Get started

Xauusdanalysis

XAU/USD 19 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025. As mentioned in analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780. Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780. Alternative Scenario: As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Evening StrategyIf the European market does not break down effectively on 12-06, the rise will accelerate in the later period, with the target at 26-32. We will go short again after it breaks above in the evening. Long orders have been entered below 10, and we will hold positions to protect our market during the US trading. If the current price long order is eliminated to protect the principal, we will wait for the position to be in place in the evening before entering the market. The recent news is greater than the data, and both long and short positions should be cautious. After several days of large range fluctuations, there may be fluctuations today. We will still wait patiently for the position, and will not enter the market if it is not given in the evening; Aggressive 93.5 long, 87-81 long, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss 76. Target: 16-22-30;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mykvmykv
Gold market analysis strategyThe release of the data has brought significant market fluctuations. PPI is an important indicator to measure price changes in the production process. It reflects changes in production costs and has a more far-reaching impact on the market. Initial jobless claims data provides the latest updates on the US employment situation from the perspective of the labor market and is an important reference for investors to judge the health of the economy. After the release of the US PPI data for January, the gold market has fluctuated significantly. Spot gold rose by $10, reaching a high of $2,917.61 per ounce, an intraday increase of 0.31%; although the PPI data did not have a greater impact on the market's expectations of the Fed's rate cut, the rising inflationary pressure it reflected still prompted investors to seek safe-haven assets such as gold. Yesterday, gold fluctuated downward in the Asia and Europe sessions, and the price fell to a low of 2864 in the evening before starting a counterattack. As of today, it has risen to 2922. Judging from yesterday's trend, the first half of the session was running well, and there was a Jedi counterattack in the evening. At the same time, today's rebound high exceeded our expectations. Judging from the current market, the daily chart shows signs of a V. Yesterday's bottoming out and rebound directly limited the extent of today's adjustment. Judging from the trend chart, the volatile trend has not changed. Gold closed with a long upper shadow in the previous 4 hours. Gold is now under pressure at the top of the entity in the previous 4 hours. Gold has begun to stagnate. Gold is currently priced at 2920 in the US market, so go short directly!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mykvmykv
High pressure small gold range shock accumulation sprintYesterday, gold was affected by the data and hit the lowest point of 63 in the US market. Then it began to bottom out and rebound. As of now, it has reached the highest point near 22 again. The upward movement in the morning, the sideways movement in the European market is the biggest driving force for the bulls. The US market still has room to continue to attack, and the first target above is maintained at the high point of 30 at the second upward retracement. This position can also be used as a head and shoulders top pattern in the later stage. After all, it has been in a strong position since the upward movement. It is precisely because the bulls are aimlessly moving upward that the market has a strong sense of fear. Both the long and short positions are on the verge of danger. The market is still bullish, but for those who are afraid of heights, it still takes great courage to continue to buy at the current price. The support below is maintained near the retracement low of 09-08 in the European session, which is also near the previous high point. However, the current market is somewhat incredible and may be swept. In the evening, we will first short around 2930-31, with the target around 2910-00 and a stop loss of 2938.5.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mykvmykv
Gold evening market analysisThe gold daily line shows a trend of closing down with a big negative line at a high level, and the Bollinger Bands also show signs of closing. However, from the current technical perspective alone, it is not enough to determine that the top has formed. The main basis is that the unilateral moving average has not broken, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average have not turned downward, which means that gold still has the possibility of rising. If the daily line continues to close with a big positive line this week, the double top position of 2942 above may also be broken. It can be seen that the current technical aspect shows an overall bullish trend. If the unilateral moving average does not break, the downward trend will be difficult to continue; and if the key resistance level of 2942 is not broken, it will be difficult for gold to usher in a new round of substantial gains. Based on this, it is expected that gold will maintain a long-term volatile trend at a high level. Focus on the two key resistance levels of 2930 and 2942 above, and pay attention to the support of 2875 and 2830 below. The limit support is expected to be 2800.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mykvmykv
100% ProfitableAggressive: short at 11.5, short at 18-24, stop loss: 7 points for each, or 27. Target: 96-82, continue to reduce holdings if it breaks; ◆Long order◆ Aggressive: long at 78.5, long at 72-66, stop loss: 7 points for each stop loss, or unified stop loss at 62. Target: Continue to reduce the position after breaking through 92-98-06; Target: 92-98-06 breaks the position and continues to reduce the price; Gold still has not shown a good downward trend as we analyzed in the morning. Don’t chase short positions until they are in place; Intraday strategy ideas: Today is Monday, we will consume the weekend news, prevent extreme market conditions, and strictly control positions; most orders have been taken out of the market at present, and continue to short after the European session. The 05 short position should be guaranteed. After the principal is guaranteed, you can enter the short position between 06-08. After the position is broken, just enter the market according to the strategy. Set a stop loss and wait patiently;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mykvmykv
Golden Evening ThoughtsGold, the price rebounded to 2906 in the morning and then turned to consolidation, now at 2900; the 4H chart structure is oscillating, the daily chart structure is empty, and the main empty idea is maintained in the evening; short-term resistance is 2904-2906, strong resistance is 2910; short-term support is 2896-2894, strong support is 2892-2888, and it will break down to 2877; In terms of operation, the market will be closed early in the evening, and the main empty idea above 2904 in the morning will be maintained; Sell near 2904, protect 2914, and target 2890-2877;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mykvmykv
Gold in-depth analysis and trading strategiesAs of now, the international spot gold price (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,882.53 per ounce, down 1.56% from the previous trading day. The adjustment comes after the gold price hit an all-time high of $2,942.71 per ounce on February 11, driven by strong demand from central banks, institutional investors and retail buyers. Key factors affecting the market include: - Monetary policy uncertainty: The Fed's mixed signals on interest rates (10% chance of a rate hike in March) and persistent inflation concerns continue to weigh on market sentiment. - Geopolitical risks: The trade dispute caused by escalating tensions in the Middle East and the US steel/aluminum tariffs (25% implemented on March 12) supported safe-haven demand. - Economic data: Weak US retail sales (down 0.9% month-on-month in January) contrasted with firm core inflation (up 3.0% year-on-year), creating a stagflationary environment that is favorable for gold. .Key drivers for the week ahead A. Macro events and data: | Feb 19 | Fed minutes | Hawkish tone could weigh on gold; dovish cues could spur buying. | | Feb 20 | US core PCE inflation (January) | Higher-than-expected data (+0.3% MoM) could heighten rate hike fears, test $2,800 support. | | Feb 21-22 | G20 finance ministers meeting | Focus on global trade policy; escalating tariff dispute could spur safe-haven flows. | B. Technical levels - Support: $2,850 (100-day SMA), $2,800 (psychological level). - Resistance: $2,940 (recent high), $2,950 (Heraeus 2025 cap target). C. Geopolitical risks: - Middle East: Any escalation in tensions between Iran and Israel could trigger a surge in gold prices to $3,000. - US-China trade: New tariff threats (e.g. on critical minerals) could exacerbate stagflation concerns. Technical Analysis and Price Prediction A. Trend Analysis: - Daily Chart: Gold has been trading within a bullish channel since late 2024. The recent pullback to $2,880, in line with the 50-day SMA ($2,860), suggests consolidation before a renewed upward move. - Key Indicators: - RSI: Neutral at 45, no overbought/oversold signals. - MACD: Bearish crossover but narrowing divergence, suggesting weakening downside momentum. Trading strategy recommendations - Short-term traders: - Long entry: Buy around $2,850 with a stop loss of $2,820; target price is $2,920. - Short entry: Sell on a rebound to $2,930-2,940; stop loss above $2,950. - Long-term investors: Buy on dips below $2,850 with a target price of $3,000-3,200 by mid-2025.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mykvmykv
Gold price returns to trendline and increasesScalping XAU : 18 Feb, 2025 Gold News: 🔆Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Michelle Bowman stated that elevated asset prices might have slowed inflation progress and emphasized the need for greater confidence in declining inflation before considering rate cuts. She also noted that wage growth remains above levels aligned with the Fed’s inflation target. Meanwhile, fellow Board member Christopher Waller remarked that inflation improvement last year was frustratingly slow and suggested that rate cuts would be appropriate in 2025 if inflation follows a similar trend as in 2024. Waller anticipates continued disinflation and expects rate reductions to resume on a yearly basis. 🔆Meanwhile, the outcome of discussions between the Kremlin and Washington is expected to be the main market driver, particularly as US traders return after a long weekend. If the negotiations fail, increased risk aversion could boost demand for Gold as a safe-haven asset, potentially driving its price higher alongside the US Dollar. Personal Opinion: 🔆Uptrend, recovery confirmed when price breaks out of resistance 2905, if price returns to trendline, BUY signal can be taken Analysis: 🔆Based on important Resistance - Support zones and 200 EMA combined with consideration based on political developments, trendline M45 Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉BUY Gold 2906 - 2903 ❌SL: 2898 | ✅TP: 2912 - 2918 – 2925 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Today's xauusd trend shows obvious signals!!!Since this week, the gold market has fluctuated upward on Monday, unilaterally rose on Tuesday, and may adjust on Wednesday. With the accumulation of market sentiment, it is expected to break through the previous highs on Thursday and Friday and continue to explore the 2980-3000 area. Gold technical analysis: From the technical analysis point of view, the gold four-hour K-line chart clearly shows a triple top pattern. The 2940 line is like an insurmountable natural gap. Every time the K-line touches this point, it will be ruthlessly blocked. At present, the deviation between the K-line and the moving average is large. According to market rules, the K-line will most likely move closer to the moving average in the short term. After careful analysis, the moving average is near 2910, which has become our expected target price. At present, we will still focus on the highs of 2940-2950. This is the third time that the point 0 has been touched. If there are repeated fluctuations here and no historical highs are broken, I still think that gold will continue to fall and continue to maintain box-shaped fluctuations. This is the current market trend! Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy is mainly to short on rebound and long on pullback. In the short term, pay attention to the upper pressure 2940-2942 line resistance, and pay attention to the lower support 2916-2905. Now we will wait patiently for a suitable trading plan. Mr. Baker OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Beck_Ledley
XAUUSD Breakout or Pullback? Planning for My Next Move!👀 👉 XAUUSD is currently moving sideways within a range. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if it breaks above the range high or pulls back to a key support level. In the video, we discuss how price action might develop and what to watch for when identifying trade opportunities. Here, I’m sharing my trading plan and my approach to analyzing price action, market structure, and trends to spot potential setups. 🚨 Not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
5
The gold market has largely recovered after the sharp sell-offGold prices have been suppressed, but this is about to end as supply is tight and gold flows out of London and the US could re-price gold. Andy Schectman - President of Miles Franklin Precious Metals said that one of the most worrying problems in the current gold market is that it is increasingly difficult to find and buy physical gold. "Currently, the LBMA takes six to eight weeks to deliver gold - in essence, this is almost a form of default," he said. In China, some major banks have announced they have run out of gold products due to strong demand. In South Korea, the country's mint has temporarily stopped selling gold bars because of tight supply. The world's largest gold ETF - SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) has just withdrawn 16 tons of gold. He said this could be a sign that institutional investors are withdrawing physical gold from the fund, reflecting a loss of confidence in the "paper gold" market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
2
XAUUSD: BUYThe momentum above is strong, and the New York market is about to close, so the increase still needs to be driven by the Asian market. Today's highest price is 2936. If XAUUSD falls back to 2933-2930, I think this is the last time to buy before the market closes, just as the reason for buying below 2900 mentioned before the market closes yesterday is the same. The price of XAUUSD still has a lot of room to rise. Subsequent markets are needed to show the increase on the chart. If you didn't see what I posted yesterday and didn't follow it, then remember not to miss such an opportunity today.
TVC:GOLDLong
by JAKE_T0
XAUUSD: Buy gold again to get excess profitsBefore the market closed yesterday, the continuous announcement of the recommendation to buy XAUUSD below 2900 began. As of now, the gold price has risen to 2933. For those who pay attention to trading opportunities and execute buy orders, this is a good profit. At present, the price of gold is around 2932. I think the momentum of gold's short-term rise is still very strong. Before that, when the price of gold fell back to 2916 and 2925, buying opportunities were released respectively. I believe that many people followed the precise instructions and made good transactions. If you continue to hold a buy order, don't worry about continuing to hold it. If you are still on the sidelines, you can buy at the current price and wait for the rise of XAUUSD. The target is to close near 2940 and then lock in profits. If you are a short trader, you can sell XAUUSD near the high pressure position above 2940 and wait for a technical pullback. You can leave me a message at any time if you have any questions. I will reply in time when I see it. If you don't want to miss any real-time news. It is best to keep paying attention to avoid missing important trading opportunities and regret it.
TVC:GOLDLong
by JAKE_T0
EUR/CAD - 1H Trade Setup Must Follow🔹 Pair: EUR/CAD 🔹 Timeframe: 1H 🔹 Analysis Type: Break & Retest 📊 Market Structure: The price was respecting an ascending trendline but has now broken below it, indicating a possible trend reversal. A bearish break of structure has occurred, confirming a shift to the downside. Key Supply Zone around 1.48775, acting as resistance. Key Demand Zone around 1.47516, a potential target area. 📉 Trade Setup (Short Position): ✅ Entry: After the break of the trendline and a bearish retest near 1.48400 - 1.48775. 📍 Stop Loss: Above the recent high (1.48775). 🎯 Take Profit: 1.47516, aligning with the next demand zone. 📏 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist: ✅ Break & Retest of trendline ✅ Rejection from Supply Zone ✅ Momentum shift to bearish 📌 Keep an eye on price action around 1.48400; if price shows rejection with bearish confirmations, this setup remains valid. 🚀 Good luck & trade safe!
Short
by naumanfx_
Gold in Correction Mode – How Low Can It Go!?As I expected in the previous post , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and with good momentum . Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,916-$2,905) and the 100_SMA(1-hour) . 100_SMA(1-hour) was an important support for Gold so that every time Gold hit this moving average, it started to increase. Also, Gold's movements seem to be corrective since the market opened . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Gold is in Corrective Waves , and according to Gold's falling momentum , it is possible that Gold will have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) in front of it. In addition, if you look at the Gold chart in the 4-hour or Daily time frame , you will notice that there is a possibility of Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) . I expect Gold to attack at least the Support zone($2,890-$2,879) in the coming hours, and if this zone breaks , we should wait for Gold to drop to at least $2,865 . Note: If Gold can go above 100_SMA(1-hour) again, or rather, if Gold touches $2,920, we should expect more pumps. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
10
What to do if you hold a short position?Dear Traders, Gold has continued its upward movement, supported by strong buying interest, pushing above 2930, with bullish momentum regaining control. However, at this stage, I do not believe it is wise to chase further long positions in gold. I am currently still holding short positions in gold, and despite its apparent strength, I am not concerned about my short positions. This is because gold is once again facing resistance at previous highs, and according to the trendline, the 2936-2940 region remains a key resistance zone. Therefore, it is likely that gold will pull back upon reaching this zone and test support in the 2915-2910 region. In terms of short-term trading, I will continue to short gold in batches above 2930, using the 2936-2940 resistance zone, and expect a retracement towards the 2915 area. Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Long xauusd again made a big profitAfter the last transaction, the order successfully reached tp. The trader who followed made a good profit on the last transaction because the increase was more than 30 p. The current position of gold price is around 2930, facing the upper pressure level. Combining technical indicators and trend lines to judge that the short-term gold price will be blocked and then sharply corrected and fell. The upper pressure level that needs to be paid attention to is around 2940. If you are concerned about when the gold price will fall and have seen this article, then you can consider following the trading plan to short. Xauusd: Sell, 2930. Sl2945. Tp2900.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Beck_Ledley