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Xauusdanalysis

XAUUSD: 9/12 Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2654, support below 2627 Gold operation suggestions: Gold's technical side last Friday was slightly higher under the influence of the positive NFP data, and it was under pressure from the 2643 mark, and then fell under the shock. It finally closed below the 2640 mark and showed weak shocks. Today's Asian session slightly jumped high and pierced the 2647 line, and then fell under the degree of suppression and shock. In the short term, the gold price suppressed the recent weak shock consolidation trend below the 2660 mark. From the current 4-hour line trend analysis, we focus on the 2654 line pressure above, and the 2637-2627 line short-term support below. In terms of operation, we will continue to participate in the trend. At present, the 2637-2627 weekly and daily level support below has been supported, and we can continue to be bullish. BUY:2637near BUY:2627near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Pay attention to the trading range of 2625~2657Weekend news shows that the People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings by 160,000 ounces again after six months. After more than 13 years of civil war, Syrian opposition forces seized control of the capital Damascus on Sunday. The martial law crisis in South Korea continues to ferment. In the short term, bullish opportunities have increased. On the one hand, the market will continue to pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation, but more attention may be focused on the US November CPI data to be released this week. Investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations. Although the situation in Syria may boost safe-haven buying in the short term, it should be noted that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the conflict between Israel and Hamas may usher in a ceasefire, which may suppress the trend of gold prices. The MA10/7-day moving average of gold still remains flat, the price is running above the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator continues to adjust the central axis. The Asian session opened high and touched 2648, and the Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart also closed. It is expected to continue to fluctuate widely at the beginning of the week. Intraday trading will first look at the 2625/2657 range adjustment, and short-term thinking game of selling high and buying low. The risk aversion sentiment of gold rose over the weekend, but the rise of gold did not continue. It continued to rise and fall, so it is still difficult for gold bulls to stir up big waves. Wait for the rebound to continue to short. Gold continued to fluctuate in 1 hour, and the moving average still crossed downward and diverged. Gold has not broken through 2657 under the risk aversion situation, so gold will continue to short at highs below 2657. First support: 2625, second support: 2616, third support: 2603 First resistance: 2657, second resistance: 2668, third resistance: 2677 Trading strategy: According to the first resistance/support, sell high and buy low in the range of 2625~2657. The focus above is 2668.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
1
Nobody Appreciated it!! XAU/USD has finally hit the precise target I predicted with confidence just yesterday, and while I shared my analysis and insight in advance, it seems like no one took the time to acknowledge or appreciate the effort that went into this forecast. It's disappointing to feel overlooked, but in the end, the results are undeniable, and the accuracy of my prediction speaks volumes. Success like this reminds me that consistency and skill are more valuable than recognition, and I’ll continue to trust my work, whether or not it’s celebrated by others.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeAdvisory
Quick Analysis! Is GOLD a good entry? XAU/USD StrategyHey traders! Today, we’re doing a quick analysis of gold (XAU/USD). The price is at a key level with Fibonacci retracements and a descending triangle pattern. Is it time to buy or sell? Let’s take a look. Gold is respecting the Fibonacci levels. If it breaks the 0.5 at 2,667 to the upside, it could be a good buy signal. But if it drops below the triangle, we might see more downside, so watch that level closely. If the price goes up, target 2,697. If it drops, target 2,599. Always manage your risk with a stop loss. If you liked this analysis, don’t forget to like, subscribe, and hit the bell for more! See you in the next video! Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves risk; do your own research.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by MetalsMine
Gold's Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term OutlookExplosive Weekend News: The Syrian President Assad has abandoned the country, and the anti-government forces have won in this wave of unrest. The biggest beneficiary of this is not Israel, but the United States! Their control over the Middle East has reached its peak, and many domestic issues will now open breakthrough opportunities, significantly boosting the speed of economic recovery. Syria’s loss has been devastating for Russia and Iran due to tactical errors. Iran’s strategic arc has been broken, and Russia has lost important strategic points, undoing over a decade of planning. The unrest caused gold to gap higher today, but the expectations for the U.S. economy have led to a pullback in gold prices. Despite the ongoing turmoil, if this situation continues to develop, the U.S. dollar will inevitably emerge as the ultimate winner. Gold prices may gradually retreat after reaching a peak This is based on an analysis of the international situation, and it represents a long-term strategic outlook. Short-Term Outlook: Due to the ongoing turmoil, gold’s safe-haven demand remains intact. Technically, 2628-2618 is an important support zone, with resistance still focusing on the 2643-2652 area.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAUUSD Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on its goodish intraday bounce from a one-and-half-week low touched earlier this Friday, though it manages to stick to modest gains through the first half of the European session. The US Treasury bond yields remain suppressed amid bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower borrowing costs in December. This, in turn, keeps the US Dollar (USD) near a multi-week low and acts as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Apart from this, a slight deterioration in the global risk sentiment, geopolitical tensions and trade war fears turn out to be other factors underpinning the safe-haven Gold price. That said, expectations for a less dovish Fed, bolstered by hopes that US President-elect Donald Trump's policies will boost inflation, keep a lid on any further gains for the XAU/USD. Traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive directional bets ahead of the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Gold has experienced a growth wave, peaking at 2,666.35, followed by a correction down to 2,616.60. A new growth impulse towards 2,663.00 is underway, and we anticipate the formation of a consolidation range around this level. If the price breaks upward, it may continue its ascent towards 2,714.00. The MACD indicator supports this bullish outlook, with its signal line hovering near zero and pointing upwards
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by KingForex078
XAU/USD Longs from 2,590 or 2,570?Gold has been trading within a range, creating significant liquidity both above and below the current price. Once this consolidation phase breaks, I anticipate a reaction from either my supply or demand zones. Overall, my bullish outlook on gold remains intact. I am particularly focused on the demand zones around 2,570 and 2,590, which I’ve marked as key areas. If the price reaches these levels, I expect a slowdown, allowing for accumulation before initiating a new rally to the upside. Confluences for GOLD Buys: - Bullish Market Structure: Higher timeframes continue to show strong bullish momentum. - Break of Structure: Price has broken key levels to the upside. - Unmitigated Demand Zone: Price needs to revisit these areas before continuing higher. - Liquidity Above: There’s a notable amount of upside liquidity, particularly around Asian session highs. Note: If gold takes out the upside liquidity, I’ll shift my focus to potential sells around 2,670, targeting the 5-hour supply zone for a reversal back down.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
XAU/USD 09-13 December 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024 Price Action Analysis: Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Trendline BreakoutHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
Don't trade XAU/USD in the middleGold is currently in a phase where it’s too early to establish an uptrend channel, but the conditions are ripening for a retest of its previous all-time high in the $2,793 area. What’s crucial at this stage is the formation of a rounded bullish pattern, which could set the stage for further upward momentum. Short-Term Movement: Retest and Cooling Down Retest of $2,793: A rally to retest the $2,793 level appears likely, as gold capitalizes on recent bullish momentum. Cooling Phase: After rejecting the all-time high, gold could cool down, first retreating to the $2,650 zone, and then further to $2,550. This corrective move will allow the market to consolidate before the next significant push. Two Possible Scenarios for 2025–2026: Scenario 1: Bullish Channel and New High by April 2025 Timeline: Between January and February 2025, XAU/USD could start forming a clear bullish channel. Target: This structure could lead to a new all-time high in the $2,800–$2,900 range by March–April 2025. Outlook: This scenario represents a continuation of the bullish trend with steady growth. Scenario 2: Prolonged Range and Significant Drop by 2026 Timeline: Gold may remain in a range-bound phase until November 2025, oscillating between key levels ($2,700-$2,500) Target: A lack of upward momentum during this time increases the probability of a significant decline to $2,300 by May 2026. Outlook: This scenario reflects market exhaustion after prolonged consolidation, leading to a bearish correction. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $2,793 (ATH), $2,800–$2,900 (potential new high). Support: $2,650, $2,550 (corrective phases), $2,300 (long-term bearish target). Summary: XAU/USD is preparing for a retest of the $2,793 all-time high, followed by a likely cooling phase to $2,650–$2,550. Beyond this, gold’s trajectory depends on its ability to establish a bullish channel in early 2025: Bullish Outcome: New ATH of $2,800–$2,900 by April 2025. Bearish Outcome: Prolonged range followed by a drop to $2,300 by May 2026. Traders and investors should monitor key levels and the market’s ability to build a rounded bullish pattern to gauge the next significant move.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
by QuantumFusionWave
XAUUSD next move. 2H timeframe analysis.Trading Idea: Sell Target 2604 with Pullback Opportunity Asset: XAUUSD Timeframe: 2H Current Price: 2633 Target: 2604 Technical Setup: The market is in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows. Price is heading toward key support at 2604, a strong historical level. Indicators show continued bearish momentum: RSI is near overbought, suggesting potential for a correction. MACD remains negative, signaling more downside. Price is below both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, confirming the overall bearish trend. A move towards 2604 may trigger a temporary pullback, so watch for reversal signals (bullish candles or patterns) for potential long entries after hitting this zone. Fundamentals: The broader market sentiment is risk-off, with global concerns over weighing on risk assets. Any negative economic data or geopolitical risks could drive further bearish pressure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexBarbieReal
1
Gold? Nothing much lately.That's what made me check. Bulls I don't follow the news much these days, but the safe haven thingy is not going away, Middle-east, Russia, North Korea, it seems to be the cool thing for a leader to do is start a war. Enter the Gold-price & its safe haven attributes. I had written Gold off the last few days, doing its daily up and down liquidity checks and price not moving much on Friday. You will see in the chart on the 30m that gold recently parted ways from a wedge pattern, price moved aggressively south for about 100% move of the width of the wedge, then it moved aggressively north and stopped well north of its exit from the wedge and then made a perfect 38.2% retracement. So what happened next. Well price has accumulated around this level and price is beautifully above VWAP and the 200ema. All 3 charts have confluence setups for bulls. But here is what I don't like. One moment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
NFP market trading strategyFrom the data, the previous value is 1.2 (million), and the forecast value is 20 (million). From the current expectations, the non-agricultural employment population data may continue to rise sharply, which is bearish for gold; if the data is revised for the previous value, it may bring greater pressure to the gold market; gold fell to around 2613 overnight, and it is not ruled out that institutions are running ahead of the NFP market. If gold in the NFP market continues to fall sharply, it will also harvest most of the funds chasing the rise; From the chart, gold is currently in a volatile pattern, but from the perspective of rebounding and falling back many times, it faces multiple resistances above, first facing resistance in the 2655-2665 area, and secondly facing resistance in the 2675-2685 area. So it is actually difficult for gold to break upward at the technical level; and today is Friday, the gold market closes the weekly line. From the weekly level, gold still has room to continue to fall, so once gold falls in the NFP market, it is likely to test the 2605-2600 area support; it may even test the 2580-2560 area. So, today’s NFP market trading strategy: 1. Set the price limit to sell gold at 2658-2662. If it exceeds 2666, the short position will be abandoned; 2. Wait for the data to be released and then follow the gold fluctuations to choose an opportunity to short gold; Bros, are you ready to participate in the NFP market? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSD Gold price struggles to capitalize on its goodish intraday bounce from a one-and-half-week low touched earlier this Friday, though it manages to hold above $2,630. Investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of the November jobs report from the US. From a technical perspective, an intraday breakdown below the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and a short-term trading range support near the $2,633-2,632 area was seen as a key trigger for bearish traders. The subsequent swift recovery, however, warrants some caution before positioning for any further losses. Meanwhile, any further move up is likely to confront some resistance near the $2,649 region ahead of the $2,655 supply zone. Some follow-through buying beyond last Friday's swing high, around the $2,666 area will shift the bias in favor of bulls and allow the Gold price to reclaim the $2,700 mark.On the flip side, the Asian session low, around the $2,614-2,613 region, now seems to act as immediate strong support ahead of the $2,605-2,600 area. This is followed by the 100-day SMA, currently around the $2,583 zone, below which the Gold price could slide to the November monthly swing low, around the $2,537-2,536 area. The downward trajectory could extend further and eventually drag the XAU/USD to the $2,500 psychological mark
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingForex078
Gold Analysis December 6Fundamental Analysis Gold prices continued to struggle for a firm near-term direction amid mixed fundamental signals and remained confined within a familiar range in the first half of the European session on Thursday. Persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict, trade war fears, and political unrest in France and South Korea served as drivers of the safe-haven precious metal. Additionally, a weaker US dollar (USD) was seen as another factor providing some support to the commodity. That said, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) should trigger a modest rebound in US Treasury yields and limit the upside in non-yielding gold. In fact, comments from several FOMC members on Wednesday, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, suggested that the US central bank will adopt a cautious stance on rate cuts. Technical Analysis After this morning's unexpected technical decline, it seems that gold will want to fall into Nonfarm today. With prices pushing up near the 2637 area, it marks a recovery in the European session before gold is pushed back down in the US session. There are 2 breakout zones to watch at 2637 and 2643
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAU/USD 06 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
#XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD Analysis (1H Timeframe) A potential selling opportunity is anticipated near the resistance zone at 2650.00–2646.00, which appears to be a favorable area for sellers. Target Levels: 2624. 2614. 2606. Important Note: If the price closes above 2656.00, refrain from entering sell positions, as this could signal further upside potential. It is advised to avoid placing pending orders at this time. Instead, wait for clear bearish confirmations before executing a trade. Trade wisely!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER