Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 22.10.2024Gold hit our $2,739 yesterday as expected and rejected down 200+ PIPS in profit! Here is what I am looking for next week;
Option 1: Gold drops lower now towards $2,640 as first target.
Option 2: Gold pushes a little higher to liquidate early sellers before coming back down.
Xauusd(w)
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As per our last mind, we were waiting for signs of exhaustion on XAUUSD . As we failed to break a new ATH today, we could consider this a “double top” as well.
In detail,
We failed to break a new ATH (All Time High) . We will most likely drop down to 2714 which is an important KL (Key Level) for us. If broken, we will see deeper pullbacks to 2696 or even revisiting our previous ATH at 2685 . Keep in mind if our KL at 2714 is not broken, we might consolidate between levels 2714 - 2740 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2731.561
- SL: 2743
- TP: 2685.800
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD failed to create a new high.
- XAUUSD price is showing slight exhaustion.
- Break below our KL (Key Level) could result in more downside.
- Failing to break our KL could result in some consolidation.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
XAUUSD : A Continuation Bullish Pattern Is Seen
A new bullish pattern is forming
If the price can break the resistance line, we will see the continuation of the uptrend
In the higher time frame , the resistance zone is not seen
Therefore, a decision should be made based on price-action in the future
Enter the previous trade with almost the same system
See here
Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD (1h)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️ Buy Now or buy on 2726.6
⭕️SL @ 2711.9
🔵TP1 @ 2756.4
🔵TP2 @ 2773.1
🔵TP3 @ 2789.0
What are these signals based on?
Pattern Trading
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action
Candlesticks
Fibonacci
RSI
Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments
XAUUSD : A Continuation Bullish Pattern Is Seen
A new bullish pattern is forming
If the price can break the resistance line, we will see the continuation of the uptrend
In the higher time frame , the resistance zone is not seen
Therefore, a decision should be made based on price-action in the future
Enter the previous trade with almost the same system
See here
Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD (1h)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️ Buy Now or buy on 2726.6
⭕️SL @ 2711.9
🔵TP1 @ 2756.4
🔵TP2 @ 2773.1
🔵TP3 @ 2789.0
What are these signals based on?
Pattern Trading
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action
Candlesticks
Fibonacci
RSI
Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments
Gold Technical Analysis: (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold Technical Analysis: Bullish Bias Above 2721.00
Pivot Point: 2721.00
The 2721.00 level serves as a key support, and the technical setup suggests potential for further upward movement if this level holds.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are preferred above the 2721.00 pivot point, signaling a potential rally toward higher resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 2747.00
This represents a resistance level where traders may consider booking profits or reassessing the trend.
Second Target: 2757.00
If the first target is surpassed, gold could continue its upward momentum, aiming for 2757.00.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price breaks below 2721.00:
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 2714.00
Second Target: 2705.00
These levels indicate possible support zones if the bearish scenario plays out.
Technical Insights:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI is mixed but leans toward a bullish bias, suggesting that while some caution is warranted, the general trend favors upward movement.
Momentum:
A break above 2721.00 would strengthen bullish momentum, while a breach below this level would weaken the outlook.
XAUUSD:22/10 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2750, support below 2673
Four-hour resistance 2750, support below 2720
Gold operation suggestions: After yesterday's strong upward shock and high break in the Asian and European sessions, the US session was under pressure at the 2740 mark and ushered in a suppression and decline. The overall price showed a suppression adjustment pattern at the 2740 mark, but the short-term gold price technical indicators did not show any signs of turning, and the short-term and medium-term moving averages were still arranged in a bullish pattern and diverged upward.
From the current market trend, today's attention is paid to the 2720 first-line support below, and the attention is still paid to breaking the new high above. Gold is still in a bullish arrangement, the daily line has also formed a bullish arrangement, and the moving average system is also relatively perfect. Today we choose to go long directly, and go long near 2720 below. The overall idea has always been to focus on the retracement and the daily level 2673 bull-short watershed, and wait patiently for the key points to enter the market.
BUY:2720near SL:2715
BUY:2700near SL:2695
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Levels discussed on 22nd October Livestream22nd October
DXY: retracing, testing 103.80 support level, needs to stay above 103.60, to continue uptrend to 104.20.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6015 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Stays below 0.67, Sell 0.6680 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Retracing, Look to test and reject trendline, Sell 1.3025 SL 20 TP 50
EURUSD: Look for reaction at 1.0780 support level or 1.0870 resistance level
USDJPY: Buy 151.15 SL 40 TP 65
USDCHF: Sell 0.8630 SL 10 TP 20
USDCAD: Buy 1.3860 SL 20 TP 60
Gold: Look for retracement possibly to 2715, buy on dip, for 2750 target
An Analysis of Short Position StrategiesCongratulations to the investors who followed my trading strategy yesterday, successfully going long at low levels and securing two profitable waves, yielding substantial returns. Today, we must continue to seize market opportunities.
Fundamental Analysis:
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken made another visit to the Middle East on Monday, advocating for a ceasefire and seeking to restart negotiations to end the conflict in Gaza and mitigate the escalation in Lebanon. This news has slightly dampened the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, reducing market interest in buying.
Technical Analysis:
The current hourly chart shows signs of a double top formation, with gold facing strong resistance at the 2740 level. If this resistance is not breached during today’s European and U.S. trading sessions, gold prices are expected to test this level repeatedly.
In summary, the fundamental factors have weakened the upward support for gold, while the technical double top resistance reinforces this outlook. Therefore, today's trading strategy for gold should primarily focus on short positions at high levels. Should you require detailed guidance on short entry points, please feel free to contact me for professional advice and support!
Gold Pauses Before Continuing Its Climb
Gold is currently on a dramatic "adventure." After a sharp rise to 2,735 USD, it seems to be taking a break around the 2,727 USD support level, as if it's catching its breath before climbing further to new peaks in the 2,750 - 2,767 USD range.
The EMA 34 and 89 are providing solid long-term support. However, remember that the gold market can be unpredictable, and a “slip” could happen if strong resistance is encountered.
Traders should keep an eye on U.S. bond yields rising amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the U.S. election.
Xauusd sell Meanwhile, any corrective slide now seems to find some support near the $2,720 region. This is closely followed by the lower end of the aforementioned channel, currently pegged near the $2,710 area, which if broken decisively should pave the way for deeper losses. The subsequent fall could drag the Gold price below the $2,700 mark, towards the $2,685 support. The latter should act as a key pivotal point, below which the XAU/USD could accelerate the decline towards the $2,662-2,661 resistance breakpoint, now turned support
Gold now sell 2735
Support 2724
Support 2717
Resistance 2745
2 buying scenarios for XAUUSDIn the chart, I have drawn two price scenarios for XAUUSD. Please note that if the price does not move in the direction of the scenario and crosses the price range of $2,740, the scenarios will be canceled and I will publish new scenarios in my profile.
Scenario 1: The low liquidity price of the indusment will collect "$2,705" and then continue its ascent, the price target of this scenario will be $2,740.
Scenario 2: Give a low price of indusment close and react to the first demand, the price target of this scenario will be $2,740.
Xauusd price is likely to be $3,000World gold prices increased in the context of the USD index falling. Recorded at 9:20 a.m. on October 21, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 103,749 points (down 0.08%).
Over the past year, gold bars - a commodity considered a hedge against political and economic instability - have increased more than 31%, breaking many records. The US Federal Reserve's (FED) interest rate cuts combined with safe haven demand have created a perfect storm for gold.
According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, developments ahead of the US election and geopolitical developments in the Middle East are supporting precious metals.
President of Phoenix Futures and Options - forecasts that interest rates will decrease and gold is ready to conquer new milestones. He believes that gold prices will reach $3,000/ounce in the first quarter of next year.
In the coming time, gold prices will still be affected by the FED's interest rate management. According to CME's FedWatch tool, US inflation has been contained, the market is expecting a 92.2% chance that the FED will cut 25 basis points and a 7.8% chance of keeping current interest rates unchanged. meeting on November 7.
💎 XAUUSD sell 2734 - 2738💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2744
Gold Bullish Pennant in 15-Minute Time Frame: Resistance In the 15-minute time frame, we are seeing a bullish pennant forming on gold. If we project the move from the bottom to the top of the pattern, our target aligns with the pink resistance zone. It’s important to be cautious as the price approaches this zone. If you are in a long position, it could be a good time to consider reducing your exposure when the price reaches this resistance area.
GOLD recovered after adjusting from the target levelOANDA:XAUUSD recovered after a correction since reaching the reader attention target increase in previous issues at 2,741 USD.
Gold soared to a new all-time high on Monday hitting $2,740.60 an ounce. Uncertainty over the US presidential election and war in the Middle East have contributed to gold's rally, which has been fueled by expectations of lower Fed interest rates.
Gold prices have risen this year and have consistently hit record highs, a recovery that has accelerated over the past few months as the Federal Reserve moved to cut interest rates. Worsening tensions in the Middle East and upcoming US elections are also increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Citi Research raised its three-month gold price forecast in a report on Monday, citing a possible continued slowdown in the US labor market, interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increased gold purchases. physical and ETF funds.
The bank raised its 3-month gold price forecast to $2,800 from $2,700 previously and said its 6- to 12-month gold price forecast is $3,000.
Specifically, the report said: “We note that despite weak retail physical demand in China and rising US interest rates, gold and silver have performed very well since the Fed cut interest rates by 50 points. basis last month and nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations.”
According to the latest Washington Post poll, Republican candidate Trump and Democratic candidate Harris are still tied in 7 important states.
However, on core issues such as the economy, inflation and immigration, Trump's approval rating is higher than Harris's. A Trump victory would mean a completely different story, with more taxes and restrictions likely to negatively impact inflation, forcing the Fed to abandon its current loose monetary policy, meaning If Trump wins the election, it is likely that the USD will strengthen again and gold will come under significant pressure.
Regarding the situation in the Middle East, according to local authorities, Israel conducted air strikes across Lebanon at night, targeting Hezbollah's financial activities. "We will continue to fight Iran's proxies until the country collapses," said Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after adjusting from the target increase of 2,741 USD, gold recovered when approaching the nearest support level at the Fibonacci extension level of 0.786% price point of 2,711 USD.
The current recovery is significant and is once again close to the key technical level at $2,741, the $2,741 level being the confluence of resistance of the upper channel edge and the 1% Fibonacci extension.
If gold breaks above $2,741 it will be primed for a new bull run ahead, and indeed the target after gold breaks $2,741 is not to be found beyond round price points like 2,750 – 2,800 USD.
During the day, structurally and the short-term trend remains unchanged to the upside with upward momentum remaining very strong as the Relative Strength Index points steeply upward without any signs of a bend or heading down from the overbought area, although the room for price increases is no longer large, there will still be enough motivation for shock increases (short and strong) before adjusting downward.
The upward trend in gold prices on the daily chart will be noted by the following technical points.
Support: 2,711 – 2,700USD
Resistance: 2,741 – 2,750USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2762 - 2760⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2766
→Take Profit 1 2755
↨
→Take Profit 2 2750
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2694 - 2696⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2701
↨
→Take Profit 2 2706
EUR/USD: Watch for the Rebound!EUR/USD began the week on a bearish note, hitting 12-week lows near 1.0800 as the US dollar remains strong, supported by solid economic fundamentals and rising US yields. Key support levels are at 1.0811 and 1.0775, while major resistance is seen at 1.0930 and 1.1040. The macroeconomic backdrop favors the dollar, with the Fed remaining cautious on rate cuts, and the ECB, despite a recent rate cut, facing weak growth and declining inflation. A drop below 1.0800 could accelerate losses, while a recovery above 1.0875 would be the first positive signal.
XAUUSD ANALYSISThe xau market has been on a bullish rally after creating a spring at the 2600's zone with an indication of "the retest of a breakout"
we could see gold rallying up to the 2739 zone thereby creating an ATH mitigation or rally above to the 2750's as the bullish pressure exerted is strong.
^take note that all shorts are merely retracements as gold is on a bullish run
Gold is rising back to $2,741 early Tuesday.The greenback has retreated from its highest level in nearly three months in Asian trading on Tuesday, as U.S. Treasury yields reinforced the previous price increase. The dollar's pause and rising yields have provided buyers with an opportunity after Monday's sharp drop from record highs.
A moderate risk tone and uncertainty ahead of the U.S. presidential election have revived demand for gold as a safe haven. However, it's unclear whether gold prices will sustain their upward momentum and reach new record levels, especially as Chinese stocks show signs of recovery.
Expectations for a less aggressive stance from the Fed may also limit the upward trend of this precious metal.
Personal opinion:
Gold prices are currently attempting to test the record high of $2,741. In this context, buyers are actively pushing back, trying to regain control of the market. The competition between buyers and sellers is intense, creating a lively atmosphere in gold trading.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2705 - 2703
SL: 2698
Buy Zone: 2716 - 2714
SL: 2709
Sell Zone: 2740 - 2742
SL: 2747
Sell Zone: 2750 - 2752
SL: 2757