WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading over the last 4 weeks.
Last week we stated that we had a candle body close gap open to 2729 for our long range AXIS TARGET.
- This was hit this week completing the target perfectly!!
We are now seeing a body close above 2729 leaving long range gap open to 2856. Ema5 lock will further confirm this long range target.
We will also be keeping in mind the channel top for long range corrections, which is likely to provide support like we stated if tested at all.
As stated before if the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Xauusd(w)
How to avoid being emotional in trading?Avoiding emotional trading is a key skill in successful investing and trading, as it helps minimize impulsive decisions that can lead to losses. Here are some strategies and insights to help maintain a disciplined approach to trading and avoid being swayed by emotions like fear, greed, or overconfidence:
🔸 Create and Stick to a Trading Plan
▪️Set Clear Goals: Define your profit goals, risk tolerance, and entry/exit points in advance.
▪️Follow Predefined Rules: A trading plan provides structure, guiding you to make logical decisions rather than impulsive ones.
▪️Limit Exposure: Decide on position sizes beforehand to avoid overcommitting and feeling compelled to make irrational moves if markets turn volatile.
🔸 Use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders
▪️Automate Exit Points: Setting up stop-loss and take-profit orders allows you to exit trades at predefined points, limiting the need to make quick, emotion-driven decisions during market fluctuations.
▪️Reduce Monitoring: Knowing your trades will automatically exit at specific points reduces the need for constant checking, which can often lead to stress and emotional reactivity.
🔸 Practice Patience and Avoid Overtrading
▪️Avoid Excessive Monitoring: Watching the market closely can lead to impulsive reactions to small fluctuations. Stick to reviewing your trades periodically rather than minute-by-minute.
▪️Limit Trade Frequency: Overtrading, driven by the need to “make back” losses or maximize gains, often leads to poorly thought-out decisions. Trade only when your trading plan calls for it.
🔸 Develop a Balanced Mindset
▪️Stay Neutral to Wins and Losses: Emotional attachment to individual trades can make it harder to accept losses and lead to revenge trading, where you try to make up losses through risky moves.
▪️Accept Losses as Part of the Process: Even the best traders face losses. Accepting this and moving on helps maintain perspective and discipline, which are essential for long-term success.
🔸 Utilize Data and Analysis Over Intuition
▪️Focus on Objective Indicators: Base decisions on data, such as price charts, moving averages, and technical indicators, rather than “gut feelings.”
▪️Avoid Confirmation Bias: Seeking only information that supports your existing beliefs can lead to one-sided and often poor decisions. Stay open to all relevant information.
🔸 Take Breaks and Manage Stress
▪️Step Away After a Major Loss or Win: Strong emotional responses often follow big losses or gains. Taking a break gives you time to reset your mindset before your next trade.
▪️Practice Relaxation Techniques: Techniques like deep breathing, meditation, or even short exercises can reduce stress and improve focus, reducing emotional reactions.
🔸 Build Self-Awareness
▪️Reflect on Your Emotions: Keeping a trading journal can help you understand emotional triggers and patterns in your decision-making.
▪️Work with a Trading Coach or Join a Community: Having accountability, whether through a mentor or a trading group, can help you stay grounded and receive objective feedback on your trading behavior.
🔸 Set Realistic Expectations
▪️Don’t Chase Unrealistic Returns: Expecting massive returns can lead to risky, emotion-fueled decisions. Focus on sustainable, gradual growth.
▪️Acknowledge Market Unpredictability: Markets are often unpredictable, and not every trade will go as planned. Accepting this helps lower emotional stakes with each trade.
🔸 Consider Using Algorithmic or Automated Trading
▪️Remove Emotion from Execution: Algorithmic trading allows traders to set parameters and let algorithms execute trades, effectively reducing emotional interference.
▪️Define Rules for Entry and Exit: Predefined rules, when followed strictly by algorithms, allow for a structured and emotion-free approach to trading.
Adopting these practices helps build discipline, patience, and resilience, which are essential for minimizing the negative impact of emotional trading on your overall financial success.
SasanSeifi| Will It Break Above the $2685 High?Hey there, ✌ In the daily timeframe, as seen on the chart OANDA:XAUUSD , gold's price started an upward movement from the $2300 range and reached a new all-time high (ATH) around $2685. After hitting this peak, the price entered a consolidation phase with a slight pullback that extended to the $2600 area.
Currently, we see that the price has rebounded from the $2600 level due to increased demand, pushing it higher towards $2,657. The medium- and long-term outlook leans towards further upward movement, with potential targets at $2700, $2725, $2750, $2790, and $2,800.
In the daily timeframe, maintaining the support range between $2600 and $2570 is crucial for sustaining the bullish trend. A likely scenario is that if the price stabilizes above $2660 and $2675, it could break the previous high and move toward the mentioned targets, as illustrated in the chart.
To gain a better understanding of the future trend, it's important to monitor how the price performs in the early days of the market. Additionally, if bullish momentum weakens and confirmations appear in lower timeframes, there could be a chance of range-bound movement or a retracement towards the support levels.
This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
XAU/USD | Gold has been a good journey, next month however...I will try to keep this one short..
Hi everyone, it has been some time (7 months) since I posted my first idea stating Gold's potential. Gold reached the target 2700$ last week. However, during this week or next week possibly, I am expecting a solid change in direction that will start a short-term consolidation phase. Don't get me wrong, Gold is extremely bullish on the long-term, forming this cup & handle like formation. But throughout the next month, I believe gold will fall around ~2600$, in the worst case around ~2500$.
My reasoning is as follows,
Looking at the Monthly Chart, Gold's bullish rally carried Gold above the approximately 10-year trend, this is expected to some extent, because Gold has a lot more buying power than it had years before and there is literally a war going on, this too puts pressure on bull side.
However, one thing especially caught my attention, RSI is again over 80, which indicates Gold is overbought. In most of the cases where a stock is overbought a consolidation phase is inevitable. Looking at Gold's history, when RSI pushed these levels, in every single case, price dropped.
I've added a view that shows the whole history of Gold. And I think this view also suggest sell pressure around the current price. Note that blue marked zone is an approximation because not any information from the past is present.
To be able to keep track, I've added this view of the last 4 years. This view also indicates a lot of sell pressure for the short-term. I will update this view from time to time as Gold plays out.
Overall, lots of indications, RSI being the most solid one, show that Gold is looking for a consolidation before moving forward with the bull rally. My only concern right now is, Is gold going to push more before consolidation starts? To be honest, It is not easy to comment on that. Least we can do is wait until a solid reversal on a hourly chart. I wouldn’t suggest shorting in situations like this without waiting for confirmation...
Please do your own analysis before taking risks, Stay safe...
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 27.10.2024There has been news since yesterday of Israel now attacking and bombing Lebanon, so be wary of possible gaps on market open tomorrow night. Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: Gold carries on dropping lower now towards $2,680 as first target.
Option 2: Gold pushes a little higher towards $2,770 - $2,785 next.
Gold Out LookAs we had a rally upward last week and got tons of Profits following Technicals as well as this week is concerned still bullish in GOLD
Confluences
Price is following a bullish channel and show some rejection from channel last week
50 SMA on H1 is also bullish
From Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 to M30 to M15 gold is all bullish
Geopolitical situations are also in favour of Gold price as Iran and Israel tension has escalated last week closing we can see a rally upwards
So gold is bullish and we are too bullish on Gold if Price breaks above 2752 level of previous ATH it will go bullish to its physiological level
Gold Price Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)
Ascending Channel: Gold is moving within a clear ascending channel, showing a strong bullish momentum. Price has respected both the upper and lower bounds of the channel multiple times, confirming this structure.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Immediate Resistance at $2,747: This level, marked by a previous price peak, could act as a resistance. A breakout above could lead to further bullish movement.
Current Trend:
The price is nearing the top of the channel, suggesting either a potential breakout or a retracement towards the lower bounds of the channel.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If the price breaks above $2,747, we could see a continuation of the bullish trend with higher price targets.
AI Algo Trading Intro/OverviewAI ALGO TRADING INTRO/OVERVIEW
🔹AI algorithmic trading, often referred to as AI algo trading, is a sophisticated approach to financial trading that uses artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to make trading decisions. It combines finance, statistics, and computer science to analyze vast amounts of data and execute trades in real-time, often at speeds impossible for human traders. Here's a closer look at how it works, its benefits, and the key components:
1. How AI Algo Trading Works
AI algo trading employs machine learning, deep learning, and other advanced data analysis techniques to create models that can predict stock prices or detect trading patterns. These AI models are designed to identify patterns or anomalies in historical and real-time data, which helps them make predictions about price movements. The algorithms can process huge datasets from multiple sources, including stock prices, news, sentiment data from social media, and even macroeconomic indicators.
Typical steps involved in AI algo trading include:
🔹Data Collection: Gathering historical price data, technical indicators, financial reports, and alternative data (e.g., news, social media sentiment).
Model Training: Training machine learning models on historical data to predict asset price movements or specific trading signals.
🔹Backtesting: Testing the model on historical data to see how it would have performed in the past, adjusting for any biases or errors.
🔹Execution: Implementing the model in live markets to execute trades automatically when certain conditions are met.
2. Key Components of AI Algo Trading
Several key components work together in AI-driven trading systems, including:
🔹Data Management: Collecting, cleaning, and storing large volumes of financial and alternative data.
🔹Feature Engineering: Selecting or creating specific data features that improve the model's accuracy, such as moving averages, volatility measures, or sentiment scores.
🔹Machine Learning Models: Models like neural networks, decision trees, or support vector machines (SVMs) are common in AI trading. More advanced models use deep learning and reinforcement learning.
🔹Risk Management: Ensuring trades meet certain risk parameters to prevent excessive losses. Many AI algorithms have built-in risk management measures, like stop-loss limits or position size restrictions.
🔹Execution Algorithms: After generating trade signals, execution algorithms place trades in the market. These can include smart order routing and algorithms for optimizing trade timing.
3. Advantages of AI Algo Trading
🔹Speed and Efficiency: AI algorithms can execute trades within milliseconds, reacting instantly to market movements.
🔹Data-Driven Decisions: AI algo trading relies on empirical data rather than emotions, leading to potentially more consistent decision-making.
🔹Pattern Recognition: Advanced AI models can identify complex patterns in large datasets, uncovering trading opportunities that may be invisible to human traders.
🔹24/7 Operation: AI systems can monitor markets continuously, which is especially valuable in global markets that operate around the clock.
🔹Customization: AI-driven strategies can be tailored to specific asset classes, trading goals, and risk tolerances.
4. Popular AI Techniques in Trading
AI algo trading employs several popular techniques:
🔹Supervised Learning: This includes models like regression, classification, and neural networks, often used to predict price changes or determine trading signals.
🔹Unsupervised Learning: Clustering and anomaly detection models help identify unusual trading patterns or group similar assets.
🔹Reinforcement Learning: This is where AI learns to optimize strategies through trial and error, which can be particularly useful for adaptive, evolving trading strategies.
🔹Sentiment Analysis: AI can analyze text data (e.g., news articles, tweets) to gauge market sentiment, adding a qualitative dimension to trading models.
5. Risks and Challenges
While AI algo trading offers numerous advantages, it also comes with certain risks:
🔹Model Overfitting: Overfitting to historical data can result in poor performance in live markets if the model is too specific to past conditions.
Market Volatility: AI algorithms may struggle to adapt to sudden market changes, like unexpected geopolitical events or economic crises.
🔹Technical Failures: Infrastructure and connectivity issues can disrupt AI trading systems, leading to missed opportunities or unwanted positions.
🔹Regulatory Concerns: Regulatory bodies often scrutinize algorithmic trading for issues like market manipulation, requiring firms to ensure their algorithms are compliant.
6. Future of AI Algo Trading
🔹The future of AI algo trading looks promising, with ongoing advancements in AI and access to even more diverse data sources. Innovations in quantum computing, natural language processing (NLP) for deeper sentiment analysis, and reinforcement learning for adaptive strategies are likely to further enhance AI-driven trading.
🔹As AI trading models continue to evolve, they may also become more accessible to individual investors and retail traders, allowing a broader range of market participants to benefit from data-driven trading strategies. However, regulatory agencies may also implement stricter controls to manage the risks associated with autonomous AI trading.
NEW IDEA FOR GOLD
Global gold will strengthen due to the possibility of Iran's response to the Israeli missile attack
By examining the trend in the four-hour time frame, gold has an important support range in the range of 2712-2698, and if it is maintained, it can increase to the resistance of the channel ceiling in the range of $2804.
Xauusd sell confirm signal weekly chart Gold stays in a consolidation phase and fluctuates in a relatively tight range below $2,750 on Friday. US Treasury bond yields stabilize in the American session, making it difficult for XAU/USD to gather directional momentum.
From a technical perspective, the recent price action over the past week or so constitutes the formation of a bearish head and shoulders pattern on short-term charts. The neckline support of the said pattern is pegged near the $2,705 region, which should now act as an immediate strong support. Some follow-through selling, leading to a subsequent fall below the $2,700 mark, should pave the way for deeper losses and drag the Gold price further towards the $2,675 support. The downfall could extend further towards the bearish pattern target near the $2,660 area.
Gold now sell 2747
Support 2715
Support 1701
Resistance 2757
Gold Near Key Breakout Level at 2,758Gold is in an exciting phase, maintaining its upward trend above crucial EMA levels, signaling that the long-term momentum remains strong.
The resistance level at 2,758.717 is acting as a challenging ‘wall’—can gold break through to initiate a powerful rally? If successful, this could be a golden opportunity for investors to catch the next wave of growth.
However, if gold fails to breach this ‘wall’ and reverses, the support level at 2,716.756 and the trendline will serve as a solid ‘fortress,’ where prices may rebound.
Don’t miss out—sometimes, a little alertness is all it takes to capture the trend and turn volatility into profit!
News update: On October 25, gold saw some profit-taking as both the U.S. presidential election and Middle East tensions provided support for its price.
GOLD IS GOING TO BUY MOREHello Trader , What do you think about Gold ? Here on Gold price has made double bottom and was able to break above area which means is going to buy more so trader should go for LONG with expected profit target of 2758.136 .Remember to like and share your thought on comment! Use money Management
XAUUSD Faces Downside Risk as Head and Shoulders Pattern BeginsIn my view, a head and shoulders pattern may be forming on the chart with:
The left shoulder is at the top near $2,755, reflecting initial buying pressure.
The head peak is prominent at $2,740, indicating strong but waning buying pressure.
The right shoulder is forming with a peak close to the right shoulder at $2,755.
If the price breaks below the neckline around $2,721, the pattern will be complete. This could lead to a deeper decline, signaling an approaching downtrend. I will monitor further for confirmation.
Gold topped $2500 per ounce psychological high. Here's whyThe price of spot gold climbed $2500 per ounce to a new record high, by mid-August, 2024.
The Yellow metal has rallied 21.5% this year, and this is the best result in this time against Top 4 american indices - Dow Jones Industrial Avg (DJIA), SP500 (SPX), Small cap Russell2000 (RUT) and full of tech stocks Nasdaq-100 indices (NDX).
Gold jumped as much as 1.8% on Friday, as investors inflation expectations are still extremely high, and still there're no convincing sign that major Russia - Ukraine conflict as well as Israel - Arab conflict are near to be settled.
Even recent weakness in US labor market and new-home starts fall to the lowest level since 2020 give no power to Federal Reserve (US Central Bank) to cut an interest rate even to 1/4 per cent.
Last 2 years, a lot of banksters forecasted that Fed will cut interest rate.
In fact - it still didn't. Just blah-blah-blah and super-duper AI hype, which based on nothing.
In technical terms, spot Gold breaks its $2500 psychological high, ready to go further, up to 3k.
XAUUSD: Head And Shoulders, Continue To SellYesterday, after experiencing a rebound, gold faced resistance again and pulled back, which is largely in line with our expectations, allowing everyone to achieve good profits. Currently, the short-term trend remains downward. As I mentioned yesterday, we are primarily watching the key support zone between 2718 and 2712.
Today, gold touched this support area again and rebounded, but it did not break through the resistance of the downward trend. Therefore, our trading strategy continues to focus on selling.
At the same time, we should closely monitor the performance of the support zone. If this support is effectively breached, I believe the subsequent decline could be significant, and breaking below 2700 is likely, with an expectation to reach below 2690.
This encapsulates my main trading thoughts for the near future.
XAUUSD: Bearish Channel targeting 2700.Gold has started a Bearish Channel to correct the long term bullish trend of the Higher Lows.
This is the 2nd such pattern and the previous one broke below the 1h MA200 and bottomed at -3.05%.
Sell now that the price is on a Lower High and target 2700.
Follow, Like, Comment below!
Short gold bravelyBros, I have been optimistic about shorting gold in the past two days. Today, I shorted gold near 2730 and closed the order at 2720, making a profit of 100 pips, which is relatively a good profit.
At present, gold has rebounded to around 2730 again, but judging from the strength of the rebound, it is expected that the rebound space of gold will be relatively limited, and the short-term resistance is in the 2730-2735 area. So for short-term trading, I am still optimistic about shorting gold. I think gold will at least try to test the 2705-2700 area.
Bros, fuck the bull market, let's sell gold happily together!
GOLD ready to sell possibly? shorts from 2,750This Week's Analysis for Gold:
This week, I'm expecting gold to weaken and potentially consolidate. The slight bearish reaction we've observed may indicate that bullish momentum is losing strength. Additionally, with the recent Change of Character (CHOCH) to the downside, an unmitigated 7-hour supply zone has been created, which could prompt a revisit from price.
From that level, I anticipate a potential selling opportunity. Once price taps into this zone, I'll be looking for distribution on the lower timeframe to refine my entry.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
DXY has shown strong bullish movement, and I expect the dollar to keep strengthening.
Gold has shifted to a bearish character, signalling weakness.
A clean, unmitigated supply zone is in place, where price may retrace.
Significant liquidity to the downside and an imbalance that needs filling.
Gold has been heavily bullish and may require a corrective move.
P.S. If this turns out to be a retracement and price continues upward, I’ll look for potential buys at the 2,680 level. Have a great trading week!