GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 3167.60 on 04/03/2025, so more losses to support(s) 3000.00, 2955.00, 2879.11 and minimum to Major Support (2772.38) is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3167.60
3200.00
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Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD Daily Analysis📈 XAUUSD Daily Analysis – 12/04/2025
🔥 Strong bullish move after a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) and liquidity grab below the Previous Daily Low.
📉 A significant Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains between 3,100,000 and 3,175,000 – a potential pullback zone.
📍 Price could revisit this FVG before continuing the bullish momentum towards 3,300,000+.
🔹 PDL = Previous Daily Low
🔴 BAG = Breakaway Gap
🧠 Patience is key – wait for price reaction in the zone of interest.
📌 For educational purposes only – not financial advice.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments ⬇️
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XAUUSD Weekly Forecast: Probable Price Range and Trade PlanAs of April 12, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) has experienced significant volatility, reaching record highs amid global economic uncertainties. Here's an analysis based on the latest data:
📅 Economic Calendar Highlights (April 2025)
Key upcoming events that could influence gold prices include:
April 15: U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release
April 17: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
April 18: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
📈 XAU/USD Technical Overview
Trend & Momentum: Current Price: Approximately $3,236.21 per ounce.
Trend: Strong uptrend, with prices surging past the critical $3,200 mark.
RSI (14): 64.826 – approaching overbought territory, suggesting strong buying pressure.
MACD (12,26): Positive value of 21.21 – indicating bullish momentum.
ADX (14): 33.482 – confirming a strong trend.
Moving Averages: All major moving averages (MA5 to MA200) are signaling a 'Buy,' reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $3,245.69 – recent intraday high.
Next Resistance Target: $3,300 – as projected by analysts amid ongoing market dynamics.
Immediate Support: $3,174.14 – recent intraday low.
Key Support Levels: $3,048 and $2,953 – potential pullback zones if a correction occurs.
Candlestick Patterns:
A “shooting star” pattern has emerged, which may signal a short-term reversal or consolidation phase.
Price Projection for April 14–18, 2025
Considering the current technical indicators and market conditions:
Projected Minimum Price: $3,180 – accounting for potential short-term corrections.
Projected Maximum Price: $3,280 – if bullish momentum continues without significant resistance.
Investors seek refuge and gold is providing it!! The US dollar, equity and bond markets have all been hit hard and money has not turned to US treasuries either. I guess confidence on anything directly related to the USA is very low right now. No surprise that investors chose to place their faith in Gold, a precious metal that has been bullish since 2016.
However, finding a suitable entry especially in a parabolic trend is not easy. I am hoping for a pullback, perhaps in the region between 3175-3153 as shown on my chart. This region has acted as resistance earlier this month and recently, price broke above it. A pullback has not occurred yet and I am hoping this will happen this week. In the event that it does, that will provide traders a good location for entry and stop placement. Price will also narrow the gap it currently has with the 20ema (mean reversion).
Initial target can be the current high of 3245.40, with the strong possibility that price will extend even higher.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk.
If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
A Weekly Summary of Gold: Continuously Breaking New Highs! This week, the gold market has been performing remarkably. It has continuously broken through all - time highs within just two days. Spot gold opened at $3088.17 per ounce, and its price has been oscillating upwards all the way, reaching a high of $3248 per ounce.
The gold market has witnessed a significant rally under the combined effect of various factors. Geopolitical risks have continued to provide a safe - haven support for gold. Factors such as the impact of tariff policies at the economic policy level have promoted the rise in gold prices from different perspectives. Market sentiment has also shifted from the previous panic selling to positive buying.
In the future, the economic data released by the United States and the policy expectations of the Federal Reserve will have an impact on the price of gold. The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are constantly changing, and we need to keep a close eye on the relevant information.
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
XAUUSD will it break through 3200?At present, the price of gold is just one step away from its all-time high. Will it break through to a new high?
3,168 is a strong resistance point. Once this level is broken through, gold may have a chance to surpass the 3,200 mark.
Leave your opinions in the comments, and let's discuss them together.
Gold Shows Downward Correction, Short Strategy Timely EnteredIn the previous trading signal, it was advised to take profits around $3235. Based on the latest market analysis, gold prices are expected to experience a downward correction. Therefore, it is recommended to open short positions around $3230. Investors should closely monitor market trends and adjust stop-profit levels in response to price fluctuations to secure profits. Please remain flexible and responsive to market changes, capturing every trading opportunity with precision.
Gold Prices Continue Uptrend Short-Term Bullish Opportunity EmeSCurrently, gold prices are exhibiting an upward trend, fluctuating between $3230 and $3233. Based on market analysis, it is anticipated that gold prices will continue to rise. It is recommended to enter long positions near $3230, with a target profit around $3235 to secure short-term gains. Continue to monitor market developments, maintain profits, and adjust stop-profit levels as necessary to navigate potential market fluctuations.
GOLD Explosive Bull Run or Setup for a Historic Short?📌 XAU/USD Outlook: Explosive Bull Run or Setup for a Historic Short? 💥📈
✨ Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has entered an exceptionally volatile phase, with price swings exceeding $100 per day. After dropping from 3,280 to 3,080, gold has roared back to a new all-time high at 3,200 in just two sessions — raising the critical question: Is this a true recovery wave, or merely a bull trap ahead of a potential historic short?
A surge of capital has flooded into financial markets, aggressively buying the dip across multiple asset classes. Investor psychology is now at the forefront, driving gold into extreme territory.
🌍 Fundamental Outlook:
Recent U.S. economic data came in weaker than expected, supporting the bullish momentum in gold. If history repeats itself, we could witness similar outcomes with the upcoming CPI and PPI releases — both of which are forecast to remain soft, potentially weakening the USD and further lifting gold.
Short-term: U.S. consumer demand appears weaker, pressuring USD.
Medium-to-long term: These weak data points may be laying the groundwork for a massive short on gold once the Fed initiates its expected rate cuts — potentially as early as June.
📊 Technical Outlook:
Gold’s price action is becoming increasingly difficult to predict. It took a full week for gold to fall $200 — but only two days to fully reclaim that ground and establish a new ATH.
Today, the market may continue this bullish surge, particularly if the PPI data surprises to the downside.
Key Support Levels:
3,200
3,188
3,174
3,157
3,130
3,120
Key Resistance Levels:
3,265
3,302
🧭 Trading Plan:
BUY Zone (High Probability):
Entry: 3,175 – 3,173
Stop Loss: 3,168
Take Profit: 3,180 | 3,184 | 3,188 | 3,192 | 3,196 | 3,200 | Open
SELL Zone (Aggressive Counter-Play)
Entry: 3,301 – 3,303
Stop Loss: 3,308
Take Profit: 3,296 | 3,292 | 3,288 | 3,284 | 3,280 | 3,270 | Open
⚠️ Risk Management Advisory:
Price action is extremely volatile — trade setups should be chosen carefully. Ensure proper stop-loss and take-profit are in place for every trade. Avoid emotional entries and respect risk-to-reward principles to protect your capital.
💡 Conclusion:
Gold is in a critical zone. With macro sentiment, news flow, and technicals all aligned, traders must stay alert. In the short term, the FOMO-driven rally looks likely to continue — but remain vigilant for signs of a reversal that could usher in a massive short wave.
🗨️ Share Your View:
Do you see gold continuing this bullish run — or is this the calm before a historic dump? Share your thoughts and strategies below! 💬👇
Gold Prices Decline, Short Strategy Successfully Captures ProfitCurrently, gold prices are showing a clear bearish trend, previously fluctuating around $3240. Based on market predictions, there is a potential for further downward movement in gold. A short position was suggested around the $3240 level, and as the market corrected, gold prices have indeed dropped, allowing short-positioned investors to lock in profits. Congratulations to those who successfully capitalized on this short opportunity and secured gains. Stay alert to market developments and carefully adjust your stop-profit levels to ensure the stability of your returns.
Gold's safe-haven demand surgesThis week, concerns over a global economic slowdown have swept across Wall Street, becoming the dominant market sentiment. In this context, U.S. President Trump's erratic messaging on tariff policies has triggered a panic sell-off in U.S. stocks, bonds, and the dollar, highlighting gold's position as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices have surged sharply, breaking through all previous resistance levels and maintaining an upward trend. Given the ongoing risk-off sentiment, the bullish momentum in gold remains strong, and the market may continue to trend higher in the near term.
In this market environment, it is recommended that investors take long positions near $3220 and consider taking profits around $3230 to fully capitalize on the current uptrend in gold. For additional trading signals, Please stay tuned.
Gold Breaks $3240, Shorting Opportunity EmergesGold prices have now surged to around $3240, continuing the recent strong upward momentum. Based on the previous trading signal, a long position at $3220 was suggested; however, due to the high volatility, many investors may have missed the opportunity to go long at that level. At this point, with prices approaching $3240, it may be an opportune time to establish short positions, with a target profit around $3225. Please note that this is just personal advice, and actual trading decisions should be made with attention to changes in key price levels.
US tariffs have caused XAU/USD's continuous rise.Surge in Safe - haven Demand:US tariff hikes heighten trade tensions, stoking fears of global economic slowdown. Worried about rising corporate costs and supply - chain disruptions, investors flock to gold, a traditional safe - haven, to hedge risks, pushing its price up 📈.
Highlighted Anti - inflation Property:Higher tariffs may boost imported - goods prices, fueling inflation. Gold, with stable value in inflation, is favored by investors as a wealth - preserving asset, thus driving its price higher 💰.
Dollar Substitution Effect:Uncertain US tariff policies raise dollar credit risk, eroding market confidence. Some investors cut dollar - asset holdings and turn to gold, lifting gold demand and price. Also, expected Fed rate - cuts due to tariffs pressure the dollar, further pushing up gold price as low - rate environments benefit non - yielding gold 💴.
Once the trade war ignited by tariff disputes shows signs of improvement or when peace negotiations commence, XAU/USD is highly likely to witness a substantial decline ↓.
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases.
Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
Gold continues to rise and has not yet peaked!At the four-hour level, this wave of rise is extremely strong, climbing all the way without a pullback. If there is a pullback, it is also an opportunity for us to get on board and go long. At the hourly level, the price of gold has risen strongly and unilaterally. It is now 50 points away from last week's high. Although the rise has stopped at the upper track of the Bollinger Band, it may be a bit extravagant to expect a pullback. Our prudent idea today is to wait for a pullback before going long and bullish, and do not guess the top above. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to go long on pullbacks as the main strategy, and short on rebounds as the auxiliary strategy.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Short gold rebounds near 3245-3250 in batches, with a target of 3220-3200, and a break of 3190;
Long order strategy: Go long gold in batches near 3188-3190, with a target of 3225-3235, and a break of 3250;
Gold (XAU/USD)Trade Setup – Bullish RBR Zone & High Reward Poten🔹 Key Levels:
📍 Entry Point: 3211 🔵
📍 Stop Loss: 3185.109 🔴
📍 Target Point: 3300 🟢
🔹 Market Structure:
📈 The price has formed a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) zone 📊, which is a bullish continuation pattern 🚀.
🔄 The market surged and is now consolidating within the RBR zone 📦 before potentially resuming its uptrend 📢.
🔹 Trading Plan:
✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces into the RBR zone (around 3211), consider a buy position. 🛒📊
🔻 Stop Loss: Set below the base at 3185.109 to limit risk. ⚠️🚫
🎯 Take Profit: Aiming for 3300, a major resistance level. 🎯📈
🔹 Indicators & Confluence:
📏 DEMA (9): 3223.297 (Currently acting as resistance 🛑)
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup (High Reward Potential ✅)
🔹 Potential Risks:
⚠️ If price drops below 3185, it could indicate a trend reversal 🔄⛔.
🌎 Economic News & Geopolitical Factors may impact Gold prices significantly. 📰📉
🔹 Conclusion:
📊 Bullish Opportunity 🦅📈 – If the price respects the RBR zone, it may continue upwards towards 3300! 🚀💰
XAUUSD Entry on break of structure ?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 11 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 04 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high and printing bullish iBOS.
We currently do not have an indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
It is possible for price to potentially print higher highs in order to reposition CHoCH closer to current price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Price has continued higher without a meaningful pullback, therefore, I will not classify previous iBOS, which is marked in red, as a bullish iBOS.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Ideas April 11th - Brand new ATH 3220 & PPI✨ MARKET CONTEXT:
Gold is currently testing the 3220 supply ceiling after a massive bullish leg. Liquidity has been swept above March highs, and PA is now in a highly reactive zone. If price rejects here, we look for imbalances to be mitigated below before continuation.
🙌Wait for clear PA confirmation on all entries (5-15m structure shift, engulfing candles, liquidity grabs).
If PPI news hits hard, we might see manipulation — trade after the first 15–30 min.
Don’t overtrade. Let the levels come to you.
Goldie loves the drama. You love the sniper entries. 💅🏽🎯
🎯 Key Reversal Zones for Friday (Potential Pullback if News Hits or Profit Taking Begins):
1. 3190–3195: Minor mitigation zone for continuation longs.
2. 3183–3189: Ideal for sniper entries on a juicy dip.
3. 3170–3175: Key mid-structure retest + liquidity zone.
4. 3148–3155: Full pullback area if market turns bearish post-news.
Keep these levels on your radar, especially if Friday gets volatile. Don’t chase the hype—let price come to you.
🧵 Key Imbalance Refill Zones:
- 3195–3203: First scalp area, high confluence.
- 3178–3184: Strong impulse base.
- 3162–3169: Ideal sniper entry with bullish PA.
- 3148–3154: Big daddy support (but news sensitive!).
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow our community for more in-depth ideas. 💛
"Gold on Fire: Demand Zone Bounce with Bullish Target Ahead! "Key Zones & Levels:
Demand Zone 🔵
Area: 3099.36 – 3110
This is where buyers stepped in strongly before – price bounced up from here twice!
Strong support zone!
Resistance / Mini Consolidation ⚠️
Around 3125 – 3135
Price is hesitating here – needs to break this box for continuation.
Target Point 🎯
Level: 3168.17
Based on previous highs – this is the bullish target zone!
Stop Loss ❌
Level: 3099.36
Placed just below the demand zone to limit losses if price breaks down.
Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: ✍️ 3110–3125
Stop Loss: ❌ 3099.36
Target: 🎯 3168.17
Risk-Reward Ratio: 5:1 ⭐️ (Great setup!)
What to Watch For:
✅ If price holds above demand and breaks the mini consolidation, expect bullish continuation.
❌ If price drops below the demand zone, setup is invalid – risk of further decline.