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Xauusdanalysis

World gold prices slightly decreased as the USD increasedHowever, the precious metal is under some pressure as the dollar index rose sharply and US Treasury yields rose slightly. The Conference Board reported on Monday that its US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7, down from a revised 112.8 in November. The reading was weaker than expected, with economists predicting the index would be largely unchanged. “Expectations that consumer confidence would continue to recover were not realized in December, as the index fell back to its two-year average,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board. Gold is struggling to find its way amid the holiday lull, said James Hyerczyk, an analyst at FX Empire. “The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and forecast of fewer rate cuts in 2025 are keeping gold under pressure. The precious metal will face key support tests during the holiday week
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD: 23/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2650, support below 2600 Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall technical side of gold ushered in a wide range of long and short shocks. After the continuous decline and plunge on Thursday, the previous day, breaking the 2600 mark, it rebounded slightly throughout the day on Friday. It ushered in an accelerated high breakthrough before and after the US market and stood above the 2610 mark to continue the bullish rebound. It closed near 2622 last Friday. Today, gold opened in the Asian session and was not strong. It began to fluctuate. Gold has not had a unilateral market for the time being. From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support below is around 2627, focusing on the 2600 first-line support, and the upper pressure is around 2650-60. It is bullish above the 2627 daily level long-short watershed. Because Christmas is coming soon, gold can be bought on dips. BUY:2627near BUY:2622near Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold price analysis December 23Fundamental Analysis Gold prices held steady near $2,625 in early Asian trading on Monday. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance could weigh on the yellow metal. However, a weaker greenback following weaker inflation data could limit the yellow metal’s downside. The Fed cut interest rates at its December meeting as expected but signaled it would slow the pace of further reductions in borrowing costs. The Fed’s dot plot, a chart that projects the future path of interest rates, shows a half-percentage-point cut in rates by 2025, compared to a full percentage-point cut expected in September. This, in turn, further boosts the US Dollar (USD) and weakens USD-denominated gold as higher real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of bullion. Technical Analysis Gold marked a second consecutive bullish rebound today. Although there were some adjustments at the beginning of the Asian session, as long as the correction does not exceed 2605, it is still a buying opportunity worth paying attention to. 2651-2665 are considered the two technical resistance zones of gold price today before it wants to uptrend again and find the peak around 2692. If 2605 is broken, 2657 will be the target of all subsequent downtrends.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
12.24.2024 GOLD Logic Analysis + Opportunity AnalysisHello traders, Everyone must be clear that there are multiple factors causing tight liquidity at the end of 2024 1. Special Timing Factors - US markets traditionally have lower liquidity during Christmas to New Year period - Financial institutions' year-end settlements and balance sheet adjustments - Traders' holiday breaks naturally lead to decreased trading volume 2. US Government's Debt Issuance Pressure - Scale: Treasury auctions exceeding $70 billion - Timing: During the lowest liquidity period - Distribution of Types: - 2-year Treasury bonds - 5-year Treasury bonds - 7-year Treasury bonds - Impact: Will further drain dollar liquidity from the market 3. Federal Reserve's Response Measures Fed's current Standing Repo Facility (SRF) (temporary liquidity operations) characteristics: - Time window: 12/30/2024 - 1/3/2025 - Scale: $500 billion daily - Nature: Temporary liquidity support - Operation method: Overnight repo Interpretation of Fed's SRF policy implications: - Only covers the most critical days around year-end - Shows Fed's vigilance against market volatility 4. Risk Warnings: Liquidity Risk + Thin Holiday Trading - Market volatility may increase - Asset prices may fluctuate - Trading costs may rise - Year-end cross-year trading requires caution Last week's group reminder: Gold short-selling plan, short targets were: TP1: 2648 achieved, manage positions and trailing stops TP2: 2618 first target for new positions, consider entry timing on Thursday after Fed meeting TP3: 2575 not yet reached Friday's group reminder: Not advisable to enter new positions, continue managing stops and position sizes for existing short positions. This week, due to Christmas holidays, liquidity is low, not recommended to open new positions. Continue managing stops and positions for last week's short positions, ultimate profit target remains at 2575, but if stop losses are triggered unexpectedly, exit and observe, waiting for the next opportunity. Technically, on the 4-hour chart, gold's retracement has reached the first structural position (STRUCTURE 1) at FIBO 382 level in the 2930-2940 area. Watch the resistance force when price reaches this position, observe for new 1-hour reversal signals for potential continued downward movement in gold. GOOD LUCK! Merry Xmas! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold Trade Plan for the next 4hrs.Trade Plan for the Next 4 Hours Time Direction Entry Take Profit Stop Loss 2024-12-24 02:30:00 Short 2612.48 2612.31 2612.65 2024-12-24 02:45:00 Short 2609.88 2609.24 2609.24 2024-12-24 03:00:00 Short 2609.09 2608.39 2608.39 2024-12-24 03:15:00 Long 2612.27 2612.75 2611.79 2024-12-24 03:30:00 Long 2616.03 2617.61 2614.45 2024-12-24 03:45:00 Long 2615.98 2617.23 2614.73 2024-12-24 04:00:00 Long 2614.56 2615.12 2614 2024-12-24 04:15:00 Long 2614.27 2614.65 2613.89 2024-12-24 04:30:00 Short 2612.6 2612.41 2612.41 2024-12-24 04:45:00 Short 2611.4 2610.92 2610.92 2024-12-24 05:00:00 Short 2611.23 2610.84 2610.84 2024-12-24 05:15:00 Short 2611.53 2611.36 2611.36 2024-12-24 05:30:00 Short 2610.73 2610.39 2610.39 2024-12-24 05:45:00 Short 2610.57 2610.29 2610.29 2024-12-24 06:00:00 Short 2611.6 2611.46 2611.74 2024-12-24 06:15:00 Long 2611.74 2611.93 2611.55
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheBullsEye1
Christmas gift: buy gold!Bros, gold has fallen back to around 2616 in the short term. Where will gold fall? In fact, from the perspective of the short-term structure, although gold has fallen back twice in the 2635 area and fell below 2620, for the overall structure, gold's performance today is not weak. As long as gold stays above 2612, gold still has the ability to continue to rebound. So don’t be frightened by the short-term downward trend. The fall in gold is likely to give you an opportunity to go long in gold. Once gold tests the support again, gold is likely to continue its rebound and try to touch 2640 or even 2650. Bros, this is my Christmas gift to you. Be brave and seize the opportunity to be long gold. Bros, are you going long on gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
1
XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651 TP1: $2635 TP2: $2620 TP3: $2610 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599 TP1: $2615 TP2: $2628 TP3: $2640 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
XAUUSD 99% confirm Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a moderate positive tone on Friday following the sharp sell-off earlier this week. Cooler-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data on Friday has increased selling pressure on the US Dollar, although the precious metal is struggling to put a significant distance from the one-month lows hit this weekPCE Inflation has increased 0.1% in November, against expectations of a 0.2% increment. The yearly rate accelerated to 2.4% from the previous month's 2.3% reading, still below the 2.5% anticipated by the market consensus. Likewise, the Core PCE eased to 0.1% from 0.3% in October while the yearly inflation remained steady at 2,8% against market expectations of an uptick to 2.9%from heavily oversold levels. The broader trend, however, remains bearish. The pair is struggling to find acceptance above $2,600 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour chart remains flat at levels below the 50 threshold, highlighting the bearish momentum. Immediate resistance is at the $2,605 intra-day high, with the key resistance area to challenge the bearish trend at the $2,625-$2,630 area (November 28, December 2 lows). On the downside, supports are at Wednesday’s low at around $2,580, ahead of November’s trough at $2,540.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingForex078
Gold is Ready to Break Resistance lines!!!Gold attacked a Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) yesterday, as I expected . Gold is starting to rise from the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) and breaking the First Resistance lines . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold managed to complete wave 5 so that wave 5 was Truncated . I expect Gold to attack the Downtrend line and the Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620) after breaking the First resistance lines . ⚠️Note: If Gold goes below $2,600, we should expect more Dumps⚠️. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
17
XAU/USD Chart Analysis and Analytical Gold Price ForecastXAU/USD Chart Analysis and Analytical Gold Price Forecast for 2025 With the holiday season underway, this week may be less volatile than the previous one, which was dominated by central bank decisions. This presents an opportunity to analyse the broader trends and outlook for gold prices in 2025. The XAU/USD chart reveals that gold prices have been moving within an ascending channel, gaining approximately 27% since the start of 2024. The short-term outlook appears bearish due to the following factors: - Gold prices fell after last week’s Federal Reserve interest rate cut, signalling increased selling pressure. - The $2,720 level remains a key resistance, having reversed the price downward in November and December. - While a recent upward reversal (indicated by an arrow) shows renewed buying interest near the lower boundary of the ascending channel, persistent selling pressure could still lead to a bearish trend. This might result in a breakdown below the blue channel's lower boundary and the formation of a descending channel (outlined in red). Despite short-term challenges, analysts remain optimistic about gold's prospects for 2025. Donald Trump's return to the White House may significantly change global trade, Western alliances, and geopolitical dynamics. These uncertainties may increase demand for gold as a so-called safe-haven asset. A BullionVault survey of around 1,450 participants predicts that gold prices could reach $3,070 by the end of 2025, driven by concerns over geopolitics and mounting national debt. In this context, even if the lower boundary of the blue channel is breached, bullish momentum could resume, possibly from one of the grey support levels. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold above Buying zoneFundamental analysis: Despite the strong Bullish candle sequence on DX, Gold remains Neutral-Bullish and above my Support for the day as U.S. session is approaching and recession fears resurfacing. However, #2,622.80 - #2,627.80 is new / old Support zone made by the Hourly 4 chart’s candlestick configuration. Gold is still not pulling back again after it failed to break above it’s Higher High’s Upper zone on the Hourly 4 chart. Still I haven’t got confirmation for Short-term Buying opportunity and it is still not worth entering the market without tight Risk management (all correction attempts are rejected due Fundamental Buying pressure). Monday’s session Wall Street opening Bell can have Bullish impact also on DX, hence Bearish for Gold. My Selling bias is unchanged as I will treat Bullish spikes as an oscillation from Overbought to Neutral (Williams%), which may create new space for aggressive Bearish takedown. Gold is extending the sideways action, following the continuation of the former Hourly 1 chart’s Ascending Channel, as Bond Yields and DX on gains for the #2nd straight session (still however market didn’t returned to normal Trading conditions), current environment is Gold friendly (recession fears, safe-havens such as Gold are in High demand, hawkish Fed stance). Spot how Gold's strong Selling level of the #2,622.80 is far from fair symmetrical manner with disastrous side Swings on Bond Yields and DX as my strongest correlation so far, but currently both assets are on Short-term uptrend while Gold is as well soaring (however only on Short-term). Technical analysis: No changes so far on the Daily perspective (Gold is Trading within my model) as today’s session E.U. opening didn’t delivered any significant move towards any Buying or Selling pressure point /confirmation, even though Fundamental numbers throughout Friday’s session met the forecast and delivered relief for Gold Buyers, DX on a Fundamental surprise, delivered full bodied green candle. The Price-action remains Neutral above the Hourly 4 chart’s Support zone of #2,622.80 - #2,627.80 and below the #2,638.80 - #2,642.80 Resistance zone fractal so use mentioned zones as your Intra-day pointers. It is Natural that Price-action found both Sellers and Buyers as RSI hit the Neutral zone, and with the absence of macro-economic catalysts, strong Volatility is expected, and don’t be surprised if you see thin Volume throughout today’s session. As the market is waiting for a catalyst, I see no alternative under such a Neutral setting but to maintain my breakout strategy and watching closely DX, to carefully issue my next move. If however #2,645.80 breaks, Price-action will be calling for upside extension, where #2,622.80 break can open doors for #2,600.80 benchmark and #2,592.80 configuration sequence. Otherwise, Volatility will be on the main stage. I do believe Selling pressure is still present on market so take that into consideration prior to positioning.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
2
Gold above Buying zoneFundamental analysis: Despite the strong Bullish candle sequence on DX, Gold remains Neutral-Bullish and above my Support for the day as U.S. session is approaching and recession fears resurfacing. However, #2,622.80 - #2,627.80 is new / old Support zone made by the Hourly 4 chart’s candlestick configuration. Gold is still not pulling back again after it failed to break above it’s Higher High’s Upper zone on the Hourly 4 chart. Still I haven’t got confirmation for Short-term Buying opportunity and it is still not worth entering the market without tight Risk management (all correction attempts are rejected due Fundamental Buying pressure). Monday’s session Wall Street opening Bell can have Bullish impact also on DX, hence Bearish for Gold. My Selling bias is unchanged as I will treat Bullish spikes as an oscillation from Overbought to Neutral (Williams%), which may create new space for aggressive Bearish takedown. Gold is extending the sideways action, following the continuation of the former Hourly 1 chart’s Ascending Channel, as Bond Yields and DX on gains for the #2nd straight session (still however market didn’t returned to normal Trading conditions), current environment is Gold friendly (recession fears, safe-havens such as Gold are in High demand, hawkish Fed stance). Spot how Gold's strong Selling level of the #2,622.80 is far from fair symmetrical manner with disastrous side Swings on Bond Yields and DX as my strongest correlation so far, but currently both assets are on Short-term uptrend while Gold is as well soaring (however only on Short-term). Technical analysis: No changes so far on the Daily perspective (Gold is Trading within my model) as today’s session E.U. opening didn’t delivered any significant move towards any Buying or Selling pressure point /confirmation, even though Fundamental numbers throughout Friday’s session met the forecast and delivered relief for Gold Buyers, DX on a Fundamental surprise, delivered full bodied green candle. The Price-action remains Neutral above the Hourly 4 chart’s Support zone of #2,622.80 - #2,627.80 and below the #2,638.80 - #2,642.80 Resistance zone fractal so use mentioned zones as your Intra-day pointers. It is Natural that Price-action found both Sellers and Buyers as RSI hit the Neutral zone, and with the absence of macro-economic catalysts, strong Volatility is expected, and don’t be surprised if you see thin Volume throughout today’s session. As the market is waiting for a catalyst, I see no alternative under such a Neutral setting but to maintain my breakout strategy and watching closely DX, to carefully issue my next move. If however #2,645.80 breaks, Price-action will be calling for upside extension, where #2,622.80 break can open doors for #2,600.80 benchmark and #2,592.80 configuration sequence. Otherwise, Volatility will be on the main stage. I do believe Selling pressure is still present on market so take that into consideration prior to positioning.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at Pullback 2,640 / 2,650 / 2,660 however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level. Goal 🎯: 2540.00 or Before Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
Gold price trend analysisGold daily line maintains a short structure, and the continued rise of the US dollar index has a certain negative impact on the gold and silver markets. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow and a small positive, and the short-term chart four-hour roller coaster price continued to move down along the high and low points of the MA10-day moving average, and the price continued to run along the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands. The hourly chart Bollinger Bands opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran below the middle axis. Today's trading ideas remain unchanged, mainly rebounding high and high, and low-multiple short-term auxiliary. Gold 1-hour moving average is still short-term divergent arrangement, without any signs of turning, and there is still room for gold to go down. Gold did not stand firm at 2600 to close, and continued to sell at highs below 2613 today! First support: 2582, second support: 2572, third support: 2563 First resistance: 2605, second resistance: 2613, third resistance: 2628 Trading strategy: BUY:2583-2585 SELL:2611-2613
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAUUSD For incoming weekXAUUSD is currently taking a breather after the sharp downward push caused by the FOMC. Personally, I believe it will end up closing the candle that initiated the move after the FOMC, around 2636.80, where I’ve marked the respective order block, to absorb all the liquidity generated during its decline, before resuming its bearish trend. Remember that nothing is certain in the financial markets, and this is just my personal analysis. Keep in mind that the price could still rise further to take more liquidity (Everything is up in the air depending on what happens next). Let me know your thoughts in the comments!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ScoccaMarco_