate of 3%.
If GDP data is higher than market expectations, this could cause gold to correct short-term declines or react lower after a long streak of gains and support the USD. On the other hand, GDP data was much lower than expected, which should be supportive for gold and could see it continue to find new all-time highs.
Ahead of the Fed's next policy meeting on November 6-7, traders will need to closely monitor more US economic data later this week including inflation and employment data. could provide direction for the Fed's 2025 outlook. Economists expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.
Because gold does not generate interest, it tends to perform better in low interest rate environments and is considered a hedge against market volatility and risk.
According to Bloomberg, the latest news coming from the situation in the Middle East, Israel launched an attack on a residential building in the northern Gaza town of Beit Lahiya on Tuesday, killing at least 93 Palestinians or more. missing. The US called it a "terrible incident".
Regarding the situation in the Middle East, the latest report by Britain's Reuters on Wednesday said that the Gaza Ministry of Health announced that Israel had launched an attack on a residential building in the northern town of Beit Lahiya Gaza on Tuesday, leaving at least 93 Palestinians dead or missing, and 10 injured. Medical staff said at least 20 children were among the dead.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
The technical chart continues to show that gold has the ability to increase in price comprehensively with the price channel currently trending in the short term. Gold has also had 4 consecutive days of gains after correcting from $2,758, it is heading for the 5th day with an active position that brings a lot of upside prospects.
Currently, gold has broken above the price channel while maintaining price activity above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension, which provides it with room to continue further gains with a subsequent target of around $2,786 Fibonacci price points. extended 0.50% attention to readers in yesterday's edition.
As long as gold remains in the price channel, it will still have a short-term bullish outlook, along with that, once gold breaks above the 0.50% Fibonacci level it can continue to increase further towards the original price level of 2,800 USD, Fibonacci point 0.618% at 2,804USD.
The relative strength index (RSI) has just broken above the overbought area, but has not yet peaked nor shown any signs of weakening, so in terms of momentum, prices can still be bullish with expectations of a correction around the area. The price point area was 2,800 USD when RSI peaked.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be noticed again by the following technical levels.
Support: 2,774 – 2,768USD
Resistance: 2,786 – 2,800 – 2,804USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2801 - 2799⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2805
→Take Profit 1 2794
↨
→Take Profit 2 2789
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2740 - 2742⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2736
→Take Profit 1 2747
↨
→Take Profit 2 2752
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHART XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD touched all time high level of 2,788.00
General outlook
XAUUSD touched All time high now we have chance to take a sell position
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a sell order at 2,788.
Set your stop loss at 2,795 below the previous low ($7.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,768 ($20.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.