Bearish drop?XAU/USD has broken out of the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,589.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,617.67
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2,555.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD: Big Dump On The Way, worth 1000+ pips! OANDA:XAUUSD
Price failed to reach 2640$ region where we had expected price to drop from, since the bearish pressure is too high at the moment. In our view gold will continue to drop until we can see some bullish pressure and bearish exhaustion until then the trend is extremely bullish. No major correction may occurs based on the current price momentum. Good luck.
Gold Analysis November 13fundamental analysis
Gold prices pared some of their modest intraday gains, although they held above $2,600 heading into the European session on Wednesday. Uncertainty over the extent of trade tariffs promised by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and their impact on the global economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, spurring some flows into the precious metal. In addition, some repositioning ahead of U.S. consumer inflation data turned out to be another supportive factor for the commodity.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar (USD) held steady at its highest level since early May amid hopes that Trump’s expansionary policies could boost inflation and limit the scope for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The outlook still favors rising US Treasury yields, which, in turn, restrains any further upside for non-yielding Gold.
Technical Analysis
Yesterday, Gold fell back to the 618 Fibo extension level and this morning broke down from 2598 and flew up to 2613. We are currently waiting for a Break to find a Buy point, or at least a correction to the Retracement point at 2603 to detect a Buy signal, because at 2608 like this is a bit half-hearted. Choosing an uptrend for today, but it is only a correction, so before tonight's news, I will choose to buy with a short TP to the 2625 area (in case of breakout at 2615)
The SELL levels of 2625 - 2627, 2644 - 2646, 2658 - 2660 will be updated immediately at the time of real-time signal, the admins will notify.
The best Buy signal below is to wait for a break of 2593, the price will return to the levels of 2586, 2576 - 2574, a false break through 2565 to catch the entry of 2562 is also good, for other areas, scalp and don't expect too long, at least from the 2574 area onwards to think about holding.
GOLD BUYING ON DIP TILL 2900$HELLO FRIENDS
As I can see gold had done a retracement from ATH 2790 TO 2590$ It was a 1000+ pips retracement and have a look on Fib retracement it kiss golden ratio 0.50 and made a fake breakout to the support channel today candle closing above this support zone is another clue for a new Bull Run of incoming year 2025 as we can see geopolitical tension are escalating and still there is nor cease fire Trump is just a Hope for US not a Full Solution to set the economy in my view he is the man who is just only a hope but it will not work charts are crystal clear Tomorrow CPI Data can create some volatility in markets so make a proper sear is just a trade idea with small risk and big rewards we are looking for ur support and love boost it so many other new traders can join the rally Stay Tuned for more updates
XAUUSD:13/11 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2710, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2626, support below 2580
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold ushered in a wide range of long and short shocks in the shock. The gold price in the Asian session continued the previous day's weak downward adjustment, reaching 2589 and stabilizing and rebounding. Finally, the gold price formed a bottoming out and rebounded strongly in the US session to around 2617. Then it continued to fluctuate sideways.
Today's key support below focuses on yesterday's low of 2588-90. If it stabilizes at this position, it can be long in the short term. The upper short-term resistance focuses on the 2626 line. Strong resistance suppresses the 2638-40 line. Rely on this range to maintain high-selling and low-buying transactions during the day. The short-term long-short dividing line is near 2626, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Be alert to the rapid reshuffle of the market caused by the CPI news in NY time.
SELL:2638near SL:2641
SELL:2626near SL:2730
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Today's Trend Analysis and SignalsGold's late-session high-fall continued the weak adjustment pattern. Technical trading ideas: Continue to short at high prices during the day's rebound! The hourly chart Bollinger Bands narrowed, with the upper track at 2616 and the lower track at 2590. The current market 2616 is today's long-short dividing line!
Gold is still weak, and the rebound is limited. The rebound is an opportunity to go short. Gold rebounded at 2616 in the Asian session and went short directly. The market is changing rapidly. Plan your trades and trade your plans. Gold is still rebounding at the moment. The rebound is an opportunity to continue to go short.
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still distributed downward, and the rebound is limited. Gold also fell back after rising in the NY period, indicating that gold is only rebounding and has not reversed. Then gold will continue to go short. Gold will go short directly near 2616 in the Asian session.
First support: 2690, second support: 2579, third support: 2563
First resistance: 2616, second resistance: 2625, third resistance: 2639
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2586-2588
SELL: 2616-2618
GOLD Finally Giving Bullish P.A ,Are You Ready To Get 500 Pips ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Short-Term Rebound in Gold, but Bearish Trend PersistsGold experienced a brief rebound today, rising nearly $15 during the Asian session. This rally is primarily driven by an oversold bounce, and while there may still be some upward movement during the U.S. session, the overall trend remains bearish. Since Trump's election victory, the U.S. economy has continued to show strength, further driving the U.S. dollar higher, putting additional downward pressure on gold.
The market is now focused on today's U.S. CPI data, as investors will assess whether this will prompt the Federal Reserve to continue its rate-cutting policy after December. If the CPI report is bearish, gold may face more significant downside pressure, and the probability of further rate cuts by the Fed could increase.
As a result, gold remains in a bearish market for the remainder of this week, though we anticipate a gradual recovery starting next week. With only a few trading days left this week, the strategy should remain focused on shorting gold.
Today's Trading Strategy: During the U.S. session, gold may experience some upward movement. This provides an opportunity to continue shorting gold, especially ahead of the CPI data release. Be sure to implement stop-loss and take-profit orders to effectively manage risk.
I recommend following this approach for your trades. Ensure proper risk management with stop-loss and take-profit settings, securing profits while mitigating potential risks. If you need a more detailed strategy, feel free to reach out. I will share the complete weekly strategy with all VIP members.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Grab Your XAUUSD Scalping Chance!Market Analysis Summary:
Buy Opportunity: Targeting the 2620 zone from the 2606-08 level.
Sell Opportunity:
Market Structure: Overall bearish trend, indicating potential downward movement.
Upcoming Events: CPI report is on the horizon, which could introduce market volatility.
Key Points to Consider:
Monitor the 2730-27 zone for entry signals.
Watch for price action around 2690 for potential reversals.
Be prepared for fluctuations around the NFP release.
Stay informed and adjust your strategies accordingly!
XAU/USD 13 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - UniverseMetta - Analysis#XAUUSD - UniverseMetta - Analysis
The price worked out 5 waves on H4 of the corrective movement, forming a descending channel. On H4, a 3-wave structure from the lower border can be formed. In this case, it is better to consider the targets to the upper border or the maximum level of Fibo correction from the impulse wave. Also, on H1, you can see a triangle, which can implement a reversal within the channel, as well as a continuation of the fall when one of the triangle's bases is broken. Short-term signal.
Target Buy: 2644.858 - 2683.071
Target Sell: 2573.655 - 2545.889
Gold- In search for a bottomTrading OANDA:XAUUSD has been nothing short of a roller coaster since early October.
Initially, it seemed like the rally might never end, but now the drop is unfolding in a similar manner.
Although I anticipated a strong decline, I’ll admit that I didn’t expect it to be quite this steep.
Gold has now fallen 2,000 pips from its all-time high, and to me, it’s clear that the 2,800 level is likely to hold for a while.
However, the outlook for the downside remains uncertain. The price has broken below several key support zones and even briefly tested levels below the 2,600 mark.
On a positive note for the bulls, each dip below 2,600 has been met with a quick reversal, which may suggest a false breakout.
Whether this holds true is still unclear and requires confirmation—a move back above 2,620 would be a positive signal, potentially setting 2,660 as the next target.
On the downside, there is significant support at 2,525, although recent rebounds from 2,600 make it unlikely this level will be tested in the coming days (though with this level of volatility, anything is possible).
In summary, I am currently out of the market but will be watching closely for clear signs of a bottom to confirm a new buying opportunity.
If XAUUSD closes below 2588, IT AIN'T stopping before 2560As I look forward on the chart through technical point of view the nearest support to the gold is the Fvg zone where it is taking halt for some time and it is the 2590 to 2600, once it breaks it down there would be no looking back till 2560,
As the situation in the Us gives rise to the idea of fed not cutting interest rate down further in the coming moth of December and inflation data also seems like it is going to rise which further strengthens gold to stay above 2590 levels and it may bounce back to previous sessions highs which is around 2700. OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHARTXAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHART
XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD touched the resistance level of 2,613.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last hour. The pair moved to the resistance level of 2,613.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,608.
Set your stop loss at 2,615. below the previous low ($8.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,588. ($20.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold Set to Form “W” Bottom Based on the current price action, there is potential for a “W” bottom to form. If this pattern plays out, today’s high should surpass yesterday’s 2626. However, if the price falls below 2690, the key support levels to watch will be between 2578-2573. I personally believe the probability of this scenario is low.
Therefore, the strategy is to buy, but it’s essential to control position size and allow for some flexibility in case of unexpected adverse movements. Remain agile, seize the rebound opportunity, and manage risk effectively.
GOLD UPDATE: First Trade Floating +520 Pips. What's Next?Great start for the week! My final target hasn't been hit yet, floating +520 pips in profit. I'm expecting a pull back to retest QP 2650 which has a 38.2 fib confluence. I will be looking for some bearish price action around this level for a possible second entry. My final Target is still major QP 2600.
What are your thoughts on GOLD? Feel free to leave a comment and share your ideas.
GOLD TO THE MOON AGAINGold has shown retracement from his daily fair value gap, resulting in choppy market at H4 time frame, and showing a Change of Characters/ Market structure shift at M15 timeframe, which indicates that gold is now looking to give long possitions.
wait for the price to break above 2602, to find good long opportunities
Key Data Signals a Challenging Week AheadThis week, it is essential to prioritize a bearish stance on the gold market, aligning with the prevailing downtrend. As analyzed yesterday, the broader environment remains unfavorable for gold. Trump’s recent election victory continues to strengthen the U.S. dollar, and given his focus on boosting the American economy, gold is likely to face sustained downward pressure.
Additionally, key economic data scheduled for release this week—including Wednesday’s October Consumer Price Index (CPI), Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly jobless claims, and Friday’s retail sales data—are expected to weigh further on gold prices.
Therefore, the most prudent trading strategy this week is to focus on short positions in the gold market. For those following this analysis, this provides a clear trading direction. For a detailed, actionable trading strategy, please reach out. I will share the complete weekly strategy with all VIP members.