XAUUSD: Real-time trading at the current price, check it outYesterday's Federal Reserve January policy meeting minutes highlighted: "Upward risks to the inflation outlook" and "some other factors are considered to be likely to hinder the process of inflation decline" and the expectation of interest rate cuts as important support for the short-term rebound in gold prices. This has made our long orders successfully profitable.
After the Asian market started today, the market hit the highest position of 2950 and then quickly fell back. The impact of this news on the market after a night of digestion has been very small. Regarding the peace talks, the US Department of State is also urging the Ukrainian national leaders to sign the peace talks agreement, which means that this peace talks is very meaningful.
From the trend chart of gold prices, the overall upward momentum is still very weak. After the London market opened, the gold price continued to fall. The lowest point was 2924. It is currently fluctuating at a low level. It is expected to fall sharply today. The operation is mainly short at high levels.
xauusd: Choose to sell near the current price of 2930,2934-2937
TP2915
TP2905
SL2945
Detailed operations will be updated in Jack's analysis circle. Keep paying attention to the follow-up results, and leave me a message at any time if you have any questions.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Xauusdanalysis
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 17-21 FEB, 20251. Double Top Formation:
First Peak: The price reached the resistance zone ($2,940) and got rejected.
Second Peak: The price attempted to break this level again but faced rejection, forming the second top.
Neckline (Support Zone at $2,875 - $2,885): The price is now testing this area, which acts as a key decision point.
2. Bearish Confirmation (If Breakdown Happens):
If the price breaks below $2,875 and closes below this level, it confirms the double top.
The next potential downside target would be around $2,800 - $2,810 (measured move from the top to neckline).
3. Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Rebound (Invalidates Double Top):
If the price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and bounces up, it could retest $2,940 - $2,960 again.
This would turn the pattern into a fakeout, leading to another bullish move.
❌ Bearish Breakdown (Confirms Double Top):
A clean break and close below $2,875 signals more downside.
Target: $2,810 (or lower if momentum continues).
4. Trading Strategy:
Short Entry (Bearish):
If price breaks below $2,875, enter a sell position.
Stop-loss: Above $2,890 (to avoid fakeouts).
Take profit: $2,810 (or trail SL if trend continues).
Long Entry (Bullish Reversal):
If price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and forms bullish confirmation (like a hammer or engulfing candle).
Stop-loss: Below $2,870 to protect from a fake breakout.
Take profit: $2,940 - $2,960.
Final Thought: If this is truly a double top, a break below the neckline could trigger a bigger correction. But if buyers step in, it could flip into a breakout-retest strategy instead.
Gold price analysis February 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell as investors booked profits ahead of the release of key US economic data, including PMI and PCE inflation.
The Fed minutes did not change expectations for two rate cuts this year, but maintained a cautious stance. If the economy is strong and inflation is high, the Fed may not be in a hurry to ease policy.
Gold prices may fluctuate in the short term following economic data, but are still supported by concerns about Trump's tax policies and Russia-Ukraine tensions.
Despite the correction, gold remains a safe haven, and dips can be good buying opportunities.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold price is heading towards 2920 and this area is the most important area for gold today. When breaking 2920, pay attention to the 2906 area for BUY signals and just wait for the test beats to sell around 2920 when this area is broken. When gold bounces from 2920, the market continues to want to increase. As long as there is any close above 2928, gold will soon regain the resistance level of 2944. Wish everyone the best trading strategy.
World gold prices increased in the context of the USD fallingFinancial markets became more concerned on Thursday due to concerns of new tariffs from the US and rising tensions between the US and Europe. In addition, the tense relationship between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy also makes the market uneasy, especially when there are signs that Donald Trump may be leaning towards Russian President Vladimir Putin in negotiations on the Russia-Ukraine war.
Gold prices delivered in April maintain a strong upward trend, with the main motivation coming from safe haven demand and speculative cash flow. Currently, the important resistance level is identified at 2,973.4 USD/ounce - the highest level just established, followed by 2,985 USD/ounce. If gold surpasses $3,000/ounce, the upward momentum could continue.
Resist : 2954 , 3000
Support : 2933 , 2900 , 2850
Gold price analysis February 20⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The rally came after US President Donald Trump said a trade deal with China was possible. Geopolitical concerns increased after US President Trump said Ukraine had started a war with Russia and hinted that it was time to pay back all the aid it had provided to the US.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting minutes from Wednesday night had little impact. Only a few members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) favored stable interest rates and were in no rush to cut. Considering this, the possibility of a rate cut in June remains.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices are currently difficult to trade as they are at an all-time high. any recovery to the breakout points is considered the best opportunity to buy gold towards the 3000 peak. Watch for recovery points around 2940-2920 for BUY signals and watch the 2970 area as today's major resistance.
Short gold againAs I mentioned in my previous article, I anticipated that gold might pull back to the 2930-2925 region, or even extend to the 2910 region, during today or tomorrow's New York trading session. Clearly, gold has retraced as expected and hit my target zone of 2930-2925. Our short position around 2954 has once again yielded a very favorable profit, totaling 270 pips.
Currently, gold has experienced a slight rebound, but it’s evident that the bullish momentum is weakening while bearish control is strengthening. After the accelerated short squeeze phase, 2955 may become the high for this stage. Moreover, as geopolitical risks decrease, the bullish momentum for gold further weakens, making it likely that gold could further dip and test the 2920-2910 support zone.
Therefore, for current short-term trading, I believe it might be a good idea to consider shorting gold again in the 2935-2940 region.Bros, will you follow me and short gold again? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders,
When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider.
1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge
Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality.
1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing
In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%).
This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures.
2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy
Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K.
This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy.
3. Rate cut expectations are delayed
With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025.
Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates.
4. Liquidity is shrinking
On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting.
From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play.
---
2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes
Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out:
> “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.”
This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market:
1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021.
2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled.
3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs.
The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market.
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3. Why did gold pull back?
In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following:
1. A stronger U.S. dollar
Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum.
2. Rising real interest rates
The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal.
3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets
Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
4. Technical resistance
From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback.
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4. Technical Analysis
Weekly Chart
It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes.
Four-Hour Chart
The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated.
Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA.
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GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD: The best position for long gold prices is 2930-2935At present, there is no support from the dominant news. Combined with technical observations, the best buying point in the Asian market is 2930. The second buying position is 2935
tp2945.
sl2925.
Before there is clear negative news, continue to continue the long trading idea.
GOLD - where is current support? Holds or not??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our analysis and now we have important supporting region from 2932 to 2935-36
Keep close that region because that is our tomorrow most important supporting region.
If market holds that in that case we can see a bounce towards ARH again otherwise keep in mind that below that we will go for CUT N REVERSE on confirmation ..
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold prices are also maintaining at historic peak levelsAccording to analysis, the domestic and foreign gold markets are being strongly influenced by the forums of the US Federal Reserve (FED) and the main US trade lists.
Recently, President Donald Trump continued to announce that he could impose a 25% tax on imported cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals...
Investors continue to look to gold as a safe foreign channel, amid worries about international trade tensions and negotiations to end the conflict in Ukraine that have not yet had positive results as expected.
The USD index remained at its lowest level in about 2 months, around 106.9 points, also supporting the rise of gold prices.
XAUUSD READY TO BOOM 3000?Market Structure:
I N B O X- F O R -T R A D E -S I G N A L S
The price has been in an uptrend but recently experienced a pullback.
After making a higher high, the market retraced and is now showing a possible bullish reversal.
Trade Setup:
A long (buy) position is placed, with the entry point around 2,935.725.
Stop-Loss (SL): 2,927.165 (marked in red).
Take-Profit (TP): 2,955.208 (marked in blue).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The trade is structured with a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:1, which indicates a balanced approach to risk management.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 2,930.000 (recent low).
Resistance: 2,955.000 (target level).
If price breaks above the 2,955 resistance, the next target could be 2,970+.
Possible Trading Strategy:
Bullish Confirmation: If price sustains above 2,941, it could indicate further upside momentum.
Bearish Risk: If price falls below 2,935, the trade setup might become invalid, leading to a stop-loss hit.
Conclusion:
📌 The market is currently at a key decision point. If the price maintains above 2,935, buyers may push towards the 2,955 level. However, if the price breaks below support, a deeper pullback may occur. Risk management is crucial in this setup.
price line up new ATH, strong bulls⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains traction in the Asian session on Thursday, staying near its record high from the previous day. Concerns over a potential global trade war rise as US President Donald Trump threatens new tariffs, boosting demand for the safe-haven metal. Meanwhile, a drop in US Treasury yields further supports gold's appeal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Bulls dominate, uptrend continues to create new ATH, a series of new tariff policies will be announced in the near future
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2956 - $2958 SL $2963
TP1: $2950
TP2: $2940
TP3: $2930
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2926 - $2928 SL $2923 scalping
TP1: $2932
TP2: $2936
TP3: $2942
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2893 - $2895 SL $2887
TP1: $2902
TP2: $2910
TP3: $2920
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 19.02.2025📊 Market Structure & Price Action Analysis:
Uptrend Confirmation: Gold has been respecting the ascending channel since $2,880, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Key Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, which aligns with the trendline support and has held twice.
Rejection from Resistance: $2,939, suggesting a temporary pullback before another bullish leg.
Potential Buy Zone: If price revisits $2,923 - $2,925 and holds, it presents a good long opportunity.
📈 Intraday Scalping Trade Signal (BUY Setup)
✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (Wait for confirmation with bullish price action)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,939 (Short-term target)
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,946 - $2,950 (Channel resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $2,915 (Trendline breakdown invalidates setup)
⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher
🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entry:
✅ Bullish Candlestick Formation (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar at support)
✅ Trendline & Support Hold at $2,923 - $2,925
✅ Volume Increase on Buy Pressure
✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Additional Confirmation
⚠ Risk Management:
Exit immediately if price closes below $2,915, as it would indicate a trendline breakdown.
Move SL to Breakeven once TP1 is hit.
Avoid Chasing Entry if price already starts moving higher without touching the buy zone.
📌 Trading Tip: Monitor gold's reaction at $2,923 - $2,925; a strong bounce confirms bullish strength. 🚀
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