Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Xauusd(w)
XAUUSD Analysis today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
SasanSeifi| Key Levels to Watch in the 4-Hour TimeframeHey there, ✌ In the 4-hour timeframe, as observed on the chart OANDA:XAUUSD , gold's price has seen a minor rise after reaching the $2,600 level and is currently trading around $2,657.
In the short-term outlook, one possible scenario is that after encountering the $2,668 supply zone, the price may enter a consolidation phase, with a slight pullback toward the $2,650 and $2,646 levels. If we receive the necessary confirmation signals at this stage, we could potentially see a price rebound and continuation of the upward trend. To maintain this upward momentum, holding the support levels between $2,646 and $2,640 is crucial.
In case of further correction, it’s essential to monitor the price’s reaction to these support zones. If the price finds support at these levels, a new upward move towards the mentioned targets could start. However, if these supports fail, there is a possibility of prolonged consolidation or even a further price decline.
On the other hand, if sufficient buying pressure emerges and the price manages to stabilize above $2,670 and $2,675, the chances of further growth towards targets like $2,700, $2,710, and $2,720 will increase.
This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
WTI crude oil trend is neutral, with more bearish conditionsTVC:USOIL continued to recover from a decrease of 1% in the previous trading day after the US announced that crude oil inventories increased much higher than expected. After falling back, it continued to rise as the US election approached causing commodities to revive inflation expectations and the possibility of a further recovery in oil prices.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that crude oil inventories rose sharply, rising 5.5 million barrels to 426 million barrels in the week ended October 18, compared with market expectations. market for an increase of 270,000 barrels.
Current concerns about potential oil supply risks due to conflict in the Middle East have partly offset the impact on crude inventories.
On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL Trading is currently quite slow with price activity mainly around the EMA21 level.
Although WTI crude oil has recovered, the recovery is still temporarily limited by the resistance level of 72.39 USD and the 21-day moving average (EMA21). In case WTI crude oil price increases and breaks the level of 72.39 USD, it will tends to rise a little further to test the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level.
The current recovery level of WTI crude oil is still not enough to create a bullish cycle as the Relative Strength Index is also approaching point 50, a position considered to be under pressure in terms of momentum.
Once WTI crude oil is sold below the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, the recovery cycle will end with the target level then around $68.19 in the short term, more so than $67.14.
During the day, the technical outlook for WTI crude oil is currently neutral, with more bearish conditions and notable levels listed below.
Support: 70.56 – 68.19USD
Resistance: 72.39 – 73.80USD
Update two XAUUSD buying scenariosScenario 1: The price had an acceptable drop and reached one of the most important support areas, from this area it can start and register a new ATH
Scenario 2: If the price fails to reach a new ATH or sweeps the ceiling and loses the order block under its feet, it has the potential for further correction. The maximum potential drop is up to $2,600. Because the structure of this time is bullish, be careful in buying shorts and consider a reasonable reward.
Important: If the price reaches any of the demand, you can take a long position by getting confirmation in the time frame of 15 minutes.
Gold prices edged up as U.S. yields fell and the dollar weakenedThe slight decline of the USD and U.S. Treasury yields may reflect stable market sentiment in Asia following a technology sell-off on Wall Street. U.S. stock futures rebounded as risk was re-established, thanks to strong earnings reports from Tesla Inc.
Tesla reported adjusted earnings of 72 cents per share for the quarter, surpassing analysts' average estimates and ending a streak of four consecutive quarters of missed expectations. The company noted that the Cybertruck, delivered for the first time late last year, has started to turn a profit.
Personal opinion:
The price of gold is currently facing strong resistance at $2,723. This is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent record price increase, where the price rose from $2,604 on October 10 to an all-time high of $2,759. If it breaks above this level, buyers may find it easier to surpass the psychological barrier of $2,750. The next target will be the record high of $2,759.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2712 - 2710
SL: 2705
Sell Zone: 2759 - 2761
SL: 2766
Sell Scalp: 2736 - 2738
SL: 2743
Update gold price after stormy day. Gold prices have rebounded today after a sharp decline yesterday, with the precious metal currently hovering around the $2730 mark, recovering more than 100 pips in the early hours of Thursday's trading session.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index has risen by 0.3%, nearing its highest level in three months. This strength in the dollar is making gold less appealing for holders of other currencies. At the same time, US bond yields have climbed to a three-month high, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
Despite these pressures, gold's upward momentum remains strong, with the recent dip appearing to be part of a typical correction. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding the US elections, along with the nation’s growing debt burden, continues to fuel investor concerns, pushing many to seek the safe haven of gold.
This year, the precious metal has consistently set new records, gaining over 31%. With this momentum, gold is on track to be one of the best-performing assets in 2024.
Reached the top and suddenly fell verticallyGold costs reduced after statistics approximately americaA housing marketplace in September. According to americaA National Association of Real Estate (NAR), general income of present homes, consisting of personal houses, townhouses, and residences condominiums and cooperatives, fell 1.0% to a seasonally adjusted price of 3.eighty four million gadgets in September. The records turned into higher than expected, as economists had forecast a 1.3% decline. right all the way down to 3.eighty million gadgets. Total sales for August turned into additionally adjusted as much as 3.88 million gadgets from the formerly pronounced 3.86 million gadgets. Year-on-year, income sales reduced with the aid of using 3.5% in comparison to September 2023.
In addition to the motive coming from new financial records, the lower in gold costs may also be a profit-taking circulate with the aid of using many investors, after this valuable steel has constantly peaked withinside the beyond few weeks. Experts additionally word that notwithstanding a robust adjustment, gold costs nevertheless keep above 2,seven-hundred USD/ounce with long-time period assisting elements together with geopolitical instability and hobby price slicing regulations of a chain of primary banks.
🔥 XAUUSD Buy limit 2715 - 2717 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2708
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
🔥 XAUUSD Sell limit 2736 - 2738 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2725
✔️ TP2: 2715
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2746
Can we accept as true with gold`s SELL signal?We acquired an apparent promote sign on Wednesday with a key reversal candle printing at the every day timeframe. However, one have a take a observe latest records indicates we've acquired masses of topping indicators and styles this year, but none generally tend to final long. That by myself makes me cautious of the bearish sign, particularly with the charge persevering with to fashion better throughout severa timeframes.
Given how strongly gold has traded recently, there can also additionally had been an detail of profit-taking up Wednesday to plug losses in different asset classes, particularly constant profits markets. The unwind additionally got here from oversold degrees on RSI (14), hinting short-time period positioning changed into turning into lopsided.
Those searching at capability setups may want to use the uptrend strolling from the lows struck on October 10 to construct trades around. It`s observed around $2720 today. If the charge manages to maintain above the uptrend, you may purchase in advance it with a decent forestall beneath for protection. The apparent exchange goal will be the file excessive of $2758.55.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2706
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🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell limit 2740 - 2738 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2730
✔️ TP2: 2720
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2748
Gold prices change constantlyThe correlation evaluation underneath seems at the connection among gold and silver during the last fortnight with some of marketplace indicators. Gold is at the right, silver at the left.
From pinnacle to bottom, we've got the form of the Fed budget futures curve from October 2024 to December 2025 in black, presenting a manual on price reduce pricing, US two-12 months yields in blue, US 10-12 months yields in green, the United States greenback index in crimson and 10-12 months actual bond yields in red which measures nominal yields much less anticipated inflation over the following decade.
To placed matters into perspective, pastimes and the greenback have risen sharply over the last 10 days. However, regardless of this, gold and silver are an increasing number of correlated with this alteration regardless of being their conventional enemies.
It`s now no longer superb how gold and silver are appearing on this surroundings and but there may be not anything extra than hobby costs and bonus charge fluctuations which are using the valuable metals markets.
Does protection have an absorption path? Lam charge anticipated to be higher? Increased monetary penetration? Russia's sanctions avoidance order? Those are the famous theories, even though it is hard to select out which one, if any, is the actual using pressure proper now. One component we do understand is that gold and silver retain to fashion higher.
💎 TVC:GOLD Buy limit 2714 - 2712 💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2706
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 TVC:GOLD XAUUSD Sell limit 2740 - 2738 💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2748
USOIL Ready for $75!WTI oil prices have climbed back to $71.60 per barrel, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly due to the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. The possibility of disruptions in oil supplies from the region fuels market uncertainty. However, the significant increase in US crude oil inventories, far exceeding expectations, is putting downward pressure on prices, indicating a potential oversupply. Additionally, the strengthening US dollar, which has reached its highest level since July, is reducing oil demand by making it more expensive for foreign buyers. These factors limit the potential for price increases, despite geopolitical concerns.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2738, which is a pullback resistance and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2685, a pullback support level close to 50% Fibo retracement and 161.8% Fibo extension.
The stop loss will be at 2760.38, above the resistance level.
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Gold Price Fluctuates Strongly As USD IncreasesBased on the chart and information you provided, gold prices are under downward pressure due to the continued rise in the USD and the US bond yield rising to 4.25%, which has limited the flow of investment capital into the precious metal. On the chart, after hitting the resistance level around $2,757, gold prices reversed and fell below $2,720.
Currently, gold prices are likely to continue to correct to the support zone around $2,700. If this support zone fails to hold, the price is likely to continue to fall further. However, if the price holds above the support level, there may be a recovery and retest the resistance zone of $2,750-2,760.
Gold Trading Strategy: Focus on Selling TodayYesterday, we bought and made some profits, and today we’ll primarily focus on selling.
The trading signal I released before the market opened suggests selling in the 2746-2752 range, with a TP set at 2738-2734. Some friends may have already traded based on the signal they received earlier; you can still join in.
Gold is currently within the selling range, and if you’re looking to place this order, now could be an even better position.
I will continue to monitor market trends, and any changes in trading will be communicated promptly. Stay tuned, and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions.
XAUUSD Strong Bullish Momentum1. Trend
Uptrend: The price is trending upwards within the ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market sentiment.
2. Support and Resistance
Support: The lower boundary of the channel acts as dynamic support, where price has bounced multiple times. If the price continues to move within this channel, it may find support around the 2,680-2,700 USD range.
Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel acts as resistance. If the price reaches this level, it could face resistance near 2,750-2,760 USD in the near term.
3. Price Action
Bearish Candle: The recent candle shows a significant drop (-1.11%), indicating bearish pressure. The price is testing the lower channel boundary, which could be a critical support zone.
Potential Reversal: There seems to be a projection for a bullish bounce off the lower boundary, suggesting a possible upward move back towards the mid-to-upper range of the channel, as shown by the zigzag projection on the chart.
4. Projections
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds at the lower boundary and rebounds, it could aim for a move back towards the upper channel line, targeting around 2,760-2,780 USD.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the channel, it could signal a shift in the trend, potentially targeting support levels below 2,680 USD.
5. Key Levels
Immediate Support: 2,700 USD (channel support)
Immediate Resistance: 2,750 USD (upper channel resistance)
Potential Targets: A bounce could aim for 2,760-2,780 USD, while a breakdown may push the price down to 2,660 USD or lower.
In summary, the XAU/USD pair is in an overall uptrend but is currently facing a pullback near channel support. The next few sessions are critical to see if the price respects the channel or breaks downwards. If the support holds, a bullish continuation is possible.
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)Price is still floating around our 'shorting zone' & I'm still holding onto my sell position. This is a mid term position so I will be holding on for the near term, despite any market volatility. I am hedged against my buy's from $1600's so me & my Gold Fund investors have nothing to lose🙏🏻
We are in a clear Wave V & Wave 5 completion according to the EW Theory strategy. Now time to be patient & let sellers take over!