XAUUSD:11/04/2024 UPDATEDear Traders,
Gold have been consolidating since yesterday after the major news came out, however, in our view we think that gold has been recovering after the yesterday's news. Two areas that has huge potential first is entering with the current price movement. Or wait for the price to drop $2300 level and buy at the region targeting 1000 pips.
Xauusd4h
The CPI value has a 55% chance of being negative for goldAmid the unstable geopolitical situation, gold has been an emergency haven. On Monday and Tuesday, it maintained its rising pace last week and continued to reach new highs. Moreover, under the encouragement of central bank buying, it is difficult to change the temporary strength. Therefore, the trend of gold is relatively obvious, which is bullish. On Wednesday today, the market will focus on the March CPI data and the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting to be released by the Federal Reserve. Judging from the recent data released by the Federal Reserve, it is very positive for the US dollar and negative for gold. The specific data performance will depend on the actual data release.
According to the current performance on Wednesday, the daily cycle unilateral moving average support points are at 2328 and 2290. Standard trading has to wait until it falls back to 2328 to go long. But this possibility is relatively small, maintaining the strength of the Asian and European markets. Tuesday's low of 2338 has not broken, let alone testing 2328. Therefore, keep the support near 2338 for long positions during the day. Since the current price of gold is too high, don’t be overly optimistic even if it is bullish. If the upper level does not break through 2365, look at this target. After breaking through 2365, we will see the room for continued big gains. The US CPI data is the focus of the day. According to recent US data performance, it is more likely to be bullish for the US dollar and bearish for gold. If it is negative, focus on gains and losses at 2328 points. After breaking the level, gold will not be so strong.
The CPI value has a 55% chance of being negative for gold.Amid the unstable geopolitical situation, gold has been an emergency haven. On Monday and Tuesday, it maintained its rising pace last week and continued to reach new highs. Moreover, under the encouragement of central bank buying, it is difficult to change the temporary strength. Therefore, the trend of gold is relatively obvious, which is bullish. On Wednesday today, the market will focus on the March CPI data and the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting to be released by the Federal Reserve. Judging from the recent data released by the Federal Reserve, it is very positive for the US dollar and negative for gold. The specific data performance will depend on the actual data release.
According to the current performance on Wednesday, the daily cycle unilateral moving average support points are at 2328 and 2290. Standard trading has to wait until it falls back to 2328 to go long. But this possibility is relatively small, maintaining the strength of the Asian and European markets. Tuesday's low of 2338 has not broken, let alone testing 2328. Therefore, keep the support near 2338 for long positions during the day. Since the current price of gold is too high, don’t be overly optimistic even if it is bullish. If the upper level does not break through 2365, look at this target. After breaking through 2365, we will see the room for continued big gains. The US CPI data is the focus of the day. According to recent US data performance, it is more likely to be bullish for the US dollar and bearish for gold. If it is negative, focus on gains and losses at 2328 points. After breaking the level, gold will not be so strong.
XAUUSD - Increased dizziness, no signs of cooling downNews:
World gold rate today
World gold charges persevered to growth with spot gold growing through 15.1 USD to 2,352.five USD/ounce. Gold futures final traded at 2,372.four USD/ounce, up 14 USD in comparison to the day past morning.
The world`s yellow steel prolonged its upward momentum way to safe-haven shopping for because of issues associated with conflicts. Meanwhile, the marketplace is awaiting the mins of the United States Federal Reserve's (Fed) coverage assembly and the country's inflation statistics to be launched on Wednesday to discover new clues approximately the hobby charge path. destiny US productivity. The purchaser rate index (CPI) in March is forecast to growth through 3.four% over the identical length final year. Core CPI (except for risky meals and electricity charges), extended 3.7% annually.
Experts say that CPI statistics will probably create volatility withinside the gold marketplace. Blue Line Futures leader strategist Phillip Streible stated that technical shopping for momentum will hold except CPI statistics seems to be a whole lot warmer than expected. This professional predicts that a decrease inflation file ought to convey gold to 2,four hundred USD/ounce.
Bullion is visible as a hedge in opposition to inflation and geopolitical uncertainties, however better hobby costs have a tendency to lessen its appeal. However, recently, this valuable metallic has disregarded those traditional "headwinds" and constantly made breakthroughs. CME Group information suggests that the marketplace is pricing in a 53% danger that the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) will pivot its coverage in June.
According to the World Gold Council, the valuable metallic`s present day rally is underpinned with the aid of using developing geopolitical chance concerns, consistent principal financial institution shopping for and consistent call for for jewelry. , bars and coins.
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World Gold Price
- With fluctuations from vital monetary occasions along with hobby charge decisions, CPI and statements from relevant financial institution officials, international gold fees can vary significantly.
- Normally, gold fees have a tendency to growth whilst there are worries approximately inflation or uncertainty approximately the worldwide monetary situation, and conversely, lower whilst there are fantastic indicators approximately monetary increase and economic stability. .
XAUUSD Increased intensity, many surprising factorsGOLD is presently growing precisely as I expected. Anyone who watched yesterday`s Tiktok Video that I published overdue will apprehend why I nonetheless went up whilst there had been mild Gold Decreases from 15>20 in rate.
>Gold rate maintains to boom to the 234x area
At this rate, if anybody nonetheless holds the Buy Gold Order, they need to pull the SL Positive and take 1/2 profit. Today Continue watching for extra New reactions to go into Buy.
>A Canh Session Gold Buy GOLD round 2334>2338
SL 2333
TP 2346>235x
>Temporary Selling Rhythm I have not visible any symptoms and symptoms of a reversal yet, so do not sell. If there may be any information, I will replace extra 👌❤️❤️
-------------NEWS------------
Today`s gold rate withinside the international improved dramatically withinside the context of China, Türkiye, India, Kazakhstan and a few Eastern European nations shopping for this treasured metallic to boom forex reserves.
This element makes speculators anticipate gold charges to boom. Accordingly, they improved their shopping for role via way of means of 20,493 contracts, to 178,213 contracts.
Bart Melek - commodity analyst at TD Securities, stated that vital financial institution shopping for and geopolitical tensions are elements helping international gold charges.
Meanwhile, analysts warn that when greater than a 12 months when you consider that 3 banks withinside the US collapsed, the operations of many banks are nevertheless broken because of trouble in convalescing the mortgage amount.
Perhaps this facts has stimulated monetary traders to boom the want to refuge capital in treasured metals.
Dollar and gold rose in tandem as Fed rate cut bets eased againHopes for an early Fed price reduce had been dashed once more on Monday after upbeat records became launched from the US. The ISM production PMI rose greater than predicted in March, mountain climbing above 50 into enlargement territory for the primary time considering September 2022. Furthermore, the fees paid index additionally rose, accomplishing its maximum stage considering September 7, 2022, in a brand new signal that inflationary pressures are not there. absolutely disappeared.
The robust PMI comes warm at the heels of Friday`s tame center PCE print and Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish comments. While CPI and PCE records preserve to aid the view that inflation usual stays on a downward trajectory, albeit an an increasing number of shallow one, different signs underscore the Fed's warning approximately the outlook price.
Then the price reduce in early June started to appearance doubtful, and the percentages of a 25 foundation factor Fed price reduce fell to approximately 60%. More importantly, buyers are actually pricing in a smaller reduce for all of 2024 than what the contemporary FOMC dot plot projected only a few weeks ago.
Profited 17K from short gold, and continue to short goldToday’s gold trading situation is as follows:
1.Xauusd: @2256-2258 Sell, SL:2266, profit and loss: -4000
2.Xauusd: @2263-2265 Sell, TP:2255 Profit and loss: +5532
3.Xauusd: @2273-2275 Sell, TP:2255 Profit and loss: +7184
4.Xauusd: @2276-2278 Sell, TP:2255 Profit and loss: +8520
In gold trading today, although one of them touched SL: 2266 resulting in a loss of 4K, overall, I achieved a good result of 17K profit in today's gold trading. If you follow my trading strategy, I believe you will also make very good profits.
At present, gold has reached its highest level near 2277 as expected, but then fell back to around 2251, giving up all the gains. According to the current gold structure, this position is expected to become a phased peak. Therefore, in our next trading rhythm, it is best not to aggressively pursue long gold above 2260. Secondly, in the 2270-2280 area, we can choose to short gold on highs in batches. I predict that gold will fall to the 2250-2245 area in the short term, maybe even tomorrow.
I share detailed trading ideas and trading strategies every day, hoping to help all my followers continue to make profits in the market! If you are worried about missing trading opportunities, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals, trading strategies, trading lots, and TP and SL in the first time.
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea VideoI posted a gold trade idea previously and wanted to do this video to explain my thought process we can see gold trading up bullish on the 4 hour time frame I'm looking for the 61.8% Fibonacci retrace for an entry. I've adjusted my price swing and entry point specifically in this video. Always this content is for educational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
World gold fees accelerated anticipating essential US inflation At the stop of the buying and selling consultation on March 27, the spot gold settlement expanded 0.5% to 2,189.89 USD/oz. Gold futures contracts introduced 0.6% to 2,212.7 USD/oz.
Core US non-public intake expenditures (PCE) fee index statistics for February might be launched on March 29. This index expanded 0.3% in January 2024.
“We must see whether or not US home inflation is susceptible sufficient to create a clean direction for hobby fee cuts withinside the coming months,” stated Alex Turro, Senior Market Strategist at RJO Futures. ”.
Gold costs hit a report excessive final week after the Fed projected 3 hobby fee cuts in 2024 regardless of current robust inflation figures.
Investors forecast a 70% opportunity that the Fed will decrease hobby fees in June.
Lower hobby fees lessen the possibility value of preserving non-yielding metals.
“Central banks retain to document continual gold purchases, pushed via way of means of a choice to diversify their foreign money reserves,” stated UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. This is offsetting the weakening funding demand, that is extra centered on expectancies of decrease US hobby fees."
Meanwhile, gold imports from India, the world`s 2nd biggest purchaser of valuable metals, are anticipated to say no via way of means of extra than 90% in March in comparison to the preceding month, as banks reduce imports whilst costs have been at report highs. continent impacts demand.
XAUUSD:Short, target around 2134
The gold market fluctuated violently today, and the 2192-2196 we expected has been reached today. At this point, the rise has basically ended, and what is left is a volatile downward trend. The low must be at least around 2134.
So the next idea is very simple. Go short on rallies. If you are patient, you can leave some high short orders and wait for them to be closed near 2134. The rest can be traded in the swing range.
World gold prices also set another recordSell Gold 2174-2180
SL 2185
TP 2166-213x.
Because the price has passed through Zone 2168, this Zone is being sold around the Reaction Zone According to Bien Ma on the H4 Frame. And the old location according to PA
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I assume the 2222 vicinity may be a brief top for the following couple of weeks, so over the week there may be deep downward correction waves, so I will specially view Sell, now no longer Buy, due to the fact the overpowering symptoms and symptoms of Buy are showing. steadily weakening for the beyond week, we are able to look ahead to Entry in those 2 areas:
Entry 1: Sell 2177, SL 2180.50, TP 2130
Entry 2: Sell 2182, SL 2187, TP 2130
All are lengthy Sell perspectives TP 40-50 fee so please be aware that after putting orders, the chance is best approximately 5%, in case your buying and selling quantity turned into critically poor ultimate week otherwise you misplaced all income withinside the beyond weeks, please evaluation your control method. capital, taking unstable capital like that won`t ultimate.
-----NEWS:
Last week, the course of globalwide gold charges persevered to be encouraged via way of means of hobby fee expectations. At the financial coverage assembly held withinside the center of ultimate week, the gold marketplace breathed a sigh of alleviation after americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) introduced new hobby fee expectations. The "dot chart" introduced on the assembly suggests that americaA Central Bank remains anticipated to behavior 3 hobby fee cuts this 12 months despite the fact that inflation stays above the goal stage of 2%. The charge of the yellow steel accelerated hastily after the assembly and changed into driven to a file excessive of 2,220 USD/ounce on March 21.
However, the recuperation did now no longer ultimate lengthy and the gold charge misplaced 50 USD because of robust promoting strain withinside the ultimate buying and selling consultation of the week. However, specialists say that traders have to be affected person due to the fact thinking about the contemporary environment, gold remains being supported.
At this assembly, the Fed remained constructive approximately the fitness of americaA economic system whilst extensively adjusting its GDP forecast. Accordingly, americaA Central Bank now forecasts that the economic system will develop via way of means of 2.1% this 12 months, up from the preceding forecast of 1.4%.
However, Kitco professional Neils Christensen isn't always very assured approximately the Fed`s forecast. Christensen stated that traders have to ask themselves, if they may be assured that americaA economic system could be resilient this 12 months, then why does the Fed want the assist of 3 hobby fee cuts?
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaXAUUSD (Gold) has been on a strong bullish run. However, expect a possible further retracement as the market seeks liquidity and to rebalance. This could present a counter trend sell opportunity along with a buy opportunity at prior support levels (see chart markup in the video). The risk of further downside remains, so prioritize strict risk management. This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Gold prices plummeted as if there had never been a separationAlthough nearly unchanged as compared to the day prior to this morning, the fee of the yellow steel has dropped sharply at some point of the day. On March 21 (US time), gold constantly conquered file highs way to the dovish speech of americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) on the cutting-edge coverage meeting. The valuable steel hit an all-time excessive of $2,222.39 consistent with ounce because the Fed signaled it might keep to reduce hobby prices 3 instances in 2024 notwithstanding growing inflation.
Despite growing inflation, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell nonetheless stated that americaA Central Bank has the capacity to lessen hobby prices with the aid of using 3-quarters of a percent factor with the aid of using the quit of 2024. However, the Fed`s choice will rely on data. The financial system is here. The Fed's stance driven the greenback to its lowest degree in a week, even as additionally inflicting US 10-12 months Treasury yields to fall. Meanwhile, gold costs constantly increased.
Witnessing sturdy shopping for pressure after the meeting, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao with a bit of luck anticipated that spot gold may want to retest the resistance degree at 2,222 USD/ounce. If this threshold is broken, this valuable steel can triumph over tiers withinside the variety of 2,228 - 2,234 USD/ounce.
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GOLD last night had a recovery from the 217x > 218x area
With this price range, everyone should watch for Sell today. As I see, Frame M30 candles are reacting according to Ma20 and 34
>At this rate, Sell Gold is around 2186>2190
SL 2192
TP 2178>216x