Gold Approaches 3100, Short Opportunity EmergesGold has reached a high of around 3085, now just a step away from the 3100 level. However, for short-term trading, I view the 3085-3105 range as an ideal zone to consider short positions on gold.
📍Short-Term Trading Strategy:
Consider scaling into short positions within the 3085-3105 range. Pay close attention to position sizing and risk management when setting up trades.
📍Key Support Levels to Watch:
-First target: 3065-3055
-Second target: 3045-3040
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Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD Today's strategyThis week, gold started to consolidate with a support base of $3,000. Yesterday, it broke through the key resistance level of $3,050, and today it even reached a new all-time high. But it's still not enough to clearly determine its trend direction.
The current situation is chaotic. Do more observing and less trading, and stay calm. There are always opportunities in the market; what's lacking is the patience to wait for them.We can buy when it approaches 3,060 US dollars.
xauusd buy@3055-3065
tp:3075-3085
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Gold Price Analysis March 28Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) continued its upward trend, hitting a record high of $3,086 during the European session on Friday. Global risk sentiment weakened due to concerns over US President Donald Trump's auto tariffs and uncertainty over upcoming tariffs, boosting safe-haven demand for gold.
In addition, expectations of an early Fed rate cut due to concerns over Trump's trade policies affecting US economic growth also supported gold's gains. Although the USD recovered slightly ahead of the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index report, this did not reduce the appeal of XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold is quite difficult to trade around the ATH zone today. Note that the lower boundary zone of 3060 is converging with the EMA 34 zone and the SELL zone around the 3100 round-trip barrier. The basic trading strategy requires your patience as the market is not easy to trade at the moment.
XAUUSD Today's strategyThis week, gold started to consolidate with a support base of $3,000. Yesterday, it broke through the key resistance level of $3,050, and today it even reached a new all-time high. But it's still not enough to clearly determine its trend direction.
The current situation is chaotic. It's advisable for those with long positions to take profits and exit cautiously. Do more observing and less trading, and stay calm. There are always opportunities in the market; what's lacking is the patience to wait for them.
If there is any definite information, I will inform you promptly.
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Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview
Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels).
Key Levels:
Support: $3,066 | $3,040
Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138
Indicators:
The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation.
Fundamental Factors
Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold.
Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138.
Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040.
A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Trade Setup Overview
This 1-hour Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, which has successfully broken out to the upside. This breakout indicates strong bullish momentum, setting up a potential rally towards $3,107 and beyond.
The analysis below will cover:
✅ Triangle Pattern Formation & Breakout Explanation
✅ Key Technical Levels (Support, Resistance, ATH)
✅ Entry, Stop Loss, & Take Profit Strategies
✅ Risk Management Considerations
✅ Final Trade Setup & Market Sentiment
Let’s dive into the details.
1️⃣ Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation
What is a Symmetrical Triangle?
A symmetrical triangle is a common continuation pattern in technical analysis that forms when price consolidates within two converging trendlines. This structure indicates a period of indecision in the market before a potential breakout occurs.
When price breaks above the upper trendline, it signals a bullish continuation.
If price breaks below the lower trendline, it suggests a bearish move.
In this case, gold has broken above the upper resistance trendline, signaling a continuation of the existing uptrend.
Pattern Breakdown (Step by Step):
Triangle Formation: The price made higher lows and lower highs, compressing within the pattern.
Price Squeeze: As the market approached the apex of the triangle, volatility decreased, indicating an imminent breakout.
Breakout Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closed above the resistance trendline, validating the pattern and confirming bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Zones
🔹 Support & Resistance Zones:
Support Level: $3,012 - $3,020 (Highlighted as a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in).
Resistance Level: $3,080 (Previously acted as strong resistance but has now turned into support post-breakout).
All-Time High (ATH): Marked just below $3,090, where price previously struggled to break through.
🔸 Breakout Target & Price Projection
Breakout Level: The breakout happened above $3,080, confirming an uptrend continuation.
Target Calculation:
The height of the triangle is projected upwards from the breakout point.
This gives us a price target of $3,107 - $3,120 in the short term.
3️⃣ Trading Strategy Based on Breakout
✅ Entry Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately after the breakout candle closes above $3,080, riding the momentum.
Conservative Entry: Waiting for a potential pullback to $3,080 (now acting as support) before entering a long position.
⛔ Stop Loss Placement:
Ideal Stop Loss: Below the previous support zone at $3,012, ensuring protection against fake breakouts.
Tighter Stop Loss: Just below the breakout point at $3,065, in case of a minor retracement before moving higher.
🎯 Profit Target Strategy:
Short-Term Target: $3,107, based on the triangle’s measured move.
Extended Target: If momentum sustains, $3,120+ could be achieved, aligning with previous bullish trends.
4️⃣ Risk Management & Market Considerations
Risk Factors to Monitor:
🔸 Volume Confirmation: A breakout with high trading volume is a stronger signal than one with low volume.
🔸 Market Fundamentals: Events like US inflation data, Federal Reserve rate decisions, and geopolitical tensions can impact gold prices.
🔸 False Breakout Risk: If price falls back below $3,080, the breakout might be invalid, signaling a potential reversal.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
📌 Entry: $3,080
📌 Stop Loss: $3,012 (Approx. 68 points risk)
📌 Target: $3,107 - $3,120 (Approx. 27-40 points reward)
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 2:1+, making this a favorable trade setup.
5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Final Trade Setup
📈 Bullish Outlook:
The successful breakout above the symmetrical triangle signals continued bullish strength.
Price is holding above the previous resistance zone at $3,080, now acting as support.
The next resistance target is $3,107 - $3,120, aligning with previous swing highs.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (If Invalidated):
If price falls back below $3,080, it could indicate a false breakout.
A break below $3,065 might lead to a retest of the $3,012 support zone.
📊 Final Trading Plan:
✅ Buy (Long) at: $3,080 - $3,085
🎯 Target 1: $3,107
🎯 Target 2: $3,120+ (Extended Target)
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,012
🔥 Conclusion: Bullish Bias with Caution
Gold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle, signaling a strong bullish continuation. As long as price holds above $3,080, the bias remains bullish, targeting $3,107 - $3,120.
💡 Key Takeaway: Watch for a pullback and retest of $3,080 before entering, ensuring confirmation before committing to the trade.
🚀 Final Outlook: Bullish – Gold is positioned for further upside if momentum continues!
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis and Surge Factors Current Price: Gold is trading around $3,074.31 per ounce, marking a significant rise of 0.6% and reaching a record high of $3,077.44.
Technical Analysis
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The psychological level at $3,000 has been a robust support, with prices consistently holding above this mark during recent consolidations.
Resistance: The new all-time high at $3,077.44 now serves as the immediate resistance level.
Moving Averages:
The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is trending upward, reinforcing the ongoing bullish momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is approaching overbought territory, suggesting that while the bullish trend is strong, a short-term pullback could occur.
Key Factors Behind Today's Surge
U.S. Tariff Announcements:
President Donald Trump's recent implementation of a 25% tariff on auto imports has intensified fears of a global trade war. This uncertainty has driven investors towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Market Reactions:
The announcement led to a decline in Asian stock markets, with significant losses in South Korea and Japan. The auto industry, vital to these economies, faced substantial impacts, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold.
Analyst Forecasts:
Financial institutions have revised their gold price forecasts upwards. Citi Research increased its three-month gold price target to $3,200 per ounce, citing robust demand from official sectors and exchange-traded funds.
NOTE
Gold's ascent to record highs is primarily driven by escalating trade tensions and the resultant market uncertainty. Technical indicators support the bullish trend, though caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and market reactions closely, as these will continue to influence gold's trajectory in the near term.
Stay Informed & Trade Wisely! 🛡️📈
Gold Analysis March 27Yesterday's D1 candle is still a contested candle with no clear winner. If it maintains this, there may be a strong sell-off on Friday.
The wave structure is expanding in an upward direction after a push into the Asian session. The price is reacting around the 3028 area. If gold cannot break 3028, it is possible to BUY back to the peak of the Asian session in the morning around 3038. If this peak is broken, DCA will add an order towards the target of 3044. On the contrary, if the European session cannot break the peak of 3038, SELL to 3020 and if the US breaks 3020, DCA SELL to 3006. On the contrary, if it does not break, Buy back around 3020 and the gold margin will fluctuate around 3020-3028 until the end of the day.
Gold Recovers After Dip – Is a New ATH Next?After reaching its recent all-time high exactly one week ago, Gold began a correction, dropping to $3,000, where buyers stepped in. This led to a recovery, pushing the price above a key resistance zone at $3,025–$3,030.
At the time of writing, the price is sitting at the upper boundary of this support zone. If it stabilizes above this level, a new ATH could be on the horizon.
I remain bullish as long as the daily close stays above this zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD:The price of gold has risen strongly once againYesterday's oscillatory price action for market cleansing and the continuous intensification of recent US tariff policies have once again stoked up the global risk sentiment. Coupled with the continuous increase in gold holdings by global physical gold-invested institutional ETFs, the bullish sentiment has propelled the price of gold to climb steadily.
The opening of today's morning session has once again maintained the strong momentum and kept breaking historical records. Currently, in terms of trading strategies, it is advisable to mainly go long on pullbacks. Pay attention to the resistance level near the trend line at around 3080 on the upside. When the price reaches below 3080 for the first time, a short position can be taken.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
buy@3050-3055
TP:3070-3080
sell@3075-3080
TP:3055-3050
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Gold's safe-haven stimulus detonates bullsAt present, the short-term moving average of gold maintains the upper hook divergence, and continues to fluctuate and strengthen. From the market trend, a wave of retracement has basically completed the repair of the technical pattern, and the trend of the late trading continues to maintain a high-level oscillation and strong trend. From the 4-hour trend, the resistance of the 3080 line above is still very strong. Pay attention to the 3040 line below, and it may fluctuate in this range at night. The strategic idea is to short first on the rebound and arrange long orders after the decline.
Operation Guide 1: Short near the rebound 3070-3076, stop loss 3060, target 3032
Operation Guide 2: Long near the decline 3040-3045, stop loss 3022, target 3051
Bollinger Bands Warning: Is Gold Losing Uptrend?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has succeeded in creating a New All-Time High(ATH) as I expected in my previous post . Now, the question is whether Gold can continue its upward trend.
Gold is currently moving in the Resistance zone($3,058-$3,045) .
The upper and lower lines of the Bollinger Bands indicator also play the role of resistance and support well on the 1-hour time frame .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks( Bollinger Bands indicator and Price ).
Educational Note : A divergence forms when the price chart and the indicator behave in contrast to each other. Divergence sell signals mostly form at the end of an upward trend, where the price chart forms a peak above the Bollinger upper band and another peak after, below the upper band. These signals are considered negative Regular Divergences(RD-) , hinting at a potential market reversal and a downward trend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the main wave 4 is NOT yet complete, and we can expect another corrective wave .
I expect Gold to bearish trend in the coming hours and drop to at least $3,036 , with the next target being an attack on the Support zone($3,032-$3,021 ) .
Note: If Gold goes above $3068.29, we should expect more Pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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Gold shows a triangle convergence patternAfter gold broke through 3038, the trend began to strengthen. Then the next step is to change the thinking to low and long and smoothly bullish. The lower 3038-3035 will become support, and the 38-35 area will be long. The current market is stagflation near the previous high of 3057. If you are aggressive, you can go short near 3052 and watch for a short-term pullback of a few points, and wait for the top and bottom conversion near 3035 to continue to go long.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to go short at 3051/52, stop loss at 3057, target at 3038-35; the support area below 3035-38 is long, stop loss at 3030, target at 3055-3062;
Gold falls back from highs, and the decline supports long ordersThe current price is approaching the historical high, and the pressure of profit-taking by some longs is gradually accumulating.The key support area is between $3,000 and $2,999, which is not only the previous low point, but also the psychological defense line of the market. If the price loses this area, it may trigger a deeper technical adjustment and test the support level of $2,950 downward. The current gold market is in a critical stage of "trend continuation but need to be vigilant against callbacks".Gold is currently in a volatile upward trend.Therefore, it is recommended to go long lightly near 3033, stop loss at 3026, take profit near 3053----3060, and trail the stop loss by 300 points.
Gold surges and then fallsThe current idea of the end of the trading day is very clear. We chose to take short positions below the previous historical highs of 3055-57 for the second time. The short positions at 3050-52 have now retreated to around 3038. Since there has been a high-level decline, it shows that the bulls are not that strong. There has been no one-shot breakout. The probability of a breakout of 3055 tonight is gradually decreasing. The end of the trading day will most likely remain in the 3030-50 range for consolidation. If it falls back to around 3031-33, you can take long positions and defend around 25. Once it rebounds again to around 50-52, you can still take short positions. The focus is on tonight's closing point. If it closes directly above 45, the gold price may hit a new high tomorrow; if it closes below 35, it will remain volatile at a high level tomorrow, Friday.
Gold safe-haven buying hits new all-time highGold broke through and fluctuated upward. The first reason is risk aversion and the second is technical breakthrough. As for the overall decline or rise in the evening, the 1-hour moving average of gold has now begun to diverge upward. After the gold retracement is confirmed, the bulls continue to exert their strength. After the gold retracement near 3033, it began to soar straight up. The bulls still control the main field. The current top and bottom conversion position is here at 3033, so if it falls back to 3033-35 in the evening, continue to buy. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be long on pullbacks and short on rebounds.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3065-3068, stop loss at 3055, target around 3050-3040, and look at the 3035 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3033-3035, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3050-3060, and look at the 3070 line if it breaks;
Gold fluctuates at high levels, first short and then longAt present, the short-term moving average of gold maintains a hook upward divergence and continues to fluctuate in a stronger trend. From the perspective of the market trend, a wave of retracement has basically completed the repair of the technical pattern. It tends to continue to maintain a high-level oscillation and stronger trend in the late trading. From the 4-hour trend, the resistance of the 3060 line above is still very strong. If it is not broken, you can boldly go short. Focus on the 3030 line below. It may fluctuate in this range at night. The strategic idea is to go short on the rebound first and then fall back to arrange long orders.
Operation guide 1: short at rebound around 3052-3055, stop loss 3060, target 3032
Operation guide 2: long at retracement around 3030-3035, stop loss 3022, target 3051
Gold's rise is not over yet! Continue to go long if it falls bacThis round of price fell from the previous high of 3057, and the first round of selling was at 3000; it fell to 3002 at the beginning of the week and then stabilized and rebounded. The article emphasizes that the market will focus on the key attack and defense of 3035, the 61.8% node of the 3000-3057 line; if it is under pressure, the short-selling idea will be maintained, and if it breaks through, it will return to a high level;
Strategy 1: Buy near 3048, protect 3038, target 3059-3070;
Strategy 2: Buy near 3038, protect 3028, target 3059-3070; (alternative)
Will gold continue to rise? Operational suggestions and analysisThe price of gold has fallen from the previous high of 3057, with the first round of selling at 3000; if it is under pressure, the bearish strategy will be maintained, and if it breaks through, it will return to a high level; previously, the price broke through 3057 after stabilizing at 3035, and the daily chart included a big positive, and the K-line combination was bullish. It is currently recommended to continue to look higher.
Operation suggestions:
Strategy 1: Buy near 3048, protect 3038, target 3059-3070;
Strategy 2: Buy near 3038, protect 3028, target 3059-3070; (alternative)
GOLD: Short, Target 3041-3036After yesterday's rise, some gold indicators have formed a relatively obvious short position, so in today's trading, I personally recommend focusing on the short position.
During the trading process, we need to pay attention to the support points of 3046/3037/3032, the high point of resistance of 3060, and the possible new high of 3067.
From the overall situation, it is unlikely to break through 3067 today, but it is more likely to fall to around 3037.
XAUUSD – Refined Daily Plan w/ Sniper Entries🔹 HTF Bias (D1 + H4)
🔼 Overall trend: Bullish
Price is inside a Premium HTF zone (3065–3090)
Daily and H4 structure are bullish, but price is testing a major liquidity zone
Reaction expected either:
✅ Bullish continuation on breakout
🔁 Short-term rejection for retracement ➤ sniper setups engage
🧠 Current Setup Situation (M15–H4 Context)
📍 Price is consolidating below 3065, forming equal highs ➤ liquidity sitting above
M15 + M30 show clear FVG + OB confluence zones
H4 has no CHoCH yet — structure intact
Strategy: reactive entries based on smart money reaction
🔻 SNIPER SELL SETUP (Scalp to Retrace)
🎯 Sell Plan:
Entry Zone: 3064.5 – 3066
SL: Above 3070 (above wick + LQ)
TP1: 3041 → M30 FVG
TP2: 3020 → H1 bullish OB
TP3: 3008 → large imbalance (LTF)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Price must:
Sweep liquidity above equal highs
Show M15 or M5 bearish BOS / engulfing
Ideally with shift in order flow (CHoCH)
✅ Confluences:
D1 & H4 Premium zone
M15 OB + FVG
Liquidity resting above 3065
🔺 SNIPER BUY SETUP (Continuation)
🎯 Buy Plan:
Entry Zone: 3016–3020
SL: Below 3010
TP1: 3035
TP2: 3055
TP3: 3065 (liquidity revisit)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Clean rejection from OB zone
Bullish candle (M15/M30) or LTF BOS
No full break below 3008 – that invalidates buy
✅ Confluences:
Clean OB + FVG (M30 / H1)
Sits in discount zone after potential rejection
H4 demand & D1 continuation zone
🧭 Decision Tree
→ If price breaks 3065 + holds → wait for retest → long continuation
→ If price sweeps 3065 + shows rejection → sniper sell
→ If price drops to 3020 → look for long
→ If price breaks 3008 → wait for structure to reset
🧼 Summary:
HTF = Bullish
Active zone = 3065 (reaction zone)
Trade reaction, not prediction
Let price come to your zone. Then strike like a sniper 🧠⚔️
Sniper setups only execute after LTF confirmation
🧠 Structure > Emotion
🎯 Setup > Impulse
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XAUUSD – H4 Trading Plan📍 Structure
✅ Market structure: Bullish
🔼 Recent BOS confirms continuation
📈 Price is pushing into resistance zone @ 3065
⚠️ No CHoCH yet = no shift, but signs of potential slowing momentum
🧩 Zones of Interest
🔵 3065–3090 → Supply / Premium zone
– Major liquidity draw
– Inside weekly imbalance → potential reversal zone
🔵 2955 → Prior range high + FVG
– Ideal first mitigation target
🔵 2790–2800 → OB zone + consolidation base
– Swing target if breakdown continues
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout
Break & retest of 3065 (clean H4 close above)
LTF entry (M15–H1) on pullback
🎯 Target: ATH sweep (3100+)
🛡️ SL: Below HL or valid OB
🔽 Bearish Rejection
Strong reaction from 3065–3090 zone
Wait for H4 CHoCH → then Lower High
🎯 TP1: 2955
🎯 TP2: 2800
🛡️ SL: Above rejection wick
📌 Notes
✋ No short without H4 CHoCH confirmation
🧠 Structure is king – reaction first, entry second
Premium zone = decision zone → be reactive, not predictive