XAU/USDS 12 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD (Gold) - Major Breakdown Expected, Targeting 2600Gold (XAU/USD) is currently showing signs of exhaustion after a prolonged bullish rally that has taken the price above $2,700. Based on technical indicators and key levels, we are approaching a critical juncture where a major breakdown could be imminent.
Key Levels and Targets:
Bounce back test: $2,474
This level represents a possible short-term rebound zone before the downtrend resumes. It aligns with previous minor support, acting as a key resistance for now.
Critical Break-Down Level: $2,720
The price has been hovering around $2,720, which is a crucial support level. A daily or weekly close below this level would likely confirm a stronger downward move.
Ultimate Target: $2,600
Once the break of $2,720 is confirmed, the next major target stands at $2,600. This level represents a deeper retracement in line with the completion of a larger cycle of profit-taking in the broader market.
Technical Indicators:
RSI Divergence: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows bearish divergence, signaling a potential reversal from overbought conditions.
Bearish Flag Pattern: There is a bearish flag forming, which typically precedes a strong breakdown. The current price action fits within this pattern, further supporting a potential downside move.
Scenario Planning:
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break below $2,720 is expected to trigger a quick move down to $2,600. At this point, it would confirm a reversal in the current rally, potentially signaling the end of the ongoing bull trend.
Bullish Scenario (Less Likely): If prices manage to hold above $2,720 and break above the resistance at $2,748, the bull trend could resume, possibly testing the previous highs.
XAUUSD / FURTHER DECLINE / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4HTIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
. Current Downtrend: The price is currently in a downward movement.
Demand Zone (Support): The analysis identifies a demand zone between $2,565 and $2,551. A demand zone typically represents a price level where buying interest is strong, potentially causing the price to stabilize or increase.
Expectation if Stabilization Occurs , If the price stabilizes above this demand zone, it suggests a potential rebound , The price may then move upward to reach a supply zone between $2,618 and $2,618. (It seems this zone might have been mistyped, as it should likely be a range.)
Further Increase if Supply Zone Breaks , If the price closes above the supply zone with a 4-hour (4H) candle, this signals continued upward momentum , This could lead to an increase toward a higher supply zone between $2,732 and $2,749.
Further Decline if Demand Zone Breaks , If the price falls below the demand zone (between $2,565 and $2,551), this suggests a likely continuation of the downtrend, with further declines in price expected.
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHARTXAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under selling pressure within the last day . The pair moved up to the level of 2,590.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy order at 2,592.
Set your stop loss at 2,585. below the previous low ($7.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,625. ($32.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Trade Plan- No. 1 (Technical + Fundamental)Several weeks ago I indicated that "Bear Market: 2024 United States presidential election, Nov 5, 2024"
What happened next?
Greed kills!
Gold-Trade Plan (No. (1))
Short-Term overview
Bias: Bearish
price: 2668 , 1 Ethereum = 1.18642 XAU (Nov 11, 2024)
Stop level: $ 2700
Target-1: $ 2595
Target-2: $ 2515
Fundamental:
Bearish!
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
We broke our Key Level mentioned in our channel 2678 . Breaking below it, resulted in a price drop and a clear direction setup. We are now targeting our next KL (Key Level) at 2650 and if broken, we could very easily revisit 2600s (2604.700) to be exact. Overall we will be looking for sells at this point, even though we are extremely bullish on XAUUSD. 2600s is a key demand zone and we could continue back up from there.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD broke 2678 and dug deeper in the price.
- Break of 2650 (our next KL) would result in more sells.
- Possible revisits of the key demand zone at 2600s.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Could the Gold reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and is also slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,589.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and also slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,555.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2,641.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Why Gold Fall Down! And What Is The Next?Hello Traders
Technically
When OANDA:XAUUSD dropped from 2790 gold become fully bearish and i also shared ideas for sell till 2682 but when 2682 could not stable and dropped from 2682 i gives you another target of 2640.
i gave you 2640 target because there was liquidity in 4H and 1D time frame Gold Has filled its liquidity gap and also completed its 4th impulsive wave in H4 and 1D time frame, Now is time to boom for 5th wave and the target is 2864.
Fundamentally
Greed increasing
fear decreased
Gold Analysis November 11Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices held firm around the $2,672-$2,670 range as they entered the European session on Monday, looking vulnerable to extending their recent pullback from an all-time high hit on October 31. The US dollar (USD) remained slightly below a four-month peak hit last Thursday amid optimism over Donald Trump’s expected expansionary policies, becoming the main factor weighing on the commodity for the second straight day.
In the meantime, investors appear to believe that Trump’s policies could boost economic growth and boost inflation, while limiting the Federal Reserve’s ability to ease aggressively. This has helped keep US Treasury yields high and contributed to outflows from non-yielding gold. However, a lighter risk appetite could limit losses for the safe-haven XAU/USD as traders await US consumer inflation data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech later this week.
Technical Analysis
The key breakout zone of 2663-2665 acts as immediate support in the European session on Monday. When this zone is broken, we will not buy half and wait for a retest to sell the breakout to the 2643 zone. When the price bounces strongly from the 2670 zone, the trend is that we will wait to buy when there are Dow breakout points. Our targets are around the 2706 and 2726 zones for SELL plans.
XAUUSD: Today's Strategy—Buy LowFollowing yesterday's significant decline in gold prices, short-term indicators show a strong rebound potential. Today’s strategy is to buy at lower levels and wait for prices to rise above $2,640, at which point we can adjust the approach based on market movements. The detailed strategy was shared during yesterday’s session, so please refer to it if you need clarification. If you have any questions regarding trades, feel free to leave a comment, and I’ll be happy to assist.
GOLD - at his final support? what's next??#GOLD.. perfectly hit our targeted area that was share in my last idea.
now keep close the our fresh region. that is from 2613 14 to 2620 21
that region is one n only hope for buyers. keep close it guys.
that is single hope for buyers. if market hold it in that case you can see again bounce from here. otherwise not at all.
dont be lazy here. stay sharp.
good luck
trade wisely
Scalping XAU ! decreasing trend M15SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Trump's win has raised questions about whether the US Federal Reserve might slow its pace of rate cuts, supporting the Greenback and pressuring USD-denominated Gold.
"The dollar and yield rally is weighing on gold, as rising real interest rates typically reduce demand for safe-haven assets," said Matthew Jones, precious metals analyst at London’s Solomon Global. "However, from a broader perspective, the outlook remains ‘as good as gold,’” he added.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Trendline M15 - downtrend - break and retest sideway M15 XAU/USD
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2669 - $2671 SL $2674
TP1: $2664
TP2: $2658
TP3: $2650
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: Eyeing a Short Position Above 2650With market volatility now reduced after today’s decline, a short-term rebound is likely tomorrow. If gold prices reach above 2650, it could offer an optimal shorting opportunity with a target range between 2580 -2560. While it may take some time to hit this target, there’s also the possibility of a quick move down to these levels. I view this as a solid setup for a long-term trading plan, with opportunities to add smaller swing trades in between. For those interested in participating, feel free to contact me for detailed trading insights and information.
How to layout gold under a sharp declineOn Monday, gold faced a severe downturn, plummeting by $60, setting a bearish tone for the week.
Fundamental Analysis: Following Trump's victory, the U.S. dollar strengthened as investors anticipated a shift from the Federal Reserve toward a less dovish stance. The market expects that Trump’s proposed economic policies will pave the way for high economic growth in the U.S., potentially complicating the Fed’s efforts to control inflation. This scenario may prompt the Fed to reassess its future policy easing path. All signs point to significant downward pressure on the gold market, suggesting that any rally could provide an opportunity to short.
Technical Analysis: On the hourly chart, gold prices appear to be stabilizing around the 2613 level, indicating that an initial oversold rebound may be imminent.
Current Gold Strategy: Consider long positions around 2613. If prices rebound to approximately 2625, this could serve as an entry point for short positions.
For those following this analysis, these insights should clarify the general trading direction for the week. For a detailed strategy, feel free to reach out. I will be sharing the complete weekly trading strategy with all VIP members.
XAUUSD / TRADING DEMAND ZONE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Time Frame and Initial Target , The analysis is based on a 4-hour (4H) chart, which is commonly used for short- to medium-term trading insights, A previous target was reached with a +550 pip profit due to a decline to the demand zone, implying successful movement in line with expectations.
Current Price Movement , Prices are trying to reach $2,605 in the demand zone , As long as prices remain above this level, there is potential for an increase, likely moving toward a supply zone between $2,687 and $2,708.
Possible Downside , If prices break below and stabilize under $2,605, this could signal a further decline to the next demand zone between $2,565 and $2,551.
Overall Market Pressure , The trend shows upward pressure, but breaking the demand zone between $2,565 and $2,551 could confirm a downtrend, indicating a bearish shift if support does not hold.
XAUUSD: BUYThe price of gold has recently experienced a significant drop. Some traders may have hit their stop-loss levels, while others are still holding their positions. Typically, after such a rapid decline, the market tends to see a minor rebound, with the expected rebound range between 2643-2657. However, based on the current technical pattern, gold has formed a "head and shoulders" pattern, which often signals the potential for further downside. It is anticipated that the price of gold may drop to around 2600 in the near term.
XAUUSD: From $2720 To $2500 A Move of 2200+ Pips ! Comment DownOANDA:XAUUSD
Price dropped after creating a record high at 2790$, price dropped as mainly due to US Elections and aftermath of the election. We can see price to drop further after filling up the fair value gap within the market. Please do your own research before taking any decision. Good Luck.
XAUUSD: 11/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2761, support 2638
Four-hour resistance 2678, support 2638
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall gold price fell sharply from a high level. Today, Monday, the short position continued from last Friday, and the trend is still mainly short selling.
Judging from the current market trend, we still need to continue to be bearish on the market this week. Pay attention to the short-term 2668 line pressure on the upper side. The key pressure point on the upper side is maintained at 2675~2680, which is also the dividing line between long and short this week. The key support below is maintained near 2638. Once it continues to break down, it is very likely to start a large downward trend. The operation is still treated as rebound short selling, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2668near
SELL:2638near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAUUSD / UNDER DEMAND ZONE PRESSURE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
This analysis describes a potential price movement for gold within a 1-hour timeframe based on demand and supply zones:
The demand zone is identified between $2,643 and $2,659. The text suggests that if gold prices stabilize at or above this zone, it could signal an upward move.
If prices stabilize within or above the demand zone, they may rise to the supply zone, located between $2,688 and $2,703 , If prices surpass the supply zone, the next target level mentioned is $2,710.
If prices break below the demand zone (below $2,643), it could indicate a potential decline , In this case, target levels would be $2,618 and $2,605.
Gold’s Pullback May Signal New Buying OpportunityGold began the week on a weak note, with its price dropping by around 200 pips from peak to trough.
However, as I mentioned in my Friday analysis, a potential bottom may be forming, giving bulls hope for a recovery.
Currently, Gold is trading precisely within a former resistance zone that now acts as support.
As long as this level holds, there is a favorable outlook for a reversal.
For now, I remain optimistic about a rebound, with potential for the price to climb back above 2700.