XAU/USD 27 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 March 2025.
As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone.
Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdanalysis
Gold data analysis and trading solutions!The Japanese gold market experienced multiple fluctuations. It dropped from 3027 to 3013, then quickly rebounded to 3032, and then fell from 3032 to 3017, and then rebounded to around 3025. Overall, the gold price is still fluctuating around the 3035-3013 range on Monday. The current upper resistance of gold is at 3032-3035, and the lower support is at 3017-3013. The operation suggestion is to mainly short on rebound.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to short when it rebounds to 3029-3035, with a stop loss at 3044, and the target is 3020-3005.
Gold closed with a cross star and opened an upward channel!From the technical perspective, gold has entered an upward channel, and the 1-hour moving average has an obvious bullish trend. Since breaking through the 3,000 mark, despite the continuous market fluctuations, the stabilization position has been gradually raised, indicating that the upward momentum has increased. It is expected that the gold market will continue to rise. The current upper resistance level is 3036-3040, and the lower support level is 3014-3009. For today's operation, it is recommended to mainly go long on the pullback.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy lightly when the price falls back to 3018-3013, with a stop loss of 3005. The target is 3035-3040, and a fight for 3055 if it breaks.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis**Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – 1H Chart**
**Current Price:** ~$3,018.51
**Resistance Levels:** ~$3,030, ~$3,045
**Support Levels:** ~$3,010, ~$2,995
*📈 Bullish Scenario:**
- **Break Above Resistance (~$3,030-$3,045):** A sustained move above the nearest resistance zone could push gold toward $3,050 and beyond.
- **Moving Averages Support:** If short-term moving averages (blue/black lines) provide support, bulls could regain momentum.
- **Positive Risk Sentiment:** Any dovish signals from the Fed or safe-haven demand could fuel a rally.
**Target:** $3,045–$3,060
*📉 Bearish Scenario:**
- **Break Below Support (~$3,010-$2,995):** If gold drops below this level, it could test the next support zone around $2,990.
- **Failure to Hold Above $3,020:** A rejection at resistance might increase bearish pressure.
- **Stronger USD & Risk-On Sentiment:** If the US Dollar strengthens or risk appetite improves, gold could face downward pressure.
**Target:** $2,995–$2,980
** Conclusion :**
Gold is currently consolidating near key levels. A breakout above $3,030 could lead to further gains, while a drop below $3,010 may trigger a sell-off. Keep an eye on market sentiment and economic data for confirmation. 🚀📉
GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility⚠️ GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility
🟡 Market Brief – 27/03/2025
📰 Trump’s Latest Tariff Remarks Leave Markets Unshaken
Earlier this morning (end of US session), Donald Trump made new comments on tariff policy.
However, unlike previous occasions, his speech did not trigger significant market volatility.
He stated:
“Reciprocal tariffs will be eased, broadly applied to all countries, but not harshly.”
🔹 A 25% import tariff on cars will take effect from April 2
🔹 No additional tariffs for now on semiconductors or pharmaceuticals
→ It appears the market had already priced in this announcement, resulting in a muted reaction.
📊 Today’s Spotlight – Final US GDP (q/q)
This is the broadest measure of inflation, reflecting price changes for all goods and services included in GDP.
Given the weakness in recent US inflation indicators (CPI & PPI),
AD anticipates today’s GDP may also come in weaker than expected.
⚠️ However, market reaction might remain limited (≈30 pts),
as Core PCE data tomorrow is expected to be the true driver of weekly volatility.
🟡 Gold Strategy – Intraday Setup
Gold may retest resistance levels or recent highs,
before a potential strong move to the downside – the BIG SHORT scenario AD has been tracking.
📌 Plan for Today:
Look for intraday BUY opportunities during the Asian and European sessions,
especially near key support levels marked on the chart.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔻 Support: 3019 – 3011 – 3002 – 2988
🔺 Resistance: 3036 – 3046 – 3056
🎯 Trade Zones – 27/03:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3002 – 3000
SL: 2996
TPs: 3006 – 3010 – 3014 – 3018 – 3022 – 3026 – 3030
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3055 – 3057
SL: 3061
TPs: 3051 – 3047 – 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030
🧠 Final Note:
This week’s volatility hinges on two major macro releases:
✅ Today’s Final GDP report
✅ Tomorrow’s Core PCE data
→ During Asia & London sessions: respect the levels and trade reactively
→ For New York session: stay alert — AD will update instantly if needed
Good luck, trade safe, and stay disciplined.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold (XAU/USD) Chart Analysis & Trade SetupGold (XAU/USD) Chart Analysis & Trade Setup
**📊 Chart Breakdown:**
1. **Support & Resistance Zones:**
- **Resistance Zone (Green - R1 & R2)**: Around **3,030 - 3,040**, indicating a strong supply area where price previously faced rejection.
- **Support Levels (Red - S1, S2, S3)**: Between **3,010 - 3,000**, where price has found demand and bounced multiple times (green arrows).
2. **Moving Averages (EMA):**
- **7 EMA (Red Line) - 3,019.87**
- **21 EMA (Purple Line) - 3,020.14**
- **50 EMA (Yellow Line) - 3,020.60**
- Price is currently hovering around these EMAs, indicating a key decision zone.
3. **Price Action & Expected Moves:**
- The **red arrows** suggest a potential **bullish bounce** from support areas **S1, S2, or S3**, targeting **R1 & R2 resistance levels**.
- If price **holds above 3,010** and forms bullish confirmations (like pin bars, engulfing candles), **buyers may push price towards 3,030 - 3,040**.
- If **price breaks below 3,010**, a deeper decline towards **3,000 - 2,990** (S3) is likely.
**📌 Trading Plan:**
🔹 **Bullish Scenario (Buy Trade Setup):**
- **Entry:** Near **S1-S2 (3,010 - 3,005)** on bullish confirmation.
- **Targets:** **3,025 - 3,030 - 3,040**.
- **Stop Loss:** Below **3,000**.
🔹 **Bearish Scenario (Sell Trade Setup):**
- **Entry:** Near resistance **3,030 - 3,040** if rejection occurs.
- **Targets:** **3,010 - 3,000 - 2,990**.
- **Stop Loss:** Above **3,045**.
**Conclusion:**
🔻 **Support holding = Buy towards 3,030-3,040**.
🔺 **Break below 3,010 = Further decline to 3,000-2,990**.
📉 **Watch price action for confirmation before entering trades!**
Gold's oscillation convergence is about to break!Technical analysis of gold: Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day and is generally in a volatile trend. Gold is currently temporarily maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has begun to gradually diverge downwards, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030. The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flatness, tending to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, there are signs of a small stabilization after touching the previous support band, and pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3030-3036, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3010-3012 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3030-3032, stop loss at 3055, target around 3020-3015, and look at the 3010 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3010-3012, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3020-3025, and look at the 3030 line if it breaks;
GOLD: Bullish pattern, Short first then LongIn the 4H chart, the bulls have not completely unloaded their strength. From the perspective of the pattern, it should be possible to reach the area around 3050-3058.
In the 30M chart, it is currently near resistance, focusing on the resistance of the 3037-3044 range. You can consider shorting around 3043, and the target is temporarily set around 3033.
Today there is initial jobless claims data, and I personally expect it to be bullish for gold, so I plan to hold long positions when the data is released.
XAUUSD Today's strategyThis week, gold has been in continuous oscillation. The 4-hour and short-term charts show a pattern of triangular convergent oscillation. The market is waiting for a breakout. Before the breakout happens, we should still view it as an oscillating situation. The upward movement is just a better opportunity to take short positions.
Stop-loss must be set for today's trading. If it breaks through the level of $3040, it may indicate a new direction.
xauusd
sell@3035-3040
sl:3045
tp:3020-3015
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XAUUSD:Continue to shortToday, gold has risen again to test the resistance near $3,040. The previous high of gold, $3,060, has already been reached. This week, it has been oscillating continuously. The market seems to create the illusion that gold will rise again, but the ultimate trend will be downward. Therefore, our short - selling strategy will not change. The rise is just a better opportunity to short.
xauusd sell@3035-3040
tp:3020-3010-3005
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World gold prices rise again due to demand for safe assetsGold prices rose again on Friday, boosted by demand for safe-haven assets amid uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s plans to impose tariffs next week, which could fuel inflation, prompting many investors to turn to gold as a hedge against inflation.
Gold futures rose 0.5% to $3,029.30. "Investors are concerned about the global situation, especially U.S. policies," said Jeffrey Christian, managing partner at CPM Group. "They are buying gold as an alternative asset because they fear the U.S. government could push the global economy into recession."
Amid geopolitical tensions, Ukrainian and U.S. negotiators are scheduled to meet in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, following discussions between Russia and the U.S. on a proposal for a temporary ceasefire in the Black Sea. Washington hopes this will pave the way for broader peace talks.
Gold is widely seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty. It has risen more than 15% this year, hitting a record $3,057.21 an ounce on March 20.
President Trump said not all of the threatened tariffs would be implemented from April 2, and some countries could be exempted. The US government is considering a two-phase tariff schedule next week, according to the Financial Times. Trump's tax policies are expected to put pressure on economic growth, escalate trade tensions and push up inflation.
Gold Analysis March 26Candle D still shows that the battle between buyers and sellers has not yet been defeated.
3033 Plays an important role in the current downtrend structure. H4 Closes above the 3033 zone, officially breaking the wave and giving priority to the BUY side.
Gold is pushing up and wants to break the dynamic resistance of 3027. Closes above 3027, gold is heading towards 3033-3035. If it does not break this zone, you can SELL to 3005 and if the US breaks 3005, hold to 2983. If the 3033 zone is broken, wait for BUY to break 3033, the daily target is towards 3045.
XAUUSD: Buy? You can tell at a glance.XAUSD buys at 3016-3019. The target is above 3027. At this stage, the bulls are still strong. The opportunity to buy at a low level has arrived, and people with more funds can buy at the current price.
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Gold continues to be bullishThe temporary rise of gold this week is definitely the main theme. The view at the beginning of the week is oscillation, and the biggest characteristic of oscillation is discontinuity; the watershed yesterday morning was at the high point of the early morning pullback of 3015. The morning test fell back to the 07 line. When it was touched again for the second time, it must be a wait-and-see situation. We pointed out the oscillation resistance area of 3025-26, which is a position that must be shorted in our trading rules. In the end, it quickly retreated to the 3014 line, indicating that it is difficult to go long if it is short. Although it is a bottoming out and rebounding, the pressure area of the double top and the resistance area from the high point to the low point coincide with the 3035-36 line. This position is also a position that must be shorted. This is because our initial pattern at the beginning of the week is oscillation. It only needs to lock the upper and lower resistance and support levels of the range.The daily line direction recorded a small positive line with a slightly longer upper shadow yesterday, and the closing price was higher than the opening price. The upper shadow line indicates that the longs at the top of the shadow line have taken profits or the shorts have selling pressure. At the same time, the closing price is higher than the opening price. In the overnight battle between longs and shorts, the longs still dominate.
Gold operation suggestions: Go long near 3015-3020, stop loss 3008, target 3035
XAU/USD: Today's Trading StrategyGold is currently maintaining a narrow-range oscillation. The price is compressed between 3000 and 3035. It is recommended to go short at around 3028.
Sell XAU/USD @3028
SL: 3036
TP: 3015
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Gold Outlook – Steady Range Before Key Data Hits🟡 Market Context:
Gold has been trading in a steady range since the start of the week, with no significant breakout or momentum shift observed.
Today’s session is expected to remain quiet, as there are no major economic events scheduled.
All eyes are on the Thursday GDP release and Friday’s PCE inflation data from the US — both of which are likely to determine the direction for gold into the end of the month and quarter.
📆 Key Data to Watch:
Thursday: US Quarterly GDP
Friday: US PCE Price Index (Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge)
These events are considered high-impact catalysts that may trigger sharp moves in gold, especially if surprises occur.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price continues to respect key support and resistance zones identified earlier this week.
There is no confirmed breakout yet, so the strategy remains range-based:
➡️ Trade the levels. Watch for reaction signals at extremes.
➡️ Wait for clearer momentum following the macro releases.
🧭 Key Price Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057
🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988
🎯 Trade Plan – 26/03
BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986
SL: 2982
TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015
SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020
🧠 Final Notes:
The market remains in accumulation mode ahead of key US data.
No need to rush — protect your capital, wait for clean setups, and let the market reveal its hand.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold Strategy DiscussionContinue to watch resistance levels at $3030-3040 within the marked range. After continuous oscillations, continue to short within this range
xauusd sell@3030-3035
tp:3015-3005
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How to break the position of gold as it narrows in shock?Technical analysis of gold: Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day, and the overall trend remains in a volatile trend. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has gradually diverged downward, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030. The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flattening, tending to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, after touching the previous support band, there are signs of stabilization again. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
From the overall situation, gold is definitely in the bull market stage. At present, there is strong buying defense at the 3000 mark, and the "W" double bottom Zou shape has appeared below. If it successfully breaks through the 3035 watershed, it is expected to test the pressure near 3045 and the historical high of 3057. Now the low point of the callback begins to move up slowly, showing a small upward trend. First, we will overestimate and undervalue in the 3030-3010 range. We can see that the current gold trend is also narrowing. There is no problem with short-term shock operations, but pay attention to the breakout after continuous shocks. The daily cycle hovers around the angle of the short-term moving average. There is a choice of direction at any time. Follow the breakout. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly long on callbacks, and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3030-3036, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3010-3012. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy reference: short gold rebounds near 3030-3034, with a target of 3020-3015, and long gold callbacks near 3010-3014, with a target of 3020-3025.
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Today's analysisFrom a market - wide perspective, the XAUUSD market is firmly bullish. It has twice tested and held 3,000 level, signaling strong buying sentiment.
The key now is the validation of the 3,000 “W” bottom. A break above 3,035 resistance may test 3,045, with 3,057 all - time historical high in sight. If today’s upward momentum fades, prices will likely remain in the 3,000 - 3,030 range.
On the 4 - hour chart, a double - bottom has formed near 3,000. Consecutive bullish candlesticks indicate a strong uptrend, with the K - line above the short - term moving average. Notably, the middle Bollinger Band resistance is breached. If prices stabilize above this level, an upward move to the upper band is likely. The 3,013 level is a crucial bull - bear line. The next candlestick’s close will determine if the market retraces before rising or continues range - bound.
Overall, Ben suggests a short - term XAUUSD trading strategy: short on rallies, long on pullbacks. Monitor the 3,030 - 3,035 resistance and 3,000 - 3,005 support.
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates