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Xauusdanalysis

Gold technical analysis and operation strategiesTechnical analysis of gold: The gold daily line closed with a cross K-line again, and the contraction and consolidation of the fifth trading day, the daily line entered a blunted shock. And it is a consolidation correction after the big negative K-line fell, waiting for the break to open the range and move out of the direction. The recent trend of gold is consistent with the same law, with a sharp drop in the Asian session, a shock rebound in the European session, and a high fall in the US session. The overnight impact of the 2650 mark fell back as expected, and the daily line was in a weak shock after the huge negative. The weekly line 2790 evening star clearly peaked, and the monthly line closed with a negative K at a high level, successfully ending the nine consecutive positive rising pattern this year. From the perspective of wave theory, gold has now entered the main decline 3 wave stage. Combined with the weekly and monthly line trends, the decline in December is expected to continue. So today's operation is to keep a bearish view below the 2650 mark, and pay attention to the break of 2632 below. If it breaks, it will continue to test around 2620. The downward trend line of the gold hourly chart is running, and the center of gravity is gradually moving downward. The current pressure is near 2646. Yesterday's market was able to close with a negative line, which was completely in line with technical needs, indicating that the suppression intensity in the upper 2650-60 area is very large, and the market has also returned to below the moving average band. There is a high probability that the decline will continue in the later period. Even if it is only weak fluctuations at present, if this fluctuation cycle is prolonged, it is possible to convert it into a downward relay pattern, which will still increase the possibility of returning to 2610-00 in the later period, or even breaking through and touching 2550-30.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ckb6ckb6
XAUUSD / TODAY REMAIN DEMAND ZONE EXPECTED TO INCREASE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price has declined and hit a profit target of +455 pips, indicating a successful trade. Prices are now trading above a demand zone between $2,627 and $2,611 , This implies strong buyer interest in this range, providing support. If the price remains above the demand zone, it suggests a likely increase to a supply zone between $2,695 and $2,720 , This reflects a potential upward trend driven by continued buying pressure. If the price breaks below the demand zone, further declines are expected , The next identified demand zone is between $2,595 and $2,585, where buyers may step in again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
10
Gold could drop under 2600 againFor most of last week, gold exhibited choppy price action. As outlined in my Thursday analysis: "Gold could recover Monday's losses in a choppy manner, forming a flag pattern with resistance around 2660." This prediction held true in the end and, after a brief spike above the resistance level, gold began its decline. At the time of writing, the price is trading at 2624, just above short-term support. Looking ahead, I anticipate this support level will break, paving the way for a drop toward 2590 and 2575- a level that aligns with the measured target of the flag pattern. My strategy remains to sell rallies, using last Friday's high as a key resistance point for positioning.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Gold price analysis November 26Fundamental analysis Gold prices struggled to capitalize on an intraday rebound from a one-week low of $2,600 and remained low for a second straight day heading into the European session on Tuesday. US President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threat prompted some safe-haven flows and provided a modest intraday gain for the safe-haven precious metal. However, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) capped gains in the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, growing market confidence that Trump’s expansionary policies will stoke inflation and force the Fed to cut interest rates gradually has triggered a fresh rally in US Treasury yields. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) regain positive momentum and has become another factor undermining demand for gold. Additionally, optimism over Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary and the possibility of a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah have kept XAU/USD in check. Technical Analysis 2606 has become an important support zone to keep gold prices above 2600. Any sign of gold breaking the immediate port level of 2611 will send gold to 2606 where support is the most important key zone for gold prices today. If this zone is broken, we will pay attention to the next support zone around 2591 and 2580. 2631 and 2649 have become two important resistance zones today when gold prices break the upper border and close above 2618.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
4
XAU/USD 03 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
1203 Gold trading plan and analysisHello traders, The first trading week of December is full of uncertainties. These uncertainties arise from various factors. Firstly, market sentiment plays an important role in the market. Emotion-driven trading behavior can lead to irrational price increases or decreases, further amplifying market uncertainty. Secondly, collective behavior in the market is also a significant source of uncertainty. When a large number of investors converge on a particular viewpoint or strategy, collective action can magnify market volatility. For example, panic selling or chasing prices by investors often triggers a chain reaction, leading to sharp market fluctuations. Additionally, certain irrational statements made by self-righteous leaders can have a profound impact on the market. These statements may provoke market unease, causing investors to reassess risks and opportunities, which in turn leads to drastic price movements. For instance, the soon-to-be-inaugurated U.S. President Trump. Over the weekend, Trump publicly stated: "We demand that these countries commit to not creating a new BRICS currency and not supporting any other currency to replace the strong dollar; otherwise, they will face 100% tariffs." The whole world knows that a trade war is imminent, but it remains unclear how significantly it will impact the global economy. Trump's constant rhetoric before taking office has left the market filled with uncertainty about the future. It seems that the Federal Reserve has already taken a backseat, and expectations for significant interest rate changes from the Fed are decreasing! Trump's policy direction is truly frustrating; his statements are not only unconstructive but may also bring more uncertainty to the market. In the current fragile global economic environment, such behavior is akin to adding fuel to the fire. Particularly, the decline in the ten-year breakeven inflation rate, contrasting with the rise in core CPI, PCE, and PPI, is a clear warning sign. Worse still, the downward trend in the global central bank liquidity index indicates that market expectations for the Fed's future policies are increasingly pessimistic. If the Fed continues to maintain a tight policy, the global economy could suffer even more. Trump's statements aimed at raising inflation will only exacerbate market unease, making the Fed's choices even more difficult. The gold market is also under pressure. Although inflation expectations may reverse due to Trump's remarks, there is currently a lack of clear data support, leaving market trends ambiguous. Gold prices may struggle to break through 2700 in the short term and could even face the risk of a pullback. **Gold** Last Friday, gold's volatile movement briefly showed signs of continuing upward momentum. However, considering that Friday was the Thanksgiving holiday in the U.S. and the weekend factors, it is advisable to wait until Monday to look for new entry signals. On Monday, a wave of decline occurred (red arrow). After completing a wave pullback within the channel, the correction has remained sideways until now. In the 4-hour chart, the candlesticks are intertwined with the EMA, requiring new momentum to push gold in a direction. I tend to observe the 1-hour chart around Tuesday evening during the U.S. trading session, looking for short signals to short gold, targeting the FIBO EXT 1.27 level at 2575. On the daily level, the sideways market is a corrective adjustment to the significant drop on November 25. The subsequent movement may complete the C-wave pattern from November 25. Stay tuned for timely updates! GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
XAUUSD Potentially BearishOANDA:XAUUSD topped out at almost 2800 and there after we have seen some consistent lower lows and lower highs. If price continues to hold around the 2650 area with some significant rejections, we just might see price creating a new lower high and potentially targeting the 2542 key zone area. Although we might see price dropping lower than that, I will rather lock in some profits when price comes to that zone Always do your analysis before taking any trade. Past results does not guarantee future results
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mbjoey
The Fed's decision adds complexity.World gold prices moved sideways in the context of the USD still strengthening. Recorded at 9:55 a.m. on December 3, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,484 points (up 0.09%). Gold prices face difficulties due to the strong rise of the USD. This could be reinforced as activity in the US manufacturing sector increases. The CME FedWatch tool shows that market sentiment is quite interesting, with a 74.5% probability for a 25 basis point rate cut in the upcoming meeting. This probability is up from 52.3% last week, although down from 83% a month ago. At the same time, expectations about maintaining interest rates unchanged have also been adjusted accordingly. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Monday announced that the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 48.4, up from 46.5 recorded in October. Although the sector remains in contraction territory, the headline number was better than expected, with consensus forecasts only expecting the index to rise to 47.7. TVC:GOLD SELL 2647 2649 💵 ✔️ TP1: 2635 ✔️ TP2: 2625 ✔️ TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2656
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD: 3/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2652, support below 2623 Gold operation suggestions: From the current market trend, yesterday it was blocked by 2652 and fell back, with the lowest point reaching 2633. Today it fell to 2634, holding the support point to stop the decline and rebound. It has now come to 2650, approaching the 2652 suppression level again. If it holds 2652 and participates in short selling, it will accelerate upward to 2660-66 area if it breaks 2652. At that time, it will need to step back and do more, and then pay attention to the 2666 suppression level to be bearish. The overall situation is a tug-of-war market. Pay attention to the stabilization of the 2633 support point. European and American gold operation ideas: Gold 2651near short; pay attention to whether 2634 can get support, you can be bullish; if it breaks 2652, it will step back near 2646 and continue to do more, with the target above 2660, and it can be sold if it touches 2664near. Today's market is complicated SELL:2664near BUY:2634near BUY:2623near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold price forecast in the near futureGold will come under further pressure if the US labor market remains strong, reducing the Fed's interest rate lowering cycle. The gold market is concerned about some of President-elect Donald Trump's policies related to the strength of the USD in the upcoming term. GDP growth at 3% and a lower trade deficit during Mr. Trump's term will not be affected by the imposition of tariffs and the weakening of the dollar. A weaker greenback will benefit gold. Many analysts predict that gold's support price of 2,600 USD/ounce will still maintain and tend to increase from there. Gold price will reach 3,000 USD/ounce next year. 🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2647 2649🔥 💵 TP1: 2635 💵 TP2: 2625 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2656
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Continue to be bearish, sell around 2650Gold ended in shock and tested the 2633 line several times. The daily line ended the rise of the previous four trading days, and the small adjustment after the big drop ended. With yesterday's closing down, the short-term decline is still there, and the standard shock pattern of the four-hour line rebounded after reaching the support below. It is still in the rebound. The wide range of shocks will continue today. Sell high and buy low in operation. Gold is not stimulated by news and data now, and the market is not sustainable. Since the decline of gold has not continued, it is shock. After the shock, gold will wait for this week's news data to choose the direction of breakthrough. Now it is shocking, so continue to short at the rebound high. First support: 2633, second support: 2621, third support: 2605 First resistance: 2651, second resistance: 2666, third resistance: 2680
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
Israel's Shift to Syria and Its Impact on Gold PricesOver the weekend, the fighting between Israel and Lebanon paused, and Israel turned its attention to Syria, hoping to use this move to weaken the Russia-Ukraine war situation. However, as of now, the situation remains deadlocked, and Ukraine has not gained any significant advantage. Many of you may not understand the connection between these events, but here’s a simplified explanation: Ukraine and Israel are in the same camp. While Ukraine has been facing difficulties in the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia holds over 80 strategic points in Syria. If Russia loses these, it would be a significant blow. So, Israel, as an ally of Ukraine, attacked Syria, hoping to help Ukraine gain an upper hand before a ceasefire, thus securing more significant benefits. However, up to now, things have not gone as smoothly as expected. Russia deployed troops to Syria, and in the process of attacking, they destroyed a command center of the four-nation alliance. Reports suggest that the leader of the Shams Liberation Organization may have been killed in the strike. Due to the stalemate in the war, gold's price movement has been unclear. In this situation, the focus should be on the developments in Syria. If Israel gains the upper hand, the probability of gold rising increases significantly. From a technical standpoint, the bulls currently have a slight advantage. Key support is at around 2635. As long as this support holds, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, and we may see a rapid rally at any time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuide_Dean
1
Seize the opportunity to continue shorting goldBros, gold fell as expected and touched the short-term support area of ​​2635-2630, and then rebounded again. Currently, gold is running around 2639. At present, gold is repeatedly bullish and bearish in the short term, and neither the rise nor the fall is sustained. The overall market can be classified as a volatile market. However, from the perspective of the strength of gold's rebound, gold is relatively weak, and it has never effectively broken through 2650 during the rebound. So in short-term trading, we still focus on shorting gold after the rebound. Then the area we focus on first is the 2645-2650 area, followed by the 2660-2665 area. As long as gold remains below 2660, I think the short energy is still slightly better, so at the right time, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 and 2660-2665 resistance areas. Bros, are you as bearish on gold as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Hold on to short gold positionsBros, as I said in my last opinion, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 resistance area. I have already shorted gold at 2645 and 2651 as planned. Although gold has not fallen effectively so far, it still remains above 2640. But we can see that gold has not effectively broken through 2650 in many rebounds, so I think that after consuming a certain amount of long energy, gold will fall again. So I am still very confident in my short position. Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Short gold after reboundBros, the lowest retracement of gold during the day was around 2622, and then rebounded and is now running around 2634. Since gold has chosen to break through downwards and is particularly weak during the rebound, we still give priority to shorting gold in the short term. The top focus is mainly on the resistance in the 2640-2650 area. The main focus on the 2640-2650 area resistance. In terms of short-term trading, we can short gold based on this resistance area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSD SELL Gold starts the new week on the back foot and trades below $2,650. The renewed US Dollar strength and the recovery seen in the US Treasury bond yields don't allow the pair to stage a rebound despite the risk-averse market atmosphere. From a technical perspective, an intraday slide below the lower boundary of a nearly one-week-old descending channel could be seen as a key trigger for bearish traders. Moreover, oscillators on daily/4-hour charts have again started gaining negative traction and suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is to the downside. Hence, a subsequent fall back towards last week's swing low, around the $2,605 region, looks like a distinct possibility. Some follow-through selling below the $2,600 mark would expose the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently pegged near the $2,575 region.On the flip side, the ascending trend-channel support breakpoint, around the $2,642-2,643 area, might now act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the $2,652 static resistance and last Friday's swing high, around the $2,665 region. Some follow-through buying should allow the Gold price to reclaim the $2,700 round-figure mark and extend the positive move further towards the $2,721-2,722 supply zone. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if cleared decisively will suggest that the recent corrective decline from the all-time peak touched in October has run its course and pave the way for a further appreciating move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingForex078