XAUUSD - Overtrading and Revenge Trading - Trading PsychologyFrom Chaos to Control: Mastering the Art of Balanced Trading on Gold
Trading gold is exhilarating. It’s fast, volatile, emotional — and addictive.
But what most traders don’t realize is this: it’s not the market killing your account.
It’s you, pressing buy and sell like it’s a video game.
Over-trading is the silent account killer. It doesn’t scream. It whispers:
“Just one more entry.”
“Maybe this one will finally run.”
“Let me scalp this quick pullback…”
Before you know it, you’ve taken 12 trades by noon and your brain’s fried.
🧠1. Why Over-Trading Happens: The Dopamine Delusion
Over-trading isn’t just a strategy flaw. It’s chemical. Your brain rewards anticipation of profit — not just actual wins.
So every setup, every near-miss, every “maybe I missed the move” spikes your dopamine.
That’s why you keep clicking. Not because you saw a valid setup.
Because your brain craves the rush of imagining one.
This is why traders enter in zones they never marked, skip confirmation, and rush into impulsive entries.
The market didn’t give a signal. Your nervous system did.
📉2. The Real Damage: Not Just Losing Trades — Losing Discipline
Over-trading ruins more than your account. It ruins your edge.
• You stop following your plan
• You chase liquidity like a gambler
• You get shaken out of clean zones
• You increase risk, just to “make it back faster”
And worst of all? It feels productive.
But profits don’t come from activity. They come from precision.
If you don’t reflect about your actions, you repeat the bad ones.
💸3. The Financial Fallout: Over-Trading Blows Up Accounts
Over-trading nukes your capital.
• One extra trade becomes five
• SL gets wider or invisible because your entry was rushed
• Lot size gets heavier to “speed up” recovery
• Now you’re emotional, and revenge mode kicks in...
You’re not compounding anymore.
You’re compounding mistakes.
This is how smart traders blow up challenge accounts.
This is how funded accounts get revoked.
This is how small accounts die before they grow.
Over-trading is a trap with a $0 exit.
✅4. Tactical Fixes: Trade Smart, Live Smarter
✔️ Set a daily trade cap.
Limit yourself to 2–3 trades. If you keep entering, it’s not analysis — it’s compulsion.
✔️ Split your daily risk.
Risking 0.3% total? That doesn’t mean 0.3% per trade. Break it down, or you’ll break your account.
✔️ Set alerts — not alarms in your brain.
Stop watching every candle like it’s a soap opera.
Set TradingView alerts at your key zones and walk away.
The market doesn’t move faster just because you're glued to the screen.
✔️ Take real breaks — not just chart scrolling.
Go outside. Call someone or send time with family and friends. Eat good food.
Most traders come home from work and go right back into charts like it’s their second shift.
That’s not discipline. That’s burnout.
✔️ Build a life that doesn't revolve around entries.
The more you lose, the more you trade. The more you trade, the more you spiral.
It’s just like alcohol, drugs, gambling. Dopamine up. Reality down.
And the worst part? It looks like hard work from the outside — but it feels like slow death inside.
🧨5. From Over-Trading to Revenge Mode
If over-trading is the first crack in your foundation, revenge trading is the wrecking ball.
And it never starts from logic. It starts from pain.
You had a clean setup.
You got stopped out — maybe twice.
Now you're frustrated, humiliated… embarrassed.
You’re no longer reacting to price.
You’re reacting to loss.
Revenge trading doesn’t feel chaotic in the moment.
It feels righteous.
You convince yourself, “I just need one win to get it all back.”
😵💫6. The Emotional Spiral Traders Don’t Talk About
Over-trading and revenge trading are addictive.
You’re showing up to work. You’re posting charts. You’re pretending it’s fine.
But deep down?
You're wrecked. Emotionally, financially, and mentally.
This is the side of trading no one glamorizes.
The isolation. The loneliness. The pressure. The self-blame.
This is how people burn out — not from one bad week.
But from trying to trade their way out of pain.
⚠️ Final Word
Over-trading is not a badge of hustle.
It’s the first step toward emotional dependence on the market.
And that’s the most expensive habit you’ll ever form.
If you don’t catch it early, you’ll keep blaming the market, the spread, the broker…
when the real damage was done by your own reaction.
The market doesn’t owe you anything.
So be kind to yourself and build discipline, you will win in the long run.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+.
📍 Trading Plan
🎯 Entry
Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448).
Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce).
🛑 Stop‑Loss
For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389).
For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360).
🎯 Profit Targets
Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450).
Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone.
🎥 Path
Potential minor pullback toward trendline.
Bounce establishes support.
Surge toward top of range.
Breakout with trend continuation to new highs.
📊 Trade Risk & Reward
Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
Level Role
$3,360 Swift dip support (green base line)
$3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone
$3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle
$3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high
🧭 Market Context & Drivers
Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows
Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+)
.
Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces
.
✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact.
Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445.
Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360).
Targets:
Near-term: $3,448–3,450
Medium-term: $3,500+
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $3,385.30, with a slight increase of $0.66 (+0.02%). The chart highlights a recent upward trend, with a resistance level around $3,420.58 and a support level near $3,370.10, as indicated by the shaded zones.
XAU/USD Bullish Setup Confirmed After Wave C CompletionXAU/USD has completed a classic five-wave impulsive structure to the upside, followed by a clear ABC corrective phase. The price action shows that wave (5) has topped, and the market has since retraced through a three-wave ABC correction inside a well-defined descending channel.
Currently, wave C appears to have found support right at the lower trendline of the broader ascending structure, signaling a potential completion of the correction and the beginning of a new bullish impulse.
The reaction from this level is strong, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to drive the next leg higher
Wave Count: 5-wave impulse up, followed by ABC correction
Structure: Wave C completed at key channel support
Momentum: Bullish recovery expected if price holds above recent swing low
T1: 3332.268
T2: 3354.078
SL: 3289.400
Gold XAUUSD Move 16 June 2025Market Structure:
The market isin a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows until a recent break of the ascending trendline, signaling a short-term structural weakness.
Current price is in a retracement phase, heading towards previous demand zones.
🔹 Zone 1 (3408–3414):
Confluence of:
Broken trendline retest (former support).
Minor order block / demand zone.
Overlapping price reaction area.
Risk: This zone may act as a liquidity inducement before price sweeps deeper into Zone 2.
Entry trigger: Bullish engulfing or LTF market structure shift on 1m/5m.
🔹 Zone 2 (3380–3384):
Stronger demand zone:
Aligned with previous accumulation base.
Larger imbalance (FVG-type area) and bullish impulsive origin.
More convincing for high-RR entries.
Higher probability: If Zone 1 fails or only wicks price, Zone 2 may provide the main entry opportunity.
Entry trigger: Shift in LTF structure with volume spike or breaker flip.
✅ Trade Signal Suggestions
🟦 Setup 1: Buy from Zone 1
Entry: 3410 (upon bullish confirmation)
SL: 3400 (below structure low)
TP: 3434 (prior high)
RR: ~2.4R
Note: Only take if price forms bullish structure (MSS or BOS) on lower timeframe.
🟦 Setup 2: Buy from Zone 2
Entry: 3380/3384 (upon confirmation)
SL: 3372 (below demand zone)
TP: 3411 or 3434 (scalp to intraday swing)
RR: ~1:3 or better
Note: Wait for clean rejection or reversal candle from this zone.
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk 0.5–1% per trade.
Use entry confirmation such as:
Bullish engulfing
Fair value gap reaction
Break of internal structure
GOLD Intraday Chart for 17 June 25Hello Traders,
as you can see that market was going down very badly and it's actually stuck below 3400 Psychological Level
Definitely we are sellers now as long as market sustain below 3400 Psychological Level
below 3380 level GOLD will move towards 3360 or even 3350
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAU/USD 17 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move? Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move?
After an aggressive rally fueled by geopolitical FOMO headlines, gold (XAUUSD) saw a sudden pullback — but what looked like weakness might actually be a setup for smart accumulation. The market narrative is shifting, and price action is sending important signals...
🌍 Global Drivers Behind the Volatility
Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, prompting global safe haven flows. Evacuation warnings and nuclear deal pressure add more uncertainty to the mix.
Despite bullish news, gold failed to hold its highs — a potential bull trap as institutional players took advantage of retail FOMO to offload.
Big capital may now be rotating from gold into other sectors like energy (oil) and discounted equity assets.
📉 Price Action & Technical Outlook (M30–H1)
After topping around 3442–3440, price snapped back into the mid-range — a sign of liquidity hunting rather than a full reversal.
The EMAs (13/34/89/200) on the M15–M30 timeframes are showing early signs of bearish crossover, hinting at further short-term weakness.
Below current price sits a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) that could act as a magnet — aligning with a high-probability buy zone.
🎯 Trading Playbook
✅ BUY Setup – "Smart Money Entry Zone"
Buy Zone: 3342 – 3344
Stop Loss: 3338
Take Profit Targets:
→ 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360
→ 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3380+
💡 Look for price to tap into the FVG and form a base with bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence, or rising volume) before entering.
❌ SELL Setup – "Fade the Overhead Resistance"
Sell Zone: 3440 – 3442
Stop Loss: 3446
Take Profit Targets:
→ 3436 → 3432 → 3428 → 3424
→ 3420 → 3415 → 3410
⚠️ Only short on a strong rejection or bearish engulfing candle near the resistance — do not short blindly.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight
The initial Asian-session rally was likely a news-driven liquidity event.
Institutions appear to be rotating capital, using emotional retail entries as exit liquidity.
Current market conditions suggest a shakeout before a longer-term bullish move.
📌 Final Note
Don’t chase price. Let it come to your zones. This market is being driven by geopolitical narrative and smart money behavior, not just technicals alone.
✅ Stay patient.
📊 Trade with logic.
🧘♂️ Let others FOMO — you focus on levels and confirmation.
👉 Follow for real-time London session updates and reaction-based entries.
XAUUSD: The beginning of range trading.Last week, I perfectly predicted the sharp rise in the market. At the beginning of this week, XAUUSD reached a high of 3451, which is the front pressure position. Due to the cooling of risk aversion in the international market, the New York market fell back to 3373 on Monday.
XAUUSD did experience a typical "news-driven callback", and the analysis of technical and fundamental aspects is very critical. The following is a professional analysis and operation suggestions for the current market:
Key points and technical structure
1. Pressure level: 3450 area
- The previous high pressure is effective. This is the resonance resistance area of the upper track of the daily level channel + Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, and the demand for long profit-taking is concentrated.
2. Support level: 3370-3380 area
- Currently falling back to 3373, here is:
- 50-day moving average dynamic support
- 4-hour chart previous low level support platform
- Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
- If the daily closing is above 3380, the technical structure is still a healthy correction.
News-driven logic
- Negative factors:
Geopolitical situation and peace talks ➜ Risk aversion cools down ➜ Gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset decreases.
- Potential risks:
The progress of peace talks may be repeated (such as the situation between Israel and Hamas and Russia and Ukraine). If the negotiations fail, safe-haven buying will return quickly. Need to keep an eye on news sources.
Key signals for long-short game
Long signal: long lower shadow candlestick appears in 3370 area, US dollar index (DXY) falls below 105.0
Short signal: rebound fails to break through 3400 integer mark, US bond yield rises above 4.3%
Trading strategy suggestion
- *Long order opportunity*: 3370-3380 light position to try long, stop loss 3355 (below the previous low), target 3400/3420.
- *Short order opportunity*: 3415-3425 to arrange short orders in batches, stop loss 3440, target 3390.
2: Break down
- Trigger condition: daily closing price <3365
The callback is upgraded to a deep correction
- Target: 3340→ 3300 (psychological barrier + trend line support)
- Operation: Chasing short needs to wait for a rebound to around 3400, stop loss 3420.
3: Restart the rise (probability 10%)
- Trigger condition: Break through 3440 and stand firm for 1 hour
- Possible driving force: Geopolitical conflict escalates/Fed rate cut expectations rise
- Target: 3480 (historical high psychological resistance) → 3500
- Operation: After breaking through 3440, step back to 3425 to chase longs, stop loss 3405.
Key event risks this week
1. Wednesday: US May CPI data (core CPI expected to be 3.5%)
- If data > expectations: expectations of rate hikes rise → bearish for gold
- If data < expectations: expectations of rate cuts come earlier → bullish for gold
2. Thursday: Fed interest rate decision + Powell press conference
- Pay attention to the dot plot's hints on the number of rate cuts in 2024 (current market pricing is about 2 times)
3. Geopolitical headlines: progress in the Iran nuclear agreement, black swan risks in the French election
Position management principles
1. Total risk exposure ≤ 5% of account net value
2. Reduce positions by 50% 3 hours before key events (avoid instantaneous fluctuations in CPI/FOMC)
3. Breakout strategy stop loss setting: 15 points outside the previous high/low to prevent burrs
Conclusion: The effectiveness of the current 3373 support needs to be verified by Wednesday's CPI data. It is recommended that the London market operate in the 3370-3420 range and reduce positions before the US market to wait for data guidance. If you hold long positions, 3380 is the last line of defense; if you hold short positions, consider taking profits in batches above 3400. The medium-term bullish trend of gold has not been broken, but the risk aversion premium needs to be digested in the short term.
If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management to solve your long-term loss problem, please feel free to tell me your trading cycle and risk preference, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Outlook-17 June 2025Gold’s 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend: price is making higher highs and higher lows, trading above key moving averages and an upward trendline
Analyst ManiMarkets notes “a remarkably robust and sustained uptrend… printing higher highs and higher lows” since late 2024. The nearest major hurdle is around the $3,500 all-time high.
The current structure remains bullish: we have not seen a sustained break of the uptrend, so the overall bias is bullish. In Smart-Money terms, recent price action shows no bearish break of structure on 4H (no BOS), and price is simply consolidating near highs – a bullish sign.
Key zones to watch:
Demand/Order Block (~$3,374–3,380): Around $3,375 is a swing-low and past demand area. It lines up with the 4H EMA50 and 1H EMA200, a classical support confluence.
A strong bullish “order block” (heavy buying zone) sits here – a typical smart-money support area.
Pivot Point (~$3,389): Using the classic pivot formula
On the recent 4H range gives Pivot ≈ 3,389. This acts as a short-term balance point.
Resistance (≈$3,400–3,405): Gold has multiple prior highs around $3,400–3,405 (e.g. the overnight high ~$3,405 and the last swing high ~$3,405) which have been repeatedly tested. Traders are watching a break above ~$3,405 for follow-through. (A recent idea noted gold “bounced off support” near $3,390 and is “looking for a clean sweep of the highs at 3405”.)
Major Resistance ($3,500): The all-time peak around $3,500 is a big psychological barrier.
We expect stiff supply if price approaches 3,500.
Using these levels, the pivot-based support and resistance on the 4H chart are:
Pivot Point: ~$3,389
R1: ~$3,406 (Pivot + 1×range)
R2: ~$3,421 (Pivot + 2×range)
R3: ~$3,437 (Pivot + 3×range)
S1: ~$3,374 (Pivot – 1×range)
S2: ~$3,357 (Pivot – 2×range)
S3: ~$3,342 (Pivot – 3×range)
(These are rough levels using the standard formula on the last 4H high/low.)
Beyond numbers, price-action is key: we look for bullish patterns at support (e.g. bull-engulfing or pin-bar at ~$3,375–3,380) and cautious action near resistance. A brief “liquidity grab” happened at the $3,375 area recently (price wiggled below and then shot back up), which in Smart-Money jargon sweeps stops.
That suggests larger players may have been absorbing buying interest. In short, the tape looks healthy for bulls unless $3,375 breaks decisively. A break of the $3,400–3,405 highs would be a bullish BOS (break of structure), targeting the next supply zone.
Trade Setups (1H, Aligned with Bullish Bias)
Below are three high-probability long setups on the 1-hour chart (in line with the 4H uptrend).
Each is sized for a ~$10 stop from the entry zone.
Buy near $3,374–3,380 (Demand Zone):
Entry: $3,374–3,380 area (around Pivot S1 and the recent swing low).
Direction: Buy.
Stop: ~$3,364 (just below this zone, ~$10 lower).
Targets: ~$3,402 (near Pivot R1/previous high), and then ~$3,420 (around next resistance).
Reason: This zone is a confluence of support – it was a recent 4H low and aligns with EMAs (1H EMA200/4H EMA50)
It acts like a “bull order block” where buyers stepped in
A strong bounce from here keeps the bullish structure intact.
Trigger: Look for a bullish reversal candle on 1H (e.g. an engulfing or pin-bar) forming near $3,375. This confirms rejection of lower prices and signals a buy setup.
Chart: Example 1H gold chart. Blue shaded area marks the ~$3,374–3,380 buy zone (Pivot S1/EMA support). A bullish reversal candle here would trigger a long entry, targeting $3,402 then $3,420.
Buy break-&-retest at ~$3,402–3,408:
Entry: After a close above ~$3,405, look to buy on a pullback into $3,402–3,408 (just above the old high).
Direction: Buy.
Stop: ~$3,392 (about $10 below the entry zone).
Targets: ~$3,430 (next swing high) and ~$3,450 (round level/upper channel).
Reason: A decisive move above ~$3,405 would mark a BOS (break of the prior high), shifting structure higher. That resistance then becomes support on a retest. This is a classic “breakout retest” entry. (As noted, highs around 3,405 have been tested repeatedly, so breaking them signals strength.)
Trigger: Wait for a 1H candlestick to close firmly above 3,405, then buy on the next pullback into the $3,402–3,408 range with a bullish candle or dip-buy signal.
Buy on pullback to ~$3,385–3,390 (minor higher low):
Entry: $3,385–3,390 if price dips but holds above the 4H pivot (~3,389).
Direction: Buy.
Stop: ~$3,375 (below the entry zone, about $10 down).
Targets: ~$3,420 and ~$3,450 (same as above levels).
Reason: If the market skips Setup 1 and 2, any 1H pullback that still holds above the pivot (creating a higher-low) is another opportunity. Buying this higher-low keeps us aligned with the 4H uptrend. Essentially, we allow price to re-test the pivot area as new demand.
Trigger: A bullish reversal pattern on 1H in the $3,385–3,390 area (for example, a hammer or bullish engulfing) would mark a higher-low and signal a long entry.
Each setup has a tight stop (~$10) just beyond the support zone, and logical profit targets at nearby resistance levels. All assume the 4H trend stays intact. If support fails (e.g. a clean break under $3,374), be ready to reassess.
Takeaway: Gold’s 4H trend is bullish, so focus on buying dips into identified support zones (not shorting). Use tight stops beyond those zones and aim for the next resistance. In practice, that means looking to go long around ~$3,375–3,380 and ~$3,405 (on a clean breakout), riding any bullish continuation toward $3,430–$3,450, while managing risk at each step.
Citigroup predicts a decline in gold prices? Blacklisted?Information summary:
Citigroup analysts predict that by the second half of 2026, gold will fall back to around $2,500-2,700, with a significant reduction in investment demand, improved global economic growth prospects, and a decline in the factors that led to the rise in gold prices due to the Fed's interest rate cut.
My point of view is: blacklist Citigroup. Since last year, they have predicted that the highest point of gold prices will exceed $4,000, and they have constantly changed the forecast point in the middle, and now they even point out that the price will fall below $3,000, which is completely unreliable.
Market analysis:
In the early Asian session, it also rose strongly, and it seems that there is a lot of upward momentum, but $3,405 is the pressure position for the top and bottom conversion, and the rise in the morning is a lure. At this position, it fell rapidly, reaching a minimum of around $3,373.
The Asian market seemed to rebound strongly in the morning, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages showed a downward trend. This kind of market cannot wait for a decline to go long, but it is also a repeated wash-out shock. The first focus below is the 3375-3370 area, followed by 3360. The short-term trend is still dominated by wash-out shocks.
The short-term important focus position is around 3405. 3405 is used as the dividing point between long and short positions. A short-selling strategy is carried out near this position. Pay attention to the 3375-3360 area below.
Gold Price Analysis June 17The D1 candle shows profit-taking by the sellers, pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones.
Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373. This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks out, Gold will go to 3343-3341 to be able to BUY (pay attention to sell break). If there is a sweep to 3343 and then bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future.
The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone.
The BUY order target is always pushed further back to 3415 or 3443.
Gold trading strategy June 17D1 candle shows profit taking by sellers pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones.
Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373 (this zone has just reacted 100 pips). This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks this zone, Gold will reach 3343-3341 before it can BUY.
Note that to sell break 3373 and the SELL resistance point must wait for 3415 and the daily resistance 3443-3445
If there is a sweep to 3343 and bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future.
The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone. The BUY target is always pushed further back to 3415 or to the peak around 3443.
SUPPORT: 3373;3342;3322;3304
RESISTANCE: 3415;3443
I think these 2 scenarios can happen for gold to reach new ATHGold supported by Israel-Iran conflict, US intervention in focus
Gold's sharp rise came late last week after Israel struck multiple targets in Iran, including Tehran's nuclear facilities.
The attack sparked fierce retaliation from Iran, which launched a barrage of missiles at key Israeli targets, including the financial capital Tel Aviv. Some of the Iranian missiles were also seen penetrating Israel's "Iron Dome" defense system.
What do you think?
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
Sell-Side Breakdown for XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-Minute chart🔻 Sell-Side Analysis – June 17, 2025
🧠 Context & Market Structure
Price rejected major resistance around 3415–3448 zone.
SL Hunt zone marked at mid-levels around 3400–3408, showing manipulation.
Current price: ~3397, after bouncing from the Daily Flip (support) at ~3388.
---
📉 Bearish Case Setup
1. Distribution Pattern at the Top
The upper resistance zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout.
Clear sign of exhaustion, with possible Smart Money Distribution.
2. Lower High Formation
After breaking the short-term demand (green box), price formed a lower high near 3404–3405.
Bearish market structure forming.
3. Consolidation Breakdown Likely
Price is currently inside a small consolidation box (3393–3402).
Failure to break and hold above 3402 = bearish continuation.
Look for breakdown retests below 3393 to confirm.
---
🔻 Sell Zones
Zone 1: 3402–3405 = good supply/retest area for shorts.
Zone 2: 3410–3413 = high-risk re-entry (SL hunt zone retest).
---
🎯 Targets for Shorts
TP1: 3388 (Daily Flip)
TP2: 3373–3375 (next volume node and support block)
TP3: 3365 (if full breakdown with momentum)
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🛡️ Invalidation
Clean break and hold above 3405–3410 invalidates bearish bias short term.
If price reclaims SL Hunt zone and flips it, bullish continuation is likely.
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🔍 Volume + Order Flow Notes
Volume spikes around support zone hint at buyer absorption, not dominance.
Bullish bounce lacked follow-through = potential sign of weak buyers.
XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold.
Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices
If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
Gold Price Analysis June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning
there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH.
Gold has a slight correction in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450.
The correction may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398.
3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction period before Gold returns to the all-time high. Maybe before 3490 there will be another price reaction before reaching the top.
Gold Trading Strategy June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH. Gold has a slight adjustment in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450.
The adjustment may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398.
In the long term, 3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction phase before Gold returns to its all-time high. Maybe before that, 3490 will have another price reaction before reaching the peak.
Resistance: 3428 (Scalping) - 3444 - 3463 - 3490
Support: 3413- 3298
GOLD- XAU-USD Hello Traders! The GOLD MARKET is on fire! 🚨🔥
XAUUSD has officially broken above the key resistance zone — this is not just a move, this could be the start of something BIG! 💥📈
Is this the golden breakout we’ve been waiting for, or just a short-lived spike?
Are we heading toward the next major target, or is a pullback on the horizon? 🎯🔍
Your insights matter — comment below with your analysis and let’s decode this golden move together!
Stay sharp, stay golden! ⚔️💰
#XAUUSD #GoldBreakout #ForexTraders #MarketMomentum #GoldAnalysis #TradeSmart
After breaking KEY DAY yesterday, it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal".
Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium.
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
Gold is expected to hit 3410-3420 againBecause of the news that Iran hopes to ease the hostile relationship with Israel, gold fell sharply in the short term, then rebounded after touching 3383, and quickly recovered above 3390. From this point of view, the buying support below is strong, and the market sentiment is still high, which limits the downside of gold, and the support of 3390-3380 area is still valid.
Although the bullish momentum of gold has weakened relatively due to the retracement in the short term, as long as gold remains above 3380, it still maintains a strong upward structure; and the retracement only exacerbates the short-term shock trend. Gold is still likely to maintain a shock upward structure and try to touch the 3410-3420 area again. Once gold breaks through 3420 strongly, it is expected to hit the area near 3450 again.
So for short-term trading, I still hold a long position in gold, and there is still a certain profit now. I have to say that if gold can reach the 3410-3420 area as expected, our profits will increase significantly!
GOLD - at resistance, what's next??#GOLD .. perfect bounce from our supporting area as we discussed in our weekly analysis video and now market have today most important resistance 3398.50
Keep close that area and if market hold then drop expected from here.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse above 3398 on confirmation .
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD Bouncing back to 3450?3380.27, 3383.94 and 3386.08 three daily consecutively candlestick patter with continuted series of higher low formed the daily support. Previous daily candle just closed at support with an ATR of 1.1ATR, which is quite large in the opposite direction of the major trend while the price is trading above 10ema in the daily.
In 4h there is also 3 ATR ( overall) bearish move is spotted giving a high probability for this market to bounce back to the daily resistance to the major direction of the trend.
We have a buy position at this level and will keep you posted for more updates!