XAU/USD Analysis: Gold Prices Poised for a New TrendXAU/USD Analysis: Gold Prices Poised for a New Trend
Although today is a public holiday in the US (Martin Luther King Jr. Day), financial markets are unlikely to remain calm, as traders and investors will be closely watching the inaugural speech of Donald Trump, the 47th President-elect, scheduled for 20:00 GMT+3.
Trump's speech could impact gold prices in USD, particularly if it addresses:
→ Monetary policy: With current Federal Reserve rates trending lower, non-yielding assets like gold may become more attractive.
→ International trade: If Trump’s remarks on tariffs are particularly bold, gold’s status as a “safe haven” asset could boost its appeal.
→ The dollar's value: Policies aimed at strengthening the USD and reducing national debt may influence gold prices inversely.
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart shows that gold prices are trading within a narrowing triangle:
→ The lower boundary is supported by the ascending channel that began in March 2024.
→ Resistance sits at $2,720 per ounce. Although this level served as support in October, bulls have struggled to break it since December (as indicated by the arrow).
While bullish sentiment dominates the gold market (evident from the orange trend lines relevant for January), Trump’s speech could trigger volatility spikes. These fluctuations may shift the current sentiment balance and spark the formation of a new trend for XAU/USD.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisHello Dear Traders! share Your Thoughts In comments Section Thanks For Support
In My Analysis Of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour Timeframe. Here's the Details:
Technical Analysis
1. Trend and Channel:
Gold is in a bullish trend, trading within an upward price channel
Price recently tested the upper resistance of the channel (Point 3) and is now consolidating near a key resistance zone.
2. Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
Around 2725–2745, marked as potential profit-taking zones (TP).
Support Levels:
Strong support near 2690–2700 aligns with the lower channel boundary and past consolidation zones.
Major support around 2630–2650 in case of a deeper retracement.
3. Chart Pattern:
A possible pullback to the support zone (2700) may occur before resuming the bullish trend toward the next targets (2725 and 2745).
Fundamental Analysis
1. Market Sentiment:
Gold's bullish momentum reflects a possible safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty or declining USD strength.
Investors might also be positioning ahead of key economic data (e.g., inflation, central bank policies).
2. Key Drivers:
If U.S. interest rates remain unchanged or expectations of cuts in increase, it could support further gains in Gold.
Conversely, stronger U.S. economic data or hawkish central bank commentary might lead to a short-term correction.
Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 2745 could open the door to further gains toward higher levels.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold support at 2700 may trigger a correction toward 2650–2630.
Gold Suggests a bullish bias, with a potential pullback to support before resuming the upward trend.
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
Gold is expected to hit the 2740-2750 zone, buy gold!Dear traders:
Although gold shows the characteristics of non-continuation of rising, it is still in an upward structure as a whole, so gold still has the potential to continue to rise, so I think 2725 is definitely not the highest point.
At present, gold is in an upward trend, and the 2695-2690 zone below forms an unignorable support structure, while the 2680 below becomes the absolute defense of the bulls, and gold may continue to the 2740-2750 zone in the upward trend. Therefore, in short-term trading, we still mainly use the support area as a defense to go long on gold.
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued rise of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Buy Signal: Bullish Momentum Alert! The gold market is on 🔥 with strong bullish momentum dominating the charts! 📈 We’ve identified a powerful upward channel that’s guiding prices higher, supported by impeccable price action setups.
Key Highlights:
✨ Price is breaking key levels with confidence, signaling continued strength.
✨ Uptrend intact, with no signs of slowing down.
✨ Perfect entry opportunity to ride the wave as the market pushes toward new highs.
📌 Don’t miss out on this golden opportunity—secure your position now and capitalize on the ongoing rally! 💰
Gold Trends and Signals UpdateOn the daily chart, the daily chart broke the 4-day winning streak and fell slightly on Friday. The decline at the end of the trading day caused a continuous decline. The price effectively crossed the short-term moving average and led the short-term moving average to turn downward at 2710 and 2707. Other periodic indicators also formed a short position arrangement. The Bollinger Bands as a whole shrank sharply. In addition, the MACD indicator once again crossed downward. Therefore, the 4-hour level should still be prepared for an intensified decline!
Trump took office today, and the market may become complicated. Beware of abnormal market fluctuations. From a technical perspective, Huang Jin ended the strong bullish pattern last week. After a weak closing, a break of 2700 was formed, and there was a further wide adjustment in prices. Trading ideas: short-term layout of selling high and buying low.
Gold fell directly after the opening of the Asian session. Gold bulls had no power to fight back. For key points, even if gold wants to go out of the downward wave, it is good for our short-term layout! In addition, today is the date when Trump takes office. The gold market will inevitably suffer from the rise of risk aversion caused by irresistible factors! That is, the market is still relatively bullish in many aspects!
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and the gold bull market has temporarily come to an end. If the moving average forms a dead cross downward, the downward space of gold will increase, and the 1-hour gold is now also suppressed by the downward trend; the downward resistance moves down to around 2708, and the Asian session rebounds around 2708 and continues to sell at highs. The rebound near 2705 can be empty first.
First support: 2681, second support: 2670, third support: 2662
First resistance: 2695, second resistance: 2708, third resistance: 2725
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2680-2683,
SELL: 2705-2708,
When gold retraces, be brave enough to buy goldDear traders:
As I expected, gold failed to fall below 2700 even during the recent bull-bear game. The 2695-2690 area has formed a support area that cannot be ignored, which is conducive to the continued rise of gold.
At present, gold has formed a new low structure near 2700 many times in the local structure, so gold may form a new relay platform near 2700. Once the relay platform is successfully built, it will further stimulate buying to support gold to continue to rise to the 2740-2750 area. As mentioned in my previous article, during the fierce battle between the bulls and bears for control of gold, I have already bought gold near 2702. At present, gold has rebounded above 2709 again. Our long positions have begun to make good profits. Wait patiently for gold to take off!
Bros, have you followed me to do long gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This bearish candlestick pattern reflects strong selling pressure overpowering buyers at this level.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the sell engulfing pattern suggests further bearish momentum. The price may continue to move lower toward nearby support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the engulfing area after confirmation of sustained selling pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing pattern at a resistance level signals bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.
Is it possible for gold to go up?[/b
Hi Dears
Merry Christmas. Happy New Year in advance.
I think gold is in a good position to buy, meaning I think gold will continue to rise in the next two months.
I have identified a very important condition for the gold chart, that if the candles can close above that price and stabilize, there is a high probability of gold growth.
Focus all your eyes on that price on the chart and after a certain failure, enter a buy trade with confidence.
Considering the beginning of the new year, is it possible that the goals I set for gold will come true?
XAUUSD - Gold Testing Resistance LevelGOLD is approaching a key resistance zone, which has historically acted as a strong supply area. This zone has previously seen significant price rejections, suggesting that sellers may step in again if the price reaches this level.
The current market structure shows a bullish move toward this resistance zone, but the momentum may begin to fade as it tests the upper boundaries. If the price confirms a rejection at this resistance zone with clear bearish signals, such as wicks or bearish engulfing candles, we could see a potential downward move.
I anticipate that, upon rejection, the price may head lower toward the $2669 level. This setup aligns with the idea of trend exhaustion near resistance, providing an opportunity for a short-term correction.
Let me know your thoughts or if you have any additional insights regarding this setup! Feel free to share in the comments!
XAU/USD 20 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per my intraday expectation dated 17 January 2024 by printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Internal range is now established as a result of the bearish CHoCH.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone to then target weak internal high priced at 2,724.785.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 17 January 2025. You will also note how price attempted to target strong internal low but failed to close below.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit.
H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation.
Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold cools as fighting eases in GAZA#️⃣ The Israeli Prime Minister officially announced that he will ratify the ceasefire agreement in Gaza! Trump repeated: I have merit
————
⭐️Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu confirmed that the ceasefire agreement with Hamas has been completed and will take effect on Sunday, right before Donald Trump takes office as US president.
✔️The agreement brokered by Biden, Trump and Qatar includes: Hamas will release 33/98 hostages, Israel will withdraw troops from Palestinian residential areas and release 1,000 Palestinian prisoners.
➡️Trump asserted that this agreement would not have been possible without his participation, while Biden emphasized his desire for a long-term ceasefire to stabilize the region.
🔴
There are many mixed opinions within Israel: the extreme right wing opposes the agreement, while the Israeli stock market increased sharply by 4.4% last week due to positive expectations from the agreement.
Political Situations Are Calming Down as Trump Takes Office, Cooling Down Gold
Moving Investors Money to Crypto Market, Hottest Place Right Now
GOLD (XAUUSD): pullback from resistanceThe sudden pullback to 2690 turned out to be the condition that the bulls were probably waiting for all along. The price rose to 2696 and is moving towards the resistance at 2702. The bullish bias is prevailing over the bearish signals. Buy zones to watch out for are 2676 and 2660. The target is the old peak zone of 2625 and 2750, which is the target level for all buy signals this week.
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Gold is still on the riseThe euro and the pound have gained against the dollar, putting the two currencies on track for their biggest one-day gains against the dollar in more than a year. The reason is that new President Donald Trump will not impose tariffs on US trading partners on his first day in office. On the other hand, analysts say that the import tariffs that Donald Trump is expected to impose are being exaggerated. Accordingly, the dollar may continue to depreciate in the coming time, which is beneficial for the gold market.
As the dollar depreciates, gold becomes more attractive to holders of other currencies. Meanwhile, traders expect gold prices to rise even further in the future.
Gold could surge above $2,800 if Donald Trump puts his proposals into action. Persistent inflation and rising economic uncertainty as government debt continues to rise are helping push gold prices to a key resistance level above $2,700 an ounce. While gold is seeing solid gains, some analysts note that the precious metal still has a long way to go before it breaks out of a two-month consolidation.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2739 2741 🔥
✔️TP1: 2720
✔️TP2: 2710
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2746
XAUUSD TOD POSSIBLE MOVEMENT MUST READ CAPTIONGold prices have surged to a 10-week high, reaching $2,727.19 per ounce, as the U.S. dollar weakened following President Donald Trump's inauguration and indications of a gradual approach to implementing tariffs.
Technical analysis suggests that while the overall trend remains bullish, a short-term bearish correction could occur, potentially testing the support level near $2,695 per ounce.
However, the broader outlook remains positive, with analysts anticipating that gold prices may reach $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by factors such as geopolitical tensions and central bank buying.
According to the 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a sellAccording to the 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the resistance area.
But remember one thing if the price successfully closes above 2718.00, then stay away from selling. So don’t place any advance orders for now. Use good bearish confirmation for the entry.
Gold Trade Setup Analysis
Gold has reached a significant resistance zone near $2,702, as shown in the chart. This level has previously acted as a strong barrier, and we can expect a potential short-term pullback from here.
If the price follows this bearish move, it may target the support zone around $2,659–$2,640 before finding renewed bullish momentum.
Once the pullback is completed, gold is likely to aim for the broader upside target of $2,800, aligning with the overall bullish trend.
GOLD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!Midterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 2789.95, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 2475.27 breaks.
If the resistance at 2789.95 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2582.95 on 12/19/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 2726.10 and maximum to Major Resistance (2789.95) is expected.
Take Profits:
2657.88
2601.87
2532.10
2475.27
2380.00
2279.87
2219.63
2145.04
2087.89
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XAU/USD 20-24 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks.
Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range.
Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing -> Bullish.
-> Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024
Price Action Analysis:
Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high
Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis of 17 January 2025.
Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS in accordance with scenario one of my analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
After bullish iBOS, we expect bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. This would also establish internal structure.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
Xauusd | Weekly Prediction ( 19/January/2025 ) Xau usd | Weekly Prediction ( 19/January/2025 )
Hey guys hope you are doing well !
- This analysis is based on pure Educational Purposes
- Market closing was at 2702 point and we are expecting that 2698 and strong support level at 2693-92.00 which were clearly shown in our Chart .That point is also our Observing point so we will take decisions on the based of it
• Bullish Scenario : if market cant break our Support area which is at 2693-92 our targets would be 2700 - 2710 - 2720
• Bearish Scenario : if market close the candle below that region we are expecting a bearish trend until 2660 we decided to take hold at 2620 or not !
Additionally : Trump oath and Fomc Week be Ready for more updates
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast LONGMain scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 2576.36 with a target of 2880.00 – 2976.66. A buy signal: the price holds above 2576.36. Stop Loss: below 2570.00, Take Profit: 2880.00 – 2976.66. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 2576.36 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 2464.30 – 2282.23. A sell signal: the level of 2576.36 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 2585, Take Profit: 2464.30 – 2282.23.recast for 10.01.25 – 17.01.25. The ascending fifth wave of larger degree 5 is presumably developing on the weekly chart...
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2740.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction. Here are some key factors that support this prediction:
Increasing Demand: Central banks and investors are increasing their gold reserves, driving up demand and prices.
Inflation Concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar's value could boost gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating tensions between major economies and global hotspots could lead to safe-haven buying and drive up gold prices.
Dovish Central Banks: Central banks' dovish monetary policies, such as low interest rates and quantitative easing, could weaken currencies and boost gold prices.
Technical Analysis: Bullish technical indicators, such as the ascending Ichimoku Cloud, suggest a potential upside move in gold prices.
Seasonal Trends: Gold prices tend to rise during the summer months, driven by increased demand from jewelers and investors.
Weakening US Dollar: A decline in the US dollar's value could make gold more attractive to investors and drive up prices.
Increasing Investment Demand: Growing demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other investment products could drive up gold prices.
Supply Constraints: Limited gold supply and potential production disruptions could lead to higher prices.
Monetary Policy Uncertainty: Uncertainty surrounding central banks' monetary policies could lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
These bullish factors suggest that gold prices could potentially rise in the near future. However, it's essential to consider both bullish and bearish factors and stay up-to-date with market news and analysis to make informed trading decisions.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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