Buy gold, TP: 2690-2695Bros, today gold fell sharply and fell below 2695 due to the negative impact of PPI data on the gold market. I reminded in the previous opinion that the 2700-2695 area is the last line of defense for bulls. Once gold falls below this area, it is easy to be sold and continue to fall.
So today I went long on gold near 2702 as planned. After gold fell below 2695, I strictly followed the trading plan and chose manual stop loss near 2693, ending the gold long position with a loss of $4.7K; then I followed up with a gold short position near 2693, and manually closed the position near 2683, ending the transaction with a profit of $4.9K.
It means everything I did in trading today was for nothing,fortunately, I strictly followed my trading plan and strategy to execute the transaction, so even if I lost money in the long transaction, I recovered the loss in the short transaction, and there was no loss overall. Relatively speaking, no loss is the greatest success.
At present, after gold is relatively stable, I have bought gold again near 2683, and the short-term important support below is 2675. I expect gold to rebound to at least 2690-2695. As for the result of the transaction, let us wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD (XAU/USD) is hesitating on Wednesday after having rallied about 2.5% over the previous three days. The precious metal has been capped at the $2,700 round level during the early Asian session, with investors reluctant to bet against the US Dollar (USD) ahead of the release of the US Consumer Prices Index (CPI) reading at 13:30 GMT
Gold prices fell in India on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
The price for Gold stood at 7,342.29 Indian Rupees (INR) per gram, down compared with the INR 7,344.80 it cost on Tuesday.
The price for Gold decreased to INR 85,644.76 per tola from INR 85,668.30 per tola a day earlieGold price seems to have stabilized following good two-way intraday price swings and currently trades around the $2,690 area, below a two-week high touched earlier this Wednesday. Expectations that the Fed will adopt a cautious stance on cutting rates continue to push the US Treasury bond yields.
XAUUSD - possible outcomes today?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for.
Since our last in-depth analysis on XAUUSD posted on November 27th , it has followed the projection and reached 2714 . Right now we have a few opportunities on our hands. Looking at XAUUSD we have possible buys if we break above 2720 and break today’s highs. On the other hand we could see pullbacks down to our PBA 1 (Pullback Area) sitting at around 2700 flat, and we could enter into more safe buys . If we break below 2700 (PBA 1) , we could see some sells in play. To write this in detail, here are the possible outcomes.
Scenario 1: BUYS from 2720
We broke above 2720 .
That would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on the breaks of today’s highs.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2700
We made the pullback down to 2700 and are trading above it. That would give us a nice and safe area to enter into buys targeting today’s highs or possibly higher.
Scenario 3: SELLS from 2700
We broke below 2700 , and are now targeting breaks of 2690 and re-visits of 2675.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. Be patient and stay tuned for possible scalps on this pair.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking above 2720 would confirm buys.
- XAUUSD failing to break below 2700 would confirm buys.
- Breaks below 2700 would result in sells, down to 2690 and 2675.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Gold is Ready to Fall again!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to pump, as I expected in the previous post .
Gold is entering the Resistance zone($2,740-$2,708) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and approaching the Upper line of the Ascending Channel .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing microwave 5 of the main wave C .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,670-$2,653) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel.
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance zone($2,740-$2,708), we can expect more pumps.⚠️
⚠️Note: Tomorrow's US indices can impact the Gold trend. (Today's US indices were all as Forecasted).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Price Trend Analysis on December 13, 2024As of December 12, 2024, gold is trading around $2,717 per ounce, continuing its upward trend amid declining U.S. inflation and expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Geopolitical tensions and a weakening USD further support the rise in gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Market Trend:
Primary Trend: Bullish.
Key Support Levels: $2,700 (50-day MA) and $2,696 (50% Fibonacci retracement).
Resistance Level: $2,732 (previous high).
Scenario 1: Continued Uptrend (Breakout)
If price breaks above the $2,732 resistance with high volume, it may target $2,750.
Trading Strategy:
Enter long positions upon a close above $2,732.
Set Stop Loss at $2,720.
Take Profit 1: $2,750.
Take Profit 2: $2,760.
Scenario 2: Rejection at Resistance
If price fails to break $2,732 and shows reversal patterns, a correction to $2,710 or $2,700 may occur.
Trading Strategy:
Enter short positions near $2,732 upon bearish reversal signals like a Pin Bar or Doji.
Set Stop Loss at $2,740.
Take Profit 1: $2,710.
Take Profit 2: $2,700.
Scenario 3: Pullback to Support and Rebound
A pullback to the $2,700 support that holds may offer buying opportunities in line with the uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
Enter long positions at $2,700.
Set Stop Loss at $2,688.
Take Profit 1: $2,732.
Take Profit 2: $2,750.
Recommendations for Traders:
Prudent Risk Management:
Limit risk per trade to no more than 2% of account equity.
Monitor Economic News:
Key data such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions or CPI reports significantly impact gold prices.
Await Confirmatory Signals:
Avoid impulsive trades; enter positions only upon clear signals at critical price levels
Gold has made a profit of 240% this weekAt this time, the market is running relatively slowly. After the long orders of gold are closed, there is a tendency to enter a small adjustment. It is expected that the gold price will not rise directly at present. It will only be possible to further increase until the US market. The trend remains upward. After the gold price further adjusts, continue to layout and go long! First pay attention to the 2707 moving average support level below. Continue to go long when the gold price adjusts to 2700 in the evening.
Will Gold also test the next resistance level?It’s been a highly bullish week for OANDA:XAUUSD traders, with prices not only reaching but surpassing all my targets one by one.
As I outlined in Monday's outlook, if the bulls manage to break above the 2655–2660 resistance zone, the 2785 level would be exposed, and more importantly, the price would very likely move beyond 2700.
Yesterday, that prediction materialized as we saw a decisive break above this critical milestone, with FOREXCOM:XAUUSD reaching the 2718 target—and even surpassing it.
Overnight, the price briefly dropped from 2725, touching the newly formed support at 2700 before reversing strongly upward.
The overall structure remains extremely bullish, with every dip being bought by traders.
This momentum should guide our strategy moving forward, focusing now on the next resistance zone at 2755–2760.
Technical and Fundamental Analysis Post-Breakout of 2721Analysis Expansion:
In the current market environment, gold continues to demonstrate strong upward momentum. Technically, the price has found support in the 2705-2710 range, with the RSI indicator consistently remaining in the bullish zone, suggesting that the market sentiment remains tilted toward the bulls. A breakout above the 2721 level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend, with the next key resistance likely to be around the 2740-2750 region.
From a fundamental perspective, the recent CPI data significantly increased market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, particularly in light of weak inflation figures. Market focus is now shifting to the upcoming PPI and initial jobless claims data, which may further fuel expectations for a dovish Fed policy. If the PPI data shows weakness or if initial jobless claims rise substantially, gold could see additional bullish momentum.
Therefore, the strategy remains focused on long positions, with an eye on buying opportunities in the 2705-2710 range. If gold breaks above 2721, it will open the door for further upside potential. Risk management is crucial in trading, and investors should remain flexible with their positions to avoid overexposure.
Start going long goldBros, yesterday I emphasized that the key resistance area for gold in the short term is in the 2720-2725 area. Starting from today's London market, gold is just suppressed below 2720 and is currently fluctuating in the 2720-2700 area. In fact, at this time, whether we participate in long or short transactions, we have no way to make a move!
According to the current decline, gold is just profit-taking, and it is not sold off. If gold is sold off, the decline will be far more than that. So it is not completely certain that gold will return to the short trend. So the bulls still have the ability to fight back.
The 2705-2695 area below is the last line of defense for the bulls. If gold falls below this area, then gold may be sold off and continue to fall. But before a break below this support area, we have one more opportunity to go long gold.
If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD GOLD 1HR CHARTXAUUSD The outlook remains bullish, holding on to the same target as yesterday. Our analysis continues to support the expectation of upward momentum, reinforcing the importance of patience and precision in trading. Stay committed to the plan and allow the market to align with our projections.
XAIISD: Today's Market Analysis and StrategiesTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627.
Four-hour resistance 2725, support below 2686
Gold operation suggestions:
From the 4-hour analysis chart, we focus on the 2725 line for upper pressure, and the 2700/2686 line for lower support. The operation is mainly based on pullback buying, trading with the trend, and focusing on the 2725 pressure.
BUY: 2701near
BUY: 2686near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAU/USD 12 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Awaiting candle closure to confirm bullish iBOS
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
As highlighted in yesterday's analysis dated 11 December 2024, price was expected to print a bullish iBOS to narrow the internal range, and this is precisely how price printed.
Following bullish iBOS, price printed a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading within an established internal range. While price has not yet printed a bearish CHoCH, it has traded up to the premium of the 50% internal EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading within the premium of internal 50% EQ. Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal low at 2,700.810.
Alternative Scenario:
Price may potentially seek further liquidity to complete a bullish iBOS on the H4, therefore, bearish momentum may face limitations.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Go ahead and try shorting gold!Bros, due to the renewed tension in the geopolitical situation and the surge in risk aversion in the market, gold has risen sharply in the short term, and the current highest has reached around 2618. However, the continuity of the gold market, which has risen due to news stimulation, remains to be seen!
And from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 2720-2725 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 2700-2695 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will still not give up shorting gold. I will still try to add positions to continue shorting gold based on the 2720-2725 resistance area! Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
2024.12.11CPI Data Analysis and Opportunity AnalysisHello traders,
In the trading process, a tense market often presents a significant challenge. Such market conditions not only test our trading strategies but also continuously challenge our patience and psychological resilience.
**The Importance of Trial and Error Costs**
Everyone must understand that trial and error is an inevitable part of the investment process. Whether you are a novice or an experienced trader, you will go through cycles of success and failure in the market.
**The Key Role of Position Management**
In a tense market situation, position management becomes one of the important tools for controlling risk and optimizing returns. Proper position management can help us reduce losses during trial and error and ensure that we have sufficient funds to participate when the market rebounds. We can flexibly increase or decrease our positions based on market volatility, thereby maintaining relatively stable returns in an uncertain market.
Looking at the gold trend from late November to early December over 14 days, this is a standard tense market scenario. According to trading strategies and technical charts, there are times when bullish signals appear and times when bearish signals show up.
Despite filtering signals, such as waiting for a reversal signal on the 4-hour chart before looking for entry signals on the 1-hour chart, stop-loss occurrences still exist during these 14 days of trading.
Existence is rational! Just remember, there is no trading strategy that guarantees a 100% win rate. No matter what techniques or quantitative systems are used, reaching such a level is impossible.
Once you understand this, you will allow stop-losses to occur during the trading process. Accepting their occurrence is essential to deeply grasp the essence of trading.
**Gold**
On Monday, we noted:
**Currently, the 1-hour and 4-hour charts show gold resonance above the EMA, and given that Monday's market is relatively straightforward with fewer data interference factors, there is a chance for a breakout in a sideways market. It is recommended to look for 1-hour entry signals during the European and American sessions.**
Bullish targets remain:
- TP1: 2682
- TP2: 2703
- TP3: 2725
The first target of 2682 has been reached, and the second target of 2703 was reached during Wednesday's Asian session. It is recommended to reduce positions and continue holding gold longs.
Tonight, during the U.S. session, pay attention to the release of U.S. CPI data at 9:30 PM Beijing time. Before this, it is not advisable to open new positions ahead of the CPI data announcement. It is recommended to patiently wait for a stable ABC consolidation pattern to form above the EMA on the 4-hour chart before looking for new entry opportunities on the 1-hour chart.
What we focus on is not the CPI data itself, but the market's perception of the CPI data and the subsequent directional trends for decision-making.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSDHere is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair.
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective . For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2650s . Our scenarios stay the same. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes.
Scenario 1: BUYS
We broke above 2660.
That would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on our next KL (Key Level) at around 2714 .
Scenario 2: SELLS
We respected our KL (Key Level) 2660 and have not broke above it.
We are now targeting breaks of 2590 and revisits of 2530 . If 2530 is to be broken, we could easily see our next Key Level sitting at 2480 .
Personal opition:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. Be patient and stay tuned for possible scalps on this pair. Be extremely careful if we revisit 2660.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking above 2660 would confirm buys UP TO 2714.
- XAUUSD failing to break above 2660 would confirm sells.
- Breaks below 2604 would result in sells, down to 2550 and 2530.
- If 2530 is broken, we can see our next KL (Key Level) 2480.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
ANALYSIS OF GOLD TREND TODAY, DECEMBER 12, 2024: UP OR DOWN?Technical Analysis from the Chart:
The price has broken through the previous descending trendline (yellow line) and is now in a recovery trend. Currently, the price is approaching a strong resistance zone at $2,710 - $2,725, an area where selling pressure has been prominent in the past.
Key Levels:
Main Resistance: $2,710 - $2,725 (previous highs and key Fibonacci zone).
Nearby Support: $2,680 (MA200 and Fibonacci 0.618).
Strong Support: $2,650 (previous lows and psychological support level).
Indicators:
RSI: Currently near the overbought zone, signaling a potential price pullback in the short term.
Stochastic: In the overbought zone and showing signs of a possible reversal.
Price Action Pattern:
The price is currently testing a strong resistance zone. If it fails to break through, there is a chance it will correct back to support.
Trading Strategy for XAUUSD in the Current Price Range:
SELL XAUUSD around the $2,720 - $2,721 zone:
Stoploss: $2,726
Take Profit 1: $2,715
Take Profit 2: $2,710
Take Profit 3: $2,700
“If the price breaks above $2,728, look for a sell around $2,749 - $2,750 in a longer-term channel.”
BUY XAUUSD around the $2,679 - $2,680 zone:
Stoploss: $2,674
Take Profit 1: $2,685
Take Profit 2: $2,690
Take Profit 3: $2,700
Note: Always set a stoploss in every trade to ensure safety!
@Henrybillion wishes you a successful trading day!