Gold Recovers After a Sharp Drop – What’s Next?Last week was a tough one for Gold bulls, with the price dropping sharply to a low of $2,830, breaking through multiple support levels.
However, after Friday’s close back above the $2,850 zone, the market opened on Monday with a gap. Once that gap was filled, the price rebounded, breaking back above the key $2,880–$2,890 technical zone.
Furthermore, at the time of writing, Gold is trading at $2,915, nearing the next technical resistance at $2,920.
What’s Next?
✅ Bulls currently have the upper hand, and as long as the $2,890 zone holds, new all-time highs (ATHs) could be on the horizon.
✅ I'm currently out of the market, but if the price stabilizes above $2,900, buying dips should be the preferred strategy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Xauusdanalysis
Unwavering belief in short sellingBrothers, gold continues to rise in the short term and has now touched the Asian high of 2906 again. However, whether the gold market, which has been stimulated by the news, can continue to rise remains to be seen!
And from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 2910-2915 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold cannot successfully break through this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may fall back again and retest the 2885-2875 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will not give up shorting gold, and I will still try to increase my position and continue to short gold based on the 2910-2915 resistance area!
Friends who have entered my bottom article have all obtained wrong profits as long as they follow my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to make making money a matter of course! I am eager to help you, but if you are unwilling to extend your hand, how can I help you!
Continue to short goldI have been emphasizing in the article that gold still has no momentum to break upward, so the rebound of gold is an opportunity to short. Today, gold has obviously touched the resistance area of 2896-3000 again. As long as this area is not broken, gold will definitely fall back when it encounters resistance, so you can be confident and bold to short gold in this resistance area.
The short trend has not changed, and the rebound is an opportunity to increase positions! The downward space of gold is far beyond expectations. When most people are afraid, it is the time for short sellers to be greedy. Miss the first wave of decline? The second wave of short dividends will be doubled! Brothers, are you bearish on gold like me? If you want to know more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the information at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Todays Gold Market Update.Gold Market Analysis:
The gold price is currently trading within a weekly bearish Falling Volume Gap (FVG) pattern. A break below the 50% level of this FVG has occurred, and the market is now testing a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $2893.500
- Support: $2887.500
- Potential target (bullish): $2900
- Potential target (bearish): $2873
Trading Strategy:
A close above $2893.500 on the 4-hour chart, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close above this level, may indicate a bullish breakout. Conversely, a break below $2887.500, followed by a 4-hour candle close below this level, may confirm a bearish downtrend.
Investors are advised to closely monitor these key levels for trade confirmation and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Updated XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 4, 2025Analyzing M15, M30, H1, H4, and D1 charts for a precise trade execution strategy.
1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)
M15 (15-Minute Chart)
CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates bullish momentum.
Currently testing equilibrium (~$2,888 - $2,890).
Weak high at PDH (Previous Day’s High) around $2,893, which may act as resistance.
M30 (30-Minute Chart)
Break of structure (BOS) confirms bullish short-term trend.
Price is hovering near PDH ($2,893).
If it fails to break above $2,895, a short-term rejection is possible.
H1 (1-Hour Chart)
Bullish CHoCH confirms the short-term uptrend.
PDH ($2,893) remains a crucial level.
If broken, a rally toward $2,910 - $2,920 is likely.
H4 (4-Hour Chart)
Testing supply zone at PDH ($2,893).
Potential retracement to $2,865 - $2,870 before continuation higher**.
D1 (Daily Chart)
Price bounced from a key demand zone around $2,850.
Still bearish on the higher timeframe unless price reclaims $2,920 - $2,950.
If $2,900 - $2,920 rejects, more downside is expected.
2. Expected Scenarios & Probability
Scenario 1: Short-Term Bearish Rejection (60% Probability)
If price fails to break $2,895 - $2,900, expect a rejection down to $2,870 - $2,865.
Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle at PDH ($2,893).
Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (40% Probability)
If price closes above $2,895, expect a move toward $2,910 - $2,920.
Confirmation: Strong breakout and candle close above $2,895.
3. Trading Plan
Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 60% Probability)
Entry: $2,893 - $2,895.
SL: $2,905 (Above resistance).
TP1: $2,880 (First liquidity level).
TP2: $2,870 (Discount zone).
TP3: $2,865 (Major demand zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.
Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 40% Probability)
Entry: $2,895 - $2,900.
SL: $2,885 (Below weak low).
TP1: $2,910 (Short-term liquidity).
TP2: $2,920 (Key supply zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.
4. Final Trade Execution Summary:
Trade Type Entry Stop-Loss Take-Profit 1 Take-Profit 2 Take-Profit 3 R:R
Sell Setup $2,893 - $2,895 $2,905 $2,880 $2,870 $2,865 1:3
Buy Setup $2,895 - $2,900 $2,885 $2,910 $2,920 - 1:3
📌 Additional Execution Tips:
Watch for a rejection at $2,893 - $2,895 before shorting.
If price closes above $2,895, shift to buy mode.
Use M5/M15 for precise entries and candle confirmations.
Avoid entering during high-impact news releases.
Risk per trade: 1-2% of capital for optimal risk management.
Gold prices are no longer affected by investor reactions.Gold and silver prices posted strong gains on safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions, with the US dollar index falling sharply as the trading week began.
Market risk appetite was heightened at the start of the week, following a tense meeting on Friday between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, which raised concerns about US-Ukraine relations and the prospects of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia.
Meanwhile, US trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China are set to take effect on Tuesday. Gold prices started the week on a strong note after posting its worst weekly performance in three months.
For April gold futures, the bulls still have the upper hand in the short term, but the uptrend on the daily chart has been temporarily invalidated. The next target for the bulls is to close above solid resistance at the contract high of $2,974/oz.
Meanwhile, the bears' target is to push the price below the key support at $2,800/oz. The first resistance is at $2,920/oz, followed by $2,942/oz. The first support is at the overnight low of $2,866.3/oz, followed by $2,850/oz.
Still short goldBros, after gold continued to rebound to around 2893, it encountered resistance and fell back in this position area many times, which consumed the bullish momentum to a certain extent. This position area happens to be the 50% segmentation area from the high point of 2956 to the low point of 2832. So if gold fails to break through this area many times, it will hit the morale of the bulls to a certain extent.
In addition, although gold rebounded to the 50% retracement position area in one go, which exceeded my expectations to a certain extent, it did not form a solid structural support after touching around 2832. The technical pattern of "single needle bottoming" alone cannot support gold to continue to rebound and break through the key resistance area. Therefore, on the technical level, gold still needs to continue to step back and confirm support.
So in the short term, I am still willing to try to short gold. The upper resistance area is in the 2895-2905 zone, and the lower support area is in the 2875-2865 zone.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Unwavering belief in short sellingBrothers, I have already shorted gold according to the trading plan. Do you have the courage to short gold with me?
At present, the volatility of gold is converging and maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations near 2890, but it is obvious that the rebound of gold is insufficient to support the continuation of the rebound and breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain degree of bullish power, the bears will regain control of the situation. And I also have the following reasons to believe that gold will retest the 2875-2865 area again.
1. The upward breakthrough of gold is insufficient, and it needs to retreat to increase liquidity and attract more bulls to enter the market;
2. After the sharp drop in gold, there is no strong structural support for gold to continue to rise at the technical level, and the bottom support is not reliable;
3. Gold hesitated in the key resistance level area, which consumed the bullish momentum to a certain extent. Gold needs to retreat to accumulate more momentum.
So based on the above three points, I am still confident in my short position, and I believe that my short position will definitely bring me satisfactory returns.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Continue to short goldBros, gold is currently continuing to rebound to around 2892. This wave of rebound is really unexpected. It was originally expected that gold would fall back after rebounding to around 2890. Unexpectedly, gold broke through the 2890 mark after a slight pause.
Fortunately, gold was not strong during its breakthrough, indicating that the sustainability of gold's rebound remains to be examined, and the 2900-2910 zone above poses structural resistance to gold in the short term. I predict that gold will fall back again before it can even touch 2900, so I am still optimistic about gold's retracement in the short term.
Now I have shorted gold. Although I have a slight loss now, I am not worried about my short position. If gold cannot continue and break through the 2900-2910 zone in one fell swoop, gold will also retest the 2875-2865 support zone.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Gold rebounds as expected, get ready to short goldBros, as the trading strategy I published in the last article, we went long on gold near 2860 as scheduled according to the trading plan today. In order to lock in profits in time, we closed the order near 2870. In just half an hour, we made almost 100 pips of profit.
At present, gold continues to rebound to around 2875. Although the rebound process is relatively continuous, the overall rebound strength is not strong, so we can't chase gold too much; gold fell from the stage high of 2956 to around 2830, and gold turned from strong to weak. Its 50% retracement level is in the 2890-2895 zone, and the 38% retracement level is near 2880.
Therefore, the current rebound cannot be regarded as a reversal, but only a technical rebound repair. If gold rebounds to the 2880-2890 zone, I am still willing to short gold. Before gold is determined to reverse the trend, I think gold must at least retrace the 2860-2850 zone to form a technical double bottom support.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Short gold, do you dare to continue doing it?Dear traders, the current operating space of gold is compressed near the 2888-2892 area. The overall range of fluctuations is narrow, and it has been unable to break through the 2892 line, indicating that the pressure above is obvious. If gold cannot break through the 2892 line, it will need to retreat to accumulate energy, and gold will also retest the 2875-2865 support area. On the whole, we still mainly short gold, but we should not pursue short gold too much.
If you can't grasp the buying and selling position, if you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to learn the correct trading logic and techniques in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Gold rebound is weak! The main short position is still thereGold rebounds weakly, short-selling main force is still seizing the opportunity to cover
Although gold rebounded slightly in the short term, the fundamental negatives continue to ferment! Gold failed to effectively break through 2892Nearby Areas ,many times during the rebound, so gold is still in a weak position. If there is no special news affecting the market, gold will continue to fall after consuming a certain amount of bullish energy, and may even fall to the 2870-2860 area, so in terms of trading, we can temporarily maintain the attitude of shorting gold.
The short trend has not changed, and the rebound is an opportunity to increase positions! The downward space of gold is far beyond expectations. When most people are afraid, it is the time for shorts to be greedy. Miss the first wave of decline? The second wave of short dividends will be doubled!Brothers, are you bearish on gold like me? If you want to know more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the information at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Still firmly short goldBrothers, gold has failed to effectively break through 2890 many times during the rebound process, so gold is still in a weak position. If there is no special news affecting the market, gold will continue to fall after consuming a certain amount of bullish energy, and may even fall to the 2860-2870 area. So in terms of trading, we can temporarily maintain a short-selling attitude towards gold.
Brothers, are you shorting gold like me? If you want to know more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the information at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Be bold and follow me to short gold!!!Brothers, my last article showed that when the price touches the 2880-2895 area, we can short gold. When gold has reached the target area for the first time, I have started to short gold according to my trading ideas, and locked in a wave of profits in time when the price is close to the 2875 area. I believe that friends who follow my trading strategy must have made good profits!
At present, gold is still on an upward trend. Brothers, the current price is close to the 2888 area. You must seize the opportunity to start shorting gold. Our target below is still focusing on the 2865-6855 area. I will publish specific trading ideas and trading signals in my channel. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel!
Go ahead and try to short gold!Brothers, gold continues to rise in the short term and has now touched the Asian high of 2877 again. However, whether the gold market, which has been stimulated by the news, can continue to rise remains to be seen!
And from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 2880-2885 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold cannot successfully break through this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may fall back again and retest the 2870-2865 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will not give up shorting gold, and I will still try to increase my position and continue to short gold based on the 2880-2885 resistance area!
Friends who have entered my bottom article have all obtained wrong profits as long as they follow my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to make making money a matter of course! I am eager to help you, but if you are unwilling to even extend your hand, how can I help you!
Gold is expected to go down, short goldBrothers, in my previous article, I clearly expressed the trading strategy of shorting gold when it rebounds to the 2875-2880 area. Now that gold has reached the target area as expected, I have started to short gold in batches according to my strategy.
As far as the current trend of gold is concerned, gold still failed to break through 2880 during the rebound. Gold's performance is not strong, and gold's short-term rebound can be regarded as a technical repair for this round of decline. If gold fails to break through 2880 during the rebound, then gold will continue to fall, so next we will mainly focus on the intensity of gold's retracement. According to the current gold structure, I expect gold to at least retreat to the 2860-2850 area.
Brothers, have you followed me to short gold? At present, gold has retreated slightly relative to the target area of our short selling. Our short position has begun to make money. We look forward to the continued decline of gold to bring us better profits.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
Continue to short around 2875-2880Gold, the bears retreated again last Friday, and fell from the highest near 85 to around 32, with a decline of around 53. The daily line continued to close in the form of a negative line, and it rebounded and corrected in the early morning and closed near 55. After opening in the morning, it quickly rose to a high of 76 and then temporarily retreated. It is currently consolidating near 63. Combining last week's trend, last week's highest was around 2956 and the lowest was around 2832, with a decline of around 123 US dollars. The weekly line also closed in the form of a large negative line and broke through the 5-day moving average. The key support below will likely be maintained at the 10-day moving average, which is also the position below The integer level of 2800, and the bulls quickly pulled back in the morning. In the continuous decline, this action is not conducive to the bulls. On the contrary, the rapid rise in the morning is generally poor in continuity. We will continue to short and wait, and the support below is also the starting point of the morning, 55. If the gold rebounds around 2875-2880, we will continue to short.
Friends who have entered my bottom article have all obtained wrong profits as long as they follow my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to make making money a matter of course! I am full of enthusiasm to help you, but if you are unwilling to even extend your hand, how can I help you!
After falling for several days in a row, where should gold go?Gold technical analysis: After the gold opened in early trading, the price shot straight up, with the opening price at the 2858 line, which is a strong short-term support level. After rising in early trading, according to market inertia, there is a high probability that the European market will continue to rise. The strong pressure above is at the 2885 line. When the price touches this point for the first time, short selling can be carried out during the day. Since the opening of the morning session was directly pulled up sharply, the entry position for long positions today will obviously not be too low. However, it should be noted that since the rebound of 2832, the possibility of directly hitting a new low again today is extremely small, so the probability of a direct sharp drop in price is unlikely. However, don’t think about gold too simply. The short trend does not mean that it will continue to fall without a counter-tick. It can be found that before gold fell, it made two supports near 2890. If it falls below 2890 later, then 2890 will change from a support to a suppression position. In the short term, the upper side focuses on the resistance of 2880-2890, and the lower side focuses on the support of 2860-2850.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, earn stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
3.3 Gold has not broken 2800, shorting goldThe main idea of short-term gold trading this week is to follow the trend and go short. In the next trading rhythm, the upper short-term pressure will focus on the area around 2880-2890. As long as this pressure point is not broken, there will be room for continued decline. However, there is a possibility of divergence in the current indicators. In the short term, as long as the rebound exceeds 2880, it will drive the Bollinger Bands to close and there will be room for growth. Therefore, the current strong trend point is 2880. At the beginning of this week, you can rely on this position to see a rebound. If it does not break 2880, you should go short first.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
Gold can make money both long and shortGood morning, bros! Today is the beginning of a new week of trading. I pray that everything goes well for us this week!
Gold is currently calm, but behind the calm there are often greater opportunities. Gold is currently trading around 2860. To be honest, when gold fell to around 2830 last week, gold has turned from strong to weak. However, gold once rebounded to above 2855 on Friday, proving that there are still a certain number of bulls who are engaged in self-rescue behavior, or are still relatively optimistic about the prospects of gold.
So gold may still have good rebound momentum during the decline, so we should not blindly chase short gold in trading. Then if gold does not fall below 2855 during the decline, gold is likely to rebound to the 2870-2880 area, or even 2890.
So for short-term trading, we have two feasible trading methods:
1. After gold retests to the 2860-2855 area, you can try to go long on gold;
2. After gold rebounds to the 2875-2885 area, we can go short on gold again
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
The bearish trend continues! 2895 continues to be bearish!On Friday night, the gold market was like a thrilling blockbuster with ups and downs. The gold price fell rapidly, and the big negative line fell directly to the 2830 line, as if a violent plunge was about to hit. However, the market did not fall all the way, and it was obvious that the power was not enough to achieve a deep plunge at the moment. From the technical analysis, at the daily level, the K line is a series of big negative line entities, the short-selling force is dominant, and there is no strong support below, and the subsequent decline may be brewing. Therefore, continuing the high-altitude operation strategy is a wise choice at the moment.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the gold price is firmly suppressed by the moving average. Every time there is a slight sign of rebound, it is like a fragile bubble, which is ruthlessly punctured by strong shorts as soon as it emerges. The upper 2895 and 2905 lines constitute obvious resistance levels. The rebound of the K line here is just a short respite, not a trend reversal. Below these two key resistance levels, the short-selling advantage is obvious. The strong degree of this wave of big short-selling market from the high of 2955 to the 2830 line is obvious to all.
Friends who have entered my bottom article have all obtained the wrong benefits as long as they follow my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to make making money a matter of course! I am full of enthusiasm to help you, but if you are not willing to extend your hand, how can I help you!
XAU/USD 03 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 February 2025.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks.
Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.
Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold short selling hits the target accuratelyRegarding the current market situation, first of all, the downward momentum in the golden hour chart is still intact, and the upper pressure level focuses on the 2880 line. In the 4H cycle, although the K-line ran below the Bollinger mid-track, the Bollinger closed, stopped falling and stabilized in the short term, and you cannot blindly chase shorts. The intraday operations will be handled according to shocks. The top will focus on the pressure of 2875-2885, relying on the pressure to rebound and go short. The bottom will gradually look to 2846 and 2832! However, we should also pay attention to gold today. If gold falls for the first time and touches 2845-2835, we can try to go long in small batches.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is to change life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, earn stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.