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XAU/USD tries to bypass 1,323.00 againXAU/USD tries to bypass 1,323.00 again Contrary to expectations, the exchange rate failed to sneak below the combined support formed by the lower trend-line of a junior ascending channel and the 200-hour SMA. In other words, bulls made one more, though unsuccessful, attempt to push the bullion through the upper boundary of a four-month long dominant descending channel. In larger perspective, the pair is still expected to make a fully-fledged rebound from this boundary even though the current horizontal movement might last for another two weeks because of support provided by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,311.48. On hourly chart a combination of the weekly PP, the 55- and 100-hour SMAs most probably will prevent the pair from falling below the 1,316.00 mark during this trading session. However, this scenario might be altered due to fundamentals, such as the US PPI data release.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD fails to break below 55-hour SMA XAU/USD fails to break below 55-hour SMA In result of the previous trading session the exchange rate slipped to the lower trend-line of a junior ascending channel, as expected. Although the pattern has been broken, the further plunge still seems unlikely, as the southern side is reliably covered by a combination of the updated weekly PP at 1,316.13 and the 55- and 100-hour SMAs. For this reason, the pair is likely to make one more attempt to reach the upper boundary of a dominant five-month long descending channel. Due to absence of any significant data releases the rate might spend most of this week fluctuating between the above trend-line from the north and technical indicators from the south. In larger perspective, bears are projected to take the lead for notable amount of time.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD tests dominant channel downXAU/USD tests dominant channel down In result of the surge that was triggered by two disappointing macroeconomic data releases as well as the rising 55- and 100-hour SMAs the price of yellow metal ended up at the 1,273.00 mark. The further advance seems unlikely, as the exchange rate faces resistance formed by the monthly PP and the upper trend-line of a four-month long dominant descending channel that supposedly started to transform into rising wedge formation. However, the overall market sentiment as well as allocation of pending orders suggest that rise of the bullion might continue. In case the pair crosses the above barriers, it will be free to climb up to the 1,287.15 level, which represents location of the 100-day SMA.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD heads towards weekly R1XAU/USD heads towards weekly R1 In result of the previous trading session, the pair made a breakout from rising wedge pattern that formed at the intersection of two junior ascending channels. Surprisingly, but traders did not show much interest to release of the American housing data or successful vote in the House. Accordingly, the exchange rate continues to slowly climb towards the weekly R1 located at the 1,266.05 level. A major recovery of the buck even in case of adoption of tax bill by the Senate looks doubtful, as the southern side is reliably covered by the monthly S1, the 55- and 100-hour SMAs plus the lower boundary of one of the above channels. On the other hand, a serious appreciation of the bullion is also uncertain due to resistance posed the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,268.00.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
1
XAU/USD tests upper boundary of senior channelXAU/USD tests upper boundary of senior channel During the last trading session the exchange rate expectedly tried to break through the upper boundary of a senior descending channel. In the middle of the day it even managed to reach the alleged resistance zone near 1,259.00 but then was forced to retreat. Today these attempts are expected to resume due to continuous pressure exercised by the 55 SMA. However, the growing optimist related to adoption of tax bill by the Congress is likely to result in ultimate appreciation of the buck. On the other hand, an effect from this fundamental event might not be especially sharp due to existence of a strong support zone located around the 1,254.00 mark that is backed up by the 200-hour SMA.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD soars to 1,259.00XAU/USD soars to 1,259.00 After forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern and bouncing off from the weekly S2 at 1,235.93 the yellow metal managed to advance by 1.23% against the buck. In daily perspective the surge the is expected to last until the rate makes a new rebound either from the 1,263.63 resistance level or from a combination of the 200-day SMA and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,268.00. However, through the day the soar is likely to be stopped by release of information on the American Core Retail Sales. In this sense, there is a need to take into account the resistance zone formed between the 1,259.00 and 1,259.32 marks and support zone located between the 1,254.00 and 1,253.62 levels, which are likely to squeeze the pair for some time.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD tries to break below monthly S2XAU/USD tries to break below monthly S2 Previous trading session the exchange rate mostly spent in a horizontal movement between the monthly S2 from the bottom and the upper boundary of a medium-term descending channel from the top. As on daily chart the pair continues to fluctuate in a junior channel down, a little recovery of the yellow metal is expected to happen. On the other hand, on hourly chart the upward movement is likely to be neutralized by the falling 55- and 100-hour SMAs as well as the weekly PP and the monthly S1 located around them. Hence, in nearest perspective the rate most probably will continue moving in southern direction. Such scenario is supported by positive expectations of the upcoming adoption of the tax reform as well as interest rate hike.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
2
XAU/USD ready to test strength of dominant patternXAU/USD ready to test strength of dominant pattern In essence, the buck is actively appreciating against the gold the third day in a row. A short-term bullish movement towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,268.00 was the only exception and was attributed to beginning of drills on the Korean peninsula. But, in general, the pair is driven by optimism over the progress of tax bill. Accordingly, today the rate is expected to continue heading downwards until it makes a rebound from the bottom boundary of a currently active two-month long descending channel near 1,255.00. However, the above market sentiment has a good chance to push the rate even more down. If this breakout happens and the pair gains a foothold below the weekly S2, this might be a sign of existence of another unconfirmed four-month long descending channel.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD trades near upper boundary of dominant channelXAU/USD trades near upper boundary of dominant channel In full accordance with expectations, in first half of the previous trading session the buck continued to trade against the gold in a limbo between the 1,270.50 and 1,276.70 marks that were located just above the lower trend-line of a large dominant ascending channel. However, the subsequent admission of guilt by General Flynn led to 0.76% rise in demand for safe haven metal just in one hour. But as it was an impulse reaction, a combination of the 100- and 200-hour SMAs managed to neutralize the surge. Since there are no impactful news planned for today, the rate is likely to spend this trading day between the 55-hour SMA at 1,279.00 and the above bottom boundary located near 1,270.00. In larger perspective, bulls are expected to take the lead once again, although the pair might prolong consolidation for the next couple of days.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD forms minor symmetrical triangleXAU/USD forms minor symmetrical triangle The second half of previous trading session the exchange rate spent in horizontal movement. A release of better than expected US consumer sentiment data pushed it to the bottom, while another launch of ICBM by North Korea gave a reason to continue the surge. Technically, the southern side was protected by the 55- and 100-hour SMAs that are lying along the lower support line of the rising wedge formation, while the northern side contained the weekly and monthly R1. Although the pair has formed a minor symmetrical triangle, the pair is still expected to make a breakout to top. This assumption is based on market sentiment, which is 52% bullish as well as dominance of the larger pattern. However, there is a need to notice that release of the US Prelim GDP can lead to short-term strengthening of the buck.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD heads towards 1,293.00 againXAU/USD heads towards 1,293.00 again During the previous trading session the exchange rate indeed formed and made a breakout from junior symmetrical triangle pattern. Fortunately, a combined support formed by the 100-hour SMA and the updated weekly PP at 1,286.16 managed to turnaround the pair. In short run, the surge of the yellow metal once again is likely to be halted near the 1,293.00 and 1,295.00 resistance levels, which might lead to formation of a minor ascending triangle. But in larger perspective the pair is projected to reach the upper boundary of a medium-term ascending channel near the 1,300-1,302.00 marks. In support of this assumption, 55% of traders remain bullish on the given pair. Moreover, since that area is backed up by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level there is little chance that the pair will manage to breakout to the top.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD relentlessly tries to reach monthly R1 at 1,298.00XAU/USD relentlessly tries to reach monthly R1 at 1,298.00 Despite release of better than expected American housing data the bullish pressure prevailed. To certain extent, the surge was supported by a combination of the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs in conjunction with the monthly PP. However, the fact that the pair managed to break through the upper boundary of medium-term ascending channel and practically reach the monthly R1 at 1,298.01 suggests that traders were also concerned about discussion and vote on the new tax reform plan. At the moment, it is too early speak about dissolution of the above pattern, as it is possible to simply adjust its boundaries. In that case, the exchange rate is expected to start moving in the opposite direction and trying to reach the weekly PP at 1,287.22, which soon will become additionally strengthened by the rising 55-hour SMA.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690
XAU/USD trades below moving averages XAU/USD trades below moving averages Using support provided by the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs together with the monthly PP, the exchange rate managed to climb to the weekly R1 located at 1,287.92. In other words the pair has practically managed to form the third reaction high of a four-week long ascending channel. However, a release of widely expected American data created a momentum that enabled bears to return the rate back to the weekly PP at 1,277.10. Hence, all four abovementioned support levels turned into resistance. As they are all concentrated around the 1,279.00 mark, it is unlikely that bulls will manage to push the pair through them without new strong upside momentum. There is a need to notice that the similar situation has already happened in beginning of the week when the gold failed to climb upstairs after a solid strengthening of the buck.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn890690