Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
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Xauusdanalysis
GOLD: Correction Likely After Impulse RallyThe 4-hour XAU/USD chart shows a completed Elliott Wave (1-5) structure, with wave (5) reaching the $2,655-$2,660 resistance zone, indicating a potential reversal. A corrective ABC pattern is expected:
Wave A: Targeting $2,620-$2,630 (middle support zone).
Wave B: Minor retracement below $2,655.
Wave C: Extending to $2,600-$2,610 (lower support).
As gold prices are highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, traders should use proper position sizing and stop-loss levels to mitigate risks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic releases and geopolitical tensions that might affect market volatility.
Good luck
Gold and War: The Hidden Signal Behind the RallyIt is well-known that wars have a significant impact on gold prices, and the key factor often lies in the stance of the U S. Before the election, geopolitical tensions and inflation created favorable conditions for gold’s rise.
However, with Trump winning the presidency, gold prices experienced a sharp decline. The primary reason was his campaign statements about actively mediating the Russia-Ukraine war if elected. As a result, the market anticipated an end to the war, triggering a rapid sell-off in gold. Although gold prices have recently started to recover, this seems more like a technical correction to the previous drop.
Yesterday, an intercontinental missile was deployed in the war for the first time. On the surface, this appears to signal an escalation in the conflict, but I believe it may actually hint at the war nearing its end. This “last frenzy” could be both sides vying for the strongest position at the negotiating table.
In this context, how long can the current gold rally last? How high might it go? These are difficult questions to answer. However, one thing is clear: when peace talks are finalized, gold could retreat to the 2480-2350 range.
GOLD:Retracting the long trading strategy
Gold rebounded to around 2660 as scheduled, the bulls have come to strong pressure, but it has no meaning to fall, we can not know the end of this wave of long rebound, the operation to follow the trend, the shape of the weekly bearish trend will be changed, yesterday's bottom pulled up again, the daily line step by step, three consecutive trading days closed in the sun, Such a market must see clearly the general direction, otherwise it is difficult to grasp the rhythm, when you can not see clearly on the sidelines waiting, today's thinking waiting for its retrace opportunity to do long.
Daily line these two days to form two strong support, one is yesterday's low 2618 near, this position is not broken, short-term are strong, if broken, the form may form a new bear.
Another support is around 2642, yesterday's rebound high, is also a new form of support, today back to step on this position first layout more single. Target 2660, after breaking 2680-85.
XAU ! 11/ 21 ! SCALPING Gold price still increasesXAU / USD trend forecast November 21, 2024 ! SCALPING
Anticipations that US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs could drive inflation higher and reduce the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to lower interest rates continue to support elevated US Treasury yields. Combined with a generally upbeat risk sentiment, this could deter traders from making aggressive bullish moves on XAU/USD. Attention now shifts to upcoming US macroeconomic data and Fed commentary, which are expected to offer fresh direction for the precious metal.
Long term frame, the uptrend still has great buying power. SCALPING short term frame to find a good BUY entry point
/// BUY XAU : zone 2646-2643
SL: 2640
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2658)
Safe and profitable trading
Go long gold: TP: 2675-2680Brothers, gold has failed to fall below 2660 many times, so as I said in my last article, I closed the short position near 2664, and immediately went long on gold near 2664, and manually closed the long position near 2770.
At present, gold has fallen back to near 2660 again and has not fallen below, so I have gone long on gold near 2664 again. Although gold has fallen back locally, it has not fallen below the short-term support of 2655, and has not even fallen below 2660, so the gold bull energy still has the advantage, so the gold fall is an opportunity to go long on gold. And according to the current structure, gold still has the possibility of continuing to rise and touching the 2675-2680 area, and may even touch 2690.
So the trading strategy: go long on gold in batches in the 2665-2655 area, TP: 2675-2680
The best signal for goldGold has been fluctuating at a high level during the day on Thursday. So far, it has reached the highest level of 2671. Now it is still fluctuating at the level of 2668. From the overall trend, gold bulls are still very strong, but the pressure from the upper 2680 level is also relatively strong. Therefore, we do not recommend going long at high levels, because the technical side may fall back at any time. Therefore, we mainly operate steadily and wait for a short-term decline to continue going long.
Judging from the current 4-hour gold trend, the important upper pressure is at 2675-2680, the short-term support below is at 2648-50, and the support below is at 2640
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 2648-2650, add to long position when it falls back to 2640, stop loss at 2633, target at 2660-65, break to 2675-80;
2. Go short when gold rebounds to 2675-2680 but does not break, stop loss at 2687, target at 2648-2652, break to 2640;
Continue to go long based on 2641, target 2660~2670The intraday direction is still very clear. The biggest problem is where to go long. After the US market broke through the high point of 2641 in the Asian market, 2641 formed a reverse support. Today, relying on the top and bottom conversion support of 2641, we continue to go long. But please note that it is expected that it is difficult to have a large retracement. What needs to be done is to go long directly with the trend. On the one hand, it is difficult to give the market an opportunity to enter the market at a low price after such a break. It is usually difficult to start after a retracement. On the other hand, the market is shrouded in concerns about Russia and Ukraine. As the tension between the two sides continues to escalate, gold may continue to surge at any time due to risk aversion.
In terms of intraday operations, in summary, don't look for resistance in the rise, continue to go long with the trend, the support level is 2640/46 area, and the second is 2637/33 area. Either step back to the support level, or buy directly based on the support level as SL, with the target of 2660-2670 area.
Short gold, TP:2660-2650Bros, gold has risen sharply under the support of risk aversion, and is currently near 2672. Although gold continues to rise in a cycle, it has not yet effectively broken through the 2675-2680 area. When facing this area, gold is expected to have a round of technical retracement. It is very difficult to chase the rise of gold at present, and there is no good position to participate in long gold, so at least wait until gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area before there is a better position to participate in gold long transactions.
Obviously, before gold breaks through the 2675-2680 area, I will try to short gold first; after gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area in the short term, I will consider going long on gold!
Gold Market Update and Trading InsightsMarket Performance and Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices climbed further today, affirming our bullish stance since the beginning of this week. Traders who have followed this strategy are already seeing solid returns.
1. Geopolitical Risks Driving Safe-Haven Demand
The escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict has heightened global market concerns, boosting the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, uncertainties surrounding global economic growth continue to underpin gold demand.
2. US Economic Data and Federal Reserve Outlook
Key U.S. data to watch today includes initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, and existing home sales. However, these releases are expected to have minimal impact on gold’s upward trend, with geopolitical risks being the dominant driver.
Trading Strategy
Focus on long positions. Consider accumulating long positions below 2670, targeting the resistance level at 2683. A breakout above this level could pave the way for further gains.
Key Levels to Monitor
Support: 2660-2665;
Resistance: 2683 and 2690;
adjusted for individual risk tolerance.
Risk Advisory and VIP Support
While VIP users have reported strong profits, some traders may have experienced losses or trapped positions due to deviation from recommended strategies. If you need assistance, feel free to reach out for tailored solutions.
To help new traders experience our methodology, I am offering a free VIP trial session. Contact me to learn more and gain exclusive insights.
Reminder: Gold markets are highly volatile. Manage your positions wisely, adhere to your trading plan, and trade with discipline to ensure sustainable profitability.
Risk aversion rises, continue to go longThe daily chart of gold shows strong performance, and the intraday trend is also fluctuating upward. There are opportunities for BUY/SELL in the fluctuating market! Today, the upper resistance of gold is at 2673 US dollars. Rebounds rely on short selling below this resistance, and then look at the support of 2641 US dollars below!
Gold continued to rise strongly yesterday. If it falls back, continue to go long. Don't think too much.
The 1-hour moving average of gold crosses the bulls upward, and gold is still strong in the short term. After breaking through 2640 in the US market yesterday, gold continued to rise strongly. Gold 2640 has now turned into support. Gold falls back to 2640 and continues to go long on dips.
First support: 2647, second support: 2640, third support: 2620
First resistance: 2662, second resistance: 2673, third resistance: 2685
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2645-2647
SELL: 2671-2673
XAUUSD Pattern FormationDuring the last bearish momentum which happened between 2790 - 2536, there were imbalances created in between (2 FVGS covered in the chart) and one has already been covered.
I do anticipate that the price might complete this imbalance and continue with the bearish movement! An analysis will follow up using a shorter time frame.
XAU/USD 21 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday expectation played out as price successfully targeted the weak internal high at 2,641.940, following a reaction from the M15 demand zone. Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is crucial to establishing an internal range and indicating the initiation of bearish pullback phase. CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, signaling the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase. Price is trading at the premium of its internal and swing 50% equilibrium (EQ), where a reaction has been observed. Additionally, price is approaching an H4 supply zone, which could prompt further reaction.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant for potential whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold- Rebound, Resistance, and Selling OpportunitiesGold remains highly volatile.
After last week's sharp drop of approximately 1,500 pips from top to bottom, the price rebounded significantly this week, recovering around 1,000 pips.
Despite finding a potential bottom at 2,537, the price is expected to encounter strong resistance at 2,680.
I’m considering selling in that resistance zone, targeting a potential decline toward the 2,650 level.
Gold Trading Strategy 11/21Based on the recent gold market movements, the following analysis and strategy are proposed:
Market Overview:
Previous Decline: Gold prices have declined from around 2670, causing long positions entered near 2700 to be trapped.
Current Situation: As prices rebound to approximately 2650, some traders are closing positions to realize profits, leading to sustained fluctuations at this level.
Remaining Positions: High-level positions remain trapped, requiring prices to rise to around 2670 for breakeven.
Strategic Insights:
Resistance at 2670: Upon reaching 2670, there is an 80% probability of price decline or consolidation, with only a 20% chance of further increase.
Optimal Shorting Zone: The 2663-2673 range presents a favorable opportunity for short positions, offering potential high returns with manageable risk.
Trading Strategy:
Initial Positioning at 2652:
Minimal Short Position: Enter a small short position to test market response.
Minimal Long Position: Alternatively, enter a small long position to capitalize on potential upward movement.
Adjustments Based on Price Movements:
If Price Rises Above 2660:
Close long positions.
Add to short positions.
If Price Falls Below 2640:
Close short positions.
Add to long positions.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss Orders: Implement appropriate stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
Position Sizing: Ensure position sizes align with individual risk tolerance and account size.
XAUUSD Next RoadmapHi traders,
We are seeing XAUUSD is creating secondary and might reaching the resistance soon.
The area of fibonacci 50% area 2658-2675 together with the resistance from the trendline might be the destination of the current temporary bullish movement.
Lets look for the potential reversal pattern and looking for short position.
Good luck!
Gold’s profit this week has been 280%After hitting a two-month low, gold rebounded in the short term, mainly because US President Biden announced that Ukraine could use long-range missiles provided by the United States to carry out deep strikes into Russian territory. Russia said it would respond to this reckless decision, which would directly involve the United States in the conflict. This has increased the uncertainty of the major geopolitical event of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and boosted gold's safe-haven demand. Safe-haven buying has driven gold prices higher.
Driven by yesterday's positive line that broke through the 5-day line, the gold market sentiment today is obviously bullish. During the Asian session, it rebounded and tested the pressure at 2627, without breaking the expected 60-day line pressure. On the hourly chart, this also completed the short-term three-wave rebound action. However, during the European session, gold suddenly rose again, testing the pressure at 2636. Such a trend is a 4-wave small rebound rhythm on the hourly chart. This state is acceptable, but it also reflects that there is an extreme sentiment in the current market.
The United States continues to stir up tensions in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the market's risk aversion sentiment has heated up. Safe-haven buying has pushed gold prices up. In terms of operations, it is recommended to treat it with a volatile mindset. Affected by the cooling of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, it is difficult to determine that the current rebound is a reversal unless the tension further intensifies. The support for gold below is $2,620, followed by $2,610, and the pressure above is $2,650, followed by $2,660. Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy is recommended to focus on callbacks and high shorts. The upper short-term focus is on the 2650-2660 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2620-2615 line of support.
Gold Trading StrategiesGold continues to fluctuate around 2648. If you want to take a break, just close the order and take a break. Today is profitable overall. There is no need to stay up late and hurt your body because of a $2 fluctuation. I will share signals with you again during tomorrow's trading. Making a stable profit every day will accumulate over time, which is not bad.
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy
Based on the current market trends, there is a strong likelihood that gold prices will continue to rise beyond the 2650 level. At this point, a shorting opportunity may emerge, as there appears to be a potential downside of approximately $28, targeting a price around 2622.
Key Considerations:
Upward Momentum: Gold’s recent movements indicate strong bullish momentum, likely driven by market sentiment and technical factors.
Resistance at 2650: The 2650 level serves as a significant resistance zone where the upward trend may stall.
Shorting Opportunity: After reaching this resistance, there could be a reversal, offering a window for shorting with a measurable target.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point: Monitor gold prices closely as they approach 2650. Prepare to open short positions once signs of reversal appear, such as bearish candlestick patterns or a decline in momentum indicators.
Target: Set the target at 2622, capturing the $28 potential downward movement.
Risk Management: Use a stop-loss above 2660 to minimize potential losses in case of unexpected bullish breakouts.
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy
Gold prices continue to fluctuate around the 2640 level. The initial short position has already reached the target of 2622. Currently, prices are rising again, and it is expected that the previous high of 2641 will be broken.
Trading Strategy:
Long Opportunity:
Close around 2645
Short Opportunity:
Alternatively, wait for the price to rise into the 2646-2655 range, which is anticipated to serve as a resistance zone, before opening short positions (selling).
Expected Target:
For the short position, a potential downside of approximately $19 is anticipated, targeting a drop back to the 2627-2636 range.