Get started

Xauusd-analyse

XAUUSD downGold extends its bullish momentum further above $2,660 on Thursday. XAU/USD rises for the fourth straight day, sponsored by geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine war. Markets await comments from Fed policymakers.The short-term technical outlook for Gold price appears to lean in favor of buyers as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) prods the 50 level to the upside. The indicator is currently just above 50. However, an impending Bear Cross could be a headwind for Gold price. The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is closing in to cut the 50-day SMA from above. If that happens on a daily closing basis, it will validate the bearish crossover. Gold buyers need a daily candlestick closing above the 50-day SMA at $2,660 to unleash additional recovery toward the 21-day SMA at $2,680. The $2,700 threshold will be the next significant target for buyers. Conversely, failure to find acceptance above the 50-day SMA at $2,660 on a daily closing basis could reinforce sellers toward the $2,600 threshold. Tuesday’s low of $2,610 will be tested ahead of that.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingForex078
Gold Set to Form “W” Bottom Based on the current price action, there is potential for a “W” bottom to form. If this pattern plays out, today’s high should surpass yesterday’s 2626. However, if the price falls below 2690, the key support levels to watch will be between 2578-2573. I personally believe the probability of this scenario is low. Therefore, the strategy is to buy, but it’s essential to control position size and allow for some flexibility in case of unexpected adverse movements. Remain agile, seize the rebound opportunity, and manage risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal
Is the bullish rally over?Gold continues to show upside potential, maintaining a bullish trend. It is currently supported around the 2731 level and may test resistance at 2758, followed by 2790. If it breaks through these levels, it could aim for a new all-time high around 2880. However, a drop below the 2731 support level would bring attention to the next support levels at 2708 and then a stronger support at 2685. Some indicators hint that a pullback might follow after testing these higher levels, signaling a possible shift toward bearish momentum.
TVC:GOLD
by adeelzahoor76
XAUUSD: Head And Shoulders, Continue To SellYesterday, after experiencing a rebound, gold faced resistance again and pulled back, which is largely in line with our expectations, allowing everyone to achieve good profits. Currently, the short-term trend remains downward. As I mentioned yesterday, we are primarily watching the key support zone between 2718 and 2712. Today, gold touched this support area again and rebounded, but it did not break through the resistance of the downward trend. Therefore, our trading strategy continues to focus on selling. At the same time, we should closely monitor the performance of the support zone. If this support is effectively breached, I believe the subsequent decline could be significant, and breaking below 2700 is likely, with an expectation to reach below 2690. This encapsulates my main trading thoughts for the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Gold Trading Strategy: Continued Selling and Rebound ObservationAfter the rebound, gold has dropped again, now breaking below MA60, with short-term moving averages acting as resistance. I believe it’s prudent to continue selling today, with signals already shared at the market open—our regulars have already enjoyed some profits. With the current rebound, I recommend using MA60 and MA30 as reference prices for selling, targeting around 2712. We can then assess the market reaction before deciding whether to buy back in.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Waves
Gold Trading Strategy: Focus on Selling TodayYesterday, we bought and made some profits, and today we’ll primarily focus on selling. The trading signal I released before the market opened suggests selling in the 2746-2752 range, with a TP set at 2738-2734. Some friends may have already traded based on the signal they received earlier; you can still join in. Gold is currently within the selling range, and if you’re looking to place this order, now could be an even better position. I will continue to monitor market trends, and any changes in trading will be communicated promptly. Stay tuned, and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Waves
XAUUSD: Continue to be bullish, buy during pullback, target 2700Yesterday, our strategy was to wait for a pullback to the support range before buying. The direction and prediction were very accurate. The gold price pulled back from the initial 2680, the lowest was 2666, and then rose again to the historical high of 2685. Unfortunately, the lowest point of the pullback only reached 2666, which was only 1-2$ away from our buying range of 2665-2660. Therefore, I did not trade yesterday and missed a wave of nearly 20$ of rising profits. Now the gold price is still around 2680, and my view is still bullish, with a target of 2700. But there is indeed a risk of pullback if you chase the rise now. After all, the historical high of 2685 has failed to break twice, and you are not sure whether it will appear for the third time. Therefore, my trading strategy today is still to wait for the pullback to the support range before considering buying. Depending on the situation, the buying range can be adjusted flexibly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
1
Gold shorts are not over yet, watch out for accelerated declinesThe September NFP data is good news for the market, giving the market more reasons to prepare for the latest inflation data. Last week's heavyweight employment report puts more pressure on this week's CPI data. If the data unexpectedly rises sharply, it is likely to cause market turmoil. After the blowout employment report last Friday, the importance of this week's CPI has been significantly provided. We have noticed that the US dollar has continued to maintain its upward momentum recently. It is likely to continue its upward trend before the release of CPI data. If there is a correction, it can only be after CPI. Therefore, the rise of the US dollar will bring continued suppression to gold. It can be seen from the figure that the gold price has repeatedly tested the low point of 2630 during the decline. I think 2630 is not a short-term bottom. It will fall below in the next two days. Once it falls below, you can see the support of the lower moving average near 2615. In addition, 2648 is the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement. The pressure effect here has been verified many times before, so friends who are short can choose to sell here. My personal short position is currently in a state of substantial profit, but I will not close the position for the time being. I will continue to hold and expand the profit.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
Gold gonna bust a move for Q4 || 04.OCT.2024 - FOMC?!Goooood Morning Tradingview!! I am back! I'm glad to be back! I have missed y'all!! Let's dive right in!! Ok, starting from our bad mama-jamma, Monthly timeframe we can see XAUUSD is taking off! We are in an obvious bullish momentum creating new ALL TIME HIGHS each month, meaning we are in uncharted territory... YET Each week I have presented ideas that have played out more times than not. HOWEVER, Mistakes were made in my trade management. Alongside my business partner we've created a game plan that made sense to me and my trading style according to my trading personality or archetype - pretty INSANE I know! Buuuuuuuut back to today's trade. I am going to sit patiently and see which way price wants to move and when she does get ready for a big ol' heavy hitter *POW! I have my bias' for sure...PIPS OVER PROFITS!! If you've made it this far, thank y'all! Shout Out to the new follows! I am truly blessed! God bless y'all *Peace!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MommaPreneur
XAUUSD: Will the decline continue after the conflict?Yesterday, the US dollar index rose for the second consecutive trading day, hitting a two-week high, supported by data showing the resilience of the US labor market and the dual support of safe-haven currency properties. It stands to reason that the rise of the US dollar index will suppress gold and cause it to fall. However, due to the sudden escalation of the geopolitical conflict between Iran and Israel, the demand for safe havens has been greatly boosted, resulting in a rare rise in gold and the US dollar together. The escalation of the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East has indeed greatly affected the direction of gold, but as of now, I don’t think gold supports the momentum to continue to rise sharply. Judging from the news, the rise in gold is due to the situation in the Middle East. If the situation in the Middle East eases next, or the situation is not as tense as the first day, then gold will still fall as it rose. Unless the situation in the Middle East will intensify in the future, and it will be more violent than yesterday’s conflict From the figure, we can see that the Fibonacci retracement of 0.618 from yesterday’s high of 2673 and today’s low of 2645 is 2655. As long as the rebound does not exceed 0.618, it is bound to fall to a new low. The short position I held yesterday suffered a slight loss due to the sudden outbreak of the Middle East conflict, but I added positions at 2655 and 2666 respectively, which increased the average price and is now profitable. In summary, I still have a bearish view, so I will continue to hold short positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
XAUUSD- More of the same today?Gooooood Morning Tradingview 🌄 So for today, no surprise to anyone, I am staying patient 😌 what I would like to see is price reach back up to the orange 5m LQZ, preferably creating some form of structure like a flag, before entering. I do see more of the same, bearish momentum towards the Daily LQZ that never got touched this week. If I "miss" my entry no bjg deal. We have news for the rest of the week with FOMC this Friday- yay! 🤗 As we can see price is inside of a nice descending (parallel) channel - inside of a larger descending parallel channel. I can see price possibly pushing up to create that 3rd touch before melting, but this is a lot of speculation and (educated) guess work on my part. This is a good thing, knowing what to look for before entering. However, I am happy to stay out of the market today if need be to allow price to truly pick a direction. 🌟 As always PIPs Over Profits 💰 I love y'all ✌🏾
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MommaPreneur
1
XAUUSD: Lows not yet seen, continue to sell at high levelsYesterday, the US dollar index began to rise after Powell's speech, reaching 100.9, and US bond yields also rebounded collectively. Affected by the rise of the US dollar and US bond yields, as well as the influx of a large amount of profit-taking funds into the Chinese stock market, gold has continued to fall recently, and yesterday's lowest point reached 2624 US dollars. So is this the low point? I think gold is currently in a downward trend and has not yet formed a bottom pattern. It will only rebound but not reverse. From the trend in the hourly chart, we can see that the gold price is running along the downward trend channel. Now it is again above the trend channel of 2645, so I think the possibility of a breakthrough is not great, so I am going to short around 2645.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
XAUUSD: Analysis and strategy before the Fed rate decisionYesterday's view on gold was still very accurate. In the article, I clearly stated that there would be a correction before the Fed's interest rate decision, and the window period was after the data was released. As expected, under the premise of multiple negative data and a large number of long orders being profited, the gold price fell all the way to 2560, which also gave us the opportunity to close the short positions we held last week. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced today. My prediction for a rate cut is 25 basis points. The possibility of 50 basis points is not high in my opinion, but it has to be guarded against. In the context of the upcoming announcement of the interest rate cut, today's trading strategy must be based on the number of basis points of interest rate cuts to formulate a trading plan, so I give the following suggestions for your reference: In the case of a 25 basis point interest rate cut: I personally think that the gold price will rise first and then fall. First of all, the interest rate cut is definitely good for gold, but because of the continuous interest rate cut remarks for a month, the gold price has now reached a historical high of 2590, and has digested the impact of the interest rate cut in advance. The rise in gold prices from 2530-2590 is largely due to some investors' belief that the Fed will be concerned about employment issues, which greatly increases the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut. Therefore, once the announced value does not meet expectations, the price of gold will inevitably fall. In the case of a 50 basis point rate cut: There is no doubt that gold prices will continue to rise and set a new high again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
Gold on the Edge: Rising Wedge Breakdown or Support Bounce?4-Hour Chart: Consolidation Below All-Time High: After reaching the all-time high, the price is consolidating in a rising wedge pattern. This formation reflects indecision in the market, but the overall structure suggests potential for a downward move. Key Levels: 4H LQZ TP1 (2,550.342): A strong support level and a possible target for short positions if the price drops. 4H LQZ TP2 (2,522.172): The second support level, likely to attract buyers if tested. Strategy: If the price breaks down from the rising wedge and fails to hold support at 2,550.342, a move toward 2,522.172 could be expected. A reversal could occur at either of these liquidity zones. 1-Hour Chart: Descending Channel (near support): The price is trending lower after failing to break above the all-time high. The descending channel is not steep, suggesting mild bearish pressure. Support Levels: 1H LQZ (2,542.481): Immediate support for the current descending structure. 4H LQZ (2,522.172): Deeper support, aligned with the broader market structure, giving more room for a potential pullback. Strategy: A break below the 1H LQZ could accelerate the sell-off, targeting the 4H LQZ. Watch for consolidation or buying pressure at these levels, as they are potential reversal points. 15-Minute Chart: Rising Wedge: The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal, suggesting potential weakness in the uptrend. The price has made lower highs while testing a crucial support zone. Key Levels: All-Time High (2,589.652): The price tested this region but has failed to sustain momentum above it. This could indicate a major resistance level. 1H LQZ (2,542.481): The first level of significant support, serving as a take-profit target (TP1) for short positions. If the price breaks below, it could accelerate toward this level. 4H LQZ (2,522.172): The next key support zone (TP2), which could act as a strong buying area if the price corrects further. Strategy: Watch for a potential breakdown from the rising wedge. A confirmed break below the wedge and support levels could indicate a stronger move downward toward 1H LQZ or 4H LQZ. Overall Summary: Bearish Bias: Across all time frames, the rising wedge formation points to potential bearish pressure, especially with failure to break above the all-time high. Key Levels: The all-time high (2,589.652) remains the major resistance. Watch for reactions around 1H LQZ (2,542.481) and 4H LQZ (2,522.172) for potential support and buying opportunities. Breakout or Breakdown: If the price breaks below the wedge patterns on the 15-minute and 4-hour charts, further downside toward the liquidity zones is likely. However, a rebound could signal renewed bullish momentum. This setup is perfect for monitoring entry points based on key support/resistance levels and the wedge formations' breakdown potential.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MommaPreneur
XAUUSD: Sell at 2505-2510 resistance zone, target 2490-2480Yesterday was Labor Day in the United States. The amplitude of gold was very small and we did not participate in any transactions. Today the market is back on track and it is time to open our transactions! Gold fundamentals: Tensions in the Middle East have escalated again, and risk aversion has rekindled. Due to the recent positive economic data, the U.S. dollar index continues to rebound, and the ISM manufacturing PMI for August to be released today is expected to rise slightly to 47.5 from 46.8 in July, indicating that the manufacturing industry is recovering moderately, which will continue to support the U.S. dollar. rebound, gold falls. In addition, the market expects that the United States will create 163,000 new jobs in August and the unemployment rate is also expected to rise to 4.2%. This reflects strong economic fundamentals and further boosts the dollar. Gold technical aspect: Judging from the Fibonacci retracement of the decline between the highest point of 2528 and the lowest point of 2490, 2505 is 0.618 and 2510 is 0.5, so this range is the resistance to gold's rebound. Trading strategy: Since the direction is clear now and 2505-2510 is the resistance area, we can sell in this range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
XAUUSD: Wait for a rebound and choose to sell at a high levelLast Friday, as the performance of the US PCE data did not support the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point interest rate cut, the US dollar index rebounded and gold investors took profits, which caused the gold price to fall directly below the 2,500 round number mark. Considering that the U.S. market is closed today, the market fluctuations will not be too large, so we mainly do range-based sell-high and buy-low transactions. Judging from the Fibonacci retracement indicator of this decline, the upper resistance is mainly in the 2504-2510 area. If the level is broken here, the gold price will return to the high area again and continue to try to set a new high, but this may be difficult today. Appear. The lower support is mainly in the early intensive support area 2470-2480. So my strategy today is to sell high and buy low in this area. The gold price is now around 2500 points. If it continues to rise to the 2504-2510 area later, I will choose to sell first. Today is not a major trading day because the U.S. market is closed. There will be multiple major data release days in the next few days this week. This is the key point. Everyone can relax today. We will trade if we have the opportunity. If there is no opportunity, we will not trade. Resistance area: 2504-2510 Support area: 2480-2470
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
XAUUSD: Today I waited until 2530 before tradingAs can be seen from the figure, my two trend prediction lines were drawn very accurately. It is a pity that we were in the 2500-2505 buying range, and the two buying orders were all profit-taking before the market closed. The best performance of these two rises was in the Asian session of the next day. During that period, I was still sleeping in Europe, which was quite regrettable. But think about it the other way around. You should be content if you can make money, because you can't make money in all trends. It's always better to make money than to lose money, isn't it? Yesterday before I took a break, I said that if the historical high cannot be refreshed today, then gold may start to fall. This high point has been attacked many times. After many unsuccessful attacks, the bullish force will weaken. Therefore, whether this attack can be refreshed is a key point. Please keep an eye on it. How should I trade today? To be honest, I am not sure for the time being, because the current position is in the middle of support and resistance. If I continue to be bullish, it is too far away from the lower support. I feel that there is a risk. If I am bearish, it is still more than ten dollars away from the upper resistance, which is also risky. Therefore, I think it is better to wait and see. Today, three US data will be released. When the data comes out, I think the direction of the market will be much clearer. Trading strategy: If it can break through the historical high today, I think it can chase the rise, with a target of 2550-2570 If it encounters resistance near 2530 today, you can consider selling at a high level, with a target of 2505-2500
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AntonyTP