Xauusdanalysis
Gold falls sharply, is there a turnaround for bulls?Bros, today gold has fallen since around 2721, and currently has dropped to the lowest level around 2616, with a drop of more than $105. During the decline of gold, the bulls have no ability to resist. So, is there no hope for the bulls' energy?
In fact, gold bulls have not completely given up at present, and the bulls' energy is still organized and resistant in the 2610-2600 area. So the bulls still have the strength to fight back. If gold fails to fall below the 2610-2600 area in the first time, then gold may still rebound to around 2635-2640.
Therefore, after a sharp decline, near the short-term support area, we should not be too bearish on gold. On the contrary, if gold falls back to the 2610-2600 area and does not fall below, we can consider starting to go long on gold.
Bros, if you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold profits double in one dayGold's 1-hour moving average has begun to turn downward, and gold may have new room for decline. Gold fell again in the US market, and the gold bears performed. Gold rebounded in the US market and the highest pressure was 2688, and then began to fall back. The US market rebounded below 2688 and continued to go short. Gold rebounded near 2645 and continued to go short. If it is weak, then the rebound near 2645 can continue to go short. The decline of gold has not ended, and new downward space has been opened. The price of gold will continue to run towards lower points.
The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2655-2650 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2605-2600 line of support
Gold’s Volatile Ride: What’s Next for the Medium-Term Trend?Gold has been experiencing unusual price movements and heightened volatility over the past two weeks.
Two weeks ago, the price saw an initial drop of 1500 pips. However, last week, it staged a sharp recovery, rallying almost uninterrupted—ignoring resistance levels—and closed the week strongly bullish at 2720.
As if that weren’t enough, the start of this week brought a sudden drop of 600 pips within just a few hours of the market opening.
This raises the critical question: What is Gold’s medium-term trend?
In my view, despite last week’s strong rally, the medium-term trend for Gold has shifted to bearish. Last week’s high might represent a lower high compared to the all-time high.
I plan to look for selling opportunities around 2700 and slightly higher, targeting the 2650 support level as an initial objective.
Gold Under Pressure: Stay Bearish as Trend ContinuesMarket Review and Outlook:
Dear traders, today’s shorting strategy around 2688 has likely provided profits for those who followed the signal—congratulations to those who seized this opportunity! For those who missed it, don’t worry; there are still plenty of chances ahead as the market continues to offer ample trading opportunities.
The sharp decline in gold prices recently has been driven by expectations of a ceasefire agreement in the Middle East, which has significantly reduced safe-haven demand. This, coupled with a drop in geopolitical tensions, has caused gold to remain under pressure. While some traders may consider going long at current levels in anticipation of a rebound, I must emphasize that trading is not gambling. The key to success lies in aligning with the prevailing trend to minimize unnecessary risks.
From both a fundamental and technical perspective, a reversal in gold prices appears unlikely in the short term. Bearish sentiment remains strong, and the trend is firmly in favor of the bears. Therefore, a short-biased trading approach should continue to dominate under the current market conditions.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Gold has formed a significant short-term resistance level around 2640. If the market experiences a slight rebound, this will offer another opportunity to enter short positions. The upside potential is limited, while the downside has substantial room to move.
Recommendation: Look to short again around 2640 during any brief upticks.
Risk-to-Reward: The downside potential remains strong, while the upside is limited.
Advisory Note:
The broader trend is clear, and for those unsure how to navigate the market, feel free to reach out for assistance. Recent VIP strategies have shown solid performance, but as these are based on trend analysis and not precise trading signals, some users may have misunderstood the approach, resulting in losses or trapped positions. If you find yourself in such a situation, please contact me for help.
For those considering joining our VIP service, now is a great time to apply for a free trial to gain a clearer understanding of the value we offer. Feel free to reach out for more information!
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always use sound risk management practices and avoid overleveraging in your trades.
Let me know if you'd like to further refine or adjust any details!
XAUUSD Buy After recovering toward $2,700 during the European trading hours, Gold reversed its direction and dropped below $2,650. Despite falling US Treasury bond yields, easing geopolitical tensions don't allow XAU/USD to find a foothold.
The daily chart for XAU/USD shows the risk skews to the downside. The pair accelerated south after breaking below a now bearish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), while technical indicators turned sharply lower within negative levels after failing to overcome their midlines. The 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their upward slopes, with the shorter one currently at around $2,563, a critical support level in the upcoming sessions.In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is also at risk of extending its slide. The pair fell below all its moving averages, with the 100 SMA gaining downward momentum at around $2,655. Finally, technical indicators head firmly south within negative levels without showing signs of bearish exhaustion.Spot GOLD trades around $2,630, having shed roughly $30 after Wall Street’s opening. The bright metal has been under selling pressure since early in Asia, maintaining a sour tone as the day comes to an end. XAU/USD fell despite the broad US Dollar’s weakness, as a better market mood pushed investors away from safe-haven assets.
Fibo extension xauusdscenario 1: Watch the 2611 - 2615 area if there is a rejection in the area, gold will be pulled up at least 250 pips.
scenario 2: sell if it has entered the liquidity block / fibo 0.5 (2657)
scenario 3: buy sell breakdown / breakout if above 2639 and 2625 (scalping)
Technical used: (basepinbar) follow the trend, fibo extension, auto fibo H1.
prioritize direct execution over pending orders.
Gold Market Outlook: ReboundToday, the news about the Israel-Palestine ceasefire triggered a sharp drop in gold prices, highlighting the significant impact that war news can have on gold. Recently, updates on the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are also expected to emerge gradually. Traders should remain cautious and avoid blindly chasing highs, because if there is positive news regarding the peace process, gold will likely experience sharp volatility. Although there will undoubtedly be various conflicts during the peace talks, I believe the ultimate outcome will be a successful agreement—it’s just a matter of which side gains more benefits.
Earlier, I posted a strategy for trading gold during the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. If you're interested, feel free to check it out.
As for current trading, after the large amount of selling pressure has been released, gold is expected to experience a corrective rebound. I’ve already provided specific trade signals—buy in the range of 2636-2621, with a target above 2650.
If you'd like to receive signals in real time, you're welcome to follow me.
XAUUSD: 25/11 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of spot gold
Daily resistance 2750, support below 2637
Four-hour resistance 2720, support below 2650-37
Gold operation suggestions: Gold rose sharply last week, recovering the sharp drop of the previous week. And it stood above the 2700 mark again. After a brief weekly retracement, it recovered in the third week. From the weekly pattern, it has stabilized and rebounded steadily since the low point of 2536. There was no high-high closing low last Friday. The daily line reversed and touched the high trend, and the K-line chart showed strong performance. Gold is currently rising strongly for five consecutive days. It just plunged more than 60 US dollars because of the agreement between Palestine and Israel on the ceasefire plan.
From the current 4-hour gold trend, the important upper pressure is 2710, the short-term support below is 2650, and the support below is 2637. In terms of operation, we will do more operations with a retracement, and continue to be bullish. As long as the market is above 2637, we will continue to be bullish and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2660near SL:2655
BUY:2650near SL:2645
BUY:2637near SL:2634
Risk aversion fades, trend turns to sellGold risk aversion has been alleviated, and gold has broken down directly. The bullish trend of gold has been temporarily alleviated. After the decline of gold, the bulls have no strong counterattack. It is difficult for gold bulls to make great achievements for the time being. Gold rebounds and continues to be short.
Gold broke down with the relief of risk aversion, and then the 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn around. The strength of the gold bullish rise has weakened. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to 2683. Gold rebounded to 2683 in the US market and was shorted at highs. It can be shorted near the rebound of 2680.
SELL: 2680-2683
Safe-Haven Demand Eases, Bears Take Control in the Gold MarketFundamental Analysis:
Gold prices have reversed last week’s upward momentum as safe-haven sentiment continues to diminish. Positive developments in the Middle East have contributed to this shift, with Israel’s ambassador to the United States confirming that a ceasefire agreement with Lebanon’s Hezbollah could be reached within days. This news has triggered a significant retreat in safe-haven buying.
Meanwhile, the nomination of Scott Bassett as Treasury Secretary by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has bolstered market stability, further improving risk appetite. Although U.S. Treasury yields have declined—a factor typically supportive of gold prices—the broader improvement in market sentiment has left gold under pressure. With bearish sentiment prevailing from the week’s outset, the gold market is now dominated by a clear downward trend.
Technical Analysis:
Gold prices have experienced a sharp pullback, with immediate support found near 2660. Key resistance is identified at the 2690 level, with the short-term ceiling at 2700. The technical outlook remains bearish, with limited prospects for a near-term reversal.
Trading Strategy for Today:
Recommendation: Enter short positions in the 2688-2691 range, with a stop loss above 2700.
Target Levels: First target at 2675, followed by 2665 for further downside potential.
Advisory Note:
While VIP strategies have performed well recently, some users may experience losses or trapped positions due to a lack of understanding of trend-based analyses. If you are facing such challenges, feel free to reach out for personalized assistance. For those considering joining the VIP program, a complimentary trial session is available to help you better understand the value of our services. Interested parties are encouraged to contact me directly.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please manage your risk carefully and avoid overleveraging.
Will the rise in gold prices continue? Latest trading strategiesGold risk aversion eased on Monday, and gold broke down directly. The bullish trend of gold was temporarily eased. After the decline of gold, the bulls did not have a strong counterattack. It is difficult for the bulls to make a big move for the time being. Gold rebounded and continued to be short. Gold broke down with the easing of risk aversion, and then the hourly moving average of gold began to turn around. The strength of the bullish rise of gold weakened. The resistance of the gold moving average now moved down to the 2685-90 line. Gold rebounded in the US market and went short at highs below the 2685-90 line.
Judging from the current 4-hour analysis chart, the upper side focuses on the short-term suppression of 2785-90, and the lower side focuses on the short-term support of 2658-60.
GOLD:Continue to go long
Last week rose too much, there will be a large repair and shock at the beginning of this week, the general trend of the weekly line has been affirmed, yesterday's article I also mentioned, in the repair of the back step is we once again layout more single opportunities, weekly positive bag negative, this week will be the inertia of the long rise, the possibility of turning down again is small, the market is always right, we are just a follow, I still adhere to the trend operation. Also note that the market will be closed this week for Thanksgiving.
V shape is very clear, this week to see a big repair 4 hours has closed the big Yin plunge, and to the market to a surprise, we estimate the repair range is 2660-2710, more single opportunity close to 2660 to continue to do long, the current trend here after the retreat began to pull up, 2665 can also go long, the upper space is large, Continue to retracement 2660 and add long position, target 2700-2710. Short chance estimate is the time before the pressure rebound, the magnitude of this big wave is very large we can both long and short.
Support 2660, strong support 2642, pressure 2700-2710, disc strong and weak water line 2690
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold just had its best week in recent times! This video analyzes the key factors driving the price surge – including geopolitical events and the latest US economic data.
As Geopolitical uncertainty continues to drive demand, this video illustrates my trading idea. Join me as I analyze Gold’s price action, identify critical levels, and share actionable insights for the coming week. Let me know yours!
#gold #goldinvesting #marketanalysis #usdata #pmi #consumersentiment #inflation #fed #tradingstrategy #forex
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOLD - high placed? What's next??#GOLD.. perfect move and perfect holding in first go of 2710 and now market placed 2720 21 as day high. So far.
Guys according to technical prospective that day high is a reasonable high and if market hold it in that case you can see a further drop towards our downside areas.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU/USD 25 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation analysis dated 22 November 2024 played out as price successfully printed a bullish iBOS in-line with bullish internal structure, however, price has now printed a bearish iBOS in-line with H4 TF undergoing a bearish pullback phase.
Price has yet to print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is crucial to establishing an internal range and indicating the initiation of bullish pullback phase. CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative Scenario:
H4 Timeframe has indicated bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH, therefore, bearish momentum on M15 may be limited.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant for potential whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Market analysis, trading strategy in the 2690~2721 rangeThe global geopolitical situation is tense, and the risk aversion sentiment of gold is strong. The bullish trend is still the mainstream this week. This week's trading should still be based on low and long. The high point of 2710 last week was broken, and it is possible to see 2750 and 2790 this week. In principle, we still don't guess the top. Combine the pattern to do a good job in each wave of the market. The Asian session opened high and then fell back, with the lowest at 2690. It is currently rising again. Then, the trend point of the day is very obvious. Continue to buy more near 2690!
After the Asian session opened low, gold continued to rise sharply. The upper pressure fell back to 2721. Gold began to fluctuate in the short term, and the gold trend is still bullish. After a continuous surge in gold, it is normal for gold to fall back and fluctuate. However, gold is still bullish now. It is the right approach to continue to buy more after a fall.
The 1-hour moving average of gold still broke through and arranged upward. The short-term fluctuated between 2690-2721. It continued to buy more on dips when it fell back to 2690 in the Asian session.
First support: 2700, second support: 2689, third support: 2675
First resistance: 2720, second resistance: 2735, third resistance: 2750
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2690-2692
SELL: 2720-2723
Gold Profits Realized, Next Moves in FocusAfter opening, the gold price peaked around 2721 before beginning to decline, falling short of the 2726 level for adding positions. Ultimately, a profit of 1,000–1,800 points was achieved.
Looking ahead, continue to monitor the 2710–2720 area. If bearish momentum remains strong, this zone can serve as an opportunity to short again. If the price moves higher, our focus will stay on the 2726–2732 range.