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Xauusdanalysis

Gold Price Analysis: Potential Bullish Reversal**Chart Description:** This chart represents the price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe. It highlights key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and a potential bullish setup. - The price previously declined, reaching a support zone marked in purple. - A trendline break led to further downside movement. - The price has now formed a consolidation near the support area and is showing signs of a potential reversal. - A blue arrow indicates a possible bullish move towards the upper resistance zone near **$3,044.83**. - The green box represents a possible **risk-to-reward trade setup**, with an entry around **$3,037.89** and a target near **$3,044.83**.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by ChartingMarketInsights
Has gold fallen back from its highs and peaked?The gold hourly chart is forming a head and shoulders top, and it fell back as expected. Now it has stopped falling at the neckline position of 3022 and rebounded again. However, the 4-hour chart did not close higher, and the market continues to be bearish.Operationally，It is recommended to continue to implement the strategy of increasing positions and short selling below 3037, and continue to watch for a sharp drop!.In terms of short-term gold trading, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3037-3040, stop loss at 3055, target around 3025-3015, and look at 3005 if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3003-3005, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3015-3025, and look at 3035 if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RobertaAlsop
Gold fluctuates and rises, breaks out, rebounds and goes shortAs the continuous rise of gold fully demonstrates that short-term bulls take the initiative, this will undoubtedly increase the probability of gold prices hitting the 3070-3080 area, but we also need to be prepared for a false break or a real break in the market.In the 4-hour period, since stabilizing above the 3,000 mark, gold has maintained a bullish trend and continued to hit new highs.Therefore, we continue to be bullish in the 4-hour period, but we must also be wary of the risk of a pullback.On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RobertaAlsop
032Opportunity Analysis and Logical Analysis for goldHello traders, This week's Thursday tip: On Thursday, the Federal Reserve's important interest rate decision was finalized. Focus on the situation of profit-taking in gold at high levels, looking for short-term short-selling opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart. On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear RSI divergence, indicating that gold is oversold and there is a need for a short-term pullback. On the 1-hour chart, wait for a reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart, then look for an entry signal on the 1-hour chart to short gold! **TP1:** 3025 **TP2:** 3005 **TP3:** 2989 On Friday during the Asian early session, after 9:30 AM, gold experienced a pullback due to the divergence on the 4-hour chart, reaching the first target of 3025. It is currently recommended to reduce positions and continue holding. On the 4-hour chart, consider that gold may undergo a corrective adjustment in the form of an expanding triangle. Wait for the reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart before looking for new entry opportunities on the 1-hour chart to short gold. The targets for new positions remain unchanged: **TP1:** 3025 **TP2:** 3005 **TP3:** 2989 On the daily chart, the closing of gold on Friday can provide direct guidance for next week's trend. If gold forms a new daily reversal signal on the daily chart, trading in the first half of next week can proceed with minimal interference, trending downward. If gold experiences significant fluctuations during tonight's US session, it is recommended to wait until next Monday to enter, still opting for a strategy of buying high and selling low in the fluctuating market at the top of gold. ** ** **I. Three Major Drivers of Gold Fluctuations** 1. **Trump's "Face-Changing Game"** - **Tariff Bomb:** Trump announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on countries like China (effective April 2), which is like throwing a bomb into the market. Concerns about a trade war resurfacing, rising business costs, and potential economic recession emerged. - **Interest Rate Cut Talk:** Previously, Trump said, "There's no rush to cut rates," but now he has changed his tune to "We need to cut rates quickly to save the economy." The market reacted negatively: Oh no, the economy might be in big trouble! Consequently, funds shifted from the stock market to gold for safety. 2. **"Nuclear Option Expiration" in the Options Market** - **$4.7 Trillion Bet Expiration:** This amount is equivalent to the total market value of the top 20 companies globally, and it’s settling today. - **Market Manipulation:** Large institutions (market makers) have an incentive to push the S&P 500 index near 5800 points, as this level maximizes their options contracts' profitability. Gold and U.S. stocks often move inversely; when the stock market is manipulated, gold may suddenly surge or plummet. 3. **"Hawkish Shock" from the Federal Reserve** - **Officials Changing Stance:** Initially, there was one dissenting voice against an interest rate cut; now it has turned into four. - **Gold's Calculation:** A delayed rate cut → stronger dollar → temporary pressure on gold; but poor economic conditions → panic sentiment → gold benefits. These two forces are in conflict. --- **II. How Will Gold Move Tonight?** **Key Levels:** - **Floor Price:** $3034 (If it falls below this, it may continue to drop) - **Ceiling Price:** $3056 (If it breaks above this, it may surge to $3080) **Trading Suggestions:** 1. **Watch and Wait Mode:** The period between 2 PM and 4 PM (Eastern Time) will see the most volatility, so avoid making hasty moves. 2. **Buy in Batches:** If it drops to around $3040, buy 1/3 of your position; add more if it breaks above $3060. 3. **Exit Signal:** If the U.S. stock market suddenly spikes (especially if the S&P approaches 5800), gold could drop by 2% instantly. If you prefer not to stay up late, you can skip trading tonight, maintain a flat position, and look for opportunities on Monday! --- **III. Grandpa Munger's Survival Guide** - **Being Flat is a Superpower:** Just like in poker, if you find your hand is bad, fold and don’t call. - **Wait for Clear Signals:** Gold is currently in a "Schrödinger's state" (it could rise or fall); it’s better to wait for it to break above $3056 or drop below $3034 before taking action. - **Historical Lesson:** On the options expiration day in September 2023, gold fluctuated by $100 in one day, leading to numerous liquidations. Today may very well replicate that scenario. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold price analysis March 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve’s forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts by the end of the year helped the US Dollar (USD) gain positive momentum for the third consecutive day, which, in turn, is seen as undermining the commodity. The decline could also be due to some profit-taking heading into the weekend. However, bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue its rate-cutting cycle will limit the USD’s gains and act as a non-yielding driver for Gold prices. Moreover, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policies and their impact on the global economic outlook, coupled with geopolitical risks, deter traders from placing strong bearish bets on the safe-haven bullion. ⭐️Technical analysis D1 candle has started to show a bearish candle after many consecutive days of increase. However, the buyers have pushed the price from the 3026 area, showing that a strong buying force is still in this area. The European session, gold traded within the 3025 and 3038 range, the h4 structure shows this. Gold is pushing up to 3038, until the end of the European session, gold cannot break 3038, giving a SELL signal to 3025, the US breaks 3025, then it heads towards support 3008. In the opposite direction, Gold pushes back to 3025 first and does not break this area in the European session, giving a BUY signal to 3038 and heads towards ATH when the US breaks this area. Pay attention to the 2 areas of 3025 and 3038 to trade breakouts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold (XAU/USD) - Head & Shoulders Breakdown & Bearish MoveOverview of the Chart & Market Context The 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reveals a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the recent uptrend has lost momentum, and a potential downside move could be in progress. Currently, the price is testing the neckline, which serves as a key support level. If a decisive breakdown occurs, it could confirm further bearish momentum, leading to a sharp decline toward the projected target price of $2,995. Key Technical Analysis & Levels 🔹 Resistance Level & Reversal Zone (~$3,055–$3,060) The price attempted to break this resistance but faced strong rejection, forming the head of the pattern. The area was tested multiple times, confirming that sellers are in control. This level acts as a supply zone, preventing the price from moving higher. 🔹 Support Level (Neckline of H&S Pattern at ~$3,025–$3,030) This level represents the critical neckline, which has been tested multiple times. If price breaks and sustains below this support, the H&S pattern will be validated, signaling a deeper drop. A successful retest of the neckline as resistance could provide an optimal shorting opportunity. 🔹 Projected Target Price (~$2,995) The expected downside move is calculated using the measured move technique, measuring the distance from the head to the neckline. This target aligns with previous structure support, increasing its significance. Detailed Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern 📍 Left Shoulder Formation The market experienced an initial bullish push, reaching a local high, but sellers entered and pushed prices down. This formed the first lower high, hinting at potential weakness in the bullish trend. 📍 Head Formation After retracing from the left shoulder, buyers made another attempt to push prices higher. The price formed a new peak, but it was unable to sustain the breakout above the resistance level (~$3,055–$3,060). A sharp sell-off followed, reinforcing that sellers are dominant at higher levels. 📍 Right Shoulder Formation The price attempted another rally but failed to break the left shoulder’s high, creating the right shoulder. This failure confirmed a gradual loss of bullish strength. After forming the right shoulder, the price began to drop toward the neckline support. 📍 Breakout Confirmation & Bearish Price Action The price has now broken the neckline (~$3,030), indicating an early-stage breakdown of the H&S pattern. If the breakdown holds, further downside movement toward $2,995 is likely. A retest of the neckline as new resistance would be an ideal entry point for short positions. Trade Setup & Risk Management 📌 Potential Short Trade Setup: Entry: After a confirmed break and retest of the $3,030 neckline. Stop-Loss: Above the right shoulder (~$3,045–$3,050) to minimize risk. Take-Profit: Around $2,995, aligning with the measured move. 📌 Risk Factors & Market Conditions: If the price fails to hold below the neckline, it could indicate a false breakdown and a possible bullish reversal. Macroeconomic data (such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions) may impact gold prices. Traders should watch for volume confirmation – increased selling pressure strengthens the validity of the breakdown. Final Thoughts & Market Outlook 📉 The Head and Shoulders pattern signals that gold is losing bullish momentum, with a potential drop toward $2,995. 🔍 A break and retest of the neckline as resistance would confirm further downside movement. ⚠️ However, a failed breakdown could lead to a recovery, so traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. 💬 What do you think about this setup? Are you going short on gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! ⬇️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Today's strategyThe gold price fluctuates within the range we have marked. In the short term, both long and short positions are feasible. However, you must pay attention to setting the stop-loss level and avoid taking on excessive risks Pay attention to when the upward pressure range will be broken through. Also, keep an eye on the 3010-3020 USD range on the downside. If this range is repeatedly tested, then there might be a short-term pullback to 3000 USD Today's xauusd trading strategy buy@3010-3020 SL:3005 tp:3040-3050 There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke
Gold Price Analysis March 20⭐️Fundamental analysis Gold prices fell slightly after hitting a record high on Thursday, ending a three-day winning streak. Profit-taking pressure from buyers, along with positive risk sentiment in the market, weakened gold. At the same time, the modest increase in the USD also put downward pressure on gold prices in the European trading session. However, expectations of an early Fed rate cut could limit the USD's rise, supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns about former President Donald Trump's trade policy and escalating tensions in the Middle East could continue to act as factors driving gold demand. This requires investors to be cautious before making trading decisions. ⭐️Technical analysis The D1 candle has not yet shown any signs of a reversal in GOLD. Therefore, the trading strategy has not yet shown any signs of peak detection or peak catching. BUY is still easier to win. Yesterday's US session buy zone 3038 in today's European trading session plays an important resistance zone. Currently, gold has confirmed a break of 3045 for a SELL signal and is heading towards 3038. Before 2 hours of the end of the European session, if gold does not break through this zone, it is still possible to BUY around 3038. 3031 and 3029 play the role of resistance zones for the day when breaking through 3038. Today, waiting for a retest to BUY is the safest
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold has short-term callback demandGold hit a high of 3057 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a negative cross star, and a correction is needed in the short term. The daily resistance is near 3050. It touched 3047 in early trading and fell back. If the market falls below 3042, continue to look at 3030-3025. The operation is the same as what I said in my previous post. First short and then long. In addition to the low point, the support below is 3020. The strong support is around 3011. You can go long if it is touched. Operation suggestion: short at 3050-3040 above, and go long at yesterday's low or 3025-3015 below. It is still in line with expectations. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, follow real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market prices, share real-time strategies, and do not blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Boldly short gold, the bear has awakened!📌Bros, as mentioned in the previous article, Marvin invites you to grab a cup of coffee and quietly watch the dancing bears. 📍As I just said, if gold cannot break through the 3040-3050 area, it will build a head and shoulders structure in the short-term structure, and gold may accelerate downward to the 3020-3010 zone. 🔎Xauusd: @3040-3050 Sell 📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold 40-45 short, longs temporarily stopGold, after touching the 57 line, began to retrace and correct. Before the US session, it touched the lowest level near 25 and then stopped. However, the US session rebounded slightly, forming an interval shock, but did not form a second breakthrough. The high break is also likely to be the high point in the short term. After all, the European and US sessions are relatively weak, so the bulls in the short term may need to reorganize their energy and achieve a digestion correction effect. The support below is still maintained at the low point of 20 that has been generated many times in the recent period. This position is also likely to be the watershed line of the long and short positions in the recent period. Once this position continues to break down, it is likely to continue to form a retracement in the later period. The upper suppression port maintains the head and shoulders top pattern of 45 formed in the short term. The daily moving average system will continue to maintain an upward situation, but the retracement may also temporarily bring the bulls to an end. We will still operate around the short-term short position. If gold rebounds to short near 40-45 during the day, the target will be around 30-20. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Control positions, and the specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. If you are interested, you can follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, and share real-time strategies. Don't blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold surges and then falls back to make profitsGold quickly rose in the morning today, so we remind you to beware of the risk of market reversal today. Gold is likely to fall back after rising in the morning. Don't chase more easily. Gold is stagnant near 3056, and gold is directly short at 3055.On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebound and to go long on pullback. Short order strategy: When gold rebounds to around 3045-3048, short 20% of the position in batches, stop loss at 3055, target around 3030-3015, and look at 3005 if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RobertaAlsop
Gold changes and sells efficiently to stop profitGold, this round of price rebounded after selling 2832 from 2956, and continued to rise at the beginning of the week after breaking through and stabilizing 2956; it rose to 3057 and then fell after the Fed’s interest rate decision, and the evening analysis emphasized that the 2H structure has weakened; at the same time, the current price is running on the upper track of large cycles such as day, week, and month, there is a demand for covering, and the market habitually changes on Thursday, so it is necessary to pay attention to the risk of selling;
TVC:GOLDShort
by PageEvan
Gold hovers at a key position, clever layoutGold fell from a high of 1 hour. If gold continues to fall, then if gold rebounds and does not break the new high, then gold may show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders top in 1 hour. Again, gold fell from a high, and now it is at a high level. Don't chase more easily. After the news, the gold bulls' volume has been digested, and the gold bulls need to regain support. Gold rebounded under pressure at the high point of 3045 in the US market, and continued to go short at highs. The market is changing rapidly, and gold has entered an overbought state, so gold needs to be cautious in chasing more. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3050-3060, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3025-3010, friends must keep up with the rhythm. To control the position, the specific points are mainly based on the real-time intraday. If you are interested, please follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Support and resistance for XAUUSDGold tested resistance near 3060 yesterday after the Fed rate decision, and this test of resistance was effective. However, gold's uptrend is not over. Watch the 3020 to 3030 range below support, and continue to go long when prices reach this area. 💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎 🎁 Buy@3020 - 3025 🎁 TP 3040 3050 3060 🎁 Sell@3050 - 3060 🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
Gold/USD (XAU/USD)– Potential Bearish CorrectionKey Observations: Uptrend & Resistance: The price has been trending upwards within a parallel channel. It reached a resistance level around $3,064 - $3,055, where selling pressure is evident. Potential Pullback: The price is showing signs of rejection at resistance and could move lower. The first target for the pullback is around $3,013 - $2,964, which aligns with previous structure levels. A deeper correction could test support near $2,880 - $2,878. Trade Setup Idea: Bearish scenario: If price fails to reclaim resistance, traders may look for short opportunities targeting lower support levels. Bullish scenario: If price breaks above resistance, it could trigger further upside momentum. Conclusion: This chart suggests a possible short-term correction before determining the next move. Traders should watch price action near key levels for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer