GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down the key forces pushing gold to record highs. Learn how factors such as US-China trade tensions, global inflation pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty—combined with a weakening US Dollar and safe-haven demand—are reshaping the gold market.
In this quick analysis, we cover:
🔹 Inflation & Economic Uncertainty: How rising prices and central bank policies continue to drive interest in gold.
🔹 Trade Tensions & Geopolitical Risks: The impact of US-China disputes and global instability on market sentiment.
🔹 US Dollar Weakness: Why a softer USD is making gold a more attractive asset for international investors.
🔹 Technical Insights: Pinpointing key price levels and exploring potential trend continuations or reversals ahead of US retail sales data.
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Constantly assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
Xauusdanalysis
Resistance Holds at $3,245; Bearish Targets in FocusGold (XAU/USD) has recently encountered resistance near the $3,245 level, failing to sustain a breakout during the Asian session. The market opened with a downside gap, which was subsequently filled, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Currently, price action suggests a potential liquidity sweep above recent highs before any significant downward movement. Traders should monitor for signs of stop-loss hunts or false breakouts, as these could precede a bearish reversal.
The short-term outlook remains bearish, with the previous all-time high (ATH) near $3,170 serving as an initial target. A break below this level could open the path towards the $3,000 FVG as well as support zone, aligning with key technical indicators and market sentiment.
It's essential to stay vigilant for any developments in U.S.-China trade relations, as these geopolitical factors continue to influence gold's price dynamics. Adjusting trading strategies in response to such news can help manage risk and capitalize on market movements.
XAU/USD15-Min Chart –Bullish Setup with RBR Zone & Breakout TRG🔷 Chart Structure
* 📊 Ascending Channel
↗️ Price is moving within an upward-sloping channel
• Higher Highs
• Higher Lows
* 🔍 Short-Term Trend: Bullish momentum is intact
🟦 Key Zones
* 🟦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
📌 Support area where buyers stepped in
🔄 Price bounced from this zone
* 🟥 Resistance Zone
🚫 Around 3,250 – sellers previously active here
👀 Watch for breakout confirmation
✅ Trade Setup
* 🎯 Entry Point: 3,226.38
* ⛔ Stop Loss: 3,216.30
* 🥅 Target: 3,267.00
* 💰 Potential Gain: 38.67 points (1.20%)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 — very favorable!
📍 Indicators
* 📉 EMA (7) — acts as short-term support
🟡 Price is consolidating near EMA — possible setup for next move.
📌 Outlook
* 🟢 Bullish Bias – As long as price stays above RBR zone
* 🔔 Breakout Alert – A break above resistance may lead to sharp upside move toward the target.
XAUUSD Technicals & FundamentalsA classic range-bound consolidation with a potential breakout setup forming.
🔧 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: Around $3,280 — if price breaks this cleanly, bulls could push for a strong continuation.
Immediate Resistance Zone: $3,240–3,245
Support: Around $3,220 (key short-term structure)
Pivot Zone: Near $3,200–3,190 — a break below here could signal deeper downside toward $3,160
Volume: Noticeably dropping (marked by the red arrow), which often precedes a strong move. Low volume = indecision = potential volatility spike incoming.
🧠 Chart Pattern Insight:
A bullish flag/pennant type setup is visible — consolidation after an impulsive uptrend.
Arrows indicate the two primary scenarios:
📈 Upside: Break above $3,245 with volume could trigger a run toward $3,280+
📉 Downside: Break below $3,220 could drag price down to retest pivot zones or even $3,160
📰 Fundamental Factors to Watch Today:
📅 Key Events/Data Releases:
U.S. Economic Data:
Retail Sales (March) — A surprise in consumer spending could sway USD and gold.
Empire State Manufacturing Index — May affect interest rate expectations indirectly.
Fed Speak: Any comments by FOMC members on inflation, rate hikes, or balance sheet could jolt markets.
⚖️ Sentiment Snapshot:
Short-term: Neutral to bullish (sideways consolidation near highs)
Medium-term: Bullish bias remains intact above $3,200
Volatility Risk: High — expect fakeouts before a confirmed breakout.
XAUUSD Today's strategyLast week, the price of gold fluctuated sharply. It reached a low of $2,955, a high of $3,245, and finally closed at $3,238. The maximum cumulative increase throughout the week was $290, and the trading activity in the market reached a new high for the current stage.
This rally is also extremely rare in the historical price trends of gold over the past few decades. The driving factors are far beyond traditional logic – not only driven by the heightened inflation expectations and the weakening of the US dollar, but also more deeply induced by the intensification of the cracks in the global trade system and the continuous spillover of geopolitical risks. The uncertainty pervading the market has dampened investors' confidence. Central banks and sovereign wealth funds around the world have turned to increasing their holdings of physical gold one after another to avoid the systemic risks of the US dollar and other financial assets.
We maintain our bullish view unchanged. For short-term operations, it is recommended to continue with the strategy of going long on dips. Pay special attention to the key support level of $3,200, and you can consider placing long positions near this price level.
XAUUSD
buy@3210-3220
tp:3250-3260
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Will gold first fall and then rise today?
The gold 1-hour moving average is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average, but the gold bull trend has not changed for the time being. Patiently wait for the opportunity to adjust. Pay attention to the support near the previous low of 3185. The moving average support has now moved up to the line near 3177. Overall, gold may form a strong support near 3180. For today's gold trend, I personally think it will fall first and then rise.
XAUUSD buy zone in 1h break of structureLast 3 days of past week XAUUSD had a strong uptrend with bullish momentum. From 1h perspective we have seen price had a bounce, and there is no significant break of structure on the lower timeframe, which means, as with the new market open, any break of structure is an opportunity to go long. Expecting to test the previous swing low is a zone where we can look for for potential entry to ride the trend.
Will wait for price action confirmation on market opening.
XAUUSD Has got rejected as expected!XAUUSD 1h price hit key level with more than 1.6ATR which is first sign of false breakdown. Followed by another strong bullish rejection with cross of 20EMA closed as bullish engulfing pattern signaling potential trend continuation to the major direction as long term trend is up.
We are targeting at least 130 pip+ in the first push to the upside!
XAUUSD Probable BUY 13/04/2025🧠 Technical Analysis – XAUUSD
📊 Chart Overview:
The market is currently consolidating near 3237, within a range-bound structure.
Two major zones are marked for potential entries:
Zone 1 (Near-Term Buy): 3217–3221 (support zone)
Zone 2 (Sniper Buy): 3173–3177 (gape/demand/strong support zone)
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation from 3217/21:
If price pulls back to 3217–3221 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, rejection wick), a buy setup can be triggered targeting:
TP1: 3237 (intraday resistance)
TP2: 3245 (supply/previous high)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3210 for safe protection.
📉 Scenario 2 – Deep Rejection & Buy from 3173/77:
In case of a deeper retracement, price may wick down to 3173–3177, which is a high-probability sniper buy zone due to:
Previous strong bullish reaction from this level
Clean structure for liquidity grab
Entry here gives excellent risk-reward targeting the same levels:
TP1: 3219
TP2: 3245
SL: Below 3156 (wide but optimal for structure).
Like, follow, and share.
XAUUSD 3400 0n MarkThrough my weekly Episode multitime frame analysis , you will get deep insights .
Market in on rising channel since last year,our eyes will be at 3380 milestone on this weekly candle. First of all market is critical channel if any h4,D1 close below 3180 well see 3030 and 2950 in extension.
Gold Market Insight: Impact of U.S.-China Trade DevelopmentsGold has been consolidating within a rising wedge pattern since September 2023, facing resistance along a key trendline. Recent geopolitical developments, particularly the intensifying U.S.-China trade tensions, have acted as a catalyst for a significant breakout. The imposition of a 145% tariff on Chinese imports by the U.S., followed by China's retaliatory 125% tariff on U.S. goods, has heightened market uncertainties. These actions have led to a surge in safe-haven demand, propelling gold prices to record highs above $3,200 per ounce
In the past three trading sessions, gold has advanced over 2,500 pips, reflecting strong bullish momentum. However, to sustain this upward trajectory towards the $3,400 level, a period of consolidation or a corrective pullback may be necessary. Such a phase would allow for the absorption of selling pressure and the liquidation of short positions, providing a foundation for further gains.
The current market dynamics suggest that while buyers are in control, the presence of residual selling interest necessitates caution. A decisive breach above recent highs, accompanied by increased volume and momentum, would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.\
Should the U.S. implement further tariff relaxations, particularly in sectors like technology, we may witness a retracement in gold prices towards the $3,000 level. This zone aligns with multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) identified between $2,990 and $3,000, suggesting a potential area for price stabilization. Such policy shifts could alleviate some market uncertainties, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Conversely, if trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain stalled or further deteriorate, gold could resume its upward momentum, potentially targeting the $3,400 mark. This scenario would be driven by continued safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical uncertainties.
In summary, gold's near-term movements are contingent upon the progression of U.S.-China trade discussions. Traders should monitor these developments closely, as they will likely dictate gold's direction in the coming sessions.
Gold Ideas for 14th of April📊 Market Structure Overview
Trend Analysis: Price has reached premium levels, suggesting a potential for short-term pullbacks within the broader bullish trend.
Key Levels: Monitoring for breaks below 3025 to signal a shift in macro bias.
🔑 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
Premium Sell Zone: 3248–3268, characterized by unmitigated order blocks and potential liquidity traps.
Internal Demand Zone: Around 3180, aligning with trendline support and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Strong FVG & Order Block: 3137–3145, indicating a significant area of interest for potential reversals.
📝 Plan of Action
🔻 Sell Scenario 1
Entry: 3242 – 3248
Stop Loss: 3255
Take Profits: TP1: 3215 | TP2: 3188 | TP3: 3160
Rationale: Anticipating rejection from fresh M15 order block with liquidity sweep above 3242. RSI divergence noted as additional confluence; confirmation required on M5.
🔻 Sell Scenario 2
Entry: 3260 – 3268
Stop Loss: 3275
Take Profits: TP1: 3235 | TP2: 3200 | TP3: 3165
Rationale: Targeting final premium order block with unmitigated H1 zone and imbalance. Ideal for NY session traps; look for bearish engulfing patterns.
🟢 Buy Scenario 1
Entry: 3180 – 3172
Stop Loss: 3165
Take Profits: TP1: 3205 | TP2: 3230 | TP3: 3250
Rationale: Confluence of trendline and M30 order block with internal structure support. Requires bullish price action and CHoCH on M5 for confirmation.
🟢 Buy Scenario 2
Entry: 3137 – 3142
Stop Loss: 3129
Take Profits: TP1: 3180 | TP2: 3205 | TP3: 3240
Rationale: Major imbalance and H1 order block with RSI confluence. Look for bullish engulfing or aggressive CHoCH on lower time frames.
📌 Key Zones Recap
Premium Sell Zone: 3248–3268
Internal Demand Zone: 3180
Strong FVG & OB: 3137–3145
Critical Support: 3025 (break indicates macro bias shift)
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow our community for more in-depth ideas. 💛
Monday Gold Open: Unlock Profitable Strategies & Hot TrendsFrom the current market situation, China has announced the imposition of a 125% tariff on the United States in response to Trump's decision to raise the tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%. Due to the weakening of the US dollar and economic concerns triggered by the intensification of the trade war, the safe-haven asset gold broke through the key $3,200 mark for the first time on Friday. Technically, from the daily chart perspective, within the past seven trading days, the price of gold first dropped by $210 and then rose by nearly $290, and the upward trend shows no sign of stopping.
At the beginning of this week, the price of gold dropped to around $2,956 and then skyrocketed for several consecutive days. By the end of trading on Friday, the international gold price once rose to around $3,245, setting a new all-time high again. The fluctuation range of the international gold price this week was as high as nearly $289. This week, John's signals regarding the rise and fall of gold prices also brought good returns to everyone.
From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, this upward rally is extremely strong. It has been climbing all the way with almost no pullbacks. After surpassing last week's high point, it has stabilized above $3,200. The technical indicators show a golden cross and are rising, with no sign of stopping for now. On Friday, it directly soared to a record high of $3,245, but there was a slight pullback at the close. Next week, we need to focus on whether the price of gold gaps up and fills the gap.
XAUUSD
buy@3210-3220
tp:3240-3260
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
Gold's main rise is not over yet, long is still the core strategHeading into next week, we maintain a bullish medium-term outlook on gold, with a continued preference for trend-following long positions.
Although short-term bearish attempts persist, the broader upward structure remains intact, with pullbacks presenting tactical buying opportunities.
Key support is observed around $3,200/oz, which serves as a strategic level for initiating low-risk long entries within the ongoing uptrend.
XAU/USD is about to reach the 3300 - point level.The long-term upward trend remains unchanged. Tariffs are still a major variable causing significant fluctuations in gold.
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions, covering key sectors such as automobiles, steel, and semiconductors.😒
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China announced that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. On April 9th, the tariff rate was further increased to 84%, covering all U.S. goods.😠
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods starting from May 16th.😤
Canada: Imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles on April 9th, but exempted auto parts.😏
At present, the rise of gold is still driven by the demand for a safe haven. It remains uncertain whether the 104% tariff will actually be implemented. Once relations deteriorate, it will truly be bullish for gold again. In the short term, this is definitely something that needs to be closely monitored.🤔
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
💰💰💰 XAUUSD 💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@3220 - 3230
🎯 TP 3270 - 3300
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
XAUUSD:Obtaining of Trading Signals for Next WeekThe outlook for gold remains bullish next week. Concerns about economic recession triggered by tariffs, rising inflation expectations, the weakening of the US dollar's credit, and geopolitical tensions are providing impetus for the increase in the gold price.
For next week's trading, go long with the uptrend. Key is grasping entry/exit points. Top-bottom support is around 3168. Strong bullishness makes big pullbacks unlikely; else it'll turn range-bound. Friday's decline has short-term supports at 3219 and 3210. On Monday, open long positions per pullback magnitude. Focus on 3245 resistance. If broken, keep riding the uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3210-3220
TP:3240-3260
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
Tariffs remain a major driver of XAUUSD swingsThe long-term upward trend remains unchanged. Tariffs are still a major variable causing significant fluctuations in gold.
In April 2025, the global trade war was in a severe situation. The adjustment of the United States' tariff policies triggered a series of countermeasures from various countries. The specific situation is as follows:
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions, covering key sectors such as automobiles, steel, and semiconductors.😒
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China announced that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. On April 9th, the tariff rate was further increased to 84%, covering all U.S. goods.😠
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods starting from May 16th.😤
Canada: Imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles on April 9th, but exempted auto parts.😏
Impacts of the Trade War
Price Increases: Imported automobiles, electronic products, etc. are likely to increase in price. If U.S. agricultural products are subject to tariffs imposed by China, the prices of items such as meat and edible oil may fluctuate.😫
Employment Market Impact: Enterprises relying on exports may lay off employees. For example, the manufacturing industry in China and European automobile factories are affected. In the United States, certain industries such as agriculture and retail also face pressure.😔
Financial Market Volatility: The global stock market has experienced increased short-term volatility. Investors have shifted to safe-haven assets such as gold and treasury bonds. The stock price of Tesla plummeted by 40% due to tariff policies.😱
Supply Chain Disruption: There may be delays in the delivery of chips and auto parts due to trade barriers. The supply of some imported pharmaceuticals and industrial raw materials may also be affected. The prices of some products on cross-border e-commerce platforms may increase, and the costs of purchasing agents and cross-border logistics will rise.😣
At present, the rise of gold is still driven by the demand for a safe haven. It remains uncertain whether the 104% tariff will actually be implemented. Once relations deteriorate, it will truly be bullish for gold again. In the short term, this is definitely something that needs to be closely monitored.🤔
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 14, 2025🔥 XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 14, 2025
📍 Bias: Bearish short-term – price at premium levels
📈 HTF Trend: Bullish unless 3025 breaks
🌍 Macro:
🇺🇸 Trump tariffs + geopolitical instability still looming
Mixed U.S. data: CPI hot 🥵 / PPI weak = confusion → perfect trap setups
Liquidity zones active → both sides could get hunted
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 1 – “Sniper Trap from the Top”
📍 Entry: 3242 – 3248
🛑 SL: 3255
🎯 TP1: 3215
🎯 TP2: 3188
🎯 TP3: 3160
🧠 Why:
Fresh M15 OB + massive liquidity above 3242 swept → expecting rejection
RSI divergence building, M5 confirmation needed
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 2 – “Premium OB Rejection”
📍 Entry: 3260 – 3268
🛑 SL: 3275
🎯 TP1: 3235
🎯 TP2: 3200
🎯 TP3: 3165
🧠 Why:
Final premium OB + unmitigated zone on H1 + imbalance.
Ideal for NY session trap + bearish engulfing rejection.
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 1 – “Reactive Dip”
📍 Entry: 3180 – 3172
🛑 SL: 3165
🎯 TP1: 3205
🎯 TP2: 3230
🎯 TP3: 3250
🧠 Why:
Trendline + OB on M30 + internal structure support.
Needs bullish PA and CHoCH on M5.
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 2 – “Deep Clean FVG Tap”
📍 Entry: 3137 – 3142
🛑 SL: 3129
🎯 TP1: 3180
🎯 TP2: 3205
🎯 TP3: 3240
🧠 Why:
Major imbalance + H1 OB + RSI confluence.
Bullish engulfing or aggressive CHoCH needed on LTF.
📌 Key Zones Recap:
🔺 3248–3268 = Premium sell zone + liquidity trap
🔻 3180 = Internal demand + trendline confluence
🟦 3137 = Strong FVG + H1 OB
⚠️ 3025 = Final HTF support — if broken, expect shift in macro bias
📊 Technical Confluence
✅ SMC: CHoCH and BOS zones active
✅ FVGs: 3137–3145 + 3245–3265
✅ GAPS: Partial fill from 3180–3200
✅ RSI: Divergence above 3240
✅ FIBO: 61.8% zone aligned with 3170–3180
✅ EMA5/21/50/100/200: Price is testing EMA200 on H1
🤝 Final Thoughts
Gold’s premium levels are being tested. The game now is reaction, not prediction. Don’t chase — let price confirm.
🎯 No confirmation = No trade
🧠 Sniper mindset only: clean, high-confluence, risk-controlled.
💬 Engage & Grow Together
🔥 If this plan sharpens your bias, smash the ❤️
🧠 Comment your entries below – let’s discuss setups
🔔 Follow and subscribe for daily sniper drops — stay ahead, stay sharp!
📈 We trade precision, not noise.