Gold on the Rise: Is $2700 Within Reach?Hey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:XAUUSD Return to the $2700 Territory? Let’s Dive In...
In the H4 timeframe, Gold rebounded decisively above the 0.618 Golden Ratio Fibonacci level, marking the end of the minor correction within the broader bullish trend in the Daily timeframe. This move laid the foundation for a bullish flag pattern to emerge.
The breakout from the flag pattern was confirmed with the formation of two bullish Marubozu candlesticks. At the same time, the MACD indicator signaled a bullish crossover, adding further confidence to the case for continued upward momentum.
Given these strong technical signals, I foresee an upward movement toward the first target at 2715.097. Upon reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally gains traction again, pushing toward the second target at 2758.970.
However, this bullish outlook hinges on the price maintaining support above the critical stop-loss level at 2613.372.
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Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold".
Xauusdanalysis
XAU/USD Long imminent lookout! back up to 2690My analysis this week for gold is to look for potential imminent buys at this demand if i see a correct confluences play out on the lower time frame as well as the sweep of that sunday asia low. Once that happens i will look price to retace in this area back up to an area of supply.
As price has changed character the downside and broke structure i see now heading down more. i will wait for price to make a correction and fill imbalance above then continue to drop off around the area of that 6 hr supply zonne
Confleunces for XAUUSD BUYS are as follows:
- Price Changed character to the upsice on the higher time frame.
- Price swept the top side liquidity off last week consolidation and letf the bottom which still hasn't been taken.
- Price needs to retrace to continue its bearish course.
- DXY corresponding slightly as well.
P.S. I am interested in shorts but the opportunity as of were current price is, isn't ideal hence why I'm looking for short term buys to sell. Have a great trading week, Q4 soon coming to an end, lets gooooo!!!
Gold at support- But is too obvious... (update)In my morning video analysis, I noted that after yesterday's strong bearish engulfing candle, the most likely scenario was a continuation of the down move, with the next support level identified around the 2660-2665 zone.
The price indeed reached this area, but I believe this support is too obvious and likely to break, instead of a meaningful reversal.
At this point, it is very risky to trade against the flow.
A more prudent approach would be to wait for rallies and consider selling at higher levels.
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
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Gold pattern analysis, profit of 300% this weekGold closed with a big negative yesterday, and the shape showed a Yin-enveloping Yang engulfing shape. In the short term, there was a certain turning point under pressure, and it also formed a double top after piercing the previous high of 2721; the market is still relatively cunning, and there is a large-scale strangulation of long and short positions back and forth. Basically, this behavior has occurred frequently this year; whether it is gold or silver, the slope of the channel that has been forced to rise all the way recently is steep, so the sustainability will not be too long, and it is easy to usher in a large-scale dive in the end. It is basically unlikely to refresh the historical high of 2790 this year, and for early 2025, bad news will come one after another, and the pressure and space may be greater and more lasting; although the overall bull market bull trend has not changed, there is still a need for adjustment in the short term or there is a long period of wide fluctuations, which is also a kind of correction; today's daily level short-term retracement pays attention to the 10-day moving average of 2662, which is also a second retracement to confirm the trend line of 2790-2721. Once it breaks down, it will point to the middle track of 2642;
The latest technical analysis of gold, enjoy the profitFrom a technical point of view, after Thursday's decline, the daily line closed negative for the first time after three consecutive positive lines, and closed with a large negative line before the upper Bollinger track. This pattern is very obvious, confirming the overall weakening, and there will be continuous room for decline. At least look at the support point of the middle Bollinger track 2660 first, and then look at the support of the lower track 2600 after breaking. Therefore, the actual intraday decline prospect is still very large. Look at the recent intraday changes, and try to focus on rebounding high altitudes. After the decline of the small cycle H4, the Bollinger is also in a closing state. It rebounded at 2675 at midnight, but the downward space is not enough. The support of the lower track is near 2660. Therefore, the intraday rebound can still be shorted. First see whether the price of 2660 breaks. If it does not break during the day, it will be regarded as a slow decline. If it breaks, it can form an opening of the lower Bollinger track and get out of the unilateral decline. Therefore, the recent decline of gold in this cycle has just begun. Don't think that you can go long after a wave of decline. In the short-term performance, gold has rebounded, and the intraday suppression should be around 2695. If it rebounds in the Asian and European sessions, you can short it. The intraday downside targets are 2675 and 2660. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds, supplemented by buying on dips. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2695-2700 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2660-2655 support.
A good value Gold buy, following GBPUSD sell
XAUUSD folded under pressure from GBPUSD sell off about 2 or 3 hours ago following Great Britains's GDP results which did not support the Pound but rather the USD.
Price wound back from mid 90s to about 70s (early 70s). A double bottom has formed on TF's 5m through to 2hr. Basically, gold found support at yesterdays selling low and support level.
2673 at the time of writing. On a supported level with multiple double tops. But there may be continued selling into GBPUSD which could drag gold lower. But I think it will hold at these levels > 2670. SL a must in such volatility around 2667. TP at or near todays's high back to mid 90s.
Note: Trading gold is risky, but the gold price should be buzzing along higher next week on any impending US interest rate reduction, which you've got to realise is almost in the bag of occurring and at least 0.25% reduction.
Guys second chart is a look at the last reversal trade from RSI & Stochastics Momentum Index for a bit of light n shade from the usual Stochastic's, which the plain one is as accurate as the RSI & run for the hills on these newer Stochastic's and RSI's which hog all of your screen and do not deliver accurately. Settings can be crunched but who has the time for that.
Follow this chart to the last vertical broken yellow line to see how this trade gave 10,000 pips not 100. Cheers, Chris easy_explosive_trading on X.
In this instance, you would need to wait for RSI to push through the 30 RSI level and wait until your candle close ideally, it depends on whether you've climbed back over key levels for confirmation. The SMI you'll be looking for the pretty pink line to turn upwards and cross above -40. Good luck on 10,000 pips. It happened last time.
Turning to long goldBros, today gold continued to retreat, and the current lowest has reached around 2665, and the short trend of gold is obvious.
So where will gold fall? Should we continue to short gold? In fact, from the perspective of the gold structure, the 2665-2655 area is the bottom position of the rising relay in the rising structure, so this area plays an important supporting role. If gold cannot fall below this area, then gold's current downward trend is merely a correction to the rising trend. Therefore, gold may still rebound with the help of the 2665-2655 area, or it may hit the 2680-2690 area again.
So in terms of short-term trading, when most people are still shorting gold, I quietly started to go long on gold! Brors, let's wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD - at Master of all regions, stay sharp#GOLD - perfect move as per our analysis and now market at his master region, that is today major and key supporting area.
That will be master of all regions, from 26563 to 2667
keep close that region and dont short now until market hold it.
only only short below that on confirmation.
stay sharp
good luck
trade wisely
XAU/USD 13 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Awaiting candle closure to confirm bullish iBOS
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday analysis played out with price targeting weak internal low at priced 2,700.810.
Price has just printed a further bearish iBOS.
Following bearish iBOS we expect a pullback. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low. You will note internal range has been significantly narrowed, however, price could print lower which would extend the depth of the internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to indicate pullback initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Session trade, XAUUSD, Short setup in H4👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H4 timeframe ICT Short setup in
XAUUSD for session trade (a couple of hours)
Basically it is in ranging market in D1 chart.
So our idea, today will touch the middle zone of the Daily Range.
Range: $2658 to $2665
Here is a swing trade idea (since it is near support surface, we should use small lot size)
Please refer to the details Stop loss, Supply Zone,open for take profit.
Next Short entry after retracement in any session.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
XAUUSD XAU/USD fell towards $2,680 and remains under pressure as investors diggest US figures and the European Central Bank monetary policy announcement. Inflation in the US at wholesale levels rose by more than anticipated in November, according to the latest Producer Price Index releaseTechnically, the XAU/USD pair is at risk of extending its slide, albeit far from bearish. The daily chart shows that the pair keeps developing above all its moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) maintaining its upward slope below the current level and above also bullish 100 and 200 SMAs. However, technical indicators have turned south, with the Momentum heading firmly south below its 100 level and the RSI also pointing lower, albeit at around 54In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is currently developing below its 20 SMA, which anyway remains above directionless longer ones. The corrective decline could continue, given that technical indicators head firmly lower, although considering the Momentum indicator remains above its 100 line.
Support levels: 2,676.30 2,662.50 2,650.40
Resistance levels: 2,693.70 2,704.35 2,722.60
Very important cleso for the week. Multi-T.F AnalysisThis week’s close on OANDA:XAUUSD is poised to be crucial for determining the next directional move. Key levels to monitor include critical support zones and resistance thresholds that will shape market sentiment. A close above significant resistance could signal a bullish breakout, while a close below vital support might confirm bearish continuation. Traders should also observe intraday trends and confirm with higher time frames for alignment. Stay alert for any economic or geopolitical news impacting gold’s price.
XAUUSD: 12/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2725, support below 2675-50
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold was suppressed and fell unilaterally in the volatile trading. The price of Asian and European sessions rose slightly and pierced the 2726 mark, oscillating and falling. The second rebound in the European session was under pressure, and the 2720 line fell downward and showed a unilateral decline. It accelerated downward in the US session and broke through the 2700 integer mark to reach a weak closing near 2675. The overall gold price showed a suppression adjustment pattern above 2726 in the short term, but the daily level technical indicators did not completely turn empty.
From the 4-hour analysis, we pay attention to the suppression of the opening drop 2725 line above, the short-term support of the 2675 line below, and the important support 2650 line below. In the short term, the gold price is expected to enter the long and short wide range of fluctuations. Sell high and sell low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2650near
BUY:2675near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold can hit 2750 before continuing it's bearish reversal trend?Gold prices climbed further, driven by escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions and a Wall Street selloff boosting safe-haven demand.
China likely acquired over five tonnes of gold in Nov, according to the PBoC report.
Upcoming central bank decisions in Canada, the EU, Switzerland, and the Fed are expected to heighten gold price volatility as investors await key economic signals.
XAUUSD firmly broke above its sideways range, with higher swings and diverging bullish EMAs indicating its bullish momentum.
If XAUUSD surpasses the previous high at 2720, the price could rise toward its resistance at 2750 before a potential bearish reversal.
Conversely, if XAUUSD retraces, the price may dip to 2680 before continuing its uptrend.
1M liquidity found on 2720 and 1M+ liquidity found on 2750 so move is confirm
World gold prices decrease when the USD increasesWorld gold prices fell more than 1% on Thursday as investors rushed to take profits after prices hit a 5-week high.
"Gold still has an upward trend. However, last night's decline may have occurred because investors sold to take profits ahead of next week's meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED)" - Zain Vawda - analyst market analysis at MarketPulse commented.
This expert believes that the market is shifting its focus to next year's interest rate plan from the FED. This will determine the sustainability of the current uptrend. According to the CME FedWatch interest rate tracking tool, investors currently forecast a 98% probability of the FED cutting interest rates in December.
In its "2025 Outlook" report released on Thursday, the World Gold Council (WGC) said the gold market will face two distinct scenarios next year as uncertainty dominates investor sentiment. . However, their base case predicts gold prices will move relatively neutrally if current market conditions continue.
“The market consensus is that macroeconomic variables such as GDP, yields and inflation, if viewed in simple terms, suggest that gold will have positive but modest growth in 2025.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2698 - 2700🔥
💵 TP1: 2680
💵 TP2: 2670
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2710
We are bearish and sell below the resistance of 2710Gold fell sharply on the daily line, breaking the bullish structure that had been rising strongly from 2613 to 2726 in this round. The daily line retracement tested the MA5 daily moving average. The upper track of the Bollinger Band suppressed the 2713 line, the middle track was at the 2654 line, and the RSI indicator was running above the central axis. The short-term chart fell below 2700 in four hours, and a structure of accelerated decline appeared. The RS1 indicator returned to the central axis. The intraday trading ideas for gold are short-term bullish and long-term bearish!
Gold fell from a high level in the US market and is now under pressure at 2713. Gold can be sold directly near 2710. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn at a high level. After the downward divergence, the downward space of gold will be further opened, and it will continue to be sold under the pressure of 2710!
First support: 2675, second support: 2670, third support: 2660
First resistance: 2692, second resistance: 2700, third resistance: 2713
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2680-2678
SELL: 2710-2712
GOLD PRICE TREND ANALYSIS FOR TODAY, DECEMBER 13, 2024SPDR Gold Trust sold 24.88 tons of gold on December 12, which is the reason for the sharp decline in gold prices last night, suddenly dropping back into the previously broken downtrend structure around the 2675-2676 region.
Key Resistance Levels: 2700 - 2710 - 2732
Key Support Levels: 2666 - 2675
XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Trading Strategy Around Price Zones:
SELL XAUUSD around the 2700-2701 region
Stoploss: 2706
Take Profit 1: 2695
Take Profit 2: 2690
Take Profit 3: 2675
“If there is a breakout above the 2728 level during the day, we look to sell around the 2749-2750 region in a long-term channel.”
BUY XAUUSD around the 2675 region
Stoploss: 2670
Take Profit 1: 2680
Take Profit 2: 2685
Take Profit 3: 2690
Note: Always set a stop loss in all cases to stay safe!
@Henrybillion wishes you a successful trading day.
Gold Market Analysis 12/13Gold has dropped to the support level of the current upward trend, and the selling pressure has largely been released. Today's trading strategy should focus on buying at lower levels, with resistance at 2692-2704. The target can be set within the 2688-2702 range. Additionally, pay attention to the support in the 2666-2652 zone. While the possibility of a break below 2652 seems low at the moment, it remains something to watch. The 2652 level is crucial, as it serves as the dividing line between bulls and bears. A genuine break below this level would signal a shift from a bullish to a bearish technical pattern, derived from the connection between the 2790 and 2720 highs.