Gold’s Bearish Setup – What’s Next for $XAUUSD?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to $3,003 as I expected in my previous post . Of course, since this is a round number , we can expect good support .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to have succeeded in breaking the neckline of the two patterns , the Head and Shoulders Pattern and the Three Falling Peaks Pattern .
Educational Note : The Three Falling Peaks is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs after an uptrend, where the price forms three consecutive lower peaks. Each peak represents a failed attempt to continue the uptrend, signaling weakening bullish momentum. A breakdown below the support confirms the pattern and signals a potential downtrend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulsive waves and we should wait for corrective waves .
I expect Gold to attack the $3,000 at least once more after completing the pullback , and the next target could be the Support zone($2,989-$2,976) .
Note: If Gold goes above $3,039, we should expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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Xauusdanalysis
Gold recommends short entry at 3030Last week, the daily RSI of gold fell slightly below the overbought area of 70, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. From a spatial perspective, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent negative fundamentals, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to fluctuate in the range. In the morning, focus on whether the opening high of 3026 can be recovered. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035, the opening point of last week; on the contrary, if it falls below the short-term moving average support of 3010, the short position can follow the trend to the expected level of 3000. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of the MACD red column and the closing of the Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of the US CPI data on the market at noon.
Gold operation suggestions: short near the rebound of 3030-3035, stop loss 3042, target 3005
Gold 100% Trading SignalsIn the two trading days of Thursday and Friday, it fell from the high point of 3057 to the 3000 mark, and lost 57 US dollars. This decline is much smaller than the previous continuous upward space. From a technical point of view, it can at least reach the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high of 2980-2956, and the retracement should be around 100 US dollars.
But this trend often does not arrive in one step. The market fluctuations are not straight up and down. There is a process of adjustment from strong long to fall back. It may be pulled up and down several times at a high level. You will not be able to see the trend and direction at once. Be mentally prepared.
Every time gold rises or falls, when there is a big market, the media will generally report it. Often at this time, you should pay attention. As we all know, you should pay attention to the risks when you advertise widely. At this time, you will be the one who takes the plate. When everyone knows, the market will not rise.
On Friday, the price bottomed out at 3000 and rebounded, and closed at 3023 in the early morning. This position is very critical. On the one hand, it is in the middle of the decline of 3038-3000, and it can go up or down; on the other hand, the 618 golden section is just at 3023. If it falls here at the opening on Monday, there are technical reasons to support it. If it breaks the short-term line, it can only rely on the pressure of 3038 to be bearish.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, don’t blindly chase it when it opens in the morning, as it is easy to cause market interruption after the weekend. You can try shorting by relying on the pressure of 3038 on the top, and you can see more rebounds around the support of 3010 on the bottom. If there are changes in the specific market, it will be given in real time during the trading session.
In terms of trading, Jinsheng’s expected analysis layout was fully completed at the end of Friday yesterday, and the market was accurately realized. The short position at 3043 in the morning was successfully closed at 3030 at noon, earning 13 US dollars; the rebound at 3033 in the afternoon was shorted again, and the position was reduced at 3017 in the evening. The remaining closed at 3006, earning 27 US dollars; the two orders made a profit of 40 US dollars, and the weekly line ended perfectly
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading Decision🚀 XAUUSD Key Update & Market Outlook
Gold continues to hold a bullish trend, but price action has pulled back after setting a new record high. The key $3,000 level will play a significant role in guiding our trading decisions next week. A hold above this zone could fuel further bullish momentum, while a breakdown could trigger strong bearish moves.
📌 Major Market Drivers:
🔹 US Dollar Strength: Gold retreated as the USD gained traction, with traders booking profits ahead of the weekend.
🔹 Trump's Trade Policies: Uncertainty surrounding new tariffs remains a key influence on market sentiment.
🔹 Federal Reserve’s Stance: Powell & Fed officials maintain that rate cuts aren’t urgent, reinforcing the current restrictive policy.
🔹 Market Sentiment & Early-Week Price Action: We’ll be closely watching how price behaves around the $3,025 zone for potential trading signals.
📅 Key Economic Events Next Week:
🗓️ Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI Publications – Key insight into economic activity and inflation pressures.
🗓️ Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A crucial report on economic growth that could impact USD and Gold.
🗓️ Friday: US Core PCE Index – The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, highly significant for rate expectations.
We’ll break all of this down in detail during tomorrow’s Forex Morning Mastery livestream. Stay tuned, and let’s get ready for the new trading week! 🔥📊 #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #MarketOutlook
Market Analysis: Gold Prices Break RecordMarket Analysis: Gold Prices Break Record
Gold price rallied further and traded to a new all-time high.
Important Takeaways for Gold Oil Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a steady increase above the $3,000 zone against the US Dollar.
- A connecting bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $3,028 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $2,950 zone. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a strong increase above $2,980.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,000. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,015 and $3,030 resistance levels. Finally, the price climbed as high as $3,057 before there was a pullback.
The price tested the $3,000 zone and is currently rising. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downside correction from the $3,057 swing high to the $2,999 low, and the RSI is stable above 40.
Immediate resistance is near the $3,028 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downside correction from the $3,057 swing high to the $2,999 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,028.
The next major resistance is near the $3,035 level. An upside break above the $3,035 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,058. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,080 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,012 level. The first major support is near the $3,000 zone. If there is a downside break below the $3,000 support, the price might decline further.
In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,980 zone. Any more losses might push the price toward the $2,965 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Analysis and Forecast of Gold Price Next WeekOn Friday evening, the spot gold price broke below the key support level of $3,000, which was in line with previous expectations. After reaching a phased high of $3,057, the market witnessed a rather significant downward movement.
However, the support at the $3,000 level was relatively strong. Although the price briefly fell below this level, it failed to stabilize effectively.
During the late trading session, the gold price rebounded technically and recovered to around $3,020.
Based on the current technical analysis and market sentiment, it is expected that the gold price will continue its weak downward trend next week, accompanied by certain corrective retracement.
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How to judge the long and short positions of gold at the openingThe 1-hour moving average of gold starts to turn downward. As long as gold does not rise strongly, the 1-hour moving average of gold may continue to move downward. Finally, if a downward dead cross short arrangement is formed, the downward space of gold can be truly opened. The resistance of the gold moving average now moves down to around 3036. The high point on Friday is at the high point of the second rebound at 3037. So gold still has certain resistance in this range. Gold can bear the pressure of this range resistance and go short first next week. It can go short first when it rebounds around 3035. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is to go short on rebounds as the main strategy and go long on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3030-3033, stop loss at 3055, target around 3015-3005, and look at the 3000 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it falls back to around 2998-3000, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3010-3015, and look at the 3020 line if it breaks;
Gold is not afraid of rebound and continues to be short!Gold prices fluctuated widely around 3028-3013, Gold prices peaked and fell back, and are still running at a high level. Previously, gold prices first fell a large negative line, then bottomed out and rebounded, and rebounded in the late trading.
Operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy: When gold rebounds to around 3030-3033, short (buy short) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3055, target around 3015-3005, and look at the 3000 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy: When gold pulls back to around 2998-3000, go long (buy long) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss 8 points, target around 3010-3015, and look at the 3020 line if it breaks;
Gold Top Trading SignalsGold continued to weaken under pressure at 3047 in Asian trading last Friday. In the afternoon, the European session broke through the 3030 mark and stabilized near 3021. In the evening, the US session repeatedly fluctuated and suppressed below the 3037 mark, ushering in an accelerated downward decline and breaking the bottom. Finally, it pierced near 3000 before closing and rebounded and closed at 3023. The daily K-line closed with a suppressed and falling middle shadow. The overall gold price showed a suppressed and falling adjustment pattern below the 3057 mark. After the opening of gold in the morning today, the gold price did not fluctuate much. It rebounded to the 3026 line and then stepped back for adjustment. As long as the correction does not break the low point of last Friday, we will continue to look for opportunities to buy when it steps back.
From the current 4-hour analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is still focused on around 3030-35, and the lower short-term support is focused on around 3000-3005. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Gold falls back to 3000-3005 line, stop loss 2995, target 3025-3030 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Gold rebounds to 3035 line but does not break, you can go short, stop loss 3042, target 3005-10 line;
Gold 3030 line still needs to be shortedThe weekly closing line is mediocre, with shadows but not long, indicating that the short momentum above is not strong. The same is true for the daily line, with a long lower shadow pattern, which offsets the original strong downward pressure of the evening star, causing some participants to start to tangle. The market is likely to sweep up and down at the beginning of the week, and oscillate to measure the strength of the ups and downs. Note that if gold refreshes the 3,000 low this week, gold is expected to fall back to the 2957-65 top and bottom conversion position this week.
The gold 1-hour moving average has begun to turn downward, and is about to cross downward. If the gold 1-hour moving average crosses downward to form a dead cross short arrangement, then the gold downside may open up. The gold 1-hour moving average resistance has now moved down to around 3035. So the gold 1-hour will continue to be short at highs despite the pressure at 3035 in the early trading. The gold 1-hour high has formed a head and shoulders top structure. As long as the gold bulls cannot break through the new high again, the gold 1-hour is in the process of building a high top.
In addition, the opening of this week continued the weak adjustment of last week. Today, as in the weekly review, it is still bearish and retracement. For shocks, prices fluctuate, and it is difficult for us to think unilaterally. It depends on which side you grab. The upper resistance focuses on the early high of 3026, and the second is the opening point of last week at 3035! In the short term, all the divergences and indicators on the gold hourly chart have been corrected. Now it is correcting after oversold, which resonates with the big cycle. Pay attention to the continuous pull-down of the high point during the day, which resonates with the Bollinger Bands.
Gold rebounds to 3025-30 short, stop loss at 3035, target 3010-05.
Gold may Retest its All Time High once againHello Traders
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(XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal After Head & Shoulders Formation."
Overview:
The price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe indicates a potential bearish move. A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a possible trend reversal. The market recently tested a resistance level and is now showing signs of weakness.
Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: $3,044 - $3,055 (Rejection Zone)
🔹 Sell Entry: Below $3,028 (Break of Support)
🔹 Support Level: Around $2,980 (First Key Level)
🔹 Target: $2,940 - $2,931 (Final Bearish Target)
Analysis:
✅ Price has broken below the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential sell-off.
✅ A retest of the broken support as resistance could offer a better entry for shorts.
✅ If the price holds below $3,028, further downside toward $2,940 is expected.
✅ Bullish invalidation if price breaks back above $3,044.
Trade Idea:
📉 Sell below: $3,028
🎯 Target: $2,940
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3,044
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, with risk-to-reward favoring sellers. Monitor price action for confirmation before entering a trade.
🚀 What’s your view on Gold? Comment below!
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Is there still room for gold to fluctuate and fall?Technical analysis of gold: Last Friday, gold rose slightly and fell, and once fell to the 3000 line during the session. The daily chart closed at 3023 with a negative line with a lower shadow. From the current market, although the bulls recovered half of the daily chart in the late trading, the overall adjustment is still at a high level. At least the daily chart is a continuous negative line. For today, from the daily chart, the price pierced the upper line on Friday, but the guide line did not follow. It is expected that it will continue to fluctuate and consolidate downward. It will not be able to get out of the unilateral pattern until all are closed. The weekly line closed with an upper shadow after three consecutive positive lines, and the short-term upward trend slowed down slightly. The daily K-line turned negative and retreated for correction, and the cross K-line received a correction and correction from the mid-yin line, with partial adjustment.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the 3028-3030 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2999-2980 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3026-3028, stop loss at 3055, target around 3015-3005, and look at the 3000 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it falls back to around 2998-3000, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3010-3015, and look at the 3020 line if it breaks;
Gold prices are unable to rise!Gold held the $3,000 mark during the day and maintained a narrow range of fluctuations around 3,020. After the market plunged last week, there were signs of weakening in the form. Therefore, we will maintain a high-altitude thinking this week. Although there is still rebound momentum in the short term, combined with the indicators, the rebound momentum and space are not large. The daily line has been negative and closed below the 5-day moving average. The form is oscillating and bearish. Only when the price returns to above 5ma can it return to strength again. The opening point of the decline last Friday was 3038, so the key resistance above the short-term is around 3035-3038. In terms of operation, keep the high-altitude layout below 3038.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to continue shorting at 3028-26, stop loss at 3038, target 3010-3000; continue to hold if it breaks!
XAUUSD Today's analysisCurrently, the XAUUSD is at 3025 points. From a technical analysis perspective, the resistance level above is at 3060 points. This level has repeatedly hindered the upward movement of the price. A large number of sell orders are likely to gather here, restricting the price from rising further.
The support level below is at 3000 points. This point has effectively supported the price on many occasions in the past. Once it is broken, it may trigger panic selling in the market and open up a new downward space. Considering the frequent market fluctuations and increased uncertainties recently, based on a comprehensive consideration of various factors, I tend to be bearish on XAUUSD. I will closely monitor market dynamics in the follow - up.
If there are any changes in the signals, I will share them immediately. When trading, everyone must strictly control risks.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3040 - 3050
🎁 TP 3020 3010 3000
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Gold needs to be wary of false breakthroughsFrom a technical perspective, the upper resistance of gold is in the 3037-3040 range. If it can be effectively broken, it may set a new high this week. The lower support is stable in the 3005-3000 area. Once it falls below, the market may turn weak. Last Friday's strong drop to the 3000 mark is suspected to be a false breakthrough signal, so everyone needs to be cautious in judging. Today's operation recommendation is to mainly buy on pullbacks, supplemented by high-altitude rebounds.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy near the current price of 3023, stop loss at 3015, and the target is 3035-3045, and the target is 3055.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to buy near the rebound of 3050, stop loss at 3057, and the target is 3035-2020.
Short gold? No, I choose to buy gold📍Gold Plunges to Around 3006 — Is This Really a Good Opportunity to Chase Shorts? To be frank, despite the sharp short-term decline in gold, bullish resilience remains evident. As long as the price holds above the 3000-2995 support zone, the defensive line remains strong and unbroken. Therefore, I don’t consider chasing shorts a prudent decision at this stage. On the contrary, the presence of strong buying interest and solid support below significantly increases my preference for long positions in gold.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Buy at 3015-3005
TP:3025-3035
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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XAUUSD: 24/4 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057-3100, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
Gold operation suggestions: Gold continued to fall under pressure at the 3047 mark in the Asian session last Friday, and then broke through the 3030 mark in the European session and stabilized and rebounded near 3021. After repeated fluctuations in the NY market, it accelerated downward movement below 3037 and finally bottomed out and rebounded at the 3000-point integer mark.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is focused on 3038, and the lower short-term support is focused on around 2999. Overall, relying on this range, keep selling high and buying low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL:3043
Buy: 2999near SL:2994
Another Strong Start to the Week!Gold opened the week on a positive note without a significant pullback, rebounding quickly after touching a low of 3013. The overall price action remains range-bound with a bullish bias, though gold is still trading within the lower to middle Bollinger Bands. A clearer upside move may emerge once the correction phase concludes.
In the short term, resistance remains at the 3030-3040 zone. If this level holds, short positions can be considered. On the downside, key support levels to watch are 3012 and 3005, with the 3005-3000 range offering a potential buying opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
- Sell near 3030-3040resistance if it remains intact.
- Buy around the 3005-3000 support zone.
- Adopt a range-trading approach, focusing on shorting near resistance and buying near support.
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Could gold prices see a strong rise?Gold has now formed a head-and-shoulders structure. The rebound in gold continues to be bearish, and the market is weakening. The market is currently showing a clear bearish trend. Although the 3,000 mark has fallen below, the bearish power is ready to go, and may be tested again in the future.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3020-3022, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 3055, target around 3010-3005, break to see 3000 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 2998-3000, long (buy long) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 8 points, target around 3010-3015, break to see 3020 line;
Bearish Bias Under Head and Shoulders Formation📍Gold is currently leaning towards a bearish trend under the pressure of a well-defined head and shoulders pattern. Therefore, our primary trading approach remains focused on short positions.
📍In the short term, the key resistance to watch is in the 3030-3040 zone. However, it's worth noting that on Friday, gold quickly recovered most of its losses after testing the 3000 level, indicating the presence of strong buying interest and solid support below.
📍From a trading perspective, there is still an opportunity to capture profits from potential technical rebounds. The main support levels to monitor are:
📌3010-3000 as the initial support zone
📌2995 as the secondary support level
🔎Trade Idea:
1. Xauusd: Sell at 3035-3045
TP:3020-3010
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📎But if gold shows signs of holding support, a short-term rebound could provide opportunities for counter-trend trades.
2. Xauusd: Buy at 3015-3005
TP:3025-3035
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Gold needs to be wary of false breakthroughsOperation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy near the current price of 3023, stop loss at 3015, and the target is 3035-3045, and the target is 3055.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to buy near the rebound of 3050, stop loss at 3057, and the target is 3035-2020.
Facing the market is actually facing yourself. Correcting shortcomings, facing mistakes, strictly disciplining yourself, and not telling lies are the keys to success.