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Xauusdanalysis

Gold fluctuates, 3300 may fall below.Gold fell to 3333 on Tuesday and then rose to around 3358, then began to fall slowly due to resistance, continued to fall in the European session, and fell to around 3295 in the US session, and rebounded in the late trading, rebounding to around 3325, and the daily line closed with a negative line with a lower shadow. In addition, Israel and Iran both accused each other of violating the agreement, which brought uncertainty to the gold market. After the sharp drop in gold last week, except for the correction of the cross positive line on Tuesday last week, the daily level has closed five consecutive negative lines since last Wednesday until now, fully demonstrating that the gold price has shown a weak feature of fluctuating downward in recent transactions. From the technical indicators, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average cross downward, which indicates an important signal that the market trend is weakening in the short term. The current gold price continues to run below the moving average, further verifying the current market situation where shorts dominate. In terms of resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently around 3350, and the 10-day moving average is around 3370. These two price levels constitute the key resistance range in the upward process of gold prices. As long as the gold price fails to effectively break through this resistance band, it is likely to continue to be weak in the short term. At the support level, pay attention to the 60-day moving average around 3290. Operation strategy: Short gold rebounds around 3350, stop loss 3360, profit range 3320-3310. Go long gold falls back to around 3295, stop loss 3285, profit range 3330-3340. The market conditions are often not what we ideally want. This is the market, and it is also a form of trading practice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold bullish or bearish?From the technical aspect of gold, yesterday, gold gradually fell to 3295 as low as possible. The three tracks of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart are shrinking, which means that the range is compressed to 3290-3420. The middle and lower tracks in the daily chart are currently 3290-3355. The short-term moving average is currently entangled near the middle track, which also shows the price fluctuation. However, the MACD indicator crosses and increases in volume, which means that the price fluctuates at a low level. Therefore, the strength of the intraday rebound is relatively small, so 3355 and yesterday's high of 3370 are today's resistance levels. From the 4-hour chart, three consecutive positives are formed in the low-level rebound, the Bollinger Bands close, the current MACD crosses and shrinks in volume, and the dynamic indicator STO quickly repairs upward, which means that the price is fluctuating and rushing up. At present, the price rebounds and breaks through the 3332-33 line, so today it will continue to rebound and test the 3342-48 and 3355 lines, so there is still room above. At the same time, due to the rebound in the morning, the 4-hour and hourly lines are currently bullish. Therefore, we can only buy in advance near 3324-25, and look at the 3340-3348 line. And the short position is below 3354. Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to buy once when it falls back to 3322-3324, stop loss at 3316, target 3340-3350; it is recommended to sell once when it touches 3348-3352, stop loss at 3359, target 3330-3320;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SandraToland
Gold Trading Strategy June 25The Daily Candle shows a strong selling force breaking out of the 3-day accumulation zone. Gold touches the support zone of 3296 and bounces back as analyzed yesterday. Today, it is difficult for the bullish force to return, there is a possibility of an increase in the Asian session and the European session, and the US session will return with the Selling force. The recovery from 3296 towards 3342, some selling force may appear around 3342, forming a strong bearish structure. The bearish wave structure will weaken if it breaks 3342. The 3363 area still has a reaction but the bearish wave structure is no longer strong. The market closed above 3363 confirming the downtrend break and heading towards the resistance zone of 3388. The bottom support of 3302 will help to temporarily stop the price decline before heading towards the target of 3278. Support: 3321-3302-3278 Resistance: 3342-3363-3388 Break out: 3342-3322 Recommended trading signal BUY GOLD 3302-3300 SL 3297 SELL GOLD 3363-3365 SL 3369
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
Gold Price Analysis June 25The Daily Candle shows a strong selling force breaking out of the 3-day accumulation zone. Gold hits the support zone of 3296 and bounces towards the resistance zone of 3342. Today, there is unlikely to be a rebound, there is a possibility of an increase in the Asian session and the European session, and the US session will return to the Selling force. The recovery from 3296 towards 3342, some selling force may appear around 3342, forming a strong bearish structure. The Bearish Wave Structure will weaken if it breaks 3342. The 3363 area is still noteworthy for SELL signals. The market closed above 3363, confirming the break of the downtrend and heading towards the resistance zone of 3388. The bottom support of 3302 will help prevent a temporary decline before heading towards the target of 3278.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Powell's Softer Tone Hints at Gold's LiftoffXAUUSD: Powell's Softer Tone Hints at Gold's Liftoff – Ready for a July Rally? Hey everyone! Let's dive into XAUUSD today! We've got some sweet news from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that could be a game-changer for Gold. 🌍 Macro Edge: Gold Breathes Easier as Rate Pressures May Ease! Gold's recent climb is largely thanks to Powell's "soft-spoken" remarks. He's openly admitted that tariff-driven inflation is lower than expected, even subtly hinting at earlier rate cuts – perhaps as soon as July! Despite his "no need to rush" stance, the market's getting a clear message: if inflation keeps cooling down, the Fed will have room to loosen policy sooner. This is music to Gold's ears! Lower rates mean a reduced opportunity cost for holding Gold (which doesn't yield), making it far more attractive to investors. 🌐 Capital Flows: Gold vs. USD – Who's the Next Safe-Haven King? Market liquidity always dances to the tune of interest rates and risks. Gold and the USD typically share the safe-haven crown during volatile times. However, if Powell's "dovish tilt" holds, and the Fed cuts rates soon, prepare for a significant capital shift: USD might cool off: Lower US yields reduce the USD's appeal. Gold takes the spotlight: With lower holding costs and persistent global geopolitical uncertainties, Gold could see a surge in demand. The market's re-pricing of Fed policy is already bolstering Gold, signaling a potential upside move on the horizon! 📊 Technical Insight (H4/M30 Chart): Gold Breaking Free, Targeting Higher Peaks! Looking at our XAUUSD chart (H4/M30, based on your image): Channel Breakout: Gold has clearly broken out of its prior descending channel! This is a positive sign, indicating weakening selling pressure and a potential trend reversal. Price is consolidating, possibly forming a new accumulation pattern or a minor ascending channel. Key Levels to Watch: Potential SELL Zone (Resistance): Around 3352.383 - 3371.205. This is a major historical resistance cluster where Gold has previously met strong selling pressure. Watch for rejection here. Higher Resistance: 3391.750 - 3395.000. A decisive break above this level would signal a more robust long-term bullish trend. Current BUY Zone (Support): Around 3302.939 - 3311.214. This is a critical demand zone where strong buying interest is likely to emerge, aligning with recent lows. Next Key Support: 3286.257. This is the next line of defense if the current BUY zone breaks. 🎯 Trade Plan & Key Zones: BUY ZONE: 3286 - 3284 SL: 3280 TP: 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3306 - 3310 - 3315 - 3320 BUY SCALP: 3302 - 3300 SL: 3295 TP: 3306 - 3310 - 3314 - 3318 - 3322 - 3326 - 3330 SELL ZONE: 3353 - 3355 SL: 3360 TP: 3350 - 3346 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330 - 3320 SELL ZONE: 3372 - 3374 SL: 3378 TP: 3370 - 3366 - 3362 - 3358 - 3354 - 3350 ⚠️ What Else to Watch For: More Fed Official Speeches: Any new comments on inflation or policy will keep the market buzzing. Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing global tensions can always boost Gold's safe-haven appeal. Let's trade smart and stay sharp! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD 25 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSDHello traders. I’ve spotted an exceptional sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair—one of those setups that come around once in a hundred years! The trade offers a Risk-to-Reward ratio of over 1:8, so I thought it would be valuable to share it with you. Please adjust your risk parameters accordingly before entering the trade. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: H1 ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:8.70 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 3333.35 ✔️ Take Profit: 3317.75 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3335.13 🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
4
4‑Hour Analysis – Supply & Demand Overview 25 June 20251. Market Structure XAU/USD currently trades at 3333 and shows clear higher highs and higher lows on the 4‑hour timeframe—reflecting a bullish structure backed by recent swing lows above 3300 and highs nearing 3365 2. Key Demand Zones DZ1: 3320–3330 – Consolidation region with multiple wicks and price rejections; confirmed buying volume (aligned with ML and 50‑EMA confluence) DZ2: 3300–3310 – A deeper base with strong reversal history; aligns with psychological round number and 0.382 Fib of recent up-swing 3. Key Supply Zones SZ1: 3350–3360 – Upper resistance cluster formed by repeated spikes and quick rejections; overlapping 0.5–0.618 Fib from the last retracement SZ2: 3380–3400 – Broader distribution area with past failed breakouts; significant liquidity shelf noted 4. Why These Zones Matter Demand zones act as value entry areas where institutional and retail buyers absorb selling pressure, usually followed by swift reversals. Supply zones represent distribution pockets where buy orders face strong pushback, often leading to corrective moves. 5. Bias ✅ Overall Bias – Bullish (4‑hour) thanks to structural trend (HH/HL), price above key previews like 50‑EMA & 20‑EMA, and consistent demand responses. Only a break below 3320 invalidates bullish tilt. ⚡ 1‑Hour Intraday Setups (Aligned with Bullish 4H Bias) Buy the Dip (Main Entry) Zone: 3320–3325 Context: Retest of DZ1, tagging the 4H structure and 1H ascending trendline. Confirmation: Bullish pin bar or long tail candle + volume surge. Channel Retest Quick‑Entry Zone: 3330–3335 Context: Price remediates after a clean breakout above the 1‑hour descending channel. Confirmation: Trendline bounce or bullish engulfing on the first test. Supply‑Fade (Aggressive) Zone: 3350–3355 Context: Approach to SZ1—plays the bearish reaction in a bull market context. Confirmation: Bearish pin bar, upper wick exhaustion, and slim 1H RSI divergence. 📈 Chart Snapshot & Confluences DZ1 (3320–3330) aligns with the 0.382 Fib and ascending 1‑hour trendline. Quick-entry zone (3330–3335) sits close to the 1‑hour 50‑EMA, offering dynamic multi‑timeframe confluence. SZ1 aligns with higher-term fib and previous supply peaks. 📝 Ready Summary XAU/USD – 4H Structure: Bullish – higher highs & higher lows. Major Demand Zones: 3320–3330 (primary), 3300–3310 (secondary). Major Supply Zones: 3350–3360 (hot zone), 3380–3400 (upper resistance). Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above 3320. Intraday Trade Zones: Buy the Dip: 3320–3325 – look for pin‑bar/volume bounce. Quick Re‑Entry: 3330–3335 – trendline or 50‑EMA test confirmation. Supply Fade (Aggressive): 3350–3355 – bearish rejection setup. Pro Tip: Focus on clean price action signals (wicks, engulfings, volume) within entry zones and confirm with multi‑timeframe confluences (Fib, EMA, trendlines).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
XAUUSD poised for a rebound?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the 3,327 level after breaking below a short-term ascending trendline that started in mid-May. While this break might suggest a potential bearish reversal, from a technical standpoint, it could simply be a corrective move within a larger bullish structure. The current price pattern appears to be forming a classic ABC correction. If the support zone around 3,320–3,325 holds, there’s a strong possibility that price will rebound toward the 3,400–3,480 region in the coming sessions. This area is not only a technical support but also a previous demand zone where buyers stepped in aggressively. Close attention should be paid to any bullish price action signals here. A reversal candlestick or a volume spike could serve as confirmation for a rebound setup. A potential trade idea is to consider a long position around 3,320–3,325, with a stop loss below 3,308. First target is set at 3,400, and an extended target at 3,480 if bullish momentum continues. Conversely, if the price closes below 3,308 with strong volume, the bearish scenario will gain ground, potentially dragging price down to the 3,280–3,231 support area. The setup remains open, and clear confirmation is needed. Patience is key—wait for solid signals before committing to a position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
2
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour candlestick chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) from late June to early July 2025. The current price is $3,332.245, reflecting a +0.26% increase (+$8.795) as of 07:39 AM CEST on June 25, 2025. The chart highlights a recent price range between $3,320.076 and $3,365.226, with a notable support level around $3,329.934 and resistance near $3,355.226. The chart includes a shaded area indicating a consolidation or trading range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Gold is under pressure. Will the trend change?Information summary: The easing of tensions in the Middle East is the main reason for the suppression of gold. Risk aversion has weakened, and the market has entered a risk-taking mode. Gold prices are well supported near $3,300. Powell released an important signal: The market expected Powell to strongly refute the possibility of a rate cut, but he remained on the sidelines. The market still generally believes that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to initiate a rate cut, and the first rate cut is expected to be in September. Market analysis: Gold has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, which has changed the current bull structure in stages, so there is no doubt that gold is expected to fall back as a whole. The early decline was near 3355, which is the current long-short watershed of gold. As long as the adjustment does not break through the 3355 position, the overall short-term adjustment pattern of gold will not change. The early Asian market did not continue to retreat, but the short-term rebound had a long buying force accumulation, but as long as it did not break through 3355, the market trend was still weak, and it was adjusted by low-level shock correction. Today, there is a high probability of movement around the falling range. The short-term support below is around 3290. If this position is lost, it may touch the turning point around 3275. Operation strategy: Go long when the price falls back to around 3315, stop loss at 3305, and profit range 3345-3350.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Will gold prices continue to decline?On Tuesday, spot gold once fell below the $3,310 level and finally closed down 1.67% at $3,322.82 per ounce, as the Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment and Fed Chair Powell stated that more time is needed before considering interest rate cuts. Spot silver closed down 0.46% at $35.90 per ounce. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.2960%, and the 2-year yield at 3.8310%. Powell indicated that current policy is in a favorable position to wait and see before considering rate adjustments, adding that "colleagues privately say I'm doing the right thing". The vast majority of officials believe rate cuts later this year would be appropriate, while noting it's "too early to declare the U.S. dollar is falling". Technically, gold's daily chart formed a large bearish candle with a lower shadow, breaking below previous support levels amid consolidation. This suggests the bearish trend may persist. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: sell@3330-3335 TP:3300-3295
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by MyronWilson
The rebound is an opportunity to short goldAfter the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel and Powell's hawkish remarks that strongly refuted the possibility of a rate cut, gold fell sharply and hit a low near 3295. Although gold has rebounded, it is particularly difficult during the rebound process, which shows that the bulls are not willing to attack, and the rebound is only a technical repair of the decline. Since gold fell below 3300 yesterday, the current bull structure has been changed in stages and the confidence of the bulls has been greatly weakened. As gold falls, it will be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. Before gold breaks through this area, any rebound may give us an opportunity to short gold; in addition, after gold falls below 3300 once, in order to move downward and test support, gold has the need to retreat again. So in the next short-term trading, we can try to use the 3345-3355 area as resistance, short gold appropriately, and look to the 3315-3305 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Geopolitical Spike Fades Fast – Gold Eyes 3300As highlighted in Friday’s analysis, the daily and short-term charts remain messy, but the weekly chart is leaning clearly bearish – with a potential Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation now confirmed. 🌍 Geopolitical Gap Up... and Quick Rejection Monday’s Asian open brought a gap up, triggered by renewed tensions in the Middle East. But price failed to break above 3400 and quickly reversed – a textbook sign of weakness, not strength. 🧭 Technical View: - The weekly candle closed as a Dark Cloud Cover, a strong bearish reversal signal - The lack of follow-through after the gap up further confirms sellers are still in control - Price remains below the key 3400 level, showing no bullish momentum behind recent spikes 📌 Trading Plan: I continue to sell rallies, with an initial target near 3300. If bearish momentum builds, lower levels are in play. Let the chart lead – don’t get distracted by the noise. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Gold Short Term OutlookGold dipped into the Support Zone but failed to sustain the breakdown below it. After briefly breaking below the zone, price has rebounded and is now attempting a short-term recovery. However, structure remains bearish, with price trading below both the 50MA and 200MA, signalling continued downside pressure unless momentum shifts. For bullish momentum to continue, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,330, which may open the path toward $3,346, then $3,361. If the move up doesn’t hold, the next reaction is expected near key support. 🔑 Key Levels: Resistance: $3,330 • $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375 Support: $3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242 📌 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before committing to a direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside. The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward. Technicals: • Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones • 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response • EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion • First target: $3,352 • Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260 Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance. Fundamentals • Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from: ▫️ A strong USD ▫️ Higher cost of carry ▫️ Speculators taking profit • Fed policy remains the core variable: ▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price ▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum • Central bank demand remains supportive • Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again. Bearish headwinds: • Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence • Reduced rate cut expectations post-election • Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way. This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility. Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AR33_
Dark moment for prices. Will it fall even lower?Information summary: Due to the ceasefire in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, market risk appetite has rebounded, demand for safe-haven assets has declined, and gold prices have plummeted. As an interest-free asset, gold prices are under pressure against the backdrop of declining risk aversion, but there is still buying support at low levels. Investors are currently focusing on the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a hearing of the House Financial Services Committee. Powell has been cautious about whether to cut interest rates in the near future. Market analysis: The current market selling sentiment has increased significantly, and for gold, falling has become the only path. It seems that the market has lost hope in gold, and the current gold price has fallen to around 3295, then rebounded slightly, and is currently fluctuating around 3313. The break of 3300 declares that gold still has further room to fall, and from the trend point of view, it is likely to continue to fall. The current trend shows that the important support is around 3285. It is possible that it will fall directly to the current position. The Fed is still speaking, and it is unpredictable whether it will cause drastic fluctuations in gold in the future. However, from today's trend, shorting is the best solution at present, and the upper resistance position is in the range of 3315-3325. Operation strategy: Short around 3320, stop loss 3330, profit range 3290-3285.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1