Gold/XAUUSD Possible CPI Move 11 June 2025Technical Analysis
Key Confluences Supporting the Buy Setup:
Trendline Support
The gold shows a well-respected ascending trendline, which has been tested multiple times. This provides a dynamic level of support.
Horizontal Support Zone (3323–3326)
This area previously acted as resistance and has now flipped to support. The consolidation here suggests a demand zone.
Bullish Market Structure
The market is forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure. The current pullback may serve as a liquidity grab before continuation.
Liquidity Below 3320
There is likely a liquidity pocket just below 3320. Price could sweep below support to trap sellers before reversing upward.
CPI News Catalyst
CPI data release can cause volatility. The stop-loss below 3314 is well-placed to allow for a spike without invalidating the bullish structure.
Trade Setup Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 3323–3326
Confirmation: Reaction from the trendline and horizontal support after CPI release
Take Profit (TP): 3335/3349 (targeting the recent high and potential double top liquidity)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3314
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 1:2
Entry Trigger: Look for a strong bullish rejection or engulfing pattern at the 3323–3326 zone to confirm entry.
Management: Consider partial profit booking near 3340 if volatility increases or if price shows signs of rejection before the target.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD: Volatile Uptrend Breaks Through Narrow RangeTechnical indicators are just references for the trend of gold, and the real market movement is driven by market sentiment.
The CPI data released today was lower than expected, which is a bullish signal for gold. The information on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond auction released in the evening is bearish based on the data. In addition, news about various geopolitical conflicts are all influencing and driving market sentiment.
In the long term, gold is definitely trending upward. For short-term operations, technical analysis needs to be combined with the current market sentiment.
Today's various data have caused gold to show a volatile upward trend. After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and reaching $3,360, it retracted to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,300-$3,380.
XAU/USD
buy@3310-3320-3330
tp:3350-3360-3370
sell@3380-3370-3360
tp:3345-3335-3325
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
How to arrange the gold price in the evening? Go long at 3330📰 Impact of news:
1. CPI data is profitable
2. The US CPI rose slightly in May, and Trump's tariff effect has not yet fully emerged
📈 Market analysis:
The trend line position of the 4H chart coincides and resonates with the middle track of the Bollinger Band, with 3326 as the watershed reference. This is why it is difficult to break below this point after repeated tests. Once it breaks below, the short-term trend is likely to fluctuate from strong to weak. However, the current support below is still strong at 3330-3326. The repeated rise and fall of data during the day also stopped the decline at this point. If the price does not lose here, the pattern of strong fluctuations will remain unchanged, and the bulls will gradually regain lost ground. At present, it is time for space. The operation suggestion for the future market is to continue to rely on the bullish trend above 3330, and 3330-3326 can be flexibly entered. At the same time, the RSI indicator is above 50 and there is still some space from the overbought zone. The signal is given that 3360, although the long upper shadow line K is closed, is very likely not the short-term top. After the sharp rise and fall in 1H, it went sideways and waited for the next wave of strength. If the night close is above 3326, the upper area will probably be 3350-3360. If the price can break through and stabilize this level, the upward pace will most likely accelerate to reach 3370-3380.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3330-3326
TP 3350-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD:Take a short position
Gold is currently under pressure around 3345 has been out of the decline, so today or the first short, the follow-up need to pay attention to a wave of decline after the rebound.
The current 3330-32 is also a short point.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@3330-32
TP:3315-10
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"Will gold resume its uptrend after a pullback from the rally?"Following the release of CPI data, gold showed strong performance. Unlike previous instances where data impacts were fleeting, gold decisively rallied, indicating that the data will continue to influence gold's short-term trend – meaning gold is likely to continue its upward movement in the short term. Technically, gold has broken out to the upside, and the bullish momentum is bound to persist for some time. Attention should be paid to the daily close: if a strong bullish candle forms, the upside space on the daily chart will open, with the next target directly at the 3400 high.
On the 4-hour chart, higher highs and higher lows indicate a clear ranging uptrend. After the CPI data, gold surged then pulled back, but the low failed to break below the previous low. Thus, the correction is seen as a buying opportunity. The upper resistance lies near 3360-63; a break above this level would target 3400. The lower support to watch is 3326 – this is the European session pullback low and a key level determining whether the market can maintain its strength. As long as there is no sharp decline, the market remains bullish.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3320-3330
TP:3350-3360
Continue to short gold Gold rebounded from around 3315 and has now reached above 3340. According to the current structure, gold tends to rebound upward. But the characteristics of the recent market trends are also very obvious. Gold has risen with difficulty, but has retreated very quickly! Overall, there was no continuation in the process of long and short games, which was disorderly fluctuation.
According to the current structure, as long as gold cannot break through the 3350-3355 area and the bulls have not completely gained the upper hand, gold still has the potential to go down and test the 3320-3310 area again. Therefore, for short-term trading, we should not chase gold too much, and we can still try to short gold with the 3345-3355 area as resistance.
How to plan for the positive effects of CPI data?📰 Impact of news:
1. CPI data is profitable
2. The US CPI rose slightly in May, and Trump's tariff effect has not yet fully emerged
📈 Market analysis:
The CPI data is bullish. The current gold price has risen to around 3360. We took profits at the 3330 level and exited the market, which once again confirmed the forward-looking nature of our trading vision. From a technical perspective, the RSI indicator in the short-term hourly chart is close to the overbought area. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance line of 3360-3365. If it rebounds to the 61.8% position and encounters resistance and pressure, consider shorting at high levels. On the contrary, if it effectively breaks through and stabilizes above, it is expected to touch the 3400 line. In the short term, pay attention to the lower support line of 3340-3330.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3360-3365
TP 3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
6/11 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood afternoon, traders!
Gold remains capped below the key resistance at 3350, with repeated failed breakouts. Meanwhile, strong support zones below are keeping the price range-bound in a narrow consolidation channel.
📉 Technical Outlook:
As higher lows continue to form, the trendline support is gradually shifting upwards. On the 30-minute chart, we now observe a potential double top pattern forming. If confirmed, it would signal a bearish reversal with the possibility of further downside.
🔍 Key Support Levels:
Watch for the 3330 level as initial support. If it’s broken decisively and the market fails to recover quickly, this may confirm the short-term double top and open the door for more aggressive selling.
On a broader timeframe, focus on 3320 as a critical support area.
📊 Fundamental Focus:
The key event today is the release of U.S. CPI data, which carries significant market-moving potential. A strong reading could be bearish for gold, supporting a shift in sentiment toward the downside.
📌 Today’s Trading Plan:
✅ Buy Zone: 3289–3272
✅ Sell Zone: 3358–3373
🔄 Intraday Levels for Flexible Scalping:
3348 / 3332 / 3319 / 3307 / 3293
Trade cautiously ahead of the CPI report, and keep position sizes moderate to mitigate volatility risk.
Gold Pulls Back Near 3345: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsWe have once again perfectly predicted the gold trend. Throughout Tuesday, we kept calling for short positions at the rebound level of 3335-45, which offered multiple entry opportunities. With bulls continuously facing overhead pressure, bears should continue to focus on the short-term support at 3295-3306, where the price has been oscillating since the beginning of this week.
From the 4-hour chart, the overhead resistance stands near 3338-45. It is recommended to continue taking short positions based on this level and expect the bearish trend to continue. The support below focuses on the key level of 3288-3290. Overall, the price is expected to continue wide-range oscillation within this interval. The uptrend cannot be confirmed before the daily closing price breaks above and holds 3345.
XAUUSD
sell@3340-3350
tp:3330-3320
XAUUSD | 1H Chart Analysis | Uptrendurrently, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish momentum after breaking previous market structure to the upside. Price has formed a clear Higher Low (HL) and Higher Highs (HH), indicating that short-term structure has shifted into an uptrend.
🔼 Key Technical Observations:
The previous LL (Lower Low) got broken, and price created a new HL, showing buyer pressure.
The bullish structure is supported by an ascending trendline.
Price is currently trading near PDH (Previous Day High) and approaching a key supply/resistance zone (highlighted in red).
RSI is still not in extreme zones but steadily climbing, showing strength in the current bullish move.
📊 Current Market Structure:
Shift from previous downtrend into short-term uptrend.
Formation of clear HL & HH.
Price respecting trendline support.
Clean bullish break of internal resistance levels.
📌 Potential Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
If price holds above the PDH and supply zone gets broken, we may see continuation toward TP1 and higher.
Scenario 2 (Rejection & Short-term Pullback):
If price faces strong rejection from the current supply zone, short-term retracement is possible toward the previous demand zones or trendline support.
Possible pullback zones: 3340 → 3320 → 3310 area.
✅ Bias: Short-Term Bullish
As long as price holds above the HL zone and trendline, bulls are in control. But keep an eye on price reaction around current supply zone for any signs of weakness or reversal.
Gold Weekly Chart May Form a Mid-Term Bearish Pattern (3142)Gold faced resistance near 3338 and has pulled back,
but the 2-hour chart still suggests that the rebound isn’t over yet, with short-term targets at 3340–3350.
—
📌 For Long Position Holders:
If you're stuck in long positions, consider adding near 3326–3316 support
to average down the cost and prepare for an exit on the next rebound.
⚠️ However, be mindful of your account risk —
If your position is deeply in the red or the account is under pressure, closing out early might be the smarter move.
—
📅 Key Focus This Week: Weekly Chart Signals Critical
🔸 Price is currently testing weekly MA10 — a break below it would target MA20 around 3142
🔸 On the daily chart, MA60 is at 3234, and if support near 3388 breaks,
combined with weak rebound volume, a bearish trend could be confirmed.
In that case, even the 3273 support may fail under bearish momentum.
—
📣 Bottom Line: The bullish setup isn’t invalidated yet,
but caution is crucial when trading long —
📉 If momentum fades, adjust your strategy quickly to protect capital.
Gold is in a state of shock again, the market is waiting for CPI📰 Impact of news:
1. May CPI data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold is still fluctuating, and the bulls and bears are currently in a stalemate. The market is waiting for the release of today's CPI data. From the 1H chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the gold price is above the 3331 middle track. RSI is stuck at 55, and the MACD golden cross green column is narrowing. For short-term trading, pay attention to the resistance of 3340-3350, and the support of 3320-3310 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310-3300
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3330-3345
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold fluctuates, awaiting CPI data.In Asian trading on Wednesday, traders are awaiting the release of the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. Estimates suggest that prices are likely to rise as American households feel the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. But the easing between the world's two largest economies should have an adverse impact on safe-haven assets such as gold, and the lack of a downward trend in gold prices suggests that investors are waiting for more developments.
In terms of short-term trends, the gold 1-hour chart shows that gold prices remain in an upward channel with a low point. So from the trend, the current momentum for gold to rise will be stronger. The price pullback is giving opportunities to go long.
The change of thinking is actually following the trend. For the current operation, enter the market with the trend, and cover the position when it falls back or break through the profit position to cover the position. In a strong market, during the correction phase, the price is rising, and the amplitude of the correction is often small. The bulls retreated at the opening to accumulate momentum. Above is the pressure level of 3350-3360. Once it breaks through and stabilizes, it will accelerate the upward trend. Just follow the general trend of the market.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to 3310-3320, stop loss at 3300, and profit range is 3345-3360.
Gold Potential Bullish Breakout OpportunityGold seems to exhibit signs of overall potential Bullish momentum if the price action forms a prominent Higher High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3.403
Stop Loss : 3328
TP 1 : 3478
XAUUSD:Wait for a short near 3345
Yesterday's bears around 3330 and the bulls around 3300 tips have been completed, today's rebound strength is slightly stronger, then the subsequent rebound height is expected to be higher;
Trading Strategy:
SELL@3345
TP:3310-3300
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“Gold Eyes 4‑Hour Demand at $3,322” 11 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) has consolidated near $3,332 after an SMC-style structure sweep above $3,338, which likely captured institutional liquidity before a clean CHoCH and pullback toward a key demand zone at $3,322–$3,328. This demand zone held firmly—on a bullish 4‑hour candle—indicating underlying strength.
Key technical confluences:
CHoCH above $3,322 confirms bullish structure.
Price above 200‑SMA and mid-Bollinger Band on 4H.
RSI (~55‑60) and MACD showing resumed bullish momentum.
✅ 4H Entry Strategy Breakdown
Bullish Retest
Wait for price to revisit $3,322–$3,328 with bullish candle formation → enter long.
SL just below $3,312; targets at $3,345 and then $3,355.
Breakout Option
If momentum pushes price above $3,353 resistance, follow the breakout with target zones extending to $3,365–$3,380.
Supply Rejection
Alternatively, watch for reversal patterns near $3,345–$3,353. A confirmed rejection opens a short trade down to $3,322.
Scalp Play
For quicker profits, scalp the bounce from the demand zone with tight stops and targets within the 4‑hour upper range.
Risk note: US CPI and trade headlines may inject volatility. Waiting for candle confirmation is critical to validate setups.
XAUUSD - Risk Management - How much % do you risk daily?⭐It’s not about how much you know. It’s about how much you risk.⭐
The lesson you only learn after blowing up your account.
You’ve read hundreds of articles, watched countless hours of YouTube.
Joined 5 groups.Subscribed to 10 channels.
Maybe you even tried a prop firm challenge and failed it in two days.
Paid for mentorship.
Kinda know structure. See price action.
And yet… your account still shrinks faster than your patience.
Because at the end of the day:
It’s not about what you know. It’s about how much you risk.
⚠️ The trade was right. Your lot size wasn’t.
You had a good setup.
Price reached your zone. There was confluence.
Everything looked clean — until your lot size showed up to ruin everything.
Example: You entered with 0.50 lots on a $200 account, using a 40-pip stop loss.
Let’s break it down:
• $0.50 per pip × 40 pips = $200 loss
• You lost 100% of your account on a single trade
The strategy didn’t fail.
The size did.
💡 Why “risking 1%” works on paper — but not on XAUUSD
Every trading book, coach, and Twitter guru screams:
“Just risk 1-3% per trade.”
Cool. Sounds disciplined.
But in Gold, most traders use tight stop losses — 20, 30, maybe 50 pips.
To stay within 1% risk with such a small SL, your lot has to be bigger.
And that’s where accounts explode.
Gold doesn’t move like EURUSD.
It spikes, wicks, manipulates, and throws fakeouts for fun.
Experienced traders know that sometimes a 150–180 pip SL isn’t weak — it’s smart.
It’s not about “being wrong.” It’s about giving the setup room to breathe.
📌 What actually works
Instead of risking 1-3%, many experienced traders manage risk more conservatively:
• 0.25%–0.35% per trade is more sustainable
• 0.50% is rarely reserved for highly valid, high-confluence setups only
This allows for:
• More breathing room
• Emotional control
• Less panic during drawdown
• And more trades that survive manipulation
🧠 Your position size is your psychology, exposed.
Most traders don’t lose because they picked the wrong zone.
They lose because they sized their trade like they were trying to get rich overnight.
You want to measure discipline?
Forget strategy.
Look at how much someone risks per trade.
A 0.10 lot on a $500 account means control.
A 1.00 lot on the same account means desperation or showoff.
🧮 A quick example to make it real
You have a $1,000 account.
You risk 0.20% — that’s $2/pip.
Your stop loss is 50 pips.
That means you can trade 0.10 lot safely.
Now you’re giving the trade room to work — and if it fails, you’re still in the game.
That’s the difference between blowing up and showing up.
📉 Bonus risk reminder: Daily exposure ≠ per-trade risk
If you’re taking 2–3 trades per day, don’t risk 0.30% on each one. That’s not low risk — that’s stacking exposure. ✅ What you should do: Decide your daily risk limit (let’s say 0.30%), then split it across your planned entries. 2 trades? → 0.15% each 3 trades? → 0.10% each
🎯 Final thoughts
Your setup doesn’t need to be perfect.
You do.
→ Risk according to volatility, not emotion
→ Respect your stop loss, and scale your lot size to match
→ Don’t try to force profits out of every candle
The best traders aren’t always right —
they just size smart enough to be wrong and still come back.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
gold on short buy#XAUUSD price have been multiple retesting and continuation on bullish, now we expect price to hit 3362-3364 for bearish.
Buy limit at 3342.5, SL 3335, TP 3362-3364.
Above 3349 holds bullish range also.
Above the rectangle 3362-3364 holds bearish reversal.
If H1 closes below 3332 then bearish is active also
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
XAU/USD 11 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: