XAU/USD 01 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation from 31 October 2024 was met as price targeted weak internal low, printing another bearish iBOS.
CHoCH positioning is still quite distant from current price. To confirm the internal structure, I would like to see price move up to the 50% internal EQ level.
Intraday Expectation: I will remain on standby and wait for price action that allows me to confirm the internal structure.
Note: Price continues to be highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s dovish stance.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdanalysisdaily
XAU/USD 05-09 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Last week's weekly analysis missed as I was on holiday.
Since my last weekly analysis price has print further all time highs, which, as a result, as brought the CHoCH positioning closer to more recent price action.
Price has, as yet, failed to indicate bearish pullback following bullish BOS and iBOS.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
However, price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price indicated bearish pullback phase initiation once it printed a bearish CHoCH.
Price then continued bearish, reacting at discount of internal 50% EQ denoted in blue.
Price has, thus far, failed to break and close above the weak internal high which could be an early indication that price will continue with it's bearish pullback phase in order to seek more liquidity.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative scenario, price to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
💡GOLD (XAUUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis Update
Midterm forecast:
1762.55 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 1762.55 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1916.50 on 06/ 01 /2021, so more losses to support(s) 1875.15, 1848.50, 1828.25 and minimum to Major Support (1762.55) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index ( RSI ) is 53.
Take Profits:
1762.55
1828.25
1875.15
1959.30
2075. 05
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