XAUUSD: 2/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3150, support below 3053
Four-hour chart resistance 3150, support below 3113
One-hour chart resistance 3120, support below 3100
Gold news analysis: On Tuesday (April 1), spot gold continued to rise to new highs, reaching a high of $3148.94/ounce, and then dived 50$. On Monday (March 31) this week, the price of gold ushered in a new breakthrough, breaking through $3100/ounce, and rose by $100 in just one week. Multiple factors such as trade concerns, a weaker dollar and falling bond yields have driven the price of gold to rise, making it one of the most eye-catching commodities in 2025. So far this year, the price of gold has risen by 18.3%. Gold has received further support amid a sharp drop in the Nasdaq index, as investors are nervous about the tariff policy that the Trump administration will release on April 2. Trump recently announced that he would impose new tariffs on Russia and Iran. These policies are expected to have a wide impact on the global economy, causing investors to increase their allocation to safe-haven assets such as gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell back on the daily line and finally closed slightly lower. The sharp rise in the Asian session did not have a strong continuity. After the pressure near the high of 3148.50, the European and American sessions were mainly corrected by the decline. The market has fluctuated violently recently, and the adjustment space is large.
From the current trend analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the four-hour level near 3113, focusing on the 3100-3053 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to buy at a low level, waiting for the support to buy. Selling can only be entered at key points, short-term trading.
Buy: 3053near SL: 3049
Buy: 3100near SL: 3095
Sell: 3120near SL: 3125
Xauusdanalysis
ADP in Focus: Will Strong Jobs Data Trigger Gold Pullback?🟡 GOLD MARKET BRIEF – Early Asian Surge Meets Resistance Ahead of Key US Jobs Data
Gold kicked off the day with a sharp rally during the Asian session, driven by consistent demand from Asian and Middle Eastern investors — a pattern we’ve seen forming repeatedly during early sessions lately.
However, price reacted swiftly at the 3130–3135 resistance zone, exactly as mapped out in yesterday’s trading plan. With sellers stepping in again, my outlook remains:
🔻 Look for reaction-based SELL opportunities in the Asian and London sessions, especially if price pulls back into key resistance.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Gold is approaching the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout is imminent.
✅ As always: Wait for the breakout — then trade the retest in the confirmed direction.
📰 Fundamental Focus:
All eyes today will be on the US ADP Non-Farm Employment report, which tends to offer early clues ahead of Friday’s NFP.
Should the data come in stronger than expected, USD could gain traction — likely applying downward pressure on Gold, in line with our target zone around 308x–307x.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3128 – 3135 – 3142 – 3148
🔻 Support: 3110 – 3100 – 3080 – 3070
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3102 – 3100
SL: 3096
TP: 3106 – 3110 – 3114 – 3118 – 3122 – 3126 – 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
📌 Caution: With ADP on deck during the US session, expect a spike in volatility.
Stick to clear levels, protect capital, and trade with discipline — not emotion.
Let the market come to you.
— AD | Money Market Flow
BIG MOVE COMING IN XAUUSD GOLD ! CHECK SWING LEVEL'S BIG MOVE COMING IN XAUUSD GOLD ! CHECK SWING LEVEL'S
Intraday trader's ,Swing trader's follow carefully. Trend is bullish ,no doubt.Short term correction may happen , if sustain below 3127.69 target is around 3097-3089 level.Buying target is 3180 in upcoming days. Best buying zone above 3144 ,for me i'm looking for 3080 if possible.
Gold Prices Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Trump’s TariffGold Prices Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Trump’s Tariff Announcement
As shown on the XAU/USD chart today, gold prices are fluctuating near their all-time high, set when the price of an ounce surpassed $3,140 for the first time in history.
Gold has risen by approximately 19% in the first three months of 2025.
Why Is Gold Rising?
On 2 April, traders' sentiment is driving gold prices higher in anticipation of US President Trump’s tariff announcements, expected later this evening.
This event enhances gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, as concerns grow that Trump’s aggressive trade policies could slow global economic growth and fuel inflation.
Additionally, media reports highlight strong demand for gold from central banks, while exchange-traded funds linked to the precious metal are seeing capital inflows from investors concerned about geopolitical uncertainty.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
Gold price movements have formed two ascending channels in 2025: a broader blue channel and a steeper purple channel.
Notably, gold is currently trading near the midpoints of both channels, indicating that supply and demand may have reached equilibrium after buyers broke through resistance around $3,088 (marked by an arrow).
It is likely that XAU/USD will exhibit low volatility until news about Trump’s tariffs emerges. This could trigger sharp price movements, with a potential test of the purple channel’s boundaries in the near future.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
A rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold rebounds from 3100, but is the bullish momentum truly revived?
I don’t see it that way. Yesterday’s retracement to 3100 has already weakened the strong bullish structure to some extent, with 3150 likely acting as a key resistance level. I believe the current rebound is merely a technical retest of the 3150 zone, reinforcing it as a potential cycle high and paving the way for a double-top formation, which could provide a bearish technical setup for further downside.
Following the initial 3100 test, a second retest of this support level is likely. If gold fails to hold 3100 on the second attempt, a break lower towards 3095-3085 would become increasingly probable.
I will continue to scale into short positions within the 3132-3142 zone, with an initial target of 3120-3110. If gold approaches 3100, I will closely monitor the price action to assess the likelihood of a further breakdown.
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UPDATE XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025🦍 XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025
Feed: VANTAGE | Based on Price Action, SMC, OB, FVG, Liquidity
🌍 Macro & Political Context
📰 Geopolitical tension remains high: war in Ukraine, Trump tariffs = gold stays strong as safe-haven
💸 Inflation concerns + central bank demand continue fueling bullish pressure
🧠 Gold printed an ATH @ 3148, but market is now reacting with clear Smart Money footprints
🧠 SMC Structure Overview
🔺 3335–3340 → Liquidity/Accumulation Zone → Not a sell zone
🔻 3107–3115 → Strong rejection zone → Valid demand
📊 Price is compressing between a major supply and key liquidity below
📌 Smart Money may grab liquidity below before making the next bullish move
🎯 TRADE SCENARIOS – SNIPER SETUPS
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 1 – Trend Continuation Entry
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 3115 – 3120
Confluences:
Bullish OB on M15
FVG in discount
Strong reaction from this zone yesterday
Sell-side liquidity swept at 3112
Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH + engulfing on M5
SL: Below 3107
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3145
TP3: 3150+ (ATH retest)
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 2 – Deep Discount Entry
Bias: Bullish (Liquidity grab + imbalance fill)
Entry: 3085 – 3092
Confluences:
H1 FVG + unmitigated OB
FIBO 61.8%
Below key liquidity at 3100
Confirmation: M1/M5 reversal pattern + CHoCH
SL: Below 3075
TP1: 3115
TP2: 3135
TP3: 3148+
🔴 SELL SCENARIO 1 – Fakeout Above ATH
Bias: Short-term reversal
Entry: 3146 – 3150
Confluences:
Sweep of ATH @3148
H4 supply zone
Possible overextension / inducement
Confirmation: M5 rejection + CHoCH
SL: Above 3155
TP1: 3130
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3100
🔴 SELL SCENARIO 2 – Break in Structure Setup
Bias: Trend shift / Lower High
Entry: 3127 – 3132
Confluences:
LH formed under 3140
BOS on M15
Rejection from OB retest
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + rejection wick
SL: Above 3136
TP1: 3112
TP2: 3092
TP3: 3080
🧲 Key Liquidity & Imbalance Zones
Zone Type
3335–3340 🔒 Liquidity / Accumulation
3148–3150 💥 Buy-side Liquidity (fakeout)
3107–3115 🟢 Demand zone (bullish base)
3085–3092 🔵 Imbalance + OB + 61.8% FIBO
3075 🧨 Stop hunt / liquidity clearance
🧘 Final Notes
📌 Patience > Prediction
🧠 Wait for confirmation. Don’t force the entry.
🗞️ News and Trump can still throw wild cards — stay reactive.
👍 Found this plan helpful? Smash that like ❤️ and follow for sniper updates daily.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SniperTrading #FVG #OrderBlocks
Wednesday, April 2, 2025: Logical Analysis + Technical AnalysisHello traders,
** **
What happened last night?
In the COMEX gold futures market, the open interest for gold saw a **significant increase** in one day, with an addition of 62,187 contracts. Among them, the April 2025 contract increased by 45,428 contracts, which is a very rare and even abnormal surge.
Why is this event considered "strange"?
1. **Timing anomaly**: March 31 is the CME's "First Notice Day," when open interest typically begins to decrease as investors either opt for physical delivery of gold or roll over to the next contract. However, this time, open interest not only did not decrease but actually increased significantly.
2. **Abnormal relationship between price and open interest**: Normally, as gold prices rise, investors choose to take profits, leading to a decrease in open interest. Yet this time, while gold prices reached new highs, open interest surged.
What does this mean?
The 45,428 contracts correspond to approximately 4.5 million ounces of gold, worth about $14 billion at current gold prices. If this is not a data error or operational mistake, it could mean:
1. **A sudden influx of new physical gold demand**: A large amount of capital may have suddenly entered the gold market, preparing for physical delivery.
2. **Demand for deferred delivery being activated early**: Some physical demand that was originally planned for deferred delivery is now being activated ahead of schedule.
The sudden surge in physical delivery demand usually indicates that gold prices will rise significantly in the short term.
However, there is another possibility to be cautious about:
Someone might use massive positions to create a "short squeeze" panic, scaring off short sellers and driving prices higher, only to reverse positions for profit once the market overheats. In other words, the current situation may exhibit characteristics of "baiting" traders, requiring careful attention to risk.
Additionally, according to the Wall Street Journal, Trump is considering implementing "broader and higher tariffs" on all countries on April 2 (which is today) and "seeing what happens." Currently, the uncertainty index for U.S. trade policy is about 25% higher than during Trump's Trade War 1.0, and the U.S. economic uncertainty index has reached a historic high.
** **
** Insider Tips:**
On Monday of this week, during the Asian Tokyo session, gold broke upward, reaching a high of 3128.
This was a breakout from the consolidation that started during the European morning session last Friday and continued into the Asian morning session on Monday, with the highest point touching the extreme positions of FIBO EXT 1.27-1.414.
On Monday, it was suggested to wait for a 4-hour reversal signal before looking for a pullback to enter short positions in gold.
TP1: 3084
TP2: 3073
TP3: 3057
On Tuesday, crude oil experienced a brief pullback during the U.S. session, and the 1-hour chart showed that gold ended its consolidation after the U.S. market opened, resulting in a $34 pullback.
**Trading Plan for Wednesday to Friday:**
On the 4-hour chart, gold is likely to form a bullish reversal signal during the Asian morning session on Wednesday, with the candlestick stabilizing above the EMA. This indicates that the pullback in gold has ended, and the probability of continuing to rise is greater.
As long as gold remains stable above the EMA on the 4-hour chart before the non-farm payroll data on Friday, continue to go long on gold:
TP1: 3171
TP2: 3185
TP3: 3199
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
3100 Danger? Has a short trend emerged after gold’s sharp fall?If you persist in doing something for three days, it is just a whim! If you persist in doing it for three months, it is just a start! If you persist in doing it for 10 years, it can be considered a career! Whether in life or trading, if you want to succeed, it is like sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat. Only by working hard, persisting, moving forward bravely, and overcoming obstacles can you reap your own "success"! A new day begins, and every step of the strategy is the beginning of a battle. Execute the operation, if you don’t move, you will be fine, but if you move, you will be thunderous! 1-5 current price transactions per day make the operation easier!
Gold technical analysis: After the gold surged, it appeared under pressure. The price reached 3149 and then retreated. The US market continued to decline after the shock. Don’t do more if it falls below 3120 in the evening, and be alert to the possibility of retreating to 3100. The short-term means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and began to retreat and adjust the trend.
In addition to Trump’s announcement of tariffs this week, there will also be non-agricultural data, so this week is destined to be extraordinary. This is also the risk that has been repeatedly reminded. Don't be blindly overwhelmed by bulls. You need to respect the market at all times. After falling below 3120, there is room for a retracement, but whether the overall trend has turned is still uncertain. This week is very critical. There are important fundamental news. It is necessary to confirm whether it will change the fundamentals. Only when there is a change will the trend turn. Pay attention to the 3120 first-line resistance on the top of the 4-hour chart, and pay attention to the 3100 support on the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to operate in the range. Gold operation suggestion: short selling near 3115-3119, stop loss 3130, target 3105-3100
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
4/2 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday's upward movement, gold experienced a deeper pullback, testing the 3100 area before rebounding to around 3120. However, based on technical indicators, the bullish outlook remains uncertain.
The key resistance to watch is around 3125—if the price fails to break through, we shouldn't expect higher levels today. In that case, the main trading direction will be short positions, with a possible drop to 3086 before tomorrow’s data release.
However, if 3125 resistance is broken and sustained, bulls may attempt another rally towards 3138-3150. On the bearish side, support in the 3103-3096 region is crucial.
Trading Recommendations:
📌 Main Trades:
Buy in the 3098-3086 range
Sell in the 3138-3148 range
📌 Short-Term Scalping:
Sell in the 3124-3131 range
Buy in the 3109-3103 range
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3150.00
3200.00
__________________________________________________________________
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
The bulls continue to reach new highsEarly layout plan for gold: As mentioned in our previous article, we decisively laid out gold short positions when entering the market at key points in the early stage, strictly implemented the fast-in-fast-out trading strategy mentioned in our article, perfectly hit the stop-profit target TP, and successfully made profits.
Gold technical analysis: Gold bulls dominate the screen, continuously breaking new historical highs. The current highest has reached 3149. The daily line has also closed positively, galloping in the market, invincible, and also let the bears flee. The current trend is basically in a regular form. The bullish trend is still strong. The early opening sprint broke through the 3130 line. We directly went long in the real market and successfully reached the target 3140-3145. Yesterday, the technical side of gold ushered in an accelerated rise in the Asian market. In the afternoon, the bulls in the European market continued to break through and stand above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continue to fluctuate strongly. Last night, the US market retreated twice to confirm that it stabilized at the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Our real market and the analysis of the article before the US market last night also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. I believe that friends who follow me can see that if your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3117-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, without fighting. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3117-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line long, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, break and continue to hold;
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technological changes, notify you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
Continue to short gold, there is still huge downside potentialGold fell below the short-term key support of 3120 and extended to around 3100. The short-term raid caught most long traders off guard. Today, I evaluated from both market factors and risk factors, and made a plan to short gold in the 3135-3145 zone, with the goal of a pullback to 3100. The potential profit space is $50. I believe that as long as you pay attention to and follow my trading strategy, you will definitely make a lot of money today!
At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3100, but I do not recommend going long on gold in this position area; because a sharp drop in gold can easily hit the confidence of long traders, stimulate profit-taking and panic selling, so I think the decline is not over.
Even from a technical perspective, although gold has a certain degree of technical repair after a rapid decline, it is obvious that the 4-hour level has not started to make up for the decline, indicating that there is still a lot of room for correction below. In this round of decline, I think gold is likely to continue to fall to the area around 3085, or even the 3075-3065 zone.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we can still consider shorting gold in batches after it rebounds to the 3115-3125 zone, with the target pointing to the 3095-3085 zone.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
GOLD - single supporting area , holds or not??#GOLD. well guys now we have 3112 as immediate supporting area and upside we have 3125 as immediate resistance area so keep close and if market hold 3112 then we can expect another bounce towards upside next targets.
keep in mind that 3112 is our single supporting area so if market clear that level then we will go for short means cut n reverse but on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
4/1 Gold Analysis & Trading SignalsThe combination of fundamental influences and technical patterns led to a sharp surge in gold prices after the market opened yesterday. The upward momentum only slowed during the New York session, but prices remained above 3100. However, after this rally, the technical setup is not particularly favorable for bulls. That said, if fundamental factors continue to support the market, any technical pullback could provide another buying opportunity for bulls.
Key Considerations:
🔸 Besides technical factors, we need to monitor geopolitical tensions—if the situation eases, demand for gold as a safe haven could decrease.
🔸 If tensions escalate further, gold is likely to rise, making it unwise to blindly short the top. Instead, we should adjust our trading strategy based on market developments while using technical patterns for entry and exit points.
🔸 If a pullback occurs, support is seen around 3109.
🔸 If the price continues upward, given current market conditions, a single rally is unlikely to exceed $30, so the first resistance zone is estimated at 3136-3145.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📈 Buy in the 3111-3101 range
📉 Sell in the 3135-3145 range
Stay flexible, follow the market closely, and adjust strategies accordingly. Let me know if you need further insights!
XAUUSD:Adhere to the strategy of selling at high levelsI have consistently adhered to the strategy of shorting gold. Today, after the gold price spiked upwards, it showed a pattern of being under pressure. The price reached a peak of 3149 and then pulled back. After fluctuating during the U.S. trading session, it continued to decline. Currently, it has broken below the intraday demarcation level of 3120, which in the short term indicates that the bullish trend has temporarily come to an end, and a retracement and adjustment trend has started.
This is also the risk that has been repeatedly highlighted. One should not be blindly carried away by the bullish sentiment and should always maintain a sense of reverence for the market. In the early morning, when the price tested the resistance level around 3135, short positions could be initiated. Now, the price has plummeted rapidly to the resistance level of 3100. It is estimated that most long positions have been stopped out, but we have still achieved the take-profit.
In the subsequent trading, focus on the resistance level around 3130. If this level is not breached, one can continue to chase short positions.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3130
TP:3110-3100
XAUUSD: 1/4 Today's Market AnalysisGold technical analysis
The resistance of the daily chart is 3160, and the support below is 3060
The resistance of the 4-hour chart is 3150, and the support below is 3110
The resistance of the 1-hour chart is 3150, and the support below is 3120
The surge in safe-haven demand has stimulated gold prices to break new highs every day. Trump plans to announce the details of auto tariffs on April 2 (without exemption clauses), global trade war concerns are heating up, and gold ETF holdings have increased to historical highs. MACD bullish momentum has weakened; RSI has entered the overbought zone, follow the trend and buy at the support level, but be wary of short-term corrections.
Please refer to the following two options for buying plans:
1. Wait for a breakthrough to buy: If it breaks through and stabilizes at 3150 US dollars again, the next target is 3160-3180 US dollars.
2. The safe strategy is to buy back at the support level: If it falls back to the 3110-3120 US dollar area and a stabilization signal appears, it is best to have a reversal signal on the 30-minute chart, and you can buy with a light position.
If you participate in counter-trend selling, please set a smaller SL to prevent the gold price from rising straight up due to the news!