Xauusd-analyse
Scenario xauusd update levels This analysis is purely about adjusting the level, plus a minor comment, the price is still holding on to the main level and could create a double top, the main one makes sense to me because there is a npoc on the support around the price of 2700, at which the price could choose a stop below we are currently in a poc, so then the view of thinking like this is still short, but I am still waiting for a confirming signal.
Israel's Shift to Syria and Its Impact on Gold PricesOver the weekend, the fighting between Israel and Lebanon paused, and Israel turned its attention to Syria, hoping to use this move to weaken the Russia-Ukraine war situation. However, as of now, the situation remains deadlocked, and Ukraine has not gained any significant advantage.
Many of you may not understand the connection between these events, but here’s a simplified explanation: Ukraine and Israel are in the same camp. While Ukraine has been facing difficulties in the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia holds over 80 strategic points in Syria. If Russia loses these, it would be a significant blow. So, Israel, as an ally of Ukraine, attacked Syria, hoping to help Ukraine gain an upper hand before a ceasefire, thus securing more significant benefits. However, up to now, things have not gone as smoothly as expected. Russia deployed troops to Syria, and in the process of attacking, they destroyed a command center of the four-nation alliance. Reports suggest that the leader of the Shams Liberation Organization may have been killed in the strike.
Due to the stalemate in the war, gold's price movement has been unclear. In this situation, the focus should be on the developments in Syria. If Israel gains the upper hand, the probability of gold rising increases significantly.
From a technical standpoint, the bulls currently have a slight advantage. Key support is at around 2635. As long as this support holds, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, and we may see a rapid rally at any time.
GOLD INTRADAY CHART UPDATE Gold (XAU/USD) exhibited strong bullish momentum during the London Killzone, as buyers dominated the session. The market capitalized on key liquidity zones, driving prices higher in alignment with the prevailing trend. This surge reflects heightened demand and a confident push by bulls, targeting critical resistance levels. A textbook example of precision trading during one of the most volatile and rewarding times of the day, where opportunities were abundant for those positioned with the flow
XAUUSD last trade chart Gold (XAUUSD) surges higher, marking a strong bullish recovery in the latest trading session. The price action hints at growing demand, with buyers stepping in near key support levels. A breakout above critical resistance zones could pave the way for further upward momentum. Traders are watching closely for confirmations of the trend continuation, while risk management remains crucial amid potential market volatility..
XAUUSD downGold extends its bullish momentum further above $2,660 on Thursday. XAU/USD rises for the fourth straight day, sponsored by geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine war. Markets await comments from Fed policymakers.The short-term technical outlook for Gold price appears to lean in favor of buyers as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) prods the 50 level to the upside. The indicator is currently just above 50.
However, an impending Bear Cross could be a headwind for Gold price. The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is closing in to cut the 50-day SMA from above. If that happens on a daily closing basis, it will validate the bearish crossover.
Gold buyers need a daily candlestick closing above the 50-day SMA at $2,660 to unleash additional recovery toward the 21-day SMA at $2,680.
The $2,700 threshold will be the next significant target for buyers.
Conversely, failure to find acceptance above the 50-day SMA at $2,660 on a daily closing basis could reinforce sellers toward the $2,600 threshold.
Tuesday’s low of $2,610 will be tested ahead of that.
XAUUSD Now we looking at XAUUSD buy, till 2647,8 zone. Then CPI we expecting Gold sell, continuing with the the market structure, if the following is respected:
Looking at confluence
> 2647,8 is a major resistance zone.
> looking at 3rd touch, on the trend line
> then bearish candlestick formation on 2647,8 zone.
> buy fake out on 2647,8
Gold Set to Form “W” Bottom Based on the current price action, there is potential for a “W” bottom to form. If this pattern plays out, today’s high should surpass yesterday’s 2626. However, if the price falls below 2690, the key support levels to watch will be between 2578-2573. I personally believe the probability of this scenario is low.
Therefore, the strategy is to buy, but it’s essential to control position size and allow for some flexibility in case of unexpected adverse movements. Remain agile, seize the rebound opportunity, and manage risk effectively.
Is the bullish rally over?Gold continues to show upside potential, maintaining a bullish trend. It is currently supported around the 2731 level and may test resistance at 2758, followed by 2790. If it breaks through these levels, it could aim for a new all-time high around 2880. However, a drop below the 2731 support level would bring attention to the next support levels at 2708 and then a stronger support at 2685. Some indicators hint that a pullback might follow after testing these higher levels, signaling a possible shift toward bearish momentum.
XAUUSD: Head And Shoulders, Continue To SellYesterday, after experiencing a rebound, gold faced resistance again and pulled back, which is largely in line with our expectations, allowing everyone to achieve good profits. Currently, the short-term trend remains downward. As I mentioned yesterday, we are primarily watching the key support zone between 2718 and 2712.
Today, gold touched this support area again and rebounded, but it did not break through the resistance of the downward trend. Therefore, our trading strategy continues to focus on selling.
At the same time, we should closely monitor the performance of the support zone. If this support is effectively breached, I believe the subsequent decline could be significant, and breaking below 2700 is likely, with an expectation to reach below 2690.
This encapsulates my main trading thoughts for the near future.
Gold Trading Strategy: Continued Selling and Rebound ObservationAfter the rebound, gold has dropped again, now breaking below MA60, with short-term moving averages acting as resistance. I believe it’s prudent to continue selling today, with signals already shared at the market open—our regulars have already enjoyed some profits.
With the current rebound, I recommend using MA60 and MA30 as reference prices for selling, targeting around 2712. We can then assess the market reaction before deciding whether to buy back in.
Gold Trading Strategy: Focus on Selling TodayYesterday, we bought and made some profits, and today we’ll primarily focus on selling.
The trading signal I released before the market opened suggests selling in the 2746-2752 range, with a TP set at 2738-2734. Some friends may have already traded based on the signal they received earlier; you can still join in.
Gold is currently within the selling range, and if you’re looking to place this order, now could be an even better position.
I will continue to monitor market trends, and any changes in trading will be communicated promptly. Stay tuned, and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions.
GOLD: Sell@2728-2734We closed our short position at a very opportune time. After taking profit at 2714, gold surged again, showing a strong bullish trend. Given this momentum, the market is likely to test 2730 after the next week’s opening. Therefore, I plan to hold my long position over the weekend, with my TP set at 2725. Once the price reaches the 2728-2736 range, I will consider selling again.
XAUUSD: Continue to be bullish, buy during pullback, target 2700Yesterday, our strategy was to wait for a pullback to the support range before buying. The direction and prediction were very accurate. The gold price pulled back from the initial 2680, the lowest was 2666, and then rose again to the historical high of 2685. Unfortunately, the lowest point of the pullback only reached 2666, which was only 1-2$ away from our buying range of 2665-2660. Therefore, I did not trade yesterday and missed a wave of nearly 20$ of rising profits.
Now the gold price is still around 2680, and my view is still bullish, with a target of 2700.
But there is indeed a risk of pullback if you chase the rise now. After all, the historical high of 2685 has failed to break twice, and you are not sure whether it will appear for the third time.
Therefore, my trading strategy today is still to wait for the pullback to the support range before considering buying.
Depending on the situation, the buying range can be adjusted flexibly.
Gold shorts are not over yet, watch out for accelerated declinesThe September NFP data is good news for the market, giving the market more reasons to prepare for the latest inflation data.
Last week's heavyweight employment report puts more pressure on this week's CPI data. If the data unexpectedly rises sharply, it is likely to cause market turmoil.
After the blowout employment report last Friday, the importance of this week's CPI has been significantly provided.
We have noticed that the US dollar has continued to maintain its upward momentum recently. It is likely to continue its upward trend before the release of CPI data. If there is a correction, it can only be after CPI. Therefore, the rise of the US dollar will bring continued suppression to gold.
It can be seen from the figure that the gold price has repeatedly tested the low point of 2630 during the decline. I think 2630 is not a short-term bottom. It will fall below in the next two days. Once it falls below, you can see the support of the lower moving average near 2615.
In addition, 2648 is the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement. The pressure effect here has been verified many times before, so friends who are short can choose to sell here.
My personal short position is currently in a state of substantial profit, but I will not close the position for the time being. I will continue to hold and expand the profit.
Gold gonna bust a move for Q4 || 04.OCT.2024 - FOMC?!Goooood Morning Tradingview!!
I am back! I'm glad to be back! I have missed y'all!!
Let's dive right in!!
Ok, starting from our bad mama-jamma, Monthly timeframe we can see XAUUSD is taking off! We are in an obvious bullish momentum creating new ALL TIME HIGHS each month, meaning we are in uncharted territory...
YET
Each week I have presented ideas that have played out more times than not.
HOWEVER,
Mistakes were made in my trade management. Alongside my business partner we've created a game plan that made sense to me and my trading style according to my trading personality or archetype - pretty INSANE I know!
Buuuuuuuut back to today's trade.
I am going to sit patiently and see which way price wants to move and when she does get ready for a big ol' heavy hitter *POW! I have my bias' for sure...PIPS OVER PROFITS!!
If you've made it this far, thank y'all! Shout Out to the new follows! I am truly blessed! God bless y'all
*Peace!