Xauusd4h
Has gold risen and fall peaked?Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that it is mainly long for pullbacks and short for rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus on the 2950-2954 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the 2918-2910 line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds around 2950-2953 and shorts two-tenths of positions in batches, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2935-2920, break the position and look at the 2915 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Gold pulls back around 2913-2916 and goes long in batches of two-tenths of positions, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2920-2930, break the position and look at the 2940 line;
Will gold continue to rise after rising and then falling?Technical analysis of gold: Gold has been very strong recently, but I didn't expect it to be so strong. The European session directly set a new record high again. At the daily level, after the sharp drop last Friday, gold did not continue its downward trend this week. In the evening, we still focus on the support of the short-term moving average MA5 and MA10. If gold wants to continue to decline today, these two supports are the key. At present, the short-term moving average MA5 is near 2915, and MA10 is near 2900. At present, the overall performance of the market is strong. Another breakthrough after the shock adjustment will further increase the price of gold, and this time it will be aligned with the target of 3,000 points. It is expected to return to this week. Please wait and see!
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly going long on callbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the 2946-2950 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2905-2900 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2946-2950, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, and look at 2910 if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2906-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, and look at 2940 if it breaks;
Gold operation strategy: long positions are strong but don’t chaFrom the current 4-hour trend, the support below is around 2905-2908, and the short-term pressure above is around 2940-43. The overall rhythm of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged by relying on this range. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back on the 2914-2916 line, cover long positions when it falls back on the 2905 line, stop loss at 2894, and target the 2940-2945 line; continue to hold if the position is broken!
Gold bulls rebound as expectedJudging from the current gold trend, the lower support is around 2875-85, and the upper pressure is around 2908-13. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles is maintained. For the middle position, watch more and do less, follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold will go long if it steps back on the 2877-2885 line, cover long positions if it steps back on the 2868-70 line, stop loss 2862, and target the 2910-2915 line; continue to hold if the position is broken!
Can gold break through the high-level fluctuations?Gold technical analysis: Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated and rebounded all the way. Today's early trading is close to the historical high of 2940 again. So can it successfully break through 2940 and set a new historical high again? The more times a position is tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Therefore, the probability of gold prices reaching a new high is very high.
At present, the support below is mainly in the 2915-2910 area. In addition, we also know that last year’s market also tested retracements near consecutive historical highs. Then there was a retracement near 2940 on Friday last week. Today’s 2940 retracement. I don’t know if 2940 will continue to suppress the retracement in the future. But you can still try a short-term short near 2940. After all, the cost-effectiveness of the retreat here is very high. The defense is very small. The short-term retreat is considerable. Of course, this is an aggressive approach. If you are prudent, wait for the gold price to rise and then participate in the retreat. At present, the author only sees the pressure of 2955. Therefore, if it hits the 2955 line, you can do a good job of risk control and participate in the retreat.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2905-2900 first-line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2906-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
XAUUSD Breakout or Pullback? Planning for My Next Move!👀 👉 XAUUSD is currently moving sideways within a range. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if it breaks above the range high or pulls back to a key support level. In the video, we discuss how price action might develop and what to watch for when identifying trade opportunities. Here, I’m sharing my trading plan and my approach to analyzing price action, market structure, and trends to spot potential setups. 🚨 Not financial advice.
XAUUSD: A new Bias On Gold, What you all think?Dear Traders,
Our last two Gold Setups did not work out in our favour, and that is why we had to rethink about our bias. Now we expect a continuous growth in gold prices as we expected changes in government policies.
Show support by liking and commenting our ideas that will means a lot to us!
Thank you
Gold is still under strong pressure at high levels, so don’t chaThe four-hour chart is volatile but there are still two strong pressures above. The hourly chart is under pressure and needs to be repaired. From the psychological level of retail investors and their normal thinking, after yesterday's Jedi counterattack, the entire network must be bullish today. Some are waiting for more pullbacks, but from this kind of operation, one is that it will go directly up if the pullback does not reach the ideal position, and the other is that if the pullback occurs, it will definitely be a pit. Therefore, from a strategic point of view, it is safer to go short first and then long!
The second highest pressure is around 2928-30, defense is 2935, the target is 2910-05! Long orders pay attention to the support of 2905!
Gold continues to break new highs, and long positions remain theJudging from the current 4-hour gold trend, gold is currently fluctuating above the 2920 line, but the bulls have been in a strong position. We pay attention to the 2905 line support below and continue to look for new highs above. After all, the bulls are still the dominant trend. In terms of operations, we continue to focus on looking for opportunities to go long when the price falls back.
Gold falls back to the 2906-13 line and goes long, stop loss at 2898, target at 2930-2935 line; continue to hold if it breaks!
How long can the gold bull run last?Since the opening of the gold price in the morning, the gold price has almost been rising continuously during the day, without too much retracement, and every K-line showing a negative trend is an opportunity to go long! During this period, we can't wait for a large retracement. Gold is strong and the trend is difficult to change. It is impossible to go short, and the next step will continue to maintain a bullish mindset. The top K-line of the gold price in the evening has a negative trend. Gold has entered a short-term adjustment market. It is better to wait for a decline! The first support below is 2880. If the gold price falls to 2880 in the evening, continue to go long!
On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2910-2912 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2878-2880 line of support.
How long can the gold bull market last?Since the beginning of the gold price in the morning, the gold price has nearly been climbing consistently throughout the day, with no retracement, and any K-line exhibiting a negative trend is a chance to go long! During this time, we cannot afford to wait for a significant retracement. Gold is strong, and this tendency is tough to reverse. It is impossible to go short, and the next stage will be to retain an optimistic outlook. The upper K-line of the gold price in the evening shows a downward tendency. Gold has entered the short-term adjustment market. It's preferable to wait for a decrease! The first support number is 2880. If the gold price falls to 2880 in the evening, keep going long!
Overall, the current short-term gold trading strategy is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The upper side's short-term resistance line is 2910-2912, while the lower side's short-term support line is 2878-2880.
The market will only surge higher.Gold has been rising all the way. To be honest, it is easy to panic. Most people in the market chase the rise and not the fall. If the dealer sells, retail investors will still take over.
At this time, our transactions, whether long or short, need to bring strict stop loss, so that your funds will not be burned in the market.
Investment strategy: Gold 2905 short, stop loss 2910, target 2870
Xauusd weekly chart From a technical perspective, the overnight bounce and the subsequent move up on Friday validates the near-term positive outlook for the Gold price. That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is flashing slightly overbought conditions on the day chart and warrants some caution for bullish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation before positioning for an extension of the recent well-established uptrend from the December monthly trough.
XAU/USD 07 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,882.310.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,882.310
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 06 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 05 February 2025
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 05 February 2025.
As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action.
Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart :
XAU/USD 05 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action.
Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Is XAUUSD Gold Overextended? Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we take a detailed look at XAUUSD (Gold). Although the higher timeframe shows a bullish trend, the price is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour chart, there’s a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break above the current high, followed by a retest and rejection, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
XAUUSD/GOLD Indecision & Decisive Trading (Short Term)Previously suggested price action worked exactly, achieved falling target 2740 and bounced back to 2765/2766 from 2740/2733 marked support exactly.
Based on fundamental event, investors are adopting cautious approach & we are watching this as indecisiveness on decisive market where bulls have edge on bears.
We are expecting a false breakout/stoploss hunting or liquidity grab kind of scenario developing that is keeping bulls and bears to think what to do on intraday terms however on short term may give good buying opportunity.
Still our ultimate goal is around 2782/2790+.
XAU/USD 30 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27/01/2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 January 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 27 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis you will note a bullish iBOS marked in red. I have marked this is red as price did not pull back deep enough for me a validate, therefore, on this occasion I will apply my discretion.
Price then continued bullish, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently in discount of 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
Alternative scenario: As H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: