3/25 Gold Signal: 3009-3023 short, 2996-2982 longThe gold price rose above 3012. The long orders entered near 3004-2996 before the closing are currently profitable. From the trend pattern, there is still room for rebound, but it will take some time. During this process, the price may fluctuate. For friends who have already made profits, it is not worthwhile to bear the risk of profit taking, so this order can be closed first. Of course, if you don’t mind this risk, you can continue to hold it. I expect the rebound resistance to be around 3018.
In terms of the current big trend, the better long opportunities may be more inclined to the 2996-2982 area, because this is the starting point of the previous rise, and it can be regarded as a strong support platform. Usually in this case, the probability and amplitude of the rebound will be higher. Of course, if there is a reverse impact from news, asymmetric fluctuations are also possible.
Today’s main focus is the integer support of 3000. If it falls below, consider the support of the large range of 2996-2982, and the second is the resistance of the range of 3015-3023 during the current rebound.
The overall trading plan is that if the price falls below 3000, long positions will be opened in batches in the 2998-2986 range. If the rebound cannot break through 3023, short positions will be traded in batches in the 3009-3021 range.
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Xauusdanalysis
Is it profitable to be long gold now?📍Although gold is in an overall downtrend, its decline has not been smooth during multiple tests of the 3000 level. Therefore, the support zone between 3005 and 2995 remains valid. Considering the downward momentum observed during the tests of 3000, gold is unlikely to experience a sharp drop. Instead, it may follow a pattern of gradual, oscillating declines. If gold receives strong support in the 3005-2995 range, a rebound toward the 3015 level is still possible, with the potential to extend further to the 3025 level.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Buy at 3010-3000
TP:3015-3025
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish
SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.
Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.
Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.
FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.
EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).
EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.
✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.
🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)
SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.
Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.
Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.
Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.
Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.
RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.
🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.
🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement
SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4
Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)
FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940
Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970
EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening
POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)
🔁 Scenario:
If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.
If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.
🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet
PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation
OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten
RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal
POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)
🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress
SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS
OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction
Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032
EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend
RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short
EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement
🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):
Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033
TP1: 3010
TP2: 2995
SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated
Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation
✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells
Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033
Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)
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XAUUSD Today's strategyHey, guys, Following the gold price test of 3000 on Friday, today's action indicates the form of a correction. In the short term, gold is expected to continue to fall. Specifically, we must refer to the strong support of 3000 points. While we remain optimistic about the long-term uptrend in gold prices, this short-term pullback also provides a favorable opportunity for us to achieve earnings.
Today's xauusd trading strategy
sell@3035-3040
tp:3010-3000
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Short gold? No, I choose to buy gold📍Gold Plunges to Around 3006 — Is This Really a Good Opportunity to Chase Shorts? To be frank, despite the sharp short-term decline in gold, bullish resilience remains evident. As long as the price holds above the 3000-2995 support zone, the defensive line remains strong and unbroken. Therefore, I don’t consider chasing shorts a prudent decision at this stage. On the contrary, the presence of strong buying interest and solid support below significantly increases my preference for long positions in gold.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Buy at 3015-3005
TP:3025-3035
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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Perfect hit, interval thinking remains unchangedThe idea remains unchanged according to the previous article!
In the wave of financial markets, accurate prediction is the badge of strength. Previously, we firmly arranged short selling, and it turned out that this decision was extremely correct! The trend of gold perfectly matched our expectations, falling all the way back to the area around 3010-3000.
Next, new opportunities have emerged. We will adopt the high-altitude and low-multiple operation mode within the range. At present, we have decisively gone long in the area around 3010-3000. Every ups and downs of the market are opportunities for us to make profits. Let us be full of confidence and look forward to the subsequent wonderful performance of gold together, and work together to reap more fruits of victory!
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XAUUSD Today's analysisCurrently, the XAUUSD is at 3025 points. From a technical analysis perspective, the resistance level above is at 3060 points. This level has repeatedly hindered the upward movement of the price. A large number of sell orders are likely to gather here, restricting the price from rising further.
The support level below is at 3000 points. This point has effectively supported the price on many occasions in the past. Once it is broken, it may trigger panic selling in the market and open up a new downward space. Considering the frequent market fluctuations and increased uncertainties recently, based on a comprehensive consideration of various factors, I tend to be bearish on XAUUSD. I will closely monitor market dynamics in the follow - up.
If there are any changes in the signals, I will share them immediately. When trading, everyone must strictly control risks.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3040 - 3050
🎁 TP 3020 3010 3000
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Gold focuses on suppression near 3038 aboveThe hourly chart suppression point of gold is around 3038. As long as the trend line is not stable, gold may still retreat. At present, we need to pay attention to whether 3038 can be stabilized. As long as you do not stand firmly above this position, you can rely on the 3030-40 range to go short.
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🏁Buy entry above 3060
🏁Sell Entry below 3000
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Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 3020 for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 3040 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 3140 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 2970 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Another Strong Start to the Week!Gold opened the week on a positive note without a significant pullback, rebounding quickly after touching a low of 3013. The overall price action remains range-bound with a bullish bias, though gold is still trading within the lower to middle Bollinger Bands. A clearer upside move may emerge once the correction phase concludes.
In the short term, resistance remains at the 3030-3040 zone. If this level holds, short positions can be considered. On the downside, key support levels to watch are 3012 and 3005, with the 3005-3000 range offering a potential buying opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
- Sell near 3030-3040resistance if it remains intact.
- Buy around the 3005-3000 support zone.
- Adopt a range-trading approach, focusing on shorting near resistance and buying near support.
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Bearish Bias Under Head and Shoulders Formation📍Gold is currently leaning towards a bearish trend under the pressure of a well-defined head and shoulders pattern. Therefore, our primary trading approach remains focused on short positions.
📍In the short term, the key resistance to watch is in the 3030-3040 zone. However, it's worth noting that on Friday, gold quickly recovered most of its losses after testing the 3000 level, indicating the presence of strong buying interest and solid support below.
📍From a trading perspective, there is still an opportunity to capture profits from potential technical rebounds. The main support levels to monitor are:
📌3010-3000 as the initial support zone
📌2995 as the secondary support level
🔎Trade Idea:
1. Xauusd: Sell at 3035-3045
TP:3020-3010
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📎But if gold shows signs of holding support, a short-term rebound could provide opportunities for counter-trend trades.
2. Xauusd: Buy at 3015-3005
TP:3025-3035
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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Gold inertia accelerates towards 3000 markAfter gold broke a new high overnight, it further increased to around 2990, and the daily line finally closed with a big bald sun. The previous sideways squat gave the bulls sufficient power, strong kinetic energy and fast speed, and the closing price was high at the end of the day, indicating that the strong trend will continue, and there is still room for further upward movement. In the 4H cycle, after breaking through the previous high pressure of 2956, the inertia of rushing up caused the indicators to deviate slightly. In the white market, we will first look at the correction space for the decline, and then look at further upward movement after the correction. The top and bottom support below is around 2956, and the 1H cycle support is at 2967. In terms of operation, we will continue to treat it as a long-term idea, and then gradually look at the 3000 mark on the top. Do not blindly guess the top and empty.
Operation suggestion: Buy gold near 2967-68, stop loss at 2960, look at 2981, 3000!
Gold is strong and looking for a second rise pointU.S. Treasury bonds rose on the back of risk aversion, and U.S. Treasury yields fell collectively. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.273%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.98%. As the global trade war intensifies and stimulates risk aversion demand, spot gold hit a new record high, approaching the $2,990 mark, and finally closed up 1.9% at $2,988.89 per ounce. Spot silver closed up 2.15% at $33.86 per ounce. In terms of interest rate cuts, the latest CME "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 98.0%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.0%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by May is 79.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 19.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.4%. U.S. gold continued to rise, breaking through the integer mark of $3,000 per ounce during the session. Note that the volatility of the market is increasing. Gold fluctuated upward on Thursday, with a large positive line recorded at the daily level. The gold bulls performed very strongly and there is a probability of further continuation. Today's operation considers retracement and layout of long orders first, and high short orders as a supplement.
Gold plan: Gold retreats above 2966 and stabilizes more, with a target of 2978-2990, and a stop loss of 5 US dollars.
If the gold price breaks below $2940/ounce, it will stop the expected bullish trend and push the gold price to regain the main trend of fluctuations.
It is expected that the gold price will trade between the support level of $2960/ounce and the resistance level of $3000/ounce today.
Latest real-time market trend analysisIn the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated at high levels and is currently trading around $2,986.08 per ounce. Gold prices surged more than $50 on Thursday, hitting a new record high as heightened tariff uncertainty and bets on the Fed's loosening of monetary policy keep gold prices attractive. As geopolitical tensions intensify, investors flock to safe-haven assets, and Zhang Desheng predicts that the average price of gold may reach $3,150 per ounce between July and September. Putin supports a ceasefire but emphasizes details, resulting in an unclear ceasefire outlook, which tends to push up market risk aversion and continue to support gold prices. If Russia-US relations ease or energy cooperation is reached, it may ease safe-haven demand and put pressure on gold prices, and then gold prices will fall back.
From the technical perspective of gold: yesterday, gold broke through and rose sharply. Gold is in a rising cycle at the daily level, and this cycle has not yet ended. Under the strong push of continuous positive lines, the gold price will most likely continue to move towards 3000-3010. In the daily K, the stochastic indicator golden cross continues, the indicator golden cross, and the bullish pattern continues. In the 4-hour period, the stochastic indicator golden cross state, the MACD double line adhesion upward, are all main long signals, and the support position of the top and bottom conversion is near 2955. Therefore, the 4-hour period can be treated as a strong and weak conversion point according to the top and bottom conversion of 2955; today, there is no doubt that gold continues to be bullish and long, and there is still room and demand for further rise. Today, gold focuses on the support below at 2980-2970. The gold bulls are very strong and there is a probability of further continuation. The upper side can look at the 3000 mark and the 3010 line. In terms of today's operation, consider retreating to arrange long orders first, and high-altitude as a supplement.
Gold operation strategy: Operation suggestion: Buy at 2970-2975, stop loss at 2965, target at 2990-3000
XAUUSD:Continue short - selling at night.As long as gold doesn't stage a strong rally this week, the hourly moving averages of gold may continue to head downward. Eventually, if a bearish death cross and a short - biased arrangement are formed, the downside potential of gold can be truly unlocked. The resistance of the gold moving averages has now shifted down to around 3036. Therefore, there is still some resistance within this range.
Continue to engage in short - selling at high levels around the resistance of 3033. As long as this level remains unbroken, the strategy of shorting at highs between 3030 - 3033 remains unchanged. Set a stop - loss at 3040 and a take - profit at 3010. Be cautious of risks.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3030-3035
TP:3010
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XAU/USD 24 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone.
Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Go short first, then go long, and grasp the rhythmGold overall rose and fell last week. After three consecutive positive weekly lines, the upper shadow line was closed. On Friday, it walked out of the adjustment space. The short-term rise slowed down slightly, and it was more inclined to fluctuate at a high level. The daily line turned negative and retreated to correct, and it was in a partial adjustment stage. In the 4H cycle, it did not stabilize above the 3047-57 mark mentioned earlier, so it walked out of the second downward exploration space, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to technical correction rather than trend reversal. From a spatial point of view, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent fundamental negatives, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to focus on whether the 3026 opening high can be recovered in the oscillation range. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035 last week's opening point; on the contrary, if it falls below the 3010 short-term moving average support, the shorts can follow the trend to the expected 3000 mark. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of MACD and the closing of Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of US CPI data on the market.
Gold operation advice: Go short after rebounding around 3030-3040. Go long after stepping back to 3010-3000.If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me. I will release specific signals in real time. Remember to pay attention in time.
Gold shock adjustmentDuring the decline of gold price on Friday, the high point was moving downward and the low point was also moving in steps. Let's see whether the decline here is caused by the selling behavior of long orders at high positions or the peak of gold price. We will follow the trend to implement the high-altitude strategy to be bearish. The main focus below is the support of Friday's low of 3000, followed by the conversion position of the previous high of 2954; as for resistance, we must first pay attention to the last high point of the rebound during the decline of 3038, followed by 3046 and 3057. On the whole, if the opening price touches 3038 above, we can go short and look at the downward trend; if the opening price touches the integer mark of 3000 below, we can go long and look at the rebound.