XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold’s Make-or-Break Level: $3167 Is the Key to the Next MoveGold Spot is sitting at a critical inflection point — and if you’ve been watching the charts, you know exactly where the pressure is building: the $3167 zone.
This level has acted as a mid-term support floor, cushioning gold’s recent corrections and providing bulls with a lifeline. But that cushion is now getting thinner, and if price action breaks below this area decisively, the implications could be sharply bearish.
👀Why $3167 Matters👀
Take a look at the recent structure. Every bounce, every bullish attempt in the past week, has leaned on $3167. It's not just some random line — it’s where buyers have consistently stepped in to defend.
But now? The bounces are getting weaker. Volume’s fading. And price is consolidating right above support — never a good sign.
If gold breaks $3167 and closes below it, expect an acceleration to the downside. Momentum traders will likely pile in, and we could see a quick slide into the $3075–3052 zone, where the next real demand sits.
✨What I’m Watching✨
A clean hourly candle close below $3167 — ideally with follow-through volume.
Any retest of $3167 after a breakdown could offer a textbook entry for shorts.
🎁The Bearish Scenario
If the break happens, I’ll be targeting $3052 for the first bounce. That’s where previous accumulation kicked in — and it lines up with a cluster of reaction lows from late April. It’s also a psychological round number and a potential spot for intraday reversal plays.
Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again?
The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key.
The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line.
Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall.
If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
GOLD H4 Weekly Chart Update For 19 - 23 May 25As you can see that GOLD H4 for weekly term
First of all note all mentioned levels Carefully, right now market just close above 3200 psychological level
2 upside GAPS remains in focus for now
1st one around 3330-3340
2nd one is 3430
so keep in mind overall trend is remains bullish for now on senior timeframes
Gold still has room to fall and rebounds to continue to shortGold fell as expected in the Asian session, which was in line with our thinking and expectations. Our short position was shorted near 3237-38 and exited with profit, and then shorted near 3194 and exited with profit again, and we made good profits both times. There are many people who followed the trend and went long in today's market, or even chased the long position, and without exception, they were trapped and wailing. We have repeatedly emphasized that we should treat it with a sweeping approach, and different market rhythms should be responded to with different methods. Judging from the current market trend, the European session continues to weaken. The focus should be on the gains and losses of 3180 support. If it breaks through, it will continue to look at 3150 and 3120. In this case, the short-term will return to weakness. If it does not break, we will look at a wide sweeping range. The upper pressure will focus on 3200, 3215, and 3230. The rebound will be mainly high. The weekly line will be closed tonight, and volatility will intensify.
XAUUSD H1 CHART ANALYSIS miraninaveed337: G
Sijjad Zong: (XAUUSD, 1-hour timeframe)
Sell Setup (Bearish Continuation from Channel Breakout)
Entry (Sell): Around current price area: $3,190
Stop Loss: Just above the recent high or marked SL area: $3,263
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
1. TP1: $3,150 – conservative target based on recent support
2. TP2: $3,121 – matching the previous low
3. TP3: $3,111 – extended target (marked horizontal support)
Summary:
Sell Entry: $3,190 (approx)
Stop Loss: $3,263
TP1: $3,150
TP2: $3,121
TP3: $3,111
Make sure to adjust position sizing to manage risk properly
XAUUSD FLAG BULLISH PATTERN (HIGHER HIGH) ANLYSISThe XAUUSD Market momentum has made a flag bullish pattern showing the strong uptrend had the confirm targets at different zones.
1st Target Zone 3260
Final Target Zone 3350
resistance level: 3100
Conclusion: If the market momentum moves towards target then hold on your trades but if the market moves against to the target then there is an option of stop loss point active and all the trades should be closed.
"XAU/USD Bearish Structure Developing Below Resistance"Gold price showed a sharp upward movement but faced resistance near the 3212–3220 zone. After forming a lower high, the structure appears to be setting up for a potential downside move.
The market seems to be respecting a descending channel and if the current resistance holds, we could see further continuation toward the 3120–3122 support area. Volume spike during the drop also indicates possible seller strength.
This is an educational analysis based on price structure and market behavior.
Feel free to share your thoughts or give a boost if it aligns with your view.
🔍 Key Points:
Resistance Area: ~3212–3220
Current Price Reaction: Forming lower highs
Target Zone: 3120–3122 (support)
Pattern: Bearish flag or channel
Volume: Increased on downside move – shows selling pressure
Gold Price Analysis May 16Yesterday's D1 candle pulled back within the uptrend with a liquidity sweep to 3121. Today there is unlikely to be a sell-off and the price will continue to return in the uptrend.
Today, it is better to mainly look for retest points for BUY signals.
In the immediate future, 3198 is the first BUY zone that the Asia-Europe session can consider. When breaking this zone, buy entries may not carry long TP expectations. The Breakout zone of 3153 and the bottom zone of 3125 are two important supports to prevent the gold price from a downward slide.
In the opposite direction, the Asian session resistance zone around 3254 also acts as an immediate barrier for the gold price increase. Break 3254 should not BUY until the 3288 zone before SELL Scalping can be done. The upper barrier of the Daily Frame is at 3320.
Long orders are trapped,what should we do with the US gold marke🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Gold once fell to around 3170, which is in line with our judgment of bullish weakness. This is why we are not in a hurry to participate in long orders today. I know that many bros also listened to the outside world and went long around 3200, which led to being trapped. At present, the gold price is constantly testing the 3170 support line. If it falls below, it will look to the 3150 support line. If it does not break, it will be treated as a shock. On the top, temporarily pay attention to the 3205-3215 line of resistance. If it encounters resistance and pressure, go short. On the bottom, first pay attention to the 3170 support line, and then pay attention to the 3150-3140 support line. Hold if it breaks.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?Gold Price Volatility: Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?
💥 Market Outlook:
Today’s market is seeing unpredictable movements, with gold making significant drops and then rebounding sharply in the last two days. Are the recent news developments aligning with the price action, or is it just a major coincidence?
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Looking at the D1 and H4 charts, you can clearly see the breakdown, but gold quickly bounced back to the 325x area and reacted. The 3254–3256 zone is a key level that holds strong for sellers on both daily and H4 candles. If gold continues to hold below this level, the bearish trend remains strong, and another sharp drop could happen before the weekend.
If the 3254–3256 level is broken, the price may push toward the 327x, possibly even the 328x levels. However, this will be dependent on whether this critical support is maintained.
Trend Continuation or Reversal?
From a technical perspective, gold is still in a downtrend, and the current bounce is likely just a retracement before continuing lower. However, in terms of macro news, the USD is continuously dealing with bad inflation data, affecting the recovery of DXY (USD). The market is very sensitive to trap candles, and there may be false breakouts, so proceed cautiously.
There are also some news reports indicating that the US and China have reached a minor détente, but tensions remain around trade restrictions, imports, exports, and the use of rare earth minerals. Things are unpredictable with these two powers. Today, there are updates on tariffs, so keep an eye out!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3237
3251
3261
3276
3287
📉 Key Support Levels:
3205
3188
3170
3143
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3196 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3162 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 → 3120
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
With strong volatility today, manage your risk carefully. It’s essential to adhere to your TP/SL to protect your account. Stay cautious, as there is a lot of unpredictability in the market with the upcoming news.
Conclusion:
Given the unpredictability of the market and geopolitical tensions, it’s wise to trade with caution today. Watch the critical support and resistance levels closely and stay flexible, adapting your strategy based on how the market evolves.
📣 Stay tuned for more updates and trade smart!
XAUUSD Intraday Swing Friday Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
📉 Current Price: Around 3,173.805 USD
📌 Key Zones & Structure on the Chart:
1. Order Block (OB)
Located at the top (around 3,253 – 3,231).
This is a strong supply zone that triggered a sharp sell-off.
Price previously grabbed liquidity before sharply rejecting from this zone.
2. Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) & Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
SSL: Taken out → strong indication that smart money is pushing price lower.
BSL: Also taken before the drop → confirming a false breakout and reversal to the downside.
3. Breaker + Base Area
Breaker block has been tested but failed to push price higher.
This confirms the area has flipped from support to resistance (bearish flip zone).
4. Bearish Target
Projected drop toward the next demand zone around 3,150 – 3,145 (lower gray box).
Marked by the arrow pointing down, indicating potential bearish continuation.
📊 Price Structure:
Trend: Bearish (Lower Highs – Lower Lows forming)
Strong rejection from breaker area → confirms bearish bias.
Current price is performing a minor pullback and is expected to continue dropping toward the demand zone.
✅ Summary of Analysis:
Bias: Bearish
Potential Entry: After a pullback into supply or breaker area (3,180 – 3,191)
Target: 3,150 – 3,145 (major demand zone)
Additional Confirmation: Watch for price rejection during pullback + rising volume during support break.
GOLD - At CUT N REVERSE area? holds or not??#GOLD... perfect bounced from bottom and market constant showing buying scenarios.
Buy now market at his one of the most important n expensive area that is 3237
Keep close 3237
We will go for cut n reverse below that on confirmation.
Don't holds buying below 3237
Good luck
Trade wisely
The focus of gold today is 3200!News:
The US economic data in April was weak across the board, with the producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output falling by 0.4%, which severely hit the market's confidence in the US economy. Affected by this, the US bond market fluctuated violently, with the 10-year US bond yield plummeting by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield plummeting by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index fell by 0.2%, and the real interest rate fell. At the same time, geopolitical risks continue to heat up. The Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a deadlock, Putin refused to meet with Zelensky, and the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations have not progressed smoothly. Against this background, the safe-haven attribute of gold has been highlighted, and market attention has increased significantly. Looking ahead to this trading day, a number of important US economic data will be released soon, and the progress of the Russia-Ukraine talks and Trump's dynamics are also attracting much attention. These factors will continue to affect market trends.
Technical aspect: From the perspective of the daily line, gold can no longer be regarded as a unilateral decline after yesterday's bottoming out and rebounding. It should be directly followed by the idea of oscillation! The primary focus today is still the position of the dividing line of 3200.
Trading idea: Go long if it doesn’t break around 3200, sl3190, target 3230
XAUUSD remains bearish unless it breaks 3265🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Today's opening correction is due to technical repair and adjustment, which is why I shorted. The support of 3200-3210 is of great significance to the short-term trend. If it can be supported here again, it may further promote the upward expansion space. However, after the rebound in the morning Asian session, it did not break through the 3265 line. On the contrary, the bulls began to weaken. Today is Friday, and the market is not expected to show a unilateral strong attitude. It will be treated as a shock during the day. Before breaking through 3265 above, we can short at a small level during the intraday rebound. Short-term operation suggestions, temporarily look at 3235-3240 on the upper side, and look at the support of 3210-3200 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has a strong deep V, 3200 support is good for longThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn and continue, so the momentum of gold bears begins to weaken, and gold bulls may begin to exert their strength. However, gold started to rise all the way from 3120 to 3252 yesterday. Gold rose by about 130 points, so the volatility began to increase. Therefore, we must wait patiently for gold to adjust. Because of such a large fluctuation, an adjustment will also be tens of dollars. We must wait patiently for the adjustment and stabilize before going long. After gold breaks through 3192, it is considered a strong deep V breakthrough of important resistance. Then 3192 of gold has now become an important support level. If it falls back to 3192 in the Asian session, go long on dips. If gold falls back to near the 3200 mark, you can try to go long.
Since gold has started to reverse strongly, gold bulls have begun to show their muscles. In the short term, we should not be stubbornly bearish anymore. We should be flexible and adapt to the market. The market is like this, changing rapidly. We should adapt to the market and not be too obsessed with bears or bulls. Obsession is a trap. Gold bulls are strong now, so gold is now the home of bulls. Go long when the Asian session falls back.
The calm before the golden stormThe gold market showed a V-shaped reversal pattern of bottoming out and rebounding yesterday. The daily line closed with a hammer-shaped positive line with an extremely long lower shadow, indicating that the support below is strong, but the overall high-level shock pattern is still maintained. Technical indicators show that short-term correction pressure still exists: the stochastic indicator is blunted at a high level, the MACD double-line dead cross is downward, and the Bollinger band opens downward. The gold price is likely to fluctuate around the middle and lower tracks.
The 4-hour level fluctuates to the bearish side, and the 3200 line becomes the watershed between long and short positions. If it effectively falls below this level, the bears will regain the initiative; on the contrary, the bulls need to break through the strong resistance zone of 3265-3270 to reverse the downward trend. At the end of the weekly line, the market has a demand for a restorative decline. If it falls below the 3200 integer mark, the target below will be the 3180-3170 area. Focus on the effectiveness of the 3265-3270 resistance and the strength of the 3200 support, and be alert to the violent fluctuations in the closing market on Friday.
Gold suggestion: Arrange long orders in the 3207-3210 range, stop loss 7 points, target 3250
The calm before the golden stormThe gold market showed a V-shaped reversal pattern of bottoming out and rebounding yesterday. The daily line closed with a hammer-shaped positive line with an extremely long lower shadow, indicating that the support below is strong, but the overall high-level shock pattern is still maintained. Technical indicators show that short-term correction pressure still exists: the stochastic indicator is blunted at a high level, the MACD double-line dead cross is downward, and the Bollinger band opens downward. The gold price is likely to fluctuate around the middle and lower tracks.
The 4-hour level fluctuates to the bearish side, and the 3200 line becomes the watershed between long and short positions. If it effectively falls below this level, the bears will regain the initiative; on the contrary, the bulls need to break through the strong resistance zone of 3265-3270 to reverse the downward trend. At the end of the weekly line, the market has a demand for a restorative decline. If it falls below the 3200 integer mark, the target below will be the 3180-3170 area. Focus on the effectiveness of the 3265-3270 resistance and the strength of the 3200 support, and be alert to the violent fluctuations in the closing market on Friday.
Gold suggestion: Arrange long orders in the 3207-3210 range, stop loss 7 points, target 3250
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold trend analysis: After gold fell below 3200 this week, the current trend is as shown in the figure. The end of this wave is tentatively set at around 2900. There may be a rebound during this period, but it is only a rebound. After the news faded, it was a rebound in the analysis after the 9th of this month. It emphasized that the gold price of 3500 was a top to look at the retracement, and also gave the short-selling strategy and the staged support position below. It has gone through several shock adjustments on the way. Now the gold price rebounded again near 3120, and the highest rebound reached 3252.
Strong without deep adjustment, deep adjustment without strong, gold yesterday broke up and broke at 3252 in the early trading. It can be said that this wave of rise has ended. We did an analysis yesterday on this wave of broken yang. Don't guess the top in the slow rise state. Go with the trend before the callback signal appears. The two target positions of short-term long orders are 3210 and 3239. Now there is a deep adjustment signal, so this wave of highs can be used as a resistance level for today.