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The Calm Before the Storm: A Waterfall-like Decline is Coming... Today is Thursday, and with key data releases scheduled for New York trading hours and tomorrow’s much-anticipated NFP and unemployment figures, the market is far from quiet. My advice for today is to focus on selling, despite the possibility of some upward movement. However, from a daily chart perspective, the likelihood of a downturn is much stronger. The 5-day moving average (MA5) has already turned downward, and it’s just a matter of time before the bearish trend takes hold. When it does, this won’t be just a simple correction like we saw last time. I’m predicting a waterfall-like decline. Here’s my anticipated price action: a drop to around 2600, followed by a short rebound to approximately 2630, and finally, a deeper plunge to the 2570 region.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Waves
1
XAUUSD: NFP data and trading strategies for the next two weeks Yesterday's gold movement largely aligned with expectations, with relatively limited fluctuations. However, today is unlikely to be as calm, as the market now faces two sharply contrasting scenarios: If the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and unemployment data are bullish for gold, and the price remains within its current range, we could see a rebound, testing or even breaking the previous high before retreating to current levels. Alternatively, before or shortly after the data release, gold may retest the resistance near its previous high (or consolidate below the 2668 level) and then begin a significant decline, potentially forming a double-top pattern (with a break below 2620). Disregarding the data, from a technical standpoint, the daily chart (D1) shows that gold is at a critical juncture. Recent price movements have hovered near key support levels, with some indicators clearly signaling weakness. A decisive move is imminent. Scenario 1: Gold consolidates near support, gathering momentum and bolstering bullish sentiment, leading to a second upward push—similar to the rally initiated around the 2500 level. If the market demonstrates strength, prices could challenge the 2700-2710 zone, followed by a weekly close showing weakness. A significant pullback of no less than $100 could then ensue. Scenario 2: Bullish momentum fades, and the bears start to take control. A double-top formation would likely emerge, targeting the 2625-2611 support zone. If bulls fail to hold these levels, the next bearish targets would be in the 2590-2570 region. I hope this analysis provides valuable insight for your upcoming trades. Wishing you all the best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
XAUUSD: The bears are about to strike back In the past few days, I lost my grandmother, and it has been a deeply sad time. After attending her funeral today, I found myself reflecting on many things. Life is short, and whether we pursue fame or wealth, nothing is as important as the health and happiness of our loved ones. I sincerely hope that everyone here can live a healthy and joyful life, with all your wishes coming true. Turning back to the gold market, after a significant rally, we’ve seen a pullback to test support before another rebound to resistance, followed by another decline. We’re now at a critical turning point. From the 30-minute chart, we can observe a pattern resembling a double top. If it breaks the trendline, a decline to the $2600 level seems inevitable—there’s no need to doubt it. My mid-term target remains $2568-$2490, and I believe we may see this play out sooner than expected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Holding Strong: Why It's Time to Bet on Gold's Decline There isn't much to add—I'm currently stuck in a short position on gold, but I remain convinced that a downturn is imminent. The 4-hour chart shows a clear bearish divergence, and I don’t believe it will break through the $2700 mark easily. As a result, I’m consistently increasing my short positions, waiting for the profit window to open. Trust me, buying in at this level is as foolish as selling below $2610. If you're holding short positions, stay firm. If you're holding long, it might be time to take profits. Greed rarely rewards anyone in the long run in the markets.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Waves
2
XAUUSD: How long can the bull market sustain its momentum? Amid escalating geopolitical tensions and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts, gold has been on a persistent upward trajectory. After breaking through the key 2600 level, it is now approaching the 2700 mark. Over the past couple of days, it has consolidated above 2650, leaving short positions severely pressured. While bulls celebrate, bears are licking their wounds. I believe that after enduring this challenging phase, bears will stage a strong, retaliatory comeback. Thus, the best strategy now is patience. Wait for the right moment—if you’ve missed the bull's rally, don’t miss the bear’s counterattack.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
XAUUSD: What Should You Do If Your Short Position Is Trapped? Recently, I've maintained a short position in gold, admittedly missing out on the recent upward momentum. However, at the current levels, I have no intention of chasing the rally. Instead, I will continue to hold my bearish outlook, waiting for a pullback to the 2580-2550 zone. Chasing the price at this stage poses unnecessary risks, as technical indicators suggest the potential for a retracement. The focus remains on capturing profits as the price corrects, reaffirming my commitment to the short strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Target Set Below 2550 Gold's upward trend has noticeably slowed as it approaches the 2630 level, which is likely to act as a new resistance zone. Before confirming any further upside potential, it is crucial to see a retest of the 2600 support level. Until this support is validated, the recommended strategy is to focus on high-level sell trades. If the 2600 support is confirmed, it may present a buying opportunity. However, if the support is breached, selling into any rebound should continue to be the dominant strategy, with long positions only used as a secondary approach. In the medium term, I maintain a bearish bias, with downside targets in the 2530-2500 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Gold Surges Above 2600—Prepare for a Potential Reversal After enjoying a pleasant weekend, we’re back to the action-packed market. Gold unexpectedly broke through 2600, reaching a high of 2631 today. Unfortunately, our short positions from Friday were caught in a trap. However, there's no need to worry—trust me, a significant drop is inevitable, and it might be more dramatic than we anticipate. Currently, the 15-minute chart indicates a potential for a small rebound, while the 2-hour chart signals bearish momentum. Based on this setup, it's likely that a head and shoulders pattern could form. Our strategy should be to increase our short positions above 2620 and patiently wait for the decline to unfold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Waves
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 XAUUSD Gold has broken its market structure to the downside. On the daily and 4-hour charts, we observe a pullback into equilibrium, presenting a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we discuss market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also outline a possible trade setup if the price moves as outlined in the video. Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
FX:XAUUSD
by tradingwithanthony
Gold Nearing Peak: Time to Short Ahead of Expected Pullback Gold has reached a high level, and technical indicators are starting to show signs of weakening. I anticipate that we are about to see the final short-term push upward, followed by a return to a downward consolidation trend. Prices are expected to drop below 2550. The current trading strategy is to initiate short positions, gradually adding more as the price fluctuates, and holding until the downward trend begins.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal