Xauusdanalysis
Gold’s Bull Trap? Major Reversal Incoming!As I expected in yesterday's post , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise from the Support zone($2,919-$2,905) and bounced exactly on my hypothesized lines , and I hope you were able to profit.
Gold failed to break the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . And it appears to have created a Bull Trap .
In terms of the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the main wave 5 , and one of the signs for me was the Bull Trap .
I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,919-$2,905) after breaking the Uptrend lines . ( Next targets are also possible ).
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone, we can expect more pumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD:Shocking reversal, short selling has wonAfter the London market started, short gold at 2930-2933, target 2915, in fact, the price only dropped to around 2916, although it did drop a lot, but it was still a bit regrettable that it did not reach TP.
After the notification followed the closing of the order, short gold immediately in the range of 2930-2925. Currently relevant trading opportunities have been published in my analysis circle, remember to keep previewing.
XAUUSD: 21/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 3000, support below 2892
Four-hour resistance 3000, support below 2920
Gold operation suggestions: Gold continued to rise strongly in the Asian and European sessions yesterday. The European session accelerated the breakthrough and stood above the 2950 mark to further create a historical high. However, the gold price was under pressure at the 2954 mark before the US session, and it fell back and fluctuated. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 2930 mark and continued to fall to around 2924, and then began to rebound.
From the current 4-hour analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on the vicinity of 2920, the daily level support is 2892, and the upper pressure is above the 2958-60 line. The overall support continues to rely on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2924near SL:2920
BUY:2892near SL:2888
Keep making money by shorting goldYesterday, I remained firmly committed to shorting gold from start to finish, and as anticipated, gold retraced to my two target zones: 2930-2925 and 2920-2910.
Today, gold has pulled back to around 2916, breaking Wednesday’s low, which has, to some extent, opened up downside potential and strengthened expectations for further downside acceleration toward the 2900-2880 region. Additionally, from a short-term technical perspective, a head and shoulders pattern has formed, further supporting the likelihood of a sharper decline. Therefore, in today’s trading, I continue to favor short positions in gold.
As gold’s price action shifts lower, overhead resistance levels are also adjusting downward. This calls for a more conservative expectation of gold’s rebound potential. For short-term trading, we can consider scaling into short positions in the 2930-2940 zone.
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
This is a 45-minute XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) This is a 45-minute XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) . The chart is based on price action analysis, highlighting key market structures such as liquidity grabs, CHoCH (Change of Character), and entry zones.
Analysis Breakdown:
1. Uptrend and Reversal:
• The chart shows a strong bullish move, forming a higher high.
• A CHoCH (Change of Character) is marked, indicating a potential trend reversal.
2. Entry Zone:
• The price has entered a demand zone (marked as “ENTRY ZONE”).
• This zone is a potential area where buyers may step in.
3. Take Profit Levels:
• TP 1: First target level is 2,944.246.
• TP 2: Second target is around 2,953.911 - 2,953.769.
4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
• A strong bullish move is anticipated.
• The chart highlights a potential 26.294 (0.90%) profit move.
If the price finds support in the entry zone and starts moving up, a buy trade could be profitable. The best strategy would be to wait for further confirmations based on price action.
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 21.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Chart - Intraday Trading Analysis & Signal
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels:
Uptrend in Play: Gold has been respecting an ascending trendline since $2,880, indicating continued bullish sentiment.
Current Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, aligning with multiple trendlines and horizontal support.
Resistance Levels to Watch:
$2,950 - $2,955 (first resistance zone)
$2,970 - $2,975 (major resistance and target)
Breakdown Scenario: If gold fails to hold $2,923, we could see a drop toward $2,905 - $2,898.
📈 Intraday Trading Signal for XAU/USD:
✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (If price holds this support zone and shows bullish reaction)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,950
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,970
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below $2,915
📌 Alternative Scenario (Sell Setup)
❌ Sell Entry: Below $2,922 (If price breaks below support and trendline)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,905
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,898
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Above $2,935
🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entering Trade:
✅ Bullish Rejection from $2,923 - $2,925 for Buy
✅ Bearish Breakdown Below $2,922 for Sell
✅ Volume Surge in Direction of Trade
✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Bullish Gold
⚠ Risk Management & Trade Tips:
Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit.
If price closes below $2,922, invalidate buy trade and switch to short setup.
Monitor news events impacting USD for volatility.
🚀 Trade with discipline, and let the market confirm the move! 🔥
FOLLOW, COMMENT AND LIKE.
XAUUSD // Reversal pattern formation, Strong bearish scenario...📉 XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Triple Top Reversal in Play! 🚨
Gold (XAUUSD) has formed a Triple Top pattern at the peak of the uptrend, signaling a potential trend reversal. The third top acted as a liquidity trap, luring in late buyers before price started to decline aggressively. A confirmed breakdown below the 50 EMA with strong bearish candles indicates that sellers are taking control.
📈 Key Technical Confirmations:
✅ Triple Top Formation – A strong bearish reversal pattern
✅ Liquidity Trap on the Third Top – Fake breakout, followed by sharp selling pressure
✅ 50 EMA Breakdown – Confirms shift in momentum towards the downside
✅ Bearish Momentum Increasing – Price likely to extend losses
📌 Next Downside Targets:
🎯 First Target: 200 EMA
🎯 Key Levels: 2882, 2862, 2842, 2830, 2812, 2774, 2751
Gold is likely to continue its bearish move towards these levels. A break below the 200 EMA will add further confirmation for deeper declines.
🔔 Like, comment, and follow for more expert market insights! 📊🔥
price line up new ATH, strong bulls⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains traction in the Asian session on Thursday, staying near its record high from the previous day. Concerns over a potential global trade war rise as US President Donald Trump threatens new tariffs, boosting demand for the safe-haven metal. Meanwhile, a drop in US Treasury yields further supports gold's appeal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Bulls dominate, uptrend continues to create new ATH, a series of new tariff policies will be announced in the near future
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2956 - $2958 SL $2963
TP1: $2950
TP2: $2940
TP3: $2930
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2926 - $2928 SL $2923 scalping
TP1: $2932
TP2: $2936
TP3: $2942
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2893 - $2895 SL $2887
TP1: $2902
TP2: $2910
TP3: $2920
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold market analysisIn the early trading today, gold suddenly plunged by more than $20 in the 2950 area, and then rebounded quickly, showing the intensity of the game between the long and short sides. At present, the support strength of the 2925-2920 range below is significant. Once this support level is effectively broken, the bears will take the initiative in the market. However, if the gold price is to fall sharply, it needs to successfully overcome the support of the 2915 area where the 10-day moving average is located. Since the current round of market started to rise from 2580, the price has been steadily climbing along the 10-day moving average. Therefore, only by breaking the 10-day moving average can the bears fully control the market rhythm and then test the 2900-2880 range downward (this range is the key watershed of the medium-term trend). Before the 10-day moving average is broken, the gold price will continue to try to rise
repeatedly.
There is strong suppression in the 2950-2955 range, so we can consider buying on rallies, and at the same time, we need to pay attention to the short-term pressure in the 2940-2942 area. If the gold price breaks through a new high again, it is likely to continue to rise and fall. At this time, we should pay close attention to the suppression of the 2965 area and the 2980 area. As for the 3000 mark, there is no condition for a breakthrough this week. Judging from the current situation, the possibility of a sharp rise in the gold price today is low. In terms of short-term operation ideas, it is recommended to focus on rebound shorting, supplemented by retracement and low longs. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2940-2945 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2910-2905 line of support.
Gold falls back to 2910-2912, buy at 2910-2912, stop loss at 2903, target at 2920-2930. For short positions, pay attention to the situation around 2940 and enter the market when the opportunity arises.
GOLD - where is current support? Holds or not??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our analysis and now we have important supporting region from 2932 to 2935-36
Keep close that region because that is our tomorrow most important supporting region.
If market holds that in that case we can see a bounce towards ARH again otherwise keep in mind that below that we will go for CUT N REVERSE on confirmation ..
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold price analysis February 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell as investors booked profits ahead of the release of key US economic data, including PMI and PCE inflation.
The Fed minutes did not change expectations for two rate cuts this year, but maintained a cautious stance. If the economy is strong and inflation is high, the Fed may not be in a hurry to ease policy.
Gold prices may fluctuate in the short term following economic data, but are still supported by concerns about Trump's tax policies and Russia-Ukraine tensions.
Despite the correction, gold remains a safe haven, and dips can be good buying opportunities.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold price is heading towards 2920 and this area is the most important area for gold today. When breaking 2920, pay attention to the 2906 area for BUY signals and just wait for the test beats to sell around 2920 when this area is broken. When gold bounces from 2920, the market continues to want to increase. As long as there is any close above 2928, gold will soon regain the resistance level of 2944. Wish everyone the best trading strategy.
The decline of gold has not yet ended and the bearish trend contUS gold trading focuses on the 2933-2937 line, the watershed is 2940, and the target is 2918-2910! If the strong support reaches 2906-2907, we can wait for another wave of rebound!
In terms of trading, yesterday we saw the European session break the high and rise. In the afternoon, gold rose as expected, and the price accurately reached the target pressure level of 2955. Members’ real orders were long at 2940 and stopped at 2954, winning 14 US dollars. As for why we did not go short at the pressure of 2955, the main reason is that we only follow the trend and look for support to go long, rather than go short against the trend and go short at pressure.
Has gold risen and fall peaked?Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that it is mainly long for pullbacks and short for rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus on the 2950-2954 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the 2918-2910 line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds around 2950-2953 and shorts two-tenths of positions in batches, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2935-2920, break the position and look at the 2915 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Gold pulls back around 2913-2916 and goes long in batches of two-tenths of positions, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2920-2930, break the position and look at the 2940 line;
Gold continues to reach new highs, beware of the risk of market Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplementary. The upper short-term focus is on the 2946-2950 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2928-2930 first-line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2954-2958, stop loss 6 points, target around 2945-2935, and look at the 2930 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2932-2935, stop loss 6 points, target around 2950-2965, and look at the 2975 line if it breaks;
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 17-21 FEB, 20251. Double Top Formation:
First Peak: The price reached the resistance zone ($2,940) and got rejected.
Second Peak: The price attempted to break this level again but faced rejection, forming the second top.
Neckline (Support Zone at $2,875 - $2,885): The price is now testing this area, which acts as a key decision point.
2. Bearish Confirmation (If Breakdown Happens):
If the price breaks below $2,875 and closes below this level, it confirms the double top.
The next potential downside target would be around $2,800 - $2,810 (measured move from the top to neckline).
3. Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Rebound (Invalidates Double Top):
If the price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and bounces up, it could retest $2,940 - $2,960 again.
This would turn the pattern into a fakeout, leading to another bullish move.
❌ Bearish Breakdown (Confirms Double Top):
A clean break and close below $2,875 signals more downside.
Target: $2,810 (or lower if momentum continues).
4. Trading Strategy:
Short Entry (Bearish):
If price breaks below $2,875, enter a sell position.
Stop-loss: Above $2,890 (to avoid fakeouts).
Take profit: $2,810 (or trail SL if trend continues).
Long Entry (Bullish Reversal):
If price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and forms bullish confirmation (like a hammer or engulfing candle).
Stop-loss: Below $2,870 to protect from a fake breakout.
Take profit: $2,940 - $2,960.
Final Thought: If this is truly a double top, a break below the neckline could trigger a bigger correction. But if buyers step in, it could flip into a breakout-retest strategy instead.
XAU/USD 21 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
You will note my comments in yesterday's analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
This scenario seems underway, price has targeted strong internal low, however, price has, thus far, not been able to close below.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 2,954.955, however, my alternative scenario remains live.
Alternative scenario:
As we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Short gold againAs I mentioned in my previous article, I anticipated that gold might pull back to the 2930-2925 region, or even extend to the 2910 region, during today or tomorrow's New York trading session. Clearly, gold has retraced as expected and hit my target zone of 2930-2925. Our short position around 2954 has once again yielded a very favorable profit, totaling 270 pips.
Currently, gold has experienced a slight rebound, but it’s evident that the bullish momentum is weakening while bearish control is strengthening. After the accelerated short squeeze phase, 2955 may become the high for this stage. Moreover, as geopolitical risks decrease, the bullish momentum for gold further weakens, making it likely that gold could further dip and test the 2920-2910 support zone.
Therefore, for current short-term trading, I believe it might be a good idea to consider shorting gold again in the 2935-2940 region.Bros, will you follow me and short gold again? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold evening analysisThe current market of gold is in the big pendulum market at the end of the fishtail, and the market tail fluctuations are often relatively large. The recent bullish strength is mainly due to the impact of Trump's successive tariff increases. The US's major policy strategy is to reduce debts both internally and externally, so the money market is bound to gradually enter a tightening phase for a long time in the future, and inflation will not rise. This is a gradual process and cannot be transferred by human will.
For the short-selling layout of gold in a larger cycle, the second stage of the short-selling phase (the first stage is 2940 to 2880) is best when the daily line appears to have a peak pattern. In the near future, long positions only need to be short-term long positions. Because many people are engaged in leveraged markets, which will invisibly magnify risks, a rise of tens of dollars will intuitively feel very high. Doing fundamental analysis is not about paying attention to the market of tens of dollars, thinking that the current gold fluctuation is 50-60 US dollars a day. Such fluctuations + high leverage will especially affect the trading accounts of retail friends.
Gold is indeed bullish. At a glance, there is no highest, only higher. However, high-level risks often accumulate at such times. Short-term heavy positions are a gamble. The current fluctuations are only suitable for 1/3 of the previous positions or even lower.
Pay attention to the support of 2910 area below, and you can short. At the same time, pay attention to the stabilization of 2945 area above. If the daily line closes firmly tonight, we will focus on the probability of a large correction of 2977 78.
Gold’s Rally Continues – Next ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) again managed to form a new All-Time High(ATH) . Are you used to this?
Gold has already managed to break the Uptrend line . But as long as Gold is above 100_SMA(1-hour) , we can hope for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 3, so that the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Gold to start rising again after a temporary decline from the levels I charted and create a new All-Time High(ATH) .
Note: If Gold can go below 100_SMA(1-hour) again, we should expect more dumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold price analysis February 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices rose again due to concerns about new tariffs from former US President Donald Trump and the deadlock in negotiations between the US and Russia. Trump announced that he would impose tariffs of 25% or more on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and automobiles, putting great pressure on European and Asian economies. This raised concerns about supply chain disruptions and global inflation.
In addition, the negotiations between the US and Russia did not progress, causing investors to seek safe assets such as gold and USD. However, the market is still cautiously waiting for the Fed's meeting minutes, because if the Fed maintains its stance of curbing inflation, gold prices may be restrained.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices reacted around the old peak around 2940, proving that buyers are not strong enough to push prices to create a new ATH and need a more suitable price. There are two price levels 2916-1914 and 2906-2904 which are the areas where the Buyers are very interested in jumping into the market. The price range 2924-2934 is considered as this Asia-Europe range for breakout signals when there are signs of crossing.
GOLD Giving Amazing Bearish P.A , 500 Pips Waiting For Us !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.