GOLD ANALYSISWelcome to the new trading year 2025
Having gone through the year-end season which is the least liquid season of the market, prices seem to fluctuate very little and are still in the side ways H1 and H4 frame.
Need a strong force from the Buy side to break the 2640 zone, the price will continue to return to the 2700 zone. If the price returns and breaks the 2572 zone, it is likely that gold will adjust to 2515.
Currently we will trade on port area 2630- 2640
And support buyers 2604 - 2598 - 2584
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD:2/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2640, support below 2600-2580
Operational suggestions: The current price of gold on Thursday is around 2635. On Tuesday, the bulls bottomed out and rebounded strongly in the volatile trading. The US market stepped back and tested twice, and stabilized at the 2605 mark and continued to rebound. The US market accelerated to break through the 2620 mark and closed strongly. The daily chart rose strongly and engulfed. The overall gold price stabilized at the 2595 mark in the short term, continuing to fluctuate widely. In the short term, it still failed to break the recent oscillation pattern.
From the 4-hour analysis, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 2608-10 below, and pay attention to the important suppression of 2640 above. The operation is mainly to step back and do more, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2618near
SELL:2640near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD Sell NOW Gold price (XAU/USD) rises for the third consecutive session on Thursday, following a more than 27% increase in 2024, marking its best performance since 2010. This upward momentum has been driven by US monetary easing, persistent geopolitical tensions, and record central bank purchasesHowever, the non-interest-bearing Gold may encounter some headwinds as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to take a more cautious approach toward further rate cuts in 2025, signaling a hawkish shift in its monetary policy stance. This change is influenced by uncertainties surrounding potential policy shifts under the incoming Trump administration’s economic plansGeopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict are expected to continue supporting Gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, in the near term. Additionally, a World Gold Council survey suggests that major central banks are likely to increase Gold purchases in 2025, further boosting demand for the precious metalGold price trades near $2,630.00 per troy ounce on Thursday, with the daily chart indicating a consolidation phase as the metal moves sideways. However, the price of the yellow metal moves above the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), suggesting a bullish shift in the short-term momentum. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the 50 mark, reflecting a neutral sentiment
Gold Trading Strategies 2025/1/2Gold is currently forming an irregular head and shoulders bottom pattern on the 30-minute chart. It is now at a horizontal resistance zone (2632-2638), with key support at 2628-2621. If the support within this triangle consolidation area holds, the focus will shift to a potential breakout above the resistance. Over time, the probability of a breakout is likely to increase.
Therefore, the main focus for today's trades is on buying in the 2628-2618 range. During the New York session, the strategy should favor long positions. The key resistance today and tomorrow is around 2640, with support at 2623.
Next week, the focus will shift to the resistance zone at 2652-2661, with support needing close attention in the 2632-2623 area.
Today's and Tomorrow's Trading Strategy:
Buy at 2624-2618
Sell at 2644-2648
Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold (XAU/USD)**:
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance Zone:** Around 2,640-2,645 (gray area in the chart).
- **First Support Level:** 2,620.
- **Second Support Level:** 2,610.
- **Deeper Target:** Below 2,610, likely toward 2,600.
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**Trade Setup (Sell):**
1. **Entry:**
- Wait for a bearish rejection near the 2,640-2,645 resistance zone. Look for signs like a bearish engulfing candle or wicks rejecting the resistance.
2. **Stop Loss:**
- Place your stop loss slightly above the resistance zone at around 2,650 to protect against false breakouts.
3. **Take Profit Targets:**
- **1st Target:** 2,620 (Support zone).
- **2nd Target:** 2,610 (Deeper support).
- **3rd Target (Optional):** 2,600 if the price breaks below 2,610 with strong momentum.
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Alternate Scenario (If Resistance Breaks):**
- If gold breaks and closes above 2,645 on the 1-hour chart, this would invalidate the sell setup.
- Look for a potential **buy opportunity** on a pullback to 2,640 with a target of 2,660.
---
**Tips for Execution:**
- **Confirmation:** Wait for confirmation (candlestick patterns or momentum indicators like RSI divergence) before entering.
- **Risk Management:** Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability.
- **Monitor News:** Be aware of economic news that could impact gold (e.g., USD strength or weakness).
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold Pattern FormationThis commodity has been forming a rising flag for the past few days (which IMO is a strong indicator of a bullish momentum.
I was waiting for the price to hit the bearish order block at 2629 with the SL at 2640 but my entry will be at 2620, SL at 2635 and targets at 2581 and 2535.
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point after the Breakout.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2670 (or) 2680 (or) 2700
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰
Considering these factors, the XAU/USD pair may experience a Bullish trend in the short-term, driven by:
US inflation concerns and the need for a hedge against inflation.
Central banks' increased gold reserves and potential dovish pivot by the Fed.
Decreasing gold supply and increasing gold demand.
Bullish Factors:
Increasing gold demand from central banks and ETFs.
Decreasing gold supply due to reduced mining production.
US inflation concerns and the need for a hedge against inflation.
Potential dovish pivot by the Fed, leading to a decrease in interest rates.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Gold price today 1/2/2025Safe haven demand and central bank rate cuts are the catalysts for gold’s rise in 2024, with the precious metal likely to rise more than 26% in the year, its best performance since 2010. Experts say these factors will continue to drive the precious metal in the new year. However, sentiment is likely to turn more cautious given the policy shift under US President Donald Trump.
Geopolitical tensions are expected to remain elevated next year, as central banks continue to buy gold, while the US debt problem could return. Donald Trump. All of this will provide safe haven demand for the precious metal...
This expert commented that this year will be a bit difficult for gold as the price of this precious metal has increased by nearly 27% in 2024. Prices cooled down in November and December but mainly due to the US election results as it somewhat affected the outlook of the US Federal Reserve (FED) this year.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2636 - 2638🔥
💵 TP1: 2615
💵 TP2: 2605
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2645
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at anypoint.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2586.00 or Before
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰 Economic Factors
US Interest Rate Hikes: The Federal Reserve's potential rate hikes in 2025 could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it less attractive to investors.
Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially reducing demand.
Improving Global Economic Growth: If global economic growth improves, investors may shift their focus away from safe-haven assets like gold.
Sentiment Analysis
Reduced Investor Appetite: If investor appetite for gold decreases, it could lead to reduced demand and lower prices.
Increased Gold ETF Outflows: Increased outflows from gold ETFs could indicate reduced investor interest in gold.
Other Factors
Increased Gold Supply: An increase in gold supply due to increased mining production or recycling could lead to lower prices.
Cryptocurrency Competition: Increased competition from cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin could reduce demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAUUSD Possible bounce to resistance line!XAUUSD has created a strong up trending market structure on the lower timeframe. Weekly price action just has got bounce we may see the price bouncing back to the upside to the weekly liquidity zone at 2651.06. As of on 1 hour timeframe the price already has created smooth uptrend, price may continue to rise in the upcoming sessions.
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index records 3.6% annual gain S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 3.6% annual return for October, down from a 3.9% annual gain in the previous month. The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of 4.8%, down from a 5.2% annual increase in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 4.2%, dropping from a 4.6% increase in the previous month. New York again reported the highest annual gain among the 20 cities with a 7.3% increase in October, followed by Chicago and Las Vegas with annual increases of 6.2% and 5.9%, respectively. .
XAUUSD: Year End ReviewWow what a year it has been!
It's one thing for Tradingview to give us our stats, but it's an entirely different animal when looking at my individual trades head on like this. I can see where I over traded and when/where I made some much needed tweaks.
The tweaks that were made we're so much my strategy as much as it was mindset - taking fewer trades and letting them run longer. On average 2-4 hours.
I learned so many lessons the main one being less truly is more .
So often I would struggle looking at my losing trades and really reviewing my mistakes. Looking at my metrics on my Topstep account allowed me to refine my mindset. I knew when my most profitable days were/are, how long I should hold my trades to allow them to play out to full TP, and arguable the most important stat - when to stay out of the market.
By analyzing just these three metrics I was able to end the year in profit and believe it or not I was able to finish 4 out of 6 months in profit and get funded/pass my trading combine/evaluation.
This isn't the first time I've been funded. However this is the first time and longest time I have kept my account and the closest I have gotten to a payout.
My trading goals for 2025 is to of course get 1 payout per month and earn 4 more funded Topstep funded accounts. This will max out the number of accounts I can have with Topstep. The best part is I can put all 5 accounts on their integrated trade copier.
I decree and declare over myself that 2025 is going to be my best, most profitable, and most prosperous year to date - IN JESUS NAME! AMEN!
Gold is Ready to Attack to Heavy Support zone!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) seems to have managed to break the 100_SMA(Daily) , the Support zone($2,613-$2,608) , and the lower line of the ascending channel and is currently moving in the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 .
In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , with the breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel, we can also see the Bearish Flag Pattern well in the higher time frame .
I expect Gold to GO down at least as wide as the ascending channel and go down to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and 21_SMA(Weekly) .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the 100_SMA(Daily) and Resistance lines, we should expect Gold to rise further.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Boldly short goldBros, gold has shown a strong rebound within the lower timeframes, surging from 2605 to 2615. While the momentum of the rebound appears strong, it has failed to break through the resistance zone of 2618-2625. This suggests that gold may be depleting bullish momentum within the short-term cycle through accelerated upward movements. From a technical perspective, this could also be a potential bull trap, enticing traders to go long on gold.
Therefore, avoid chasing gold during this rebound. As I mentioned in my previous article, you can use the 2618-2625 area as resistance and start shorting gold above 2615. Just now, gold rebounded above 2615, giving us a second opportunity to short gold. Once gold consumes the bullish momentum to a certain extent, it will retest the 2600-2590 zone again, or even 2580 level. Let’s wait and see how this plays out!
Bros, have you joined me in shorting gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading strategies and receive additional trade signals, you can join the channel linked at the bottom of the article. Let’s make trading easier and turn profits into a source of enjoyment!
XAUUSD Sell limit orderWe've got 104 pips of profit from the previous Idea, but I think it is possible to touch this level and grab the liquidity and then go down.
Lets see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
XAUUSD: 31/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2627, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions:
From the 4-hour analysis, gold short-term focus on the short-term suppression of 2627, rebound to this position can be involved in short orders, focus on the suppression of 2635-40, focus on the short-term support of 2580-2600, the operation is mainly based on rebound selling, buy near 2580 support, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2627near
SELL:2618near
BUY:2580near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT 4H – LAST ONE OF THE YEAR!
In last week’s KOG report we said we would be looking for price to find support on the open into path illustration and then attempt the move upside into the 2630-35 range which we suggested would be a reasonable target for any long trades. It’s at this level we wanted to take out our longs and attempt the short trade sticking with the bias of the week which was the 2660 bearish below level.
It was a ranging week with minimal movement considering recent weeks, however, we managed to get the resistance level and then the move down on the red boxes where we suggested traders take partials and then leave runners at BE into the close.
Another decent week on the markets in Camelot not only on Gold but the other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Well, we again have that order region of 2630-35 which we ideally would like to see visited one more time, however, there is a key level of resistance sitting at the 2625-7 region which we would price to attempt during the early session before settling again. Ideally, we would like to see one of these levels reject giving a further move downside into the lower support levels which are active on the red boxes. The first level being 2610 and below that 2600-4 which will need to break for us to go lower into the new year!
It’s a really important week with the yearly candle close above the 2655 level to confirm further movement upside.
The key levels for the end of year, support 2596, needs to break and close below in order to form the structure to go lower and break the range. Resistance 2640 needs to break upside and hold in order to see more gains on this precious metal.
Simple one this week as we’re still on our festive break and spending limited time on the charts. We’ll update and post the analysis for the wider community as we go through the week. Otherwise, wishing you the best of success in your trading journey for the New Year and thank you for being with us.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2640 with targets below 2610, 2604, 2596 and below that 2580
Bullish on break of 2640 with targets above 2655 and above that 2665
RED BOXES:
Break above 2625 for 2630, 2635 and 2638 in extension of the move
Break below 2613 for 2604, 2597, 2592 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Short gold, aiming for 2600-2590Bros, gold rebounded after touching 2596 overnight, and has now rebounded to 2617. Although gold has gradually recovered, the momentum behind the rebound appears notably weak, leaving the sustainability of the recovery uncertain. Furthermore, despite the rebound from the 2596 level, there are no clear signs of bottoming out, which suggests that gold currently lacks the conditions for a trend reversal. This movement is likely just a correction to the sharp decline from yesterday, making it highly probable that gold will retrace after the rebound and retest its support levels.
In the short term, resistance is concentrated in the 2618-2625 range. If the rebound lacks the momentum to decisively break above this resistance, gold is likely to retest the 2600-2595 support zone. Should this zone be breached, the downtrend could extend further to the 2585-2580 range.
For short-term trading, I have entered a short position on gold at a price of 2615.62, using the 2618-2625 range as resistance. I anticipate that gold will once again test the 2600-2595 region. As for whether gold will extend its decline to the 2585-2580 zone, let’s wait and see!
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
xauusd Sell XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
The market has created a Change of Character (CHoCH) in a bearish direction, indicating selling pressure. Currently, the price is retracing toward a significant Order Block (OB) near $2,720. If the price reacts at this level, there is a high probability of a bearish continuation, offering potential selling opportunities.