XAUUSD – The Structure Is Still Bullish... But Barely Holding 📌 In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that although Gold corrected deeper than expected, dropping below 3400, the bullish structure remained intact — and I stayed true to that view by buying dips.
🎯 The trade didn’t go as planned. Fortunately, the New York rebound from 3350 helped me exit at breakeven.
🧭 So now the big question is:
Is Gold reversing to the downside?
The answer: Not confirmed yet.
The structure is technically still bullish, but the chart is far from pretty.
🧨 What’s going wrong?
❌ Bearish engulfing candle on Wednesday – I chose to ignore it yesterday, but it’s still there.
❌ The breakout above 3375 (ascending triangle resistance) is failing – and could now turn into a false breakout trap.
❌ The ascending trendline from January 2025 is under pressure.
❌ And if today we close near 3350, the weekly chart will show a bearish Pin Bar – not exactly a sign of strength.
📉 My current plan:
- If price rallies back above 3380 → I’m looking to sell into strength, not buy.
- If we break below 3350 → I’ll also look to sell the breakdown.
Right now, for Gold to regain bullish momentum, it needs to reclaim 3400. No compromise.
⚠️ Summary:
Yes, the bigger structure is still bullish.
But momentum is fading, and price action is starting to turn against the bulls.
We need confirmation, not hope.
If 3350 breaks cleanly – things could accelerate to the downside.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Xauusdanalysis
XAU/USD 25 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Critical Breakdown: BTC/USD Poised to Fall — Waiting on H4 CloseAnalysis of the BTC/USD 4‑Hour Chart
From the chart you provided, here's how the technical situation looks:
Ascending trendline support has been tested multiple times and was recently breached this afternoon, signaling a possible shift from the bullish setup to a bearish continuation.
The price is now trapped within a descending triangle formation beneath a well‑defined swing high resistance zone. This reflects indecision in the market, with neither buyers nor sellers in clear control
Business Insider
+15
Fxglory Ltd
+15
Bitcoin News
+15
.
Key levels to monitor:
Support zone: ~$115,500, extending down to ~$111,300 and ~$105,600 as deeper targets if bearish momentum strengthens.
Resistance zone: ~$119,000–120,000 area, forming strong overhead supply
Economies.com
DailyForex
Bitcoin News
.
The chart’s annotations align with a classic breakout strategy—with the caveat: wait for a confirmed close below the trendline before considering short positions (as noted in your “wait for this candle to close in red” comment).
Breakout confirmation would likely pave the way toward your indicated profit zones near ~$111k and ~$105k, with a larger potential down to ~$99.8k if further downside pressure builds.
🔍 What the Broader Market Signals
Technical sentiment from sources covering today’s analysis shows BTC/USD hovering just under $120,000, stuck within the defined range of $115.5k support to $120k resistance
Economies.com
.
While there’s still neutral momentum in indicators like RSI and MACD, the short-term direction leans bearish if the breakdown is confirmed on the H4 timeframe
Fxglory Ltd
.
Analysts emphasize that sustained movement above $116.5k could retarget resistance near $119–120k. A failure there and a move below $115.5k may thrust price deeper toward your downside zones
DailyForex
.
✅ Trading Strategy Overview
Scenario Trigger Target Levels
Bearish Breakdown H4 candle closes below trendline ~$115.5k $111.3k → $105.6k → possible $99.8k zone
Bullish Rejection Bounce back above ~$116.5k and trending above resistance $119k–120k retest, potential breakout if sustained
Neutral / Wait-and-see No decisive candle close yet Hold for confirmation
⛳ Final Thoughts
chart highlights a critical point: don’t act prematurely. Wait for a decisive H4 candle close below the trendline before committing to shorts. Confirmed bearish action around the breakout could open the path to the lower targets you identified. However, if price rebounds above support and climbs above $116.5k, a short-term retest of $119k–120k is still in range.
Traders should maintain prudent risk management—watching the unfolding price action around these pivot points without overreaching. Let me know if you'd like help crafting entry/exit zones or risk profiles for this setup!
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD – Short Opportunity Ahead
Gold is now near our important level at 3370, offering a shorting opportunity considering recent events and technical action.
Gold Price Decline – What's Behind It?
In the last two sessions (July 23–24), gold has retreated strongly owing to a set of global as well as market-specific circumstances:
1. Trade Deal Optimism
Advances in U.S.–Japan and U.S.–EU trade discussions lessened worldwide uncertainty, decreasing demand for gold as a safe-haven.
2. Higher U.S. Yields
Higher Treasury yields are rendering non-yielding assets such as gold less appealing, adding to downward pressure.
3. Technical & Profit-Taking
Following a recent rally, gold was exposed to selling. Stop-loss and profit-taking triggers hastened the fall.
Summary of Key Drivers
U.S. Trade Deals: Reduced geopolitical risk
Higher Treasury Yields: Decreased gold's relative attractiveness
Technical Selling: Enhanced the downward trend
Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
Entry : 3374.4
Stop Loss : 3387.3
Take Profit : 3345.4
Extended Target : 3322
Key Notes:
- Trade Deal Optimism: U.S.–Japan and U.S.–EU agreements eased global tensions, reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
- Yield Pressure: Rising U.S. Treasury yields made gold less attractive compared to interest-bearing alternatives.
- Technical Selling: Profit-taking and stop-loss triggers accelerated the decline after gold’s recent rally.
This setup remains tactically driven. Manage risk carefully and monitor for any renewed political shifts.
XAUUSD REACHED THE LOCAL TRENDLINEXAUUSD REACHED THE LOCAL TRENDLINE
On July 24 the U.S. Manufacturing PMI report came out way below forecasted (49.5 actual vs 52.6 forecasted). A number below 50 causes concerns among investors and could be a sign of an overall economic slowdown or recession. So, as a result, it could lead to an increase in demand for safe assets like gold.
However, today the price, despite the recent rebound from the trendline after report, came to the trendline once again. There is a high possibility that the price will rebound in nearest future: besides the local trendline we may observe the sma200 on 4-h chart. Additionally, we entered the price zone of 3,350.00-3,375.00, which used to be a resistance zone, now may play out as a support. In case of rebound, the price may go to local highs of 3,440.00 at least.
Gold at Key Support – Will Bulls Step In or Drop Continue?🌐 Market Overview
Gold has struggled to recover after yesterday's sharp drop, driven by macro-political concerns and profit-taking at recent highs.
🔻 On July 24, former President Trump made an unexpected visit to the US Federal Reserve, sparking speculation that he's pressuring the Fed to cut interest rates soon.
While the Fed has yet to make any dovish moves, short-term bond yields dipped slightly, showing growing market expectations for policy easing.
The US dollar remains strong, reflecting some skepticism around the Fed’s possible shift despite recent economic strength.
📉 Technical Outlook
On the H2 chart, gold still maintains an overall bullish structure. However, it's approaching a critical support level near 3338, which aligns with the VPOC and the ascending trendline.
📌 If this zone breaks, price may rapidly fall toward deeper liquidity zones in the 332x – 329x range.
🎯 Trade Setups
🔽 BUY SCALP (Quick Reaction Play)
Entry: 3338 – 3336
Stop Loss: 3332
Take Profit: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380
🟢 BUY ZONE (Deep Buy Area – Long-Term Potential)
Entry: 3312 – 3310
Stop Loss: 3305
Take Profit: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔻 SELL ZONE (if market retests)
Entry: 3374 – 3376
Stop Loss: 3380
Take Profit: 3370 – 3366 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 – 3330
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
Support: 3350 – 3338 – 3325 – 3310 – 3294
Resistance: 3374 – 3390 – 3400 – 3421
⚠️ Risk Note
As we head into the weekend, liquidity sweeps are common – especially on Fridays. Be cautious of sharp moves.
Focus mainly on scalp setups today. Avoid early long entries unless strong confirmation appears at lower liquidity zones.
Always follow your TP/SL strategy to protect your capital.
BULLISH REVERSAL SIGNAL FROM 3,350 SUPPORTOn the 15-minute chart (M15), XAUUSD is showing early signs of recovery after a sharp decline that found support around the key 3,350 USD level. This area has been tested multiple times with increasing volume, suggesting potential buyer accumulation.
Technical Analysis: Downtrend Line: A descending trendline (yellow) from the July 23 high has acted as dynamic resistance. Price is now approaching this line again.
Fibonacci Retracement: The recent rebound from 3,350.11 to 3,373.52 shows key resistance zones at the 0.5 (3,361.82) and 0.618 (3,364.58) Fibonacci levels.
Volume Spike: Notable volume surges at the bottom suggest increased buyer interest near support.
Key Price Levels for Today: Technical Zone Role 3,350 – 3,353
Strong short-term support 3,361 – 3,365
Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 resistance 3,373.5
Previous swing high 3,400 – 3,434
Fibonacci 3.618 extension target
Trading Strategies: Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above Trendline Entry: Buy stop above 3,366 with increasing volume.
TP1: 3,373.5
TP2: 3,400
TP3: 3,434 (Fibonacci 3.618 extension)
SL: 3,348 (below recent low)
Scenario 2: Trendline Rejection – Bearish Continuation Entry: Sell limit at 3,364–3,366 if bearish pin bar / engulfing pattern appears
TP1: 3,350
TP2: 3,338
SL: 3,375
Additional Confirmation Signals: Closely watch price action near the trendline and Fibonacci zone (3,361–3,364).
RSI is not yet oversold, so a short-term technical rebound remains possible.
Conclusion: Gold is currently testing a significant support zone around 3,350 USD. If price successfully breaks above the descending trendline and holds, we may see a bullish impulse targeting as high as 3,434 USD. However, failure at this resistance may trigger another leg down.
Gold in Demand Zone | Target $3,380🚨 GOLD/USD – BIG MOVE LOADING! 🚨
🔍 Price is currently reacting from a major demand zone ($3,340–$3,345) with signs of accumulation and a possible double bottom pattern forming.
📉 After a strong downtrend, this looks like a liquidity sweep and smart money trap — prepping for a reversal back to the $3,380 resistance zone where liquidity resides.
📈 Scenarios to Watch:
1️⃣ Price sweeps support again and reverses hard
2️⃣ Clean structure break above $3,365, followed by a retest
🎯 Target: $3,380–$3,385
🛡️ Invalidation: Strong close below $3,335
⚠️ Confirmation Required! Best entry would be after structural break + retest. Keep your risk tight, and let the market show its hand.
⸻
📌 Key Levels:
• Support Zone: $3,340–$3,345
• Target Zone: $3,380–$3,385
• Invalidation: Below $3,335
⸻
📣 If this setup helps you, like 👍, comment 💬, and follow 🔔 for more high-probability ideas every week!
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #ForexSetup #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #DoubleBottom #TradingView #GoldAnalysis #ForYou #FXStrategy #SupplyAndDemand
Trend corrected, long funds reduced, sellers returned#XAUUSD
The current moving average is still spreading downward, and the 4-hour chart closed with a large negative line. The market has not yet given a clear feedback on the current trend. However, after a large amount of buying funds intervened, the gold price hit a high of around 3377 and then stagnated. The short-term bullish momentum has weakened, and there is a certain risk of a correction and decline. Sellers are beginning to return📉.
Currently, you can consider participating in short selling at 3370-3377💡. If it rebounds directly to 3400-3405, you can still short if it does not break🔍. The target is 3360 below, and 3350 or even 3330 if it breaks🎯.
🚀 SELL 3370-3377
🚀 TP 3360-3350
Today's GOLD Analysis (MMC) – Sell Bias Continues To Next TargetChart Overview:
This 2-hour GOLD (XAU/USD) chart showcases a clear bearish structure in line with the Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) methodology. Price action is respecting key supply zones and continues to reject significant levels, confirming the dominance of sellers in the short-term structure.
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
1️⃣ Break of Trendline (MMC QFL Entry Model)
The descending grey trendline marks consistent lower highs, showing clear bearish pressure. The breakout and rejections around this trendline zone (annotated “1”) confirm it as a strong supply area. This breakdown set the stage for a QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) drop.
🧊 2x Supply Zone (High Confidence Rejection)
The 2x supply label highlights an area where price rapidly reversed with aggressive bearish momentum. This zone was tested and respected again, leading to further downside pressure, reinforcing the idea of institutional selling interest from that level.
📉 QFL Levels & Central Zone
Two major QFL drops are evident, where price broke previous demand structures and created new supply imbalance. The Central Zone currently acts as short-term support, but price is hovering just above it with weak bullish reaction, indicating potential for further breakdown.
🎯 Target & Reversal Zone – 3,331.90
The green zone below marks the Next Reversal Zone, with a highlighted price target at 3,331.90. This is where:
Previous liquidity was absorbed.
Demand imbalance may attract buyers again.
MMC reversal structures might be anticipated.
This zone aligns perfectly with the broader MMC concept of flipping between major zones and reversal blocks.
🧠 Trade Idea & Strategy (MMC Traders’ Minds)
Current Bias: Bearish
Entry Trigger: After rejection from trendline & 2x supply area.
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Above the trendline or recent supply wick (~3,375-3,380).
Take-Profit Zone: Primary TP at 3,331.90, with eyes on lower reversal targets if momentum persists.
Market Behavior: Controlled by sellers, liquidity sweeps seen, weak demand below Central Zone.
📌 Key Events to Watch
As marked at the bottom, major US news events are scheduled between July 30th and 31st, which could act as catalysts for price acceleration toward the reversal zone or cause sharp volatility. Plan accordingly.
🧭 Conclusion:
Gold is respecting bearish market structure under the MMC model. With clear QFL breakouts, rejection from 2x Supply, and weak bullish attempts near the Central Zone, this chart favors short setups targeting the 3,331.90 zone. MMC traders should monitor price action closely within the Reversal Zone for potential buy signals or trend continuation if sellers remain aggressive.
Gold is weak. Beware of lows.On Thursday, the dollar index ended a four-day losing streak thanks to the progress of the fund between the United States and its trading partners.
As signs of easing global trade tensions curbed demand for safe-haven assets, gold fell for the second consecutive trading day, and yesterday it hit the 3350 bottom support level.
From the 4-hour chart
although it rebounded to the 3370-3380 range after hitting 3350. But it can be found that the current rebound is actually weak, and it is still maintained at 3360-70 for rectification. At present, the bottom of the 4-hour bottom is absolutely supported at 3340-3335. The rebound high is around 3375. As of now, gold has not rebounded above 3375, and gold is actually in a weak position.
Secondly, from the hourly chart, the weakness is even more obvious. The high point on Thursday was around 3395. Today's current high point is around 3375. It can be seen that if the bottom falls below the 618 position 3350 again, it will directly touch around 3335. It coincides with the target position of 3340-3335 in the previous 4-hour chart.
Therefore, it is not possible to buy the bottom and go long today. Be alert to the possibility of further touching 3340-3335.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Technical Analysis Report - 25 July 2025 📌 Market Context & Sentiment Overview
The gold market is currently trading in a state of technical compression, with the price hovering just beneath the mid-3360s. After a significant rally earlier in the month, the recent sessions have seen price action coiling within a tight ascending triangle—a classic pattern known to precede breakouts.
According to recent publications by FXEmpire, FXStreet, and Investing.com, sentiment remains moderately bullish. Analysts point to strong institutional demand near the 3320–3330 zone, while also warning of resistance pressures near the 3380–3390 zone. These insights align with our technical findings, which suggest a developing structure with increasing breakout potential.
📊 Technical Structure Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
🔹 Price Action & Structural Patterns
The prevailing structure is a rising triangle anchored between support at 3320 and resistance near 3380–3390. Price has been forming higher lows, indicative of underlying buying pressure, while simultaneously facing resistance at increasingly frequent tests of the upper band. The contraction of candlestick bodies and volume confirms the presence of a coiling market—hinting at an imminent directional move.
The presence of upper-wick rejections near 3380 signals seller interest, while long-tailed candles at 3330 underscore buyer defense of the rising trendline. This dynamic equilibrium is the hallmark of a triangle formation nearing completion.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels
Our analysis identifies the following zones as technically significant:
Key Support (Buy Zones):
3320–3330: This zone hosts a major bullish order block, 8/21 EMAs, and the lower trendline of the rising triangle. It is further supported by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement drawn from the 3300 low to the 3390 swing high.
3300–3310: A psychological level and previous 4-hour swing low. Acts as a secondary defense level.
Key Resistance (Sell Zones):
3380–3390: Triangle resistance, aligned with the 50 EMA and a bearish order block.
3440–3450: An upper extension zone if breakout materializes, noted in external institutional outlooks.
🔹 Volume, VWAP & Institutional Concepts
Volume has notably contracted, a classical feature of triangle formations, with most trading volume aggregating at the mid-point (~3345–3355). VWAP sits just below the current price, reflecting mean reversion tendencies. Furthermore, liquidity pockets are observed just beneath 3320, suggesting potential for liquidity grabs before a bullish reversal.
From a Smart Money lens:
A bullish order block has formed near 3320–3330.
A bearish OB and resistance cap prices around 3380.
A small Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies around 3340–3350, acting as a potential price magnet.
🔹 Indicators & Oscillators
Moving Averages: The 8/21 EMA cluster lies just below current price, offering dynamic support.
MACD: Negative but converging—suggesting bearish momentum may be waning.
ADX: Reading ~40, indicating a trending market, though momentum has slightly slowed.
RSI: Hovering near 35–40, close to oversold; signals potential bounce.
Stochastics & CCI: Both deeply negative—supporting the case for a mean-reverting move.
🎯 Strategic Buying & Selling Zones
✅ High-Probability Buy Zones
3320–3330:
Rationale: Confluence of bullish OB, rising trendline, EMAs, and Fib 61.8%.
Confidence: High (★ ★ ★)
3300–3310 (buffer zone):
Rationale: Psychological and historical swing low support.
Confidence: Moderate
❌ High-Probability Sell Zones
3380–3390:
Rationale: Triangle resistance, prior highs, and bearish OB presence.
Confidence: High
3440–3450:
Rationale: Post-breakout measured move target and potential take-profit zone.
Confidence: Moderate
🏆 The Golden Setup: High-Conviction Trade Idea
Direction: Long
Entry: 3325
Stop Loss: 3300
Take Profit: 3390
Confidence Level: ★ ★ ★ (High)
🔍 Justification
This setup takes advantage of the strongest structural support within the triangle—centered around 3325. This level is reinforced by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, bullish order block activity, and EMA compression, all coalescing with the triangle’s rising support line.
Indicators are turning from oversold, and the volume profile suggests that institutional players may look to engineer a liquidity sweep under 3330 before a continuation push to test the 3380 resistance. The reward-to-risk ratio is favorable, and the setup offers clear invalidation with a tight stop at 3300.
Should momentum continue post-breakout, a secondary TP could be explored at 3440. However, for the purpose of tactical execution, 3390 is a strategically sound exit point.
🧠 Sentiment Cross-Check & Market Alignment
External sentiment and professional forecasts support the underlying thesis of a bullish breakout, pending confirmation. TradingView’s top technical authors emphasize the breakout of this ascending triangle toward 3440+, while Investing.com’s shorter-term signals reflect bearish pressure that aligns with our buy-the-dip strategy.
This synthesis of internal and external analysis increases our conviction in a long-biased tactical approach from the current support zone.
✅ Summary Table
Buy Zones Sell Zones Golden Setup
3320–3330 (primary) 3380–3390 (primary) Direction: Long
3300–3310 (buffer) 3440–3450 (extension) Entry: 3325
Stop Loss: 3300
Take Profit: 3390
Confidence Level: ★ ★ ★ (High)
🔚 Final Thoughts
Gold’s current price structure presents a rare opportunity—one defined by tight consolidation, structural clarity, and institutional footprints. As the market coils within a classic triangle, the 3320–3330 zone emerges as a high-probability springboard for long positions. With precise risk management and a disciplined approach, this setup offers traders a compelling entry with defined technical boundaries.
The golden rule now: Respect structure. React to confluence. Trade with conviction.
Gold – 25 July: Watching M15 Demand for Bullish Reversal📍 Gold – 25 July Outlook
Early Signs of Reversal from H4 OB Zone – Wait for Clear Continuation
🔍 Market Recap & Context:
Yesterday, the H4 Order Block zone (3359–3345) was retested and showed signs of holding. A visible M15 structure shift (ChoCH) suggests the market may be preparing to resume the uptrend.
However, the M15 Break of Structure (BoS) has not yet occurred — so this is not a confirmed reversal .
📍 Current Zone to Watch:
M15 Demand Zone: 3359.5 – 3351.5
Price is retracing into this zone. If respected, it could be the base for the next bullish leg.
📌 Trade Setup Possibility:
If price holds the M15 demand zone and M1 gives confirmation (e.g., micro-ChoCH + micro-BoS , a long trade could be considered.
But keep in mind — this would be an aggressive entry , because the M15 BoS is still pending.
This setup would rely on:
• Candlestick behavior
• Volume spikes or reaction
• Price action psychology
✅ Strategy Note:
Wait for signals like:
– Bullish engulfing on M1 or M5
– Micro ChoCH + demand hold
– Volume absorption or imbalance reaction
Only act if the market shows strength — not just a zone tap.
📝 Summary:
• Bias: Early bullish reversal watch
• Zone in Play: 3359.5–3351.5 (M15 demand)
• Confirmation: M1 LTF shift + strong candlesticks
• Caution: No M15 BoS yet — be precise and patient
• Risk Management: 1:3 RR — 40 pip SL / 120 pip TP
Let the chart speak first — observe with stillness, execute with precision.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold price analysis July 25Gold Analysis – D1 Uptrend Still Maintains, But Needs New Momentum
Yesterday’s trading session recorded a D1 candle closing above the Breakout 3363 zone, indicating that buying power in the US session is still dominant. This implies that the uptrend is still being maintained, although the market may need a short-term technical correction.
In today’s Tokyo and London sessions, there is a possibility of liquidity sweeps to the support zone below before Gold recovers and increases again in the New York session.
Important to note:
The uptrend will only be broken if Gold closes below the 3345 zone on the D1 chart.
In this case, the 3320 level will be the next support zone to observe the price reaction and consider buying points.
For the bullish wave to continue expanding towards the historical peak (ATH) at 3500, the market needs stronger supporting factors, which can come from economic data or geopolitical developments.
📌 Support zone: 3345 – 3320
📌 Resistance zone: 3373 – 3418
🎯 Potential buy zone:
3345 (prioritize price reaction in this zone)
3320 (in case of breaking through 3345)
🎯 Target: 3417
Gold fluctuated downward. Or it will continue.Gold was blocked near 3393 in the early trading on Thursday and began to fluctuate and fall, falling to 3351 as low as possible, then stopped falling and rose, and after rebounding near 3377, it was blocked and fell back to 3370 and fluctuated up and down, and the daily line closed with a negative line.
After three consecutive positive rises from last Friday to Tuesday this week, gold ushered in a turning point on Wednesday. On Thursday, it continued to fall and broke through the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, and the short-term market weakened. From the overall structure, the rising channel since June 26 remains valid. The highs on Tuesday and Wednesday approached the upper edge of the channel and then fell. The current price turned to fall and approached the lower edge of the channel.
There are two key positions for the support below: the first support level is near 3345, which is the lower edge support of the current rising channel; the second support level is near 3325, which is the trend line support formed by the connection of the previous low points.
From the 4-hour chart, the 3351 low point and the rebound resistance level can be used as a reference for today's long-short game. The breaking of key support and resistance will determine the trend direction of the next stage.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3375, stop loss 3385, profit range 3350-3330
Long near 3330, stop loss 3320, profit range 3350-3370
350pips Secured — Focus Shifts to Dip-Buying StrategyToday's trading was very successful, and the grasp of the long and short rhythm was very accurate. Today's trading situation is as follows:
1. Close the short position with an overnight entry price of around 3386 near 3380, with a loss of 60 pips, and the loss amount exceeded $6K;
2. Directly short gold near 3380, manually close the position near 3366, profit 130pips, profit amount exceeded $12K;
3. Long gold near 3356, hit TP: 3372 and end the transaction, profit 160pips, profit amount exceeded $8K;
4. Long gold near 3362, hit TP; 3375 and end the transaction, profit 120pips, profit amount exceeded $6K.
Intraday trading summary: Today, the long and short sides completed a total of 4 transactions, one of which suffered a loss, but the net profit was 350pips, and the profit amount exceeded $20K. For short-term trading, I think I can submit a satisfactory answer to myself today!
How to execute the transaction next? Gold started to pull back from around 3438 and has now reached a low of around 3351, with a retracement of more than 870pips. The retracement space is not small. However, gold has stabilized above 3350 and has started a technical rebound repair, and the upward force is not weak, so gold may have completed the retracement. Under the support of these two technical conditions, gold may regain its upward momentum and hit 3400 again.
At present, the short-term resistance is obvious, located in the area near 3380. Once gold breaks through 3380, gold will inevitably continue to rise and hit 3400 again; but I think as long as gold stabilizes above 3350, it is not difficult to break through the short-term resistance of 3380, so gold will inevitably test the 3400 mark again; and the short-term support below is in the 3365-3355 area. Gold may still retreat to this area first during the rise in order to increase liquidity and accumulate momentum, helping gold to break through 3380 more easily.
So for the next short-term trading, I think it is feasible to go long on gold in the 3365-3355 area, first looking at the target area of 3380-3390, and then 3400.
Gold – 24 July: Watching H4 OB Zone for Bullish ReversalGold – 24 July Outlook
Watching H4 OB Zone for Potential Reversal
📌 Recap of 23 July Trade:
As outlined in yesterday’s analysis, the M15 Order Block ( 3417–3412 ) held well. The market reacted precisely from this level, and our long setup successfully hit the defined 120-pip target .
However, after reaching a high near 3434 , the price failed to break above and instead rejected sharply, breaking the recent M15 higher low — a key structural sign that signals the start of a possible H4 pullback phase.
🔍 Current Market Context:
Trend Overview:
While the overall bias remains bullish, this break of M15 structure suggests short-term weakness and a corrective move in progress on the H4 chart.
Key Zone in Focus:
H4 Order Block Zone: 3359 – 3345
This is a critical zone to watch today. The market is currently trading around this area, and it could act as a potential reversal point where the uptrend resumes.
🎯 Trading Plan:
– Closely monitor the price action within the 3359–3345 zone.
– If price respects this zone and LTF (e.g., M1) shows signs of structure flip or ChoCH + BoS , it could present a fresh long setup opportunity.
– As always, only act on the trade if multiple confluences align — don’t anticipate, let the market confirm.
📈 Summary:
Bias: Watching for a bullish reversal from the 3359–3345 zone.
Setup Condition: Wait for clear LTF confirmation before entering.
Risk Management: Stick to 1:3 RR — 40 pip SL and 120 pip TP as per system.
Let the market come to your setup. Patience is your greatest edge.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold 2H Chart: Bullish Reversal Expected from Key Support ZoneGold (XAU/USD) 2H chart shows a bearish break of structure (BOS) followed by a pullback toward a key support zone (around 3,337–3,351). A potential bullish reversal is expected from this zone, targeting the 3,438 resistance level. The chart highlights a demand zone, FVG (Fair Value Gap), and possible retracement before continuation to the upside.
The callback is coming to an end, don't chase the short easily#XAUUSD
The long positions held last night have already left the market at a loss😔. After the Asian session opened, I continued to watch the trend of gold, but it did not effectively rebound to the ideal target area. After repeatedly testing around 3393, I chose to manually exit the market📀.
Gold is currently somewhat overcorrected, with the hourly line falling into severe oversold territory📉. But the market will eventually return to the bullish trend🐂. Why do I say that? First, there are less than 8 days left before the final deadline for tariffs. Second, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut is also approaching. In the medium and long term, there is definitely no problem with being bullish. There will be initial jobless claims data later, which will affect the trend of gold today. We need to pay some attention to it👀.
From the daily line, the current Bollinger Band middle track is near the 3343 line, and the SMA60 moving average is near the 3330 below. In the short term, the downward momentum of gold is released, and it is expected to test the 3343 mid-line support below💪.
📊Therefore, we can consider going long again at 3360-3343 below and look towards 3375-3385. Short-term losses don’t mean anything. With the recent frequent news fluctuations, we still have a good chance to turn losses into profits🚀.
🚀BUY 3360-3350
🚀TP 3375-3385
Some investors take profits. Opportunity to buy gold to 3500?✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD price correction of 50 appeared yesterday. This is obvious to happen in a sustainable uptrend. Today's strategy will look for liquidity sweeps to support to BUY to ATH 3500. Gold's current border zone is limited by the upper and lower trendlines. Be careful not to trade against the trend when breaking the trend zone.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3375 -3363
Resistance: 3418-3431-3490
Buy trigger: Buyers react at 3375
Buy zone: 3363
Target: 3430; level higher at 3490
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.