Gold prices rebounded weakly after a sharp plunge!After Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, market risk aversion significantly cooled, and gold prices plunged by more than $30 in early trading. From a technical perspective, the moving average system of gold's daily chart shows an intertwined state, with relatively balanced bullish and bearish forces. Currently, the key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological threshold. If effectively broken through, it may open up an upward space; the support level below focuses on the 3285-3290 range, which is the lower edge of the May platform (shock platform). If broken, it may exacerbate pullback pressure. The loss of the middle 轨 (middle track) in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure, providing technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long near 3285-3290 during the pullback in the evening, but currently, gold continues to decline following the trend.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@3290-3295
TP:3335-3340
Xauusdanalysis
Will the 3300 support hold today?Due to the sudden ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel today, the gold market quickly flipped from bullish to bearish — when gold tested the 3300 support level just now, it rebounded near 3315 📈.
It may challenge the 3290-3300 support range again later: if it effectively breaks below, the next target is the strong support at 3265, and it may eventually dip to 3200 before starting a rebound 🔄.
If the breakout fails, it may consolidate near 3330, waiting for further market guidance 📊
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3330 - 3320
🚀 TP 3310 - 3305
Gold prices rebound weakly after sharp fallFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is intertwined, and the long and short forces are relatively balanced. The current key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological barrier. If an effective breakthrough is achieved, it may open up the upward space; the support below focuses on the 3285-3290 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, it may increase the pressure of the correction. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long near the 3285-3290 level. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3287-3292 area of gold, with a stop loss at 3280 and a target of 3320-3340.
Buy gold, there may be a rebound in the short termAt present, gold has touched the area of 3325-3315 mentioned in my previous article, and the lowest price is around 3316. At present, due to the current important support area of 3310-3300 below, gold still has a rebound demand in the short term; although gold has not rebounded sharply at present, the downward momentum has indeed slowed down, and gold may rebound after the short force is consumed. Moreover, the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has not yet been settled. Moreover, the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has not yet been settled. With the fluctuating situation in the Middle East, bulls may have opportunities to counterattack.
However, the current performance of gold is indeed relatively weak, so there is no need to expect gold to rebound and fill the upper gap area of 3360-3370 in the short term; in trading, the rebound expectation can be appropriately lowered, and long positions can continue to be held and look up to the 3340-3350 area.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short (SELL LIMIT) 1. Trend Alignment: H1 shows a clear down-trend — lower highs at 3446 → 3397 → 3347. SMAs on H1/M15 have turned down.
2. High-Probability Pullback: Price has broken the 3340 support twice and pulled back. Resistance here is offering a tight stop and plenty of room to TP.
3. Structural SL: Stop sits just above the prior swing high (~3350–3352)
Entry
Sell Limit @ 3340.37
Prior day low (now resistance) on H1 & M15
Stop Loss
3352.00
Just above the swing high around 3350–3351
Take Profit
3293.07
Invalidation
15 min candle close < 3310
Time Expiry
8:30 AM PST
Cancel if not triggered by then
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold Spot Price Analysis (4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAU/USD) from June 22 to July 9. The chart shows a downward trend with recent prices around $3,299.48, representing a 2.07% decrease. Technical indicators and annotations suggest potential support and resistance levels, with a highlighted area indicating a possible trading range. The data is sourced from OANDA.
XAUUSD Beginning of a Trend Reversal? Bearish Move IncomingGold is showing signs of potential downside pressure on the 4-hour chart. After a rejection from the upper volatility band and a failure to sustain bullish momentum above the dynamic EMA cloud, price has rolled over and is now trading below the midline support area.
🔻 Bearish Structure Developing:
Price rejected strongly from the upper gray zone (Resistance band).
A new lower high has formed, aligning with bearish market structure.
Candles are trading under the red-to-blue transition EMA ribbon, indicating increasing bearish sentiment.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Near 3,365
SL: Above the recent high near 3,406
TP: Targeting the lower band support around 3,300 – 3,323
Buy gold first, and short on gold after filling the gapGold is currently continuing to retreat, and the lowest has reached around 3333. Gold is quite weak, and the bears have completely taken the upper hand. The overall center of gravity of gold is shifting downward, and the short-term support below is 3330-3325. Once gold falls below this support area, gold may continue to fall to 3300, or even 3280; since gold has fallen to the 3340-3330 area, we cannot rush to short gold in the operation, because there is a technical gap above that needs to be filled, so gold still has a rebound to 3360-3370 in the short term.
Therefore, before gold falls below the short-term support of 3300-3325, we can appropriately consider going long on gold; after gold rebounds technically and fills the gap above, we can consider continuing to try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area.
GOLD 2 Best Places For Sell Very Clear , Don`t Miss 300 Pips !Here is my opinion on Gold at the moment after the price moved very hard to downside as i mentioned in the last update , now we have a very good 2 places to sell it again , the first one @ 3326.00 , it`s a very good place to sell it cuz it was a very good support and the price break it and now it will play as a good res so we can sell from it , and if the price go higher we can sell from area between 3350 : 3345.00 , it will be a great place to sell it also , and if the highest place who force the price to downside we can add another sell entry from 3326.00 if we have a daily closure below it .
Gold Take All Stop losses,Are You Ready To Sell To Get 300 Pips?Here is my 1H Gold Chart and this is my opinion , the price opened this week with massive wick to upside to take all stop losses and then moved to downside very hard and aggressive , we have a very good Res that we sell from it last week 3377.00 , it`s still strong and forced the price many times to respect it so it still my fav level to sell it again today if the price touch it and give me a good bearish price action to confirm the entry and we can targeting 300 pips at least . if we have a daily closure above my res then we will think about buying instead of selling , but until now i`m looking to sell it from the level i mentioned .
Gold is about to break through 3400! On June 21, 2025 local time, U.S. President Trump announced that the U.S. had launched strikes against three Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan—using six B-2 stealth bombers 😲. This move marked the formal intervention of the U.S. in the Middle East conflict, prompting the UN Security Council to convene an emergency meeting immediately. This underlies the core logic of our sustained "long gold" strategy last week: the geopolitical situation in the Middle East harbors the risk of escalating at any moment 🤯. If the Security Council fails to roll out direct solutions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, may continue its upward trajectory driven by market panic 📈.
The UN Security Council meeting on June 23, 2025 failed to break the deadlock, and the Middle East situation remains highly fluid. Given that the U.S. is highly unlikely to implement any solutions proposed by the Security Council, the regional crisis may deteriorate further 🚨
Gold is about to break through 3,400! 🌟
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War breaks out again? The latest analysis and layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
At the 4H level: the Bollinger Band opening is enlarged, the MACD indicator double-line death cross is downward, the short-selling force is strengthened, but the RSI indicator rebounds after being oversold. Overall, there are obvious signs of a rebound in gold prices. At the hourly level: the gold price is in a downward channel, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the MACD indicator is dead cross and the red bars are converging, and the short momentum has weakened. The RSI indicator rebounds from oversold, and the demand for spot gold rebounds is obvious. Therefore, we still hold long orders near 3320 in the short term. Short-term operation suggestion: go long when it stabilizes at 3325-3315, pay attention to the resistance range of 3370-3380 on the upside, and consider shorting when encountering resistance and pressure.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3345-3365
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold continues to decline, can it still change the trend?Information summary:
Will the Fed cut interest rates in July? The latest statements of Fed officials have released a heavy signal. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that as long as inflationary pressures remain moderate, she will support a rate cut at the next policy meeting in July. At the same time, Trump has continued to put pressure on the Fed.
Next, investors need to pay attention to the testimony of Fed Chairman Powell on the semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee today.
Market analysis:
Gold fell sharply today, directly breaking the key support level of 3350. From a 4-hour perspective, the MA moving average shows a short trend arrangement, and the MA5\10 moving average crosses the MA20/30 long-term moving average downward, which indicates that the short force is dominant. In addition, the RSI indicator also fell rapidly and entered the oversold area, but this may also suggest that prices have a rebound trend in the short term.
I think the current market price decline trend is more obvious, unless there is significant positive data, the gold price may continue to decline.
Gold intraday Short opportunityGold is currently moving with steady bearish momentum to the downside. at the opening of the week we saw downside momentum which is supported by price trading below the 50 SMA and trading with bearish momentum on the RSI below 45.
Potential retracement towards the $3344 price levels before continuation to the downside support at $3300. Looking to capitalize on this short opportunity for the day before price reacts to the major support at $330
6/24 Gold Analysis and Trading OutlookGood morning, everyone!
Gold closed yesterday with a T-shaped candlestick. Although there was an intraday recovery after briefly breaching the MA20, the closing price remained below the MA5, indicating continued pressure on the upside.
Today’s opening saw a direct drop in price, suggesting a potential break below key support. Two important levels to monitor today:
Whether the closing price stays above 3355
Whether the intraday support at 3328 holds
If 3328 breaks down, the 3300 level may become the next major battleground between bulls and bears.
Driven by geopolitical news, gold has shown sharp volatility over the past two days. While this increases trading risk, it also presents more opportunities. From a technical perspective, today’s strategy should prioritize selling on rebounds, with buying at lower levels as a secondary approach. As always, stay disciplined and manage risk effectively.
Weakness continues, continue to short the bear market📰 Impact of news:
1. Pay attention to Powell's speech in New York
2. Pay attention to geopolitical influence
📈 Market analysis:
Gold opened lower and showed a weak situation. The 1H moving average was arranged downward. In the short term, bears still occupied the main trend. From the 4-hour analysis of gold, the bulls still had repeated resistance before breaking down. Once it breaks down, the market will go further bearish. Pay attention to 3330 below. 3400 is still the key above in the short term. Only by breaking through the bulls can the rebound continue. In terms of operation, high-altitude and low-long are temporarily maintained. Pay attention to the short-term resistance of 3355-3365 above, and the support of 3340-3330 below. Pay attention to the breakthrough! Pay attention to Powell's speech in the New York session.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3370-3365-3355
TP 3340-3330
BUY 3340-3335-3320
TP 3345-3355-3365
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD is still on Rising channel on D1H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & Rising wedge on D1 Today we have volume opening Gap on OANDA which is still pending.
Market is holding the Range of 3330-3380
What's possible scanarios we have?
if gold sustained with this falling channel and H4 remains above 3320-3330 then Before the US market, I think gold can still return to around 3350 then 3370.
On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3320 buyying will be limited and market will again the rangbound 3290-3330
#XAUUSD
XAUUSD Hello traders. Today's second and also final trade opportunity comes from the XAUUSD pair. I consider this setup to be somewhat risky, so I recommend keeping your risk exposure at a minimum.
Earlier today, I shared a trade on GBPJPY, which has since experienced a strong upward move. As a result, I’ve updated the TP level for that trade. You can find the updated information noted under that specific post.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3323.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3340.22
✔️ Stop Loss: 3314.50
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?
Gold enters the new trading week balancing on a technical and macroeconomic knife’s edge. After a steep decline, prices are testing critical liquidity zones — just as geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty intensify.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
📰 Middle East Tensions Rising Again: Israel has signaled potential strikes on Tehran after Iran allegedly violated a ceasefire agreement. Such developments usually support gold as a safe-haven asset.
📊 US Economic Signals Are Mixed: Last week’s PMI and housing data point toward an economic slowdown. If this week’s Core PCE data softens, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September will grow — likely weakening the USD and lifting gold.
🏦 Global Demand for Gold Still Strong: Central banks, particularly from China and India, are continuing their gold accumulation, reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals.
📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
Gold is still trading within a downward channel but is now approaching a strong demand zone around 3276, a level that has triggered rebounds in the past.
EMA 34 – 89 – 200 indicate bearish momentum, but RSI is showing bullish divergence — hinting at a possible reversal or short-term bounce.
Price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial this week.
✅ XAUUSD Trade Setup
BUY ZONE: 3278 - 3276 | SL: 3270 | TP: 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3305 - 3310
SELL ZONE: 3367 - 3369 | SL: 3375 | TP: 3364 - 3360 - 3356 - 3352 - 3348 - 3344 - 3340 - 3330 - 3320
📌 The Buy Zone lies within a historical liquidity pocket — ideal for a potential rebound if geopolitical risks rise or USD weakens.
📌 The Sell Zone is near a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and local resistance — strong confluence for short opportunities on a bounce.
🧭 Final Thoughts
XAUUSD is facing a pivotal moment. With both geopolitical events and major US economic data on the horizon, traders should prepare for volatility. Patience, technical discipline, and proper SL/TP management will be key to navigating this environment successfully.
XAU/USD: The truth may be late, but it will never be absent.Trump tweeted late at night that a ceasefire had been reached between Israel and Iran, causing gold and crude oil prices to crash straight away.
So far, neither side has officially announced the ceasefire, and new explosions continue to be reported, with the situation likely to reverse at any moment. Market sentiment runs faster than the truth, but the truth will catch up sooner or later.
Key Focus Points:
1.Monitor the authenticity of the ceasefire
2.Track Fed dynamics: If the Fed hints at rate cuts under pressure, the bullish logic for gold will remain intact.
XAUUSD
sell@3365-3375
tp:3340-3330
buy@3330-3340
tp:3360-3370
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XAU/USD 24 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: