Gold Rally Running Out of Steam? PRZ May Trigger Drop!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has hit the targets as I shared with you in yesterday's idae . Will this uptrend of the past 5-6 days continue?
Gold seems to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and has been moving in an Ascending Channel for the past 5 days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 . The end of the main wave 3 can be at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, expect to see a clear Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks at the Resistance zone($3,434-$3,406) .
I expect Gold to start declining from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and at least to the lower line of the ascending channel . This analysis is against the main trend, so pay more attention to money management .
Note: If Gold touches $3,448(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Gold falls below $3,342, we can expect a deeper decline than expected.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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Xauusdanalysis
Gold fluctuates and waits for interest rate decisionAfter gold quickly rose and fell in the morning today, it basically began to fluctuate sideways. Of course, this is also in preparation for the heavyweight data of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The early pullback of gold at the hourly level has double-needle support near 3360, followed by yesterday's Asian session pullback near 3350. The U.S. session mainly focuses on the range of this position. In general, the short-term idea before the interest rate decision is to focus on the high-selling and low-buying operations in the range of 3350 to 3400. If it falls below the support of 3350, it is recommended to directly chase the short position and pay attention to the key support of 3290 below. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3300 line of support.
Will the price of gold rise or fall?From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced a big rise and fall in this cycle, and it is possible to rise or fall now. In the short cycle, first pay attention to the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it is not broken, you can continue to be bullish, with the upper target at 3400, and then look at 3430 if the strength is strong.
Gold Market Update - XAUUSD post FOMC May 7🎤 Context: FOMC day just dropped the mic. Market’s fidgety. Fed held rates steady (no shocker), Powell said plenty (but meant little), and Gold just tap danced at resistance like it’s auditioning for Wall Street’s Got Talent. Let’s dissect it all and get sniper-precise.
🔍 MACRO CONTEXT
💣 FOMC Rate Decision: Rates unchanged. Dovish tilt in Powell’s tone – soft landing narrative holding.
💼 Market Impact: Dollar hesitant, equities flat, Gold caught in limbo near intraday premium.
🧠 Sentiment: Risk-on... cautiously. But Gold's structure says, “I still have traps to set.”
🧠 STRUCTURE INSIGHTS (H4 → M1)
🔹 H4 Bias: Bullish swing (CHoCH → BOS intact), premium territory.
🔹 H1-H4 Key Zone: 3451 = Previous HH, now resistance and first critical liquidity magnet.
🔹 Current PA: Sideways chop just under intraday premium.
🔹 Liquidity Above: Weak High around 3415–3420 ready for sniping.
🔹 Liquidity Below: HL sweep and imbalance open below 3384, with clean demand at 3366–3372.
🎯 SNIPER SELL ZONES
Sell #1 – 3412–3418 (Refined rejection block)
🟪 Confluence: 5M FVG + weak high + premium OB
🎯 Entry: 3412–3418
🛑 SL: 3425
🎯 TP1: 3390
🎯 TP2: 3372
🎯 TP3: 3350
Sell #2 – 3440–3455 (Retest)
💣 Only valid if price breaks above 3420 and sweeps next liquidity.
🟩 Entry: 3440–3455
🛑 SL: 3463
🎯 TP1: 3420
🎯 TP2: 3390
🎯 TP3: 3370
🎯 SNIPER BUY ZONES
Buy #1 – 3366–3372 (H1 OB + FVG confluence)
📌 Real-time unmitigated demand with strong structural confluence
🎯 Entry: 3366–3372
🛑 SL: 3355
🎯 TP1: 3395
🎯 TP2: 3415
🎯 TP3: 3440
Buy #2 – 3322–3330 (Deep liquidity sweep + H4 equilibrium zone)
💧 Only valid if full breakdown under HLs
🎯 Entry: 3322–3330
🛑 SL: 3305
🎯 TP1: 3355
🎯 TP2: 3370
🎯 TP3: 3390
⚔ BIAS
NY Session Bias: Sideways-to-bearish while under 3415
Macro Bias: Still bullish HTF, but intraday liquidity still needs clearing
Risk Note: FOMC aftermath = traps galore. Sniper entries only. No hero buys or chases.
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📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold rises strongly and bulls restart!Gold technical analysis: From a technical point of view, the daily line rose on Monday, showing an absolutely strong positive state. Normally, the daily cycle rises and we can see that the upper Bollinger track is near 3500, so there is a lot of room above, and we should pay attention to the continuation of this wave. The 4-hour cycle still needs a wave of strength, and it needs to go out of a big rise before it can open the upper Bollinger track and form an absolute unilateral strength. Therefore, although it is clearly bullish for the time being, there is also a certain possibility of adjustment. At present, the support of the 4-hour cycle is near 3330. If there is a chance of a decline, we can follow the bullish trend.
On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to focus on buying on pullbacks and shorting on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3415-3420 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3330-3350 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3415-3420, stop loss 6 points, target around 3390-3380, and look at the 3360 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3350-3352, stop loss 6 points, target around 3380-3400, and look at the 3420 line if it breaks;
#XAUUSD: Last Idea On Gold Has Helped Us Gain 1020+ pips Gold has reversed nicely from our last idea’s entry, making a nice 1020+ pips move. Now, we’re looking for the bullish trend to continue dominating the Gold market. If this happens, it could help us gain 1800+ pips. Please use accurate risk management while trading gold.
Once the trade is active, you may consider putting take-profit based on your analysis. There are two targets to consider.
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Will gold fall after encountering resistance at its high point?Planning your trading is the prerequisite for making profits. The essence of the market is the cycle of highs and lows, alternating ups and downs, and the essence of trading is to grasp the relative highs and lows in the market and snipe valuable trading opportunities. This value has only two points: first, probability, and second, space.
After the gold price rose, we will analyze the trend of it correcting from the high to 3200. The key position of this rebound, that is, the 618 position, is near 3386. The gold price encountered resistance here in the morning. So technically this suppression can be used as a key reference for the future market. Today in the Asian session, we will first observe the support situation of 3350. If it breaks down, then before the interest rate decision in the early hours of Thursday, we will pay attention to whether the gold price can stand firmly above 3272. If this position is not stable, then the second half of the week will still be a downtrend. This wave of rise can only be regarded as a rebound repair, not a bull return (the premise is that 3386 above must not be broken).
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the 3386-3390 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3320-3300 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3380-3385, stop loss 6 points, target around 3350-3330, and look at 3320 if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3315-3320, stop loss 6 points, target around 3340-3360, and look at 3380 if it breaks;
The bulls return strongly and continue to buy after the retracemCurrently, gold is fluctuating around 3360. Wait patiently for the opportunity to go long when it falls back. Below, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support at 3350-54, and focus on the important support at 3336-40. In terms of operation, we mainly go long on pullbacks. Be a prudent trader and take profits within your cognition. I have been waiting for your participation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, gold bulls are making another strong impact. On the top, we pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3385-90 and the suppression of 3400. On the bottom, we pay attention to the short-term support of 3350 and the important support of 3336-40. In terms of operation, we mainly buy when the price falls back. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3350-53 and buys more when it falls back to 3336-40. Stop loss 3327, target 3380-3385, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Fed interest rate suspense and tariff shockGiven the current heightened uncertainty, the implementation of tariff policies, rising inflation expectations, and declining household and business confidence, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep its policy interest rate unchanged this week. Fed Chairman Powell may hint that he is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, and mentioned that tariffs will push up inflation and drag down economic growth. With the implementation of tariffs, inflation will rise significantly in the coming months, and the US economy may fall into a mild recession in the second half of the year, with economic activity and employment likely to shrink in the third and fourth quarters.
In terms of gold, yesterday the lowest fell to 3305 and began to stabilize and rise. It closed at 3334. The daily line closed with a big positive column. Gold opened slightly with a slight correction of 3323 and began to stabilize and rise. Asian gold once again made a strong effort to rise to the highest position of 3386. The current lowest is 3353. It is currently at noon. It is hovering at 3365, and the overall trend is strong, but the excessive rise seems to reserve rhythm space for the next European and American trading. Be careful with short covering. The current upper resistance is at 3372-3377, and the lower support is at 3324-3317. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound and short.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short on the rebound at 3372-3377, stop loss at 3382, and the target is 3350-3325.
Gold fluctuates at high levels and washes out repeatedly!The Asian and European sessions fluctuated repeatedly and stabilized above 3360. In the evening, the US session fell slightly and stabilized at the 3360 mark, ushering in a bottoming rebound. The daily K-line closed at a high level. The daily structure closed at a high level. It closed a little stronger, and the weekly line reached a high for the second time. It has not yet formed a high and fall. The continuous form is impacted by the news, waiting for further confirmation of the form. The previous wave of strong rebound in the 4-hour chart of gold, the overall gold price rebounded in the short term for two consecutive trading days, and yesterday it was under pressure and fell. The situation of shock, but now it has formed a stage support area above 3360. After the opening of the Asian session, the gold price rose strongly and returned to above 3390. At present, it has reached 3415. Pay attention to the support level of 3360 below. If the support is effective, the gold price is expected to rise again. If it enters a shock wash, it is recommended to adopt the idea of selling high and buying low. Therefore, the current trend, people who like shocks feel very comfortable, and people who look at one side feel uncomfortable. The early trading operation is still in the range of 3420-3360, and a new layout will be made after breaking through! Overall, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3420-3438 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3360 line of support.
Gold Price Analysis May 7Yesterday's D1 candle continued to be a FULL candle with a 100 price increase. At the beginning of the day, the market opened with a bearish price gap, showing that the market also wants to cool down and today.
Gold is sideways in the range and is running a corrective downtrend.
The support zone for BUY strategies is around 3371, this is the EMA 34 of the h1 frame and is partially supported by the trendline. The next notable area is 3352, which is the old candle wick area and also the support area of yesterday's European session.
The two SELL areas are around 3402 and the Gap opening area is 3423.
Gold latest market analysisAt present, the gold 1-hour moving average crosses downwards and the short positions are arranged. Now it is under pressure at 3270 and is suppressed and falls back. 3270 is still the key turning point for gold bulls and bears. Although there is a rebound, the magnitude of the decline is not large. If the pressure at 3270 is not broken, the gold bulls will not reverse easily for the time being. After the rebound, it will continue to fall, which means that the strength of gold bears is still there, and the gold reversal will naturally not reach a new low, so that the gold bulls will usher in a new turn. Gold operation strategy reference: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near the rebound of gold at 3260-3265, stop loss 6 points, target near 3230-3210, break to see the 3200 line.
XAUUSD MADE PARALLEL CHANNELHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Pattern: Parallel Channel
Momentum: Bullish/ BUY
Entry Level : BUY 3380
Support zone : 3370
Target Will Be : 3415
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
XAUUSD DOUBLE TOP BEARISH PATTERNKey Factors to Consider:
Breakout Confirmation – If price decisively breaks below the neckline of the double top, it strengthens the bearish outlook.
Volume Analysis – A surge in selling volume at resistance or during the breakdown can validate the pattern.
Momentum Indicators – RSI, MACD, and Stochastic Oscillator can help confirm bearish momentum.
Support Levels – Watch for intermediate support zones that could slow down the decline before reaching 3203.
Resistance: 3500
Target: 3203
Gold: High - level Oscillation, Short - term Adjustment & StrateFrom the perspective of the daily chart trend of gold, after two consecutive days of strong rebounds, the price has pulled back, indicating significant selling pressure at higher levels and a need for a technical adjustment in the short term. Currently, the price has dropped back to around $3,400, which is the support area of the previously broken gap. If this level is breached, it may further test the $3,350 level. In terms of technical indicators, the RSI has retreated from the overbought zone, and the MACD red bars are shortening with signs of a potential death cross, suggesting a weakening of momentum. Additionally, the 5-day moving average has started to turn downward. If gold fails to regain the $3,440 level, it will confirm the formation of a short-term top.
Overall, gold is currently in a high-level consolidation phase. Without the impetus of new safe-haven factors, the adjustment is likely to continue. Despite the intensification of geopolitical risks, the current financial market is more inclined to focus on changes in global trade sentiment, which has diminished the appeal of traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. The long-term support for gold remains intact, but in the short term, it may be affected by the strength of the US dollar and the restoration of risk appetite.
For today's short-term trading of gold, the recommended strategy is to go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds. In the short term, key resistance levels to watch are in the range of $3,405 - $3,430, and key support levels are in the range of $3,360 - $3,350.
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#XAUUSD: Price to go beyond $3650 to $3700 around 3500 pips moveThe XAUUSD price is moving nicely as we had predicted in our previous analysis. Both of our analyses have hit the take-profit target, and we are likely to see more bullish momentum continue in the coming time. There are two areas where price could move or reverse. Both targets have a long-term view, which means we are talking about a possible swing move that will take time to complete. Stop-loss and intraday target and position can be taken based on your own analysis and overview. Strong fundamentals are needed for price to reach our designated target area.
Good luck and trade safely. Trading financial instruments like gold and other markets brings extreme risk and can be severe if the risk is not managed correctly.
We are sharing our bias here, but it does not guarantee that the move will happen as described.
Once the trade is activated, you can set two targets. You can choose your own take-profit based on your analysis and trade management.
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Gold fluctuates and tests new high again!Gold surged and then fell back, and the pattern needs to be sorted out; the stochastic indicator crosses at a high level, and runs downward, the indicator and the pattern resonate and adjust; the top and bottom conversion below, the support point of the sideways rise is in the range of 3380-3370; if it falls back and keeps going down, then the main trend is to pierce the trend and fall back to the range of 3390-3200; the range span is relatively large! In terms of short-term operation ideas, according to the suppression near 3440, the short-term correction is expected; the support position below is near 3290 and 3205; there are many short-term cards; deal with it according to the range;
Gold fluctuates at high levels and washes out repeatedly!In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3420-3438 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3350-3360 line support.
XAU/USD: Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve is in line with market expectations and does not go beyond the scope of the widespread market anticipation before.
In terms of gold, the price of $3,350 serves as a crucial dividing line at present. If the gold price can successfully stop falling and stabilize near this price level, forming an effective support, it indicates that the bullish forces still dominate, and the upward market trend in the future is expected to continue. Conversely, once this price level is broken, the bearish sentiment in the market will rapidly heat up, and the price is likely to further decline, seeking a new support level below $3,320.
The geopolitical situation continues to deteriorate. The most intense military conflict in nearly a decade has broken out between India and Pakistan, and the civil war in Sudan is also escalating. These conflicts not only pose a serious threat to the regional and global peace and stability but will also have a significant impact on the commodity market. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the safe-haven attribute of gold will be further stimulated, and its price is expected to receive strong support. At the same time, the war may lead to uncertainties in energy supply, thus driving up the prices of energy sources such as crude oil.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3360
tp:3390-3400
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The downside risk of gold increases!📌Fundamentals:
1. The conflict between India and Pakistan shows signs of escalation
2. US-Houthi ceasefire agreement
3. The Fed’s interest rate decision dominates this week’s market
4. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment
5. Market sentiment and capital flow
📊Technical aspects:
At present, on the hourly basis, gold is still under pressure at the small range resistance of 3400, and the current tariff crisis has cooled down. The data of the Fed's interest rate decision will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is betting that there will be further trend corrections, which may cause capital outflows in the market, which will further hit gold bulls!
There is actually a new round of operation opportunities in the short term. The short-term resistance should be around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no big negative factors. However, if the data layout does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive. At present, we will temporarily play at the 3360-3400 level. If it breaks, we will make new adjustments!
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold: Short around 3390-3400 on the rebound, and the target is 3370-3360!
Focus on the Fed’s decision!Analysis of gold trend: The price of gold has risen more than 200 points this week. Although it is affected by the news, the interest rate decision will be released this week. The market generally expects it to remain on hold, but Trump has been putting pressure on Powell to cut interest rates in advance, which is undoubtedly good for gold prices. After the interest rate decision, if the Federal Reserve keeps the interest rate unchanged and Powell announces a dovish stance later, the price of gold may surge upward and then fall. At that time, I will re-plan my thinking; if something unexpected happens and Powell turns hawkish, the price of gold will dive more sharply than in the early trading.