Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold was attempting a recovery from the Support Zone but remained below both the 50 and 200 MAs, meaning bearish pressure was still intact.
Since then, price has broken and held above $3,298, and is now trading around $3,330, just beneath the 200MA.
This marks a shift in short-term momentum — gold has reclaimed the 50MA and is now challenging the 200MA.
If bulls manage to break and hold above the $3,327 resistance, it could open the path toward $3,352 - $3,364 and potentially higher resistance zones.
However, if price rejects the 200MA and fails to hold above $3,327, we may see a pullback toward $3,298 or deeper into $3,270, where bulls could look to reload.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,327 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400
Support:
$3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
📌 Fed Chair Powell speaks today at the ECB Forum in Portugal.
Markets will closely watch for any shift in tone on inflation or rate outlook. His comments may influence USD direction and gold volatility.
📌 ISM Manufacturing PMI – a key gauge of economic activity. A strong print may pressure gold; a weak reading could support it.
📌 JOLTS Job Openings – offers insight into labor market strength. A tighter market could delay rate cuts and weigh on gold.
With multiple risk events packed into today, expect increased volatility across the board.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold price analysis July 1On the D1 chart, the price has recovered positively when the candle closed above 50% of the decrease range of last Friday's session. This shows that buying power is returning and a new uptrend is forming, with the target heading towards the GAP zone around 3363.
Today's trading strategy:
Prioritize buying (BUY) if the price has a correction to the support zone of 3300.
Sell strategy should only be implemented at important resistance zones, with short-term profit expectations because the main trend is leaning towards the uptrend.
Important technical levels:
Support: 3300 - 3337 - 3360
Resistance: 3334 - 3348 - 3363
GOLD SHORT TRADE IDEA ! Gold Looking For Sell On Order Block Zone 3331/3334 Target Will Be 3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish Engulfing + Fresh Supply Target Will Be 3275
Gold Sell First Zone OB H1 (3331/3335
Stoploss - 3345
Tp Levels - 3325,3320,3310,3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish EG + Fresh Supply (3338/3344)
Stoploss - 3350
TP levels : 3330; 3322; 3314; 3330, 3290
7/1 Gold Analysis and PMI Data Trading StrategyGood afternoon, everyone!
Gold has now entered a resistance zone, and on the 30-minute chart, a technical correction appears likely. This correction typically takes one of two forms:
A direct pullback from current levels;
A minor upward push before the pullback, intensifying the need for correction.
In most cases, the second scenario doesn’t result in a large move—unless it’s accompanied by strong news. Given this setup, today’s trading idea is to:
Start with a small short position near current resistance;
Add to the position if price pushes slightly higher, and patiently wait for a pullback. This strategy has shown over 80% historical success rate.
Key support levels to watch:
If the price rises before pulling back: 3321–3316
If the price drops directly: 3313–3306
On the 4-hour chart, the rebound is not yet complete, so if the pullback finds solid support, there’s still room for buy-side setups in line with the short-term trend.
⚠️ Important: U.S. PMI data will be released during the New York session. Strategy depends on pre-release price positioning:
If price remains below 3312, and the data is bullish → look for long setups.
If price is above 3323, wait for a post-data rally to sell into.
If the data is bearish → consider selling immediately.
Stay flexible, manage your positions wisely, and trade with discipline ahead of the U.S. session.
Gold is rising. Second starting point?Information summary:
1. The US dollar index has experienced the longest consecutive monthly decline since 2017. The weakening of the US dollar has increased the attractiveness of gold denominated in US dollars to non-US dollar holders, becoming an important support factor for gold prices.
2. Trump's continued pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has formed a resonance effect with the weakening of the US dollar, which has jointly pushed up the short-term attractiveness of gold.
Multiple factors are intertwined, and gold has risen slightly again.
Market analysis:
Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, showing a positive closing, and above 3300. After falling sideways for 5 consecutive trading days last week, although it fell for a short time on Monday, it did not continue. In this case, whether a new high can be reached, the watershed is the 3295 line. As long as the European session breaks the high, the long position is near the starting point of 3305 in the early trading session.
At present, the main focus is on the upper resistance around 3325. It opened directly upward on Tuesday, but did not break through too much space, unless it directly broke through 3325-3330; then the next resistance is around 3340. At present, the bulls are still running at a high level. The upward trend line generated after the reversal is more obvious, and the trend line has good effectiveness.
Since the current market is in the first wave of rise, the high point has not been confirmed. Quaid believes that when the high point is clear and the price falls back to the support area, consider entering the market to go long based on the support level. Of course, aggressive trading can choose to buy around 3320 and choose a suitable high point to take profit.
Operation strategy:
Short near the rebound 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3310-3300
Long near the fall 3305, stop loss 3290, profit range 3320-3335
XAUUSD 15min – Bearish Setup | Short Trade Plan Below 3328Price action on Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of exhaustion near the 3,328 resistance zone, where we anticipate potential bearish rejection. A short opportunity may unfold once confirmation occurs below the key structural level of 3316.
Sell Trade Setup:
🔹 Primary Entry (Sell Entry 1):
📍 Zone: Around 3,328.29
📌 Reaction expected near major supply & resistance zone.
🔹 Confirmation Entry (Sell Entry 2):
📍 Below 3,316
📌 Break below structure may trigger bearish momentum.
Targets:
🎯 TP 1: 3,296.97 (Initial reaction zone)
🎯 TP 2: 3,276.64 (Mid support/EMA cross zone)
🎯 TP 3: 3,259.88 (Key structural support)
🎯 Extended TP:
3,243.94 (Re-entry confirmation level)
3,225.53 (Prior base structure)
3,202.45 (Final target if strong momentum follows)
3,159.31 (Ultimate low if sellers dominate trend)
Re-Entry Plan:
🔄 If price retraces after TP 3, watch for rejection at 3,243.94 to re-enter short toward the next levels.
Confluence Factors:
✔ 45° TPC angle supports bearish path
✔ Structure break expected below 3316
✔ EMA resistance and trendline rejection from upper zone
✔ Volatility cluster observed near 3,328 – ideal for trap setup
Bias:
Bearish below 3,316 – Expecting a downward continuation if structure confirms breakdown.
Author:
📅 1 July 2025
📊 Chart: XAUUSD – 15min
🧠 Shared by: @THEPATELCRYPTO
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500
This is a major decision zone.
Current market structure:
🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS
What to watch:
We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here.
🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone:
→ HTF and LTF trends align to the upside
→ Potential continuation of the bullish move
🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone:
→ Then this recent up-move could be a pullback
→ We may see a new low forming — so be cautious
📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed):
• 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone)
• 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone)
We will watch these levels closely.
If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly.
📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
The latest analysis and layout of gold in July made a good start📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis:
Yesterday, we gave the idea of looking at the upper resistance of 3310-3320. The 4H pressure is still at 3327. As long as this key resistance level is not effectively broken, gold will fall again. On the contrary, if it stabilizes above 3327, the trend may reverse. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance of 3327. If it is not broken, you can short with a light position. If it falls below 3300-3290, consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3310-3320
TP 3305-3300
BUY 3300-3290
TP 3310-3320-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The limit is 3320. Rebound and still short📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3295, reaching our ideal trading area. I have given the short-selling trading idea in the previous post. At present, in the short term, we still maintain the short-selling trading idea before effectively breaking through the upper resistance. Focus on the 3325 line of resistance
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3295-3310-3320
TP 3285-3270
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Exclusive operation suggestions for future market trends!!!Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, so wait patiently for room for future gains. Technically, from the current hourly chart, the gold entity has always been above 3278, and it only pierced through 3275 and then began to rebound. If the retracement does not break the 618 position, there will inevitably be a high point in the future. So next, we should focus on the vicinity of 3280. If gold always closes above 3280, then the high point of 3297 on Monday is likely to be refreshed. Secondly, from the perspective of 123 seeking 4, if it goes up again, it is very likely to touch around 3310. 3310 is exactly around 618. And it is also the top position of this hourly chart range. Therefore, gold should be shorted above 3280 with caution, and the probability of touching above 3300 is very high. In terms of operation, it is recommended to directly enter the market to go long near 3280, and look at 3310-3320. If you want to short, you must wait at least for 3310-3320 before you can enter the market to short once.
GOLD Breakout Done Let`s Buy It To Get Clear 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on 30 mins T.F , We have a very good bullish price action and we have a very good breakout with amazing bullish candle and now the price back to retest the breakout area , it`s my fav place to enter a buy trade and the price can move 200 Pips easy , i`m waiting for retest and good bullish price action to enter a buy trade .
Short gold, it will fall again when encountering resistanceIn the short term, gold retreated to around 3274 and then rebounded again, and it is only one step away from 3300. Will gold regain its bullish trend again?
I think it is difficult for gold to break through in the short term. Although gold retreated to around 3274 and successfully built a double bottom structure with the second low point and the low point of 3245, it only increased the rebound space; it is not enough for gold to regain its bullish trend. Since gold fell and broke through, the confidence of bulls has been hit hard. The previous support at the technical level has formed a strong resistance area after the top and bottom conversion, and to a certain extent helped the short force. In the short term, gold faces resistance in the 3310-3320 area. Before gold breaks through this area, the short energy still has the upper hand.
Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading.
It is appropriate to consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area, and look at the target: 3385-3375-3365
Go long on dips and short on rallies📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last week we predicted that gold would rebound. Today, after gold rebounded as expected, we gave a short trading strategy. Gold fell precisely at the point we gave, 3295, and successfully hit our TP3280-3270. The result confirmed the correctness of our trading strategy. Next, we will focus on the long trading opportunities below 3270-3260.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3270-3260
TP 3290-3300
SELL 3295-3300-3310
TP 3280-3270
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Is Set to Bottom Out and Rebound This WeekGood morning, everyone!
At today’s open, gold once again dipped into the 3258–3248 buy zone, then rebounded toward 3270. From a structural perspective, gold has clearly entered a downward trend, but this decline is unlikely to be one-directional—short-term rebounds and consolidations are expected along the way.
Based on my experience, below 3250 remains a favorable area for initiating long positions. Whether the price rebounds directly or continues lower before building a stronger base to challenge 3300 again, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the 3200 support holds. A bottoming reversal this week is still the more probable scenario.
As such, the focus early this week should be on buying near the lows, with short opportunities on rebounds as a secondary strategy. Monitor key support levels for signs of strength.
This week is also packed with important data—including PMI, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), and the unemployment rate, in addition to regular economic releases. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, significant market volatility is expected—bringing both risk and opportunity. Manage your exposure carefully and stay adaptable.
Gold is trading in a narrow range, awaiting a breakout.During Monday's U.S. trading session, spot gold demonstrated certain resilience, reflecting the complex game between market risk aversion and risk appetite. This week, it will welcome the impact of the U.S. non-farm payroll report. At the beginning of Monday (June 30) trading, spot gold once fell 0.8% to $3,247.87 per ounce, a new low since May 29. However, geopolitical concerns still attracted bargain hunting to support gold prices, which have now rebounded to around $3,267.30 per ounce, as Trump said he would consider bombing Iran again and abandon the plan to lift sanctions. U.S. President Trump stated that the July 9 trade negotiation deadline is not fixed and hinted that it may be advanced or postponed. This statement injected more uncertainty into the market. Although U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin optimistically stated that the Trump administration is expected to reach agreements with multiple major trading partners before Labor Day on September 1, the uncertainty of the negotiations may still provide some support for gold prices. The progress of trade negotiations will become one of the important variables affecting gold prices in the coming weeks.
In the 1-hour chart, the moving averages of gold continue to form a bearish alignment with a death cross, and there is a possibility of further downward divergence. The bearish momentum in gold remains extremely strong. After breaking below the previous low of 3,295, gold failed to stage a meaningful rebound and has been in a weak, range-bound decline under pressure. Therefore, the level of 3,295 remains a key inflection point for gold's short-term bull-bear dynamics. In the early session, with gold pressured below 3,295, shorting on rallies is recommended.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3300-3295
TP:3255-3260
Gold fluctuates upward. Is the decline over?On Monday, gold opened at around 3282, and then fell back quickly to around 3247 under pressure; the downward low was blocked, and then rebounded strongly to around 3297; the market currently maintains a small upward trend.
At present, we need to focus on the resistance range of the upward trend.
From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3300, followed by the suppression range of 3310-3315. The main direction of short-term operations maintains the rebound short-selling strategy. The support below is around 3255; the overall short-term operation relies on 3260-3300 to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation unchanged.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3305, stop loss 3320, profit range 3270-3260.
A new week has just begun. I wish you all gain something from the market fluctuations.