Trading Signal For Gold Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD (h4)
Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW
⬇️Sell Now or Sell on 2673.1
⭕️SL@ 2712.1
🔵TP1@ 2564.1
🔵TP2@ 2515.6
🔵TP3@ 2441.1
Previous signal
Previous signal
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
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Xauusd(w)
XAUUSD: 11/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2761, support 2638
Four-hour resistance 2678, support 2638
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall gold price fell sharply from a high level. Today, Monday, the short position continued from last Friday, and the trend is still mainly short selling.
Judging from the current market trend, we still need to continue to be bearish on the market this week. Pay attention to the short-term 2668 line pressure on the upper side. The key pressure point on the upper side is maintained at 2675~2680, which is also the dividing line between long and short this week. The key support below is maintained near 2638. Once it continues to break down, it is very likely to start a large downward trend. The operation is still treated as rebound short selling, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2668near
SELL:2638near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold: A Sudden Pivot and Decline… All Eyes on Powell and the FedGold’s Outlook Amidst Global Shifts: Anticipating the Federal Reserve’s Decision and Trump’s Return to Power
Gold (XAUUSD) currently exhibits a technical reversal setup, hinting at a potential downward trend in the medium to long term. The fundamental landscape is shifting to favor the U.S. dollar, subtly steering capital away from gold. This pivot is influencing price targets and investor sentiment, aligning more with an appreciation of the dollar than a rally in precious metals.
In a surprising twist in U.S. politics, Donald Trump has regained the presidency. What does this political shift mean for gold and other key markets? Historically, Trump’s policies have leaned toward deregulation and fiscal expansion, potentially fueling inflation. With an administration focused on rapid economic growth and bold policies, there’s a plausible scenario for rising inflation, increased demand for the dollar, a robust stock market, and strengthening U.S. bond yields. Yet, gold and currency markets might not see immediate benefits from this environment.
Trump’s known stance toward China and Europe, marked by economic confrontation and protectionist measures, could eventually provide a supportive backdrop for gold, although this may not manifest immediately. Investors may perceive gold as a safe haven in the face of prolonged U.S.-China tensions, but significant gains may only materialize over time—perhaps not until late next year or beyond.
So, what are the forward-looking targets for gold? Analysts are keeping an eye on potential pullbacks to levels like 2400, 2300, or even 2200. Should the selling pressure increase, a test of the 2000 mark isn’t out of the question. These medium to long-term projections underscore a cautious outlook, hinging heavily on both domestic policy under the new administration and ongoing global economic challenges.
At present, however, the immediate focus lies with the Federal Reserve. This Thursday’s rate decision is critical: Will the Fed cut by another 0.25% to continue economic support, or opt for stability and keep rates steady? Yet, the spotlight is less on the rate decision itself and more on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary. Any signals that the Fed may ease up on its current rate cut cycle could impact markets dramatically, especially those tied closely to interest rates like gold. Hints of a potential slowdown in easing could push investors away from the yellow metal as confidence in the dollar strengthens.
From a technical perspective, gold appears to be re-entering a price range, with attention drawn to significant internal levels, including the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line—a crucial marker. Should gold breach this level, a resumption of the downtrend may be imminent. If sellers reclaim control below this level, a deeper pullback may follow.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2670, 2685, 2696
Support: 2652 (trigger point), 2637, 2624
As a correction pattern emerges in the wake of recent declines, traders are monitoring for a potential false breakout. If gold experiences a brief push above these resistance points but subsequently consolidates below them, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend.
In summary, gold's trajectory will be shaped by a unique combination of technical pressures and fundamental shifts. Trump’s return and its implications for inflation and foreign policy, combined with the Fed’s upcoming rate guidance, form a complex backdrop. Investors should brace for heightened volatility, as the evolving policy landscape and economic indicators will likely be pivotal in determining gold's next moves.
XAUUSD / UNDER DEMAND ZONE PRESSURE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
This analysis describes a potential price movement for gold within a 1-hour timeframe based on demand and supply zones:
The demand zone is identified between $2,643 and $2,659. The text suggests that if gold prices stabilize at or above this zone, it could signal an upward move.
If prices stabilize within or above the demand zone, they may rise to the supply zone, located between $2,688 and $2,703 , If prices surpass the supply zone, the next target level mentioned is $2,710.
If prices break below the demand zone (below $2,643), it could indicate a potential decline , In this case, target levels would be $2,618 and $2,605.
Gold’s Pullback May Signal New Buying OpportunityGold began the week on a weak note, with its price dropping by around 200 pips from peak to trough.
However, as I mentioned in my Friday analysis, a potential bottom may be forming, giving bulls hope for a recovery.
Currently, Gold is trading precisely within a former resistance zone that now acts as support.
As long as this level holds, there is a favorable outlook for a reversal.
For now, I remain optimistic about a rebound, with potential for the price to climb back above 2700.
XAUUSD trading plan with focus on the 1D MA50.Gold (XAUUSD) is on the 2nd straight red day following Friday's rejection, which is in contrast to Thursday's promising rebound and green 1D candle it showed on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Technically, as long as the 1D MA50 holds, the trend remains bullish within the 5-month Channel Up and our 2800 Target remains intact. As you can see, especially if we observe the 1D RSI fractals, it is a similar (a-e) sequence to the February 14 - May 01 2024 uptrend. Right now it appears that this is phase (e) on the 1D MA50 with the RSI in the lower levels of neutrality (almost bearish).
If on the other hand Gold closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 (which will be the first time since July 02, more than 4 months), we will take the small loss on the buy and short instead, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), with a current Target at 2560 (but can change to adapt on the 1D MA100).
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The gold market experienced sell-offs.Experts believe that the market's adjustment phase is a "temporary" reaction to Donald Trump's re-election as US President and maintains his opinion in favor of increasing gold prices in the near future.
During the question and answer session this morning, Governor of the State Bank Nguyen Thi Hong shared that "gold is also a headache for the world". She informed that before the State Bank intervened, the international price per ounce was about 2,300-2,400 USD, but has now increased to around 2,700 USD. Compared to the beginning of the year, precious metals have increased by more than 50%.
The USD skyrocketed after this event, and the gold market experienced sell-offs. Bond yields rose as investors worried that the tariffs and tax cuts that Mr. Trump promised before his election could cause inflation to rise again.
Morrison said, USD and interest rates increased. Gold prices fell sharply and found a bottom, then increased slightly in the last session of the week, gold was under strong selling pressure. Gold prices hold support from 2,635 to 2,675 USD/ounce. This is the resistance level of gold prices in the last week of September and early October.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Continued decline, market analysis and strategy sharingGold daily line single K closed negative, the 5-day moving average system crossed the 20-day moving average, and the overall short position was arranged. The auxiliary indicator MACD also crossed downward at a high position.
Gold fell under pressure from high levels, and gold continued to short in the Asian session. The rise of gold last week was just a reaction to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. Gold finally rushed up and fell back, and waited for the rebound to continue shorting.
The 4-hour moving average of gold has now entered a short position arrangement with a dead cross downward. There is still room for gold to fall. Gold fluctuated after the second half of Friday night. Today's Asian session directly broke down, so gold still continued to choose to go down. Gold rebounded near 2690 in the Asian session and continued to short.
First support: 2660, second support: 2643, third support: 2630
First resistance: 2680, second resistance: 2691, third resistance: 2700
Trading strategy:
BUY:2661-2663
SELL:2690-2692
Gold remains around $2,675-$2,670 due to a stronger USD.Gold (XAU/USD) stays around $2,672-$2,670 as trading opens in Europe on Monday, continuing its recent downtrend from the October 31 record high. The USD remains slightly below last week's 4-month peak, driven by optimism over Trump’s economic policies, which are pressuring gold for the second consecutive day.
Investors expect Trump’s policies to boost growth and inflation while limiting strong Fed easing, keeping US Treasury yields high and pushing funds away from non-yielding gold. However, a mild risk sentiment may support gold as traders await US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speech later this week.
Personal opinion:
A sell-off below last week's low around $2,643 could trigger further downside, potentially pushing gold towards the October range low at $2,605-$2,602. However, a rebound above $2,700 faces strong resistance near $2,718 and the $2,740-$2,745 zone. A break above these levels could signal the end of the correction and push gold towards $2,750 and the $2,758-$2,790 range, or even the record high from October 31.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2656 - 2654
SL: 2649
Buy Zone: 2666 - 2664
SL: 2659
Sell Zone: 2687 - 2689
SL: 2694
Levels discussed on 11th November Livestream11th November
DXY: Consolidating along 105, look for break out above 105.15 to reach high of 105.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5955 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 25 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2830 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.0660 SL 25 TP 50
USDJPY: Buy 153.80 SL 40 TP 80
USDCHF: Buy 0.8790 SL 25 TP 80
USDCAD: Do Nothing
Gold: Could range between 2660 and 2644
XAU/USD 11 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024.
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 8 November 2024. Note how price is failing to target weak internal high.
Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react from either the discount of 50% internal equilibrium level (EQ) or the M15 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe is in a bullish pullback phase, it's no surprise that the M15 chart has printed a bullish iBOS. However, with H4 price trading up to premium of 50% internal EQ and reacting from that premium zone, it wouldn’t be surprising if the price prints a bearish iBOS.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE SUPPORT TRENDLINE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Target Achievement , The analysis mentions a prior target of +430 pip profit, with the price currently yielding a 1.58% rate. This suggests that an expected price decline has already occurred and reached a specific profit target.
Demand Zones , The current demand zone is between $2,659 and $2,649. If prices stabilize above or within this range, there may be an opportunity for prices to rebound and move towards a higher range , If prices break below this demand zone, a further decline is anticipated toward a lower demand zone between $2,618 and $2,604.
Supply Zones , If prices rise, the target supply zone is set between $2,687 and $2,710.
For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices would need to break and stabilize above this supply zone, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Overall Trend , Despite potential rebounds within the specified zones, the asset is noted as trading “under downward pressure,” suggesting an overall bearish outlook unless key supply or demand zones are broken in favor of a trend reversal.
Will XAUUSD Sell This Week?I'm eyeing a sell opportunity in gold (XAUUSD), targeting the 2660 level for an ideal short entry. The price is expected to dip towards 2630, a significant support zone, where a potential reversal could occur. If the market finds strength there, we may see a bounce as buyers step in.
Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal, but a stronger dollar or global risk-off sentiment may keep downward pressure in the short term. Monitoring price action closely around these levels for potential setups.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTE TIME FRAME CHARTGeneral outlook
XAUUSD has been under selling pressure within in the last couble of hours. The pair moved up the support level of 2669.
possible scenario
The best way buy use this opportunity is to place a buy order is at 2672.
Set yorur stoploss at 2665 below the previous low take profit 2688.
WISH YOU BEST LUCK
GOLD BREAKDOWNA chart representation of what may happen on Gold in the week and beyond.
Monthly TF still looks significantly bullish as the Gold Market Price is currently still trading above the previous significant monthly lows. We don't need the price to just trade below but close below to ascertain the presence of weakness in the current bullish trend.
On the Weekly TF, price has shown a clear push signifying a building up in bearish momentum before and after the US elections last week. Nevertheless there is the monthly lows as support to hold off what sells we are seeing and resume bullish trend. Until the break of that area, we will only keep seeing the current push down as gathering liquidity to continue the preceding bullish pressure.
Coming to the lower TF, the chart clearly shows Possible rejection zones that may be used as indicated and based on special confirmations know to my trading style, I will be looking forward to join in for buys or sells where significant.
Fundamental - The uncertain nature of Trump's first approach upon assuming second term may stir trade tensions globally and mixed sentiments may have an effect on price volatility until his policy implementations are clearer.
Monday XAUUSD Breakout Alert!Attention traders! XAUUSD is on fire, setting new highs with precision! Check this out:
XAUUSD Insight: Locked in a fierce contest between 2683 and 2688. Is a breakout near?
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 2676, 2669.
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2693, 2697.
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Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 3h timeframe
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Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold prices dropped to a three-week low, as investors dumped the Gold commodity for the U.S. dollar following Donald Trump's presidential victory. With expectations of a stronger dollar and potential inflation-driving tariffs under Trump, the Federal Reserve may rethink its easing cycle. This video breaks down key market moves and sentiment shifts post-election, as traders reassess their ‘Trump trade’ strategies amid tariff uncertainty.
Looking ahead, next week's U.S. economic data releases—including inflation and retail sales—along with comments from Federal Reserve officials, are set to shape Gold’s direction. Join us to analyze the behavioural trends impacting XAU/USD and prepare for new trading opportunities in the week ahead.
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TrumpEffect #USDollar #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.