How to trade the Fed's interest rate decision!In nearly an hour, the Fed will announce the Fed's interest rate decision and a summary of economic expectations;
In nearly an hour and a half, Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
If the Fed's policy statement or the latest forecast shows a dovish tendency, it may resume the downward trend of the US dollar, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold; and the recent mild inflation and weak employment data in the United States may prompt the Fed to soften its previous assessment, thereby strengthening expectations of interest rate cuts and providing support for gold prices.
From the current technical structure, gold maintains a volatile and anxious market during the day, and there is no clear direction in the short term, but gold is currently always below 3400, and the overall market is still in a weak trend; but gold has repeatedly touched the 3375-3365 area and can quickly recover, proving that there is still strong buying support below; in fact, it stands to reason that if gold is really weak, it should have continued to fall and touched the 3360-3350 area, but gold did not touch the area as expected, but used sideways trading to exchange time and space, and there was no sign of any downward breakthrough, so gold is likely to choose an upward direction.
In addition, the Middle East geopolitical crisis, global economic uncertainty, intensified trade frictions and rising inflation expectations will all provide structural support for gold. So if gold does not fall below the 3365-3355 area today, we will be bullish on gold first; but if gold cannot break through the 3410-3420 area in one fell swoop during the rise, then we need to be careful of the trend of gold rising and then falling.
As for how to trade the news next: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The above are my trading ideas and opinions, you can read them carefully and use them as a reference! If you still want to trade news after careful consideration, please be sure to set SL during the transaction to protect your account to the greatest extent!
Xauusdanalysis
6/19 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning!
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision aligned with market expectations, bringing no major surprises. The market had already priced in bearish sentiment in advance, which led gold to trade within the Bollinger Bands' upper, middle, and lower bounds, with all three bands trending sideways, indicating limited intraday volatility.
🔍 Technical Overview:
On the 30-minute chart, the Bollinger Bands began to tilt downward near the close, with price currently pressured by the middle band;
However, MACD structure suggests the middle band may be broken, with potential for price to challenge the upper band resistance near 3392–3400;
More importantly, on the 1D chart, the MACD is showing signs of a bearish crossover (death cross). If confirmed, it may break the bullish structure, weakening support from the weekly MA5;
If gold sustains below the weekly MA10 at 3317, it could open the door for a broader correction, with a drop toward 3200 becoming increasingly likely.
📊 Fundamental Factors:
Today’s U.S. market holiday means fewer economic data releases. As such, gold will likely be driven by technical structure and geopolitical headlines, especially those related to the Middle East. If no new developments emerge, selling on rallies remains the preferred strategy.
📌 Trading Plan (VIP-Focused):
✅ Sell Zone: 3392–3409
✅ Buy Zone: 3338–3321
✅ Scalp/Flexible Zones: 3387 / 3373 / 3364 / 3356 / 3345
XAUUSD:Fed & Middle East as Breakout CatalystsGold is currently fluctuating between $3,375 and $3,405. A breakdown below $3,375 could trigger a direct move toward $3,360, while a decisive breakout above $3,405 with sustained momentum would target $3,430.
The ability to breach this range hinges on today's Fed data release and evolving Middle East tensions. For now, adopt a range-trading strategy (sell high/buy low) within the band, and await key data to follow market momentum.
XAUUSD
sell@3395-3405
tp:3380-3370
buy@3370-3380
tp:3395-3405
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Expect gold to break 3400 for 3430 post-FedIn recent years, after the U.S. economy was hit by a round of high inflation, inflation data has gradually shown signs of easing 📉. Logically, the weakening inflation pressure should have paved the way for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, but surprisingly, the Fed has chosen to remain on the sidelines and maintain its high-interest-rate policy ⚖️. The Fed's decision to keep rates high has had a significant impact on gold prices and the U.S. dollar 💱. First, high interest rates typically push up the U.S. dollar exchange rate, thereby dampening gold demand 💰↓.
Gold's price movement this week deviated from market news or expectations 📉≠📢. Driven by geopolitical conflicts, gold rallied on Friday 📈, and the momentum continued to simmer over the weekend, leading to a gap-up opening on Monday followed by a steady decline 📉. On the hourly timeframe, the low points are gradually shifting downward, with 3,400 becoming a short-term resistance level 📊. Although gold fell from 3,452, it is clearly oscillating around 3,380 🔄
I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause gold to directly break through 3400 and reach around 3430 🌟📈
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3380 - 3385
🚀 TP 3400 - 3430
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAU/USD – Wave 3 in Motion?We’re currently monitoring what appears to be a textbook Elliott Wave 1-2 structure, with Wave (2) bottoming near $3,293. Price has since pushed up and consolidated above the 0.5–0.382 retracement zone, holding firm at key EMAs and structure.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Wave (1): Clean impulsive structure.
Wave (2): Corrective decline finding strong support at $3,293.
Current consolidation suggests accumulation before potential Wave (3) breakout.
Confluence of Fib extensions & upper trendline project Wave (3) towards $3,484, aligning with the -0.27 extension.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and retest of the $3,400–$3,415 level (0.236 Fib) to confirm bullish continuation.
Holding above $3,372–$3,390 (the golden pocket and 0.5/0.382 zone) is key to maintaining the bullish bias.
A clean break below $3,353 invalidates this immediate structure.
📈 Bias: Bullish
🎯 Next target: $3,484
⛔️ Invalidation: Break below $3,350
💬 Let me know your thoughts. Are we about to ride Wave 3, or will gold give us one more dip before lift off?
Buy Signal at 3363 Support, Sell Signal at 3400 ResistanceToday's key resistance level for gold remains at 3400.00 🚦, with the support area around 3363.00 🛡️. The current price of gold is 3388, placing it in the middle of the range between the support and resistance levels ⚖️.
We can wait for opportunities to go long when the price drops to around the support area of 3363.00 - 3370.00 📉, accompanied by bullish candlestick patterns (such as a hammer with a long lower shadow 🔦, a bullish engulfing pattern 🐂) or positive fundamental news (such as dovish remarks from the Federal Reserve 🕊️, escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East 🔥).
Conversely, we can consider going short when the price reaches the resistance zone of 3400.00 - 3405.00 📈, along with negative fundamental news (such as strong U.S. economic data 📊, easing of geopolitical risks 🧘).
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@ 3400-3405
tp:3375-3365
buy@3365-3370
tp:3390-3400
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Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀
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Gold should focus on Federal Reserve news.Gold is experiencing short-term volatility influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. It is advisable to avoid chasing the market and wait for favorable entry opportunities. The upper resistance level has been a site of repeated tug-of-war recently. Following the release of Fed data, there is a high probability that the trading range will be broken. From a 4-hour technical analysis perspective, the key support level for gold remains at 3,370, while the short-term resistance level is focused on 3,420.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3370-3375
TP:3400-3405
The interest rate remains volatile,and the gold operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. US-Iran conflict continues
3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision
📈 Market analysis:
Gold has been trading sideways recently. It is expected that there will not be much fluctuation before today's Fed interest rate information and Powell's speech. It is expected to continue to fluctuate in the range of 3405-3365. At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the short term is also a point we need to pay attention to.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3375-3365-3355
TP 3395-3400-3405
SELL 3405-3395
TP 3380-3375-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Wide range fluctuations continue, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. US-Iran conflict continues
3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the gold price is testing the 3380 line again, and the strong support below is 3365-3355. As long as it does not fall below this key support, the bulls will remain strong. At the same time, the two key points of 3405 and 3420 above are still short-term resistance. Breaking through may directly test 3450. In the short term, gold fluctuates repeatedly at the 3405-3365 level, temporarily maintaining a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. There is also initial jobless claims data released today. At the same time, the geopolitical situation in the short term is severe, so we need to be cautious. In addition, the New York Stock Exchange will be closed tomorrow. The focus this week is mainly on Friday, especially when it is superimposed with the Fed's interest rate decision, we need to be vigilant about the transmission effect of sudden changes in liquidity on the market.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3365-3355
TP 33395-3400-3405
SELL 3405-3390
TP 3380-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Stick to shorting goldGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range of 3380-3385, and the trend is relatively slow. We also need more patience. In comparison, I think the current short-selling force has a slight upper hand, because gold has shown signs of accelerating decline after a difficult rebound many times, and has fallen below 3380 many times. According to the current gold structure, gold does not have sufficient room for decline, and it is still possible to continue to fall to the 3365-3355 area.
It is expected that gold will not fluctuate too much before the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. For this interest rate decision, I think the possibility of a rate cut is not great, and the current interest rate may still remain unchanged. The reduction in the expectation of a rate cut may stimulate a wave of gold declines in the short term. So in the short term, I still prefer a short trade in gold. Obviously, gold is currently under pressure in the 3395-3405 area, so we can still try to short gold in this area.
GOLD Made Inverted H&S Pattern , Long Scalping Ready !Here is my 15 mins chart on gold and we have a reversal pattern , ( inverted head & shoulders ) and we have a clear closure above our neckline so we can buy it to get the target and then wait for the news tonight and then decide the new direction after news effect .
XAUUSD:Go long
As can be seen from the chart, the decline of gold actually did not fall below 3380 each time, the actual close longer lower shadow, and from yesterday's trend can be seen 3400 is a certain pressure exists, so today to see whether this position can break through. After the break, we continue to look up, and then increase the trading range.
For now or first around the narrow range to trade.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3378-84
TP:3395-3400
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Data is about to be released. Will it affect the trend of gold?Information summary:
The Federal Reserve is about to announce the latest interest rate decision, and the market generally expects it to maintain the policy interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% unchanged. Trump recently asked the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by one percentage point immediately. However, the market reacted cautiously to this, believing that a sharp interest rate cut may increase inflation risks, especially in the context of Middle East conflicts pushing up oil prices.
Fed Chairman Powell's statement at the press conference will become the focus of market attention. The market expects the Fed to maintain a "cautious and patient" tone, and the guidance on the interest rate outlook may be vague.
Market analysis:
Technical indicators, from the daily chart, the support level is near the 10-day moving average and the 20-day moving average, and the 3365-3345 range forms an important support. In terms of resistance, yesterday's high near 3405 constitutes a key resistance above. If the price wants to reverse the current weak pattern, it needs to break through this resistance level strongly to open up the upward space.
From the 1-hour chart, the price started to fall after reaching a high point, and maintained stability in the upper and lower ranges; it is now close to the low point in the early trading, and the trend is relatively slow.
In the absence of an upward or downward breakthrough, we still follow the strategy of selling high and buying low.
Short around 3400, stop loss 3410, profit range 3380-3365;
Long around 3365 when the price falls back, stop loss 3355, profit range 3380-3400.
Technical Analysis on Gold Trading TrendsGold maintained a mild intraday downward trend, with the price currently hovering around $3,381 per ounce. As tensions in the Middle East persist, gold is awaiting the Federal Reserve's resolution to gain a clear direction.
With risk sentiment stabilizing, gold prices fell in early Wednesday trading, moving away from the $3,400 per ounce threshold. Amid lingering geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, all eyes are focused on the Federal Reserve's policy announcement, which is expected to trigger sharp volatility in gold prices. Investors need to closely monitor the Fed's policy guidance, the trend of the U.S. dollar, and the latest developments in the Middle East situation.
In the long term, the low-interest-rate environment and global economic uncertainties will continue to enhance gold's attractiveness, but short-term volatility may intensify. It is recommended that investors exercise caution when trading. In addition, the initial value of the U.S. May annualized building permits and the U.S. May annualized new housing starts will be released on this trading day, which investors should also pay attention to.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy
Yesterday was affected by the easing signal gold high continued to correction, fell back to 3400 again, the trend exceeded personal expectations. Gold received another boost after the president's news, and rebounded slightly in the Asian session. In this eventful autumn, the market is subject to frequent news factors, the trend is slightly turbulent, to be ready to sweep back and forward.
Today's overall volatility is expected to have a contraction, individual expectations of the final close of the small negative line is more likely
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3380-85
TP:3404-3410
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update for 18 June 25Hello Traders, Welcome to the FOMC Day
as you can see that market is in tight range for now which is 3370-3400, we are still waiting for long above 3400 Psychological Level once market will clearly breaks 3400 level we consider long opportunities
if market breaks 3350 Psychological digit successfully then it will move towards 3325 first then focus will 3300 Major Support Level
All eyes on FOMC for the day
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
xauusd daily level📌 Title:
GOLD | Supply & Demand Zones + Structure Break Analysis
📝 Description:
This chart showcases a price action-based analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe.
Key highlights:
Clear Supply & Demand Zones are marked using recent price reactions and consolidation areas.
Price Structure Breaks confirm bearish control as multiple lower highs and lower lows are forming.
The price is currently reacting between two demand zones; potential for bounce or breakdown.
A strong supply area is observed around 3398–3405, which caused sharp rejections.
Watch how price behaves around 3370 zone, a key demand area which has held previously.
🔔 Trading Plan:
If price retests the upper supply zone and shows weakness (e.g., wick rejections, bearish engulfing), it may offer a short opportunity.
If price breaks below the current demand zone at 3370 with volume, expect further downside.
Bullish bias only above 3405 zone with strong candle close.
📈 Tools used:
Manual Supply & Demand Marking
Pure Price Action
Structure Break Confirmation
Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) Is Gold Just Breathing or Breaking? Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD)
🔍 Macro & Sentiment Overview
Gold faced a sharp correction after a strong Asian session rally, which caught many traders off guard...
While the US Dollar gained 0.7% due to safe-haven flows and Fed anticipation, gold's dip seems more like a liquidity sweep than a structural reversal...
🌍 Rising geopolitical tensions — especially Iran–Israel and Trump’s comments about Tehran — keep the fear premium alive…
🛢️ Meanwhile, oil prices are surging, and institutional funds might be rotating capital between commodities and equities...
📝 All eyes are now on the Fed’s rate decision and the US retail sales report — a potential "horror print" that could shock rate expectations and trigger high volatility across markets.
📉 Technical Breakdown (M30 Perspective)
Price pulled back sharply after an overextended bullish move from Asian FOMO…
EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200) show early signs of potential crossover — signaling caution for buyers…
Liquidity gaps (FVG zones) below current price indicate a magnet for institutional fills…
🎯 Trade Setup
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343
Stop-Loss: 3339
Take Profits:
3350 → 3354 → 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3380 → 3400 → ???
🧠 Look for confirmation through price action and rejection candles during London/NY sessions before entering.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444
Stop-Loss: 3448
Take Profits:
3438 → 3434 → 3430 → 3425 → 3420 → 3410 → 3400
⚠️ Only short upon clean rejection and strong bearish confirmation patterns — avoid blind entries in this volatile phase.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Gold is moving within a smart money playbook — triggering stop hunts and liquidity grabs. With macro uncertainty ahead, patience and precision matter more than ever.
Let price come to your zones. Don’t chase. Let volatility serve you — not shake you.
📌 Follow this idea for live updates during the Fed press conference and NY session.
GOLD(XAUUSD) UPDATEKeep a close watch on the 3,403–3,406 zone (highlighted area in the chart). This is a strong resistance zone that gold has tested multiple times but failed to break.
What to expect?
If gold gives a clean breakout and sustains above this zone, we could see a good upside momentum unfolding.
📈 Break above = bullish momentum confirmation
💬 Stay alert and be ready to act if price breaches this key level with volume and strength.
Trade smart, manage risk.
Middle East Tensions Intertwined with Fed Rate Cut SpeculationThe Middle East situation remains tense ⚠️, and with rumors of a Fed rate cut emerging 👂, gold is likely to see significant volatility in the near term 📈📉. Due to the war, we still favor going long at lower levels 💹. During the current U.S. trading session, another pullback may occur—we need to wait for the correction before continuing to go long ⏳
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375
🚀 TP 3400 - 3410
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold price analysis June 18Yesterday's D1 candle was a Doji candle. It shows the hesitation of buyers and sellers at the price near ATH.
The h4 structure is a sustainable bullish wave structure and is heading towards higher hooks.
The 3400 zone is the immediate resistance zone that Gold is heading towards. This zone will be the breakout zone for the confirmation of the candle closing above 3400.
The profit-taking reaction zone of sellers at 3415 acts as a price reaction when the price uptrend returns and creates momentum towards 3443.
On the other hand, the breakout point of 3472, if broken, will push the price to the support zone of 3343