Xauusdanalysis
XAU/USD 09 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,664.330.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,670.150.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
The Fed's final policyWorld gold prices increased in the context of the USD falling. Recorded at 10:00 on January 9, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuations of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 108.830 points.
World gold prices increased sharply, reaching the highest level in nearly 4 weeks when the US labor market slowed down. This happened after the report of lower-than-expected private sector growth in December, according to payroll processing company ADP.
ADP reported on Wednesday that only 122,000 jobs were created last month, lower than expected when the previous consensus forecast expected an increase of 139,000 jobs.
“The labor economy slowed to a more modest pace of growth in the final month of 2024, with both hiring and wage growth slowing. The health care sector stood out in the second half of the year, adding more jobs than any other sector,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP.
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Is Ready (Read The Caption)This chart represents the price action of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key components of the analysis include:
1. Supply Zone: The chart highlights a supply zone near the 2,698-2,681 level, where selling pressure is expected to dominate, potentially reversing the price downwards.
2. Resistance Zone: A resistance area is marked around 2,681, indicating a level where the price has previously struggled to break above. It's expected to act as a barrier for upward momentum.
3. Support Zone: A support zone is noted near 2,653, which has historically provided a base for price rebounds, preventing further declines.
4. Price Action Expectation:
The blue arrows suggest potential movements: an upward attempt towards the supply zone and resistance.
If rejected, the price may decline toward the identified support level at 2,653.
This analysis relies on supply and demand zones, as well as key horizontal levels, to predict price movement. It reflects a possible short-term scenario for XAU/USD traders, with careful attention to breakout or reversal signals.
Market analysis, waiting for a breakthroughAfter falling from 2790 to 2536, gold has been running in a contracting triangle pattern with gradually falling highs and gradually rising lows. After nearly two months of consolidation, the current market has reached the end of the triangle. No matter which direction the market breaks in the future, there will be a good unilateral market. Please pay attention to whether the non-agricultural data on Friday and the CPI inflation data next week will form a breakthrough opportunity.
Although gold broke through the new high yesterday, it still did not stand firm but fell back and broke the high again. Then the high point did not turn into support and still formed suppression. Gold is expected to form a triple top structure in 1 hour. Gold fell under pressure at 2670 yesterday, waiting for 2670 to continue selling at highs!
First support: 2651, second support: 2642, third support: 2626
First resistance: 2669, second resistance: 2676, third resistance: 2685
Operation ideas
BUY: 2646-2648, SL: 2637, TP: 2670-2680;
SL: 2668-2670, SL: 2679, TP: 2650-2640;
1/9 Gold Trading StrategiesThe previous decline has been almost fully recovered, and from a rebound perspective, it is nearing its conclusion. A pullback of about 1/3, roughly $30, is expected next, which presents a trading opportunity.
Sell between 2670 and 2685, with a take profit (TP) target at 2638-2628.
Gold next push to the upside or downside. 😌 Price has bn playing around last week high.
🫴🏻If price breaks the previous week high 2658.40 and a close above it, there's a higher probability 💯 that price is going to clear the liquidity above 2692.76 and get to the daily point of interest 2706.89 💫
🫴🏻If price did not breaks the previous week high with a candle closure above it. I am anticipating price to clear both this current week Monday's Low 2614.76 and previous week Monday's Low 2596.12.
🫵🏼 Watch out for this. The simple thing is to let price do what it wanted to and you trade what you see.
Please bost if you find this one insightful.
Gold is Ready to Pump Again==>>Short-term!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently moving near the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and the 50_SMA(Daily) .
Regarding Classic Technical analysis , Gold is moving in the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that Gold has completed microwave 4 , and we should wait for microwave 5 .
I expect that Gold can have an upward trend in the coming hours and can attack the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) for the umpteenth time.
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,639-$2,630), we can expect more dumps⚠️.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD after rising read captionGOLD, after rising to retest the recent peak around 2665, quickly fell back below 2650 in the US session last night when the US announced PMI service data and JOLTs employment opportunities exceeding expectations. Today, investors need to pay attention to many important economic data about to be released such as: ADP Payroll, Unemployment Claims and FOMC Minutes.
Currently in the Asian-European session, gold prices are expected to move within the 2638-2665 border zone. Therefore, it is possible to buy and sell gold when approaching this border zone.
Gold is expected to rise to the 2670-2680 after consolidatiGold has been consolidating intraday, fluctuating primarily within the 2645-2655 range. From the structural perspective, it is evident that although gold has repeatedly faced resistance near 2655 in the short term, there is no significant downside retracement, resembling the previous staircase-like upward movement. This suggests that gold could utilize the consolidation phase to build upward momentum, paving the way for a breakout rally toward the 2670-2680 zone.
Therefore, in the short term, I remain bullish on gold. Key support levels to watch are concentrated in the 2645-2635 range.Bros, are you optimistic about the continued rise of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Based on this chart for Gold (XAU/USD), here’s an analysis:
Based on this chart for Gold (XAU/USD), here’s an analysis:
Observations:
1. **Current Price Level**:
The price is at approximately **2,652.53**, moving upward within a curved trendline pattern, suggesting bullish momentum.
2. **Support Zone (Red Area)**:
- A demand/support zone lies below **2,640**, where the price previously reacted with strong buying momentum.
3. **Intermediate Resistance (Light Gray Zone)**:
- A resistance area is visible near **2,665**, where price may face initial selling pressure. It has been tested and rejected recently, but buyers are pushing back toward this zone.
4. **Upper Resistance Zone (Dark Gray Zone)**:
- The primary resistance zone lies around **2,680 to 2,700**, marking a potential target for the upward move. This area has acted as a strong reversal point in the past.
5. **Bullish Cup-and-Handle/Curved Trendline**:
- The blue curved line indicates a potential **cup-like bullish formation**, which often leads to a breakout if sustained momentum persists.
Potential Scenarios:
1. **Bullish Continuation**:
- If the price breaks above the **2,665** resistance zone, it could quickly move toward the next resistance zone at **2,680–2,700**.
- Buyers will likely target **2,700** as the final upside level for this move.
2. **Resistance Rejection**:
- A rejection at **2,665** could lead to a pullback toward the support at **2,640** or even the demand zone near **2,620**.
Strategy:
- **For Buyers**:
- Wait for a confirmed breakout above **2,660** and target the **2,680–2,700** zone.
- Alternatively, consider entering on pullbacks around **2,640**, with stops below **2,620**.
- **For Sellers**:
- Look for rejection signals at **2,665** or the upper resistance zone (**2,680–2,700**) to short toward **2,640** or **2,620**.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: 8/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of spot gold
Daily resistance 2664, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2664, support below 2642
Gold operation suggestions: The rhythm of the shock has not changed, the wide range of shocks in the large range, try not to make a move in the middle position, especially the long and short situation in the European session is very critical. At present, the key selling pressure above is still at the 2665 line, and the price has also hit a high and stopped here for many times. The support below the day is at the 2632 line. For the time being, it is around this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently before participating.
In the 1-hour trend, gold hit a high and was suppressed by 2665, then fell to 2642 and rebounded. It rebounded to 2655 in the late trading and then fell again. Today, it continued to fall to 2645 in the Asian session, but has not yet fallen below the overnight low of 2642. Then the European session will focus on 2642 and 2655. The breakthrough will be postponed to a certain extent, but it is still difficult to escape the repeated sawing of the large range. It is temporarily on the sidelines during the day. The middle position is to shuffle back and forth repeatedly. Don't rush to enter the market. Pay attention to the trend of the European session and put the trading time in the US session. Try to trade at the edge of 2632-2665.
It should be noted that if it breaks through 2665, it may form a unilateral rise, and then it will follow the trend and buy.
BUY:2642near
BUY:2627near
SELL:2664near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAU/USD 08 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price did not meet yesterday's intraday expectation targeting weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price to trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,664.330.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
The upward trend will continue, target: 2670-2680Gold affected by bearish PMI data, initially pulled back to the 2642 level before rebounding sharply to a high of 2656. It has since slightly retreated but remains in a consolidation phase overall.
While gold's short-term bullish momentum has weakened somewhat, it is unlikely to establish a new downtrend in the near term. Recent pullbacks have consistently preserved the bullish structure, and during the rebound attempts yesterday and today, two long lower wicks have formed on the candlestick charts, signaling strong buying support below. Therefore, gold remains poised to break above the recent high of 2665 after this consolidation phase and extend its rally toward the 2670-2680 zone, or potentially even 2690.
Following today’s trading strategy, I entered a long position on gold at 2640 and manually closed it around 2659 to secure profits. Although I missed the opportunity to go long near 2642 after the PMI-driven pullback, I observed the formation of a W-bottom pattern on the 5-minute candlestick chart. This prompted me to re-enter a long position around 2646, and, given gold's current consolidation phase, I promptly closed the position at 2652 to lock in profits.
For upcoming trades, the candlestick chart shows an upward bias, and we will continue to prioritize long positions in short-term trading. However, the key support zone to watch has now shifted higher to the 2645-2635 range.
Bros, have you followed me and made a profit by going long gold? There will still be opportunities to participate in the long gold trade later. If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!