Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Reversal & Breakout PatternChart Pattern Analysis
The 15-minute chart of Gold (XAU/USD) showcases a classic support-resistance structure, along with a potential bullish reversal pattern forming. The price is currently reacting to key levels, and the setup suggests an impending move toward higher price targets.
Key Chart Patterns Identified:
🔹 Support & Resistance Flip:
The price initially struggled at resistance (~$3,038 - $3,045) before experiencing a pullback.
It found strong support (~$3,027 - $3,030), confirming a potential retest zone for a bullish reversal.
🔹 Double Bottom Reversal Pattern:
The price bounced twice from the support zone, forming a possible double-bottom pattern – a classic bullish reversal sign.
If the price successfully holds this level, a breakout above the previous high (ATH - $3,045) is expected.
🔹 Break & Retest Structure:
A bullish breakout from resistance could trigger a rally toward the next target zone ($3,056 - $3,060).
A possible higher low formation suggests market accumulation before an upward continuation.
Trade Plan – How to Approach This Setup
📌 Entry Confirmation:
Look for a bullish candle formation at support (~$3,027 - $3,030).
A strong breakout and retest above ATH ($3,045) would provide further confirmation.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
Below support ($3,027) to limit downside risk.
If price breaks below this zone, the bullish scenario gets invalidated.
📌 Take-Profit Targets:
1️⃣ First Target: $3,045 (ATH breakout confirmation)
2️⃣ Final Target: $3,056 - $3,060 (Major Resistance & TP Zone)
Potential Market Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks & retests resistance ($3,045), a rally toward $3,060 is likely.
❌ Bearish Breakdown:
If price fails to hold support ($3,027), a drop to $3,020 - $3,015 could occur.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
This setup presents a high-probability bullish opportunity, but confirmation is key! Wait for price action signals before entering.
📊 Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Xauusdanalysis
FOMC today ?World gold prices increased by 3 USD, to 3,030 USD/ounce. In the US trading session (night of March 18), gold at one point rose to a record high of 3,035.4 USD/ounce. The safe haven demand for gold has pushed prices to a record high. Investors are worried about the increase in global trade wars and new geopolitical developments between countries, so they have bought gold.
Israel launched airstrikes across the Gaza Strip early Tuesday morning, killing at least 400 Palestinians, including women and children, according to hospital officials. The surprise bombing broke a ceasefire that had been in place since January and threatened to completely reignite the 17-month war. Over the weekend, the US attacked Houthi targets in the Middle East and vowed to attack more.
In addition, investors are now watching the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which begins Tuesday morning and ends Wednesday afternoon. The market is not expected to make any changes to interest rates at this meeting, but will closely analyze the wording of the FOMC statement and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference.
XAUUSD Strategy AnalysisGold has been on a consecutive rally, and caution is warranted for every attempt to chase long positions. After surging to 3045 in the afternoon, prices quickly reversed lower and failed to immediately retest the high, indicating overhead resistance. If gold cannot break out sustainably, a significant correction may be imminent.
Gold trading strategy:
sell @:3049-3054
buy @:3030-3035,3002-3007
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Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout & Retest Trade Setup - Bullish Move!Gold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken out of the consolidation zone after a strong rally. The price action recently tested the previous resistance level, which is now acting as new support.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Price has retested the breakout zone and is showing signs of bullish momentum.
Support: The previous resistance area (now turned support) is holding well.
Stop Loss: Placed just below the support at $3,034.562 to manage risk.
Target: A potential upside move towards the $3,055 zone, which aligns with the next key resistance level.
This setup follows a breakout-retest continuation pattern, a classic technical strategy where price revisits a breakout level before resuming the trend. If bullish momentum continues, we can expect a move towards the projected target.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,034.562
Resistance/Target: $3,055
Current Price: $3,039.925
💡 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the stop loss is placed strategically below support.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper risk management techniques.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Will Gold push higher or face rejection? Let me know in the comments! 🚀💬
Gold price analysis March 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The Fed is likely to continue to pause the rate cut in March.
The policy decision will depend on the Dot Plot chart and the speech of Chairman Jerome Powell.
Donald Trump's tariff policy may affect the economy and the Fed's interest rate.
Geopolitical tensions (Israel-Gaza conflict, Ukraine-Russia) may boost gold buying demand.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, affecting the financial market.
⭐️Technical Analysis
The candle broke the ATH zone around 3038 and had a retest of the breakout zone to increase. The candle closed above 3038, confirming that the price will soon push back to the resistance zone of 3054. Support at 3020 and 3006 are still solid supports for buy signals.
XAUUSD trading strategy: Keep going longThe 1-hour moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upwards, and it is still diverging upwards without any signs of turning.
Therefore, the bullish momentum of gold remains. The support level of gold on the 4-hour chart is in the 3028 area. Today's trading strategy is to go long directly when the price retracts to the 3028 area.
XAUUSD trading strategy:
buy@3028
TP:3045-3050
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Gold’s Meteoric Rise: What’s Next After Breaking $3,000?Yesterday, TRADENATION:XAUUSD broke the $3,000 mark, a significant achievement from multiple perspectives.
As I mentioned yesterday, I didn’t expect the price to revisit the $2,950 support level, as it seemed too obvious. Unfortunately, my pending order at $2,970 wasn't triggered either, as the bulls were too strong, quickly forming a new support at $2,980.
This forced me to trade the breakout of the rectangle pattern, something I typically avoid —trading breakouts.
Now that we’ve reviewed the situation, let’s take a closer look at what we might expect in the near future.
Current Trend: Strong Upward Momentum
As is evident to everyone, gold is in a powerful uptrend, and trying to sell is risky. The key strategy here is to focus on buying on dips, rather than trying to catch a top.
The first level to keep an eye on for potential buy opportunities is the $3,000 mark, followed by the support formed yesterday at $2,980. Both of these levels are crucial in maintaining the bullish structure of the market. If the price dips to these levels and holds, they could provide excellent entry points for long positions.
Target Zones: Understanding Potential Resistance Levels
While targets in a ATHs defined market are arbitrary, historical price movements in gold suggest that certain price levels tend to act as either support or resistance. Specifically, levels in at $20, $40, $60, and $80 ranges have historically been key turning points.
Given this, if gold continues its ascent, targets at $3,020 and $3,040 could be reasonable. These levels align with the typical points that gold has faced during strong movements.
Looking Ahead: Volatility and Potential for Extreme Moves
Expect extreme volatility as gold continues to push higher. The bullish sentiment is strong, but with high volatility comes both risk and opportunity. Keeping a watchful eye on key levels, such as the $3,000 and $2,980 support zones, will be crucial for gauging potential retracements and entry points.
In conclusion, the strategy moving forward should focus on buying on dips, with an eye on $3,020 and $3,040 as logical targets for the next phase of gold's rally.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold is on Fire—But Can Bulls Hold the Line?Gold has been surging, and while I expected it to hit $3,000 this year, I definitely didn’t anticipate it happening in the first semester...
So, let’s address the big question: Can the bulls maintain this level?
Looking at the chart, since early March, TRADENATION:XAUUSD has climbed 2,000 pips (around 7%), but what stands out is that 1,500 of those pips (5%) came in just one week.
No matter how strong the bullish momentum and fundamentals are, I believe this kind of rally is unsustainable.
Technical Outlook
After pulling back from its all-time high of 2,950, gold made a false breakout, followed by an almost vertical move upward, briefly interrupted by two consolidation phases.
Fundamental Factors
The FOMC meeting is today, and while rates are expected to remain unchanged, the real market mover will be Jerome Powell’s press conference. His comments could trigger significant price action.
My Take
I expect gold to start correcting after the press conference, regardless of what Powell says. However, this is a highly risky trade, so I’ll stay on the sidelines until I see a clear reversal signal.
Final Thoughts
At the time of writing, gold is consolidating within another rectangular range, with resistance at 3,040. If we see a spike above and then a drop back to around 3,030, that would signal ( for me ) that gold has topped—at least for now. In that case, I’ll be looking to short with a target of at least 500 pips. Until then, my approach is simple: wait and see.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Price Analysis March 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed as Israel attacked targets across Gaza, killing at least 100 people. Tensions escalated further with unconfirmed reports that the US sank an Iranian intelligence-gathering vessel.
These developments have pushed investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty due to the US-China trade war.
In addition, US retail sales data for February raised concerns about an economic recession, supporting gold prices but putting pressure on the USD. However, the greenback recovered on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's policy meeting on Wednesday.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is near its all-time high and there is no reasonable technical analysis method to trade it. We still favor retracements and buy up with the trend. 3020 and 3040 are two psychological zones the market is waiting for. nice retracements for BUY signals are waiting around 2980 - 2960 - 2945
make a prompt decision! short high positionAnd from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 3039-3045 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 3015-3005 area.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Gold induces bullish crashGold bulls are still showing a strong momentum. After successfully breaking through the $3,000 mark, it is likely to enter an accelerated upward phase.Gold opened at $3033, and the bulls are currently in a high-level oscillation state.There is still a possibility that the bulls will further push the price up to the range of 3040-3050 USD. The main reason is the lack of momentum for the decline. Gold has experienced a sharp rise of more than 100 points, from $2,981 to $3,038. The bulls have undoubtedly ushered in a nearly 60-point increase again.Therefore, shorting today is a more reasonable choice
Gold's unilateral bullish trend is strongGold opened at around 3033 and maintained high consolidation. The key resistance above is at 3040-3045. If it can be effectively broken, the gold price is expected to hit the 3050 mark this week. The support below is stable in the 3018-3015 range. Overall, the bullish trend of gold is still obvious. It is recommended to follow the trend and go long on the callback. At the same time, there are high-altitude opportunities after the high rebound, but attention should be paid to risk control
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3032-3027, stop loss at 3018, and the target is 3044-3050.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3050-3055, stop loss at 3062, and the target is 3020-3007.
Gold sounds the horn of the counterattackThe gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of falling back. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful, gold may stage the final madness.
Gold begins to rise and fall rapidly in the first hour, then gold begins to have short-term resistance, and the first-line resistance near 3040-3050 becomes effective, gold will usher in a reversal, and gold rises and falls and begins to adjust significantly to the 3015-3005 area, or even lower. The bullish trend of gold has been very strong in the early stage. However, when the market is too hot, it is also the time to be cautious and short under high pressure.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
#XAUUSD #GOLD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Gold is currently facing resistance at a descending trendline, which has been limiting upward movement. This trendline has acted as a strong barrier, preventing the price from breaking higher. Sellers are likely to step in at this level, increasing bearish pressure.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price respects the trendline resistance and shows bearish confirmation signals. If the price fails to break above this level, further downside movement can be expected.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider selling near the trendline resistance if the price shows rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels where buyers may step in.
Market Sentiment:
If the trendline resistance remains intact, sellers may dominate the market, leading to a potential downward move. However, a breakout above the resistance could shift sentiment toward a bullish scenario.
Seize the golden opportunity at high altitudeDuring the price fluctuations, after two obvious market declines, the market bulls once showed a relatively strong upward trend, which made some investors confused about the market trend. However, after a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional factors in the market, including in-depth analysis of global economic data, geopolitical situation evolution and market capital flows, it is believed that the current high-altitude strategy in the gold market still has significant advantages.
From the perspective of technical analysis, gold prices are facing great pressure near key resistance levels, and the market short-selling momentum has not yet been fully released.
From a fundamental perspective, although the regional situation has caused short-term risk aversion fluctuations, the long-term economic trend still suppresses gold prices. Based on the above analysis, we firmly maintain the original strategy, and the 3025-3035 range is still an ideal position for short selling. Investors can decisively establish short positions in this range, set reasonable stop loss and take profit targets, and achieve steady returns with the help of market fluctuations. In the gold market full of variables, only by strictly adhering to the strategy can we ride the wind and waves and seize wealth opportunities.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold enters the market at 3025 on dips, target 3050Gold has now entered the "trend strengthening" stage, with daily levels closing positive for 11 consecutive weeks. Global central banks' gold purchases in the first quarter surged 40% year-on-year.From a technical perspective, 3025 is the key support after breaking through the previous intensive trading area. If it can hold firm here, gold is expected to hit $3050.
Gold operation suggestion: Go long near 3020-3025, stop loss 3010, target 3050
GOLD - near to his breakout level? What's next??#GOLD... well guys market bounce perfectly from our today supporting area, that was 2983 84
Now we have upside breakout level, that is 3005 around.
Keep close that level because above that we can expect further rise towards next resistance areas.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold hits a record high of 3,000, and bulls still have new highsGold broke through 2956 yesterday in the US market, reaching 2990, approaching the 3000 mark, with only 10 US dollars left. Today is Friday, the weekly line closes. How much room does gold have to rise?
This wave of rise from 2932 to 3000 is a rise of 168 US dollars. Compared with the previous increase of two or three hundred US dollars, there is still a large room for rise after the strong break. Above 3000, you can pay attention to 3050. In the bull market, follow the trend to rise, don't look at the top easily, the top and pressure are used to break the trend.
Yesterday's strong rise not only broke through the previous high of 2956, but also returned to the rising channel. Therefore, gold will continue to rise today. The morning high will be corrected sideways. In the afternoon, focus on the first-line support of 2976. It is expected that the European session will break through the high, and it is best to break through the 3000 mark. A strong breakthrough and a pullback in the evening can be seen for a second rise. The watershed is at the lower track support of the channel, which is about 2970-2965; if the European session suppresses the sideways downward, consider falling back when stagflation occurs.
Trading: Yesterday, gold rose sharply as expected, the trend was accurately grasped, and the entry point was accurate. After reducing the position of the 2936 long orders near 2950, all profit was stopped at 2955. A light position short order of 2955 was placed in the evening, and the final stop loss was 2962
Gold slowly rises and accelerates to the Beware of a decline As for gold today, it has been trading sideways from the high in the morning and has directly gained strength to stand above 3000, reaching a high of 3015. If it falls back in the afternoon, we can expect a second rise. Focus on the support at 3009, and the upper pressure is at 3040-3050!From the technical indicators, the daily line has deviated too far from the 100-day moving average and needs a deep correction to repair it. The four-hour cycle also shows a divergence signal, forming a double-top structure of the indicator. Therefore, above 3040, we must be careful of a large retracement and decline.
XAUUSD Today's strategyXAUUSD has climbed to 3017, clearly demonstrating the continuous upward trend of the gold price. This upward movement is mainly driven by the surging demand for risk aversion and the strong market expectations of interest rate cuts.
Specifically:
Escalation of Geopolitical Tensions: The additional tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on EU goods have significantly intensified global trade tensions. At the same time, the deterioration of the situation in Yemen has further heightened geopolitical risks. These unstable factors have made investors deeply concerned, prompting them to seek the safe-haven function of gold. Consequently, the demand for gold has soared, driving up its price.
Key Influencing Factors in the Future: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision meeting from March 18th to 19th will be a core factor influencing the future trend of the gold price. If the meeting sends out dovish signals, further strengthening the market's expectations of interest rate cuts, the gold price is expected to continue its upward trend. Conversely, if the Federal Reserve emphasizes the stickiness of inflation and is cautious about interest rate cuts, the gold price may face some correction pressure.
XAUUSD
🎁 Sell@3020 - 3025
🎁 SL 3030
🎁 TP 3005 - 3000
🎁 Buy@3000 - 3005
🎁 SL 2992
🎁 TP 3015 - 3020
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