Xauusdbearish
XAUUSD (BEAR TO BULL) BLUEPRINTXau has created a mitigation zone at the 2040's, a new weekly candle formed as its the beginning of a new week ( its an initial bearish movement on the liquidity sweep below) till the 1990's and then we go bullish
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XAUUSD Shorts from 2050.000 down towards 1990.000This week's perspective on gold is quite interesting, considering the recent break to the downside. The current retracement, triggered by a reaction from an imbalance, has my attention focused on the 22-hour supply zone. This particular zone played a significant role in causing the downward break.
Given that price has cleared liquidity from its all-time highs, there's potential for a continued downtrend. Therefore, I'm patiently waiting for a Wyckoff distribution to unfold within the 22-hour supply zone. The goal is to capture selling opportunities, anticipating a move back down towards a robust daily demand zone where I expect a bullish reaction to occur.
Confluences for gold Sells are as follows:
- Price has recently broken structure to the downside on the higher time frame.
- ATHs of the chart got swept, enough liquidity to generate a bearish trend.
- Theres still imbalances below to fill as well as a daily demand that needs mitigating.
- Price formed a clean 22hr supply zone that has caused this BOS to happen and in the 0.78 fib range.
- Even if price wants to maintain a bullish trend it must come down to mitigate a demand.
- Sentiment analysis also suggests gold to be bearish.
P.S. While I'm currently bearish, there's a possibility that this could unfold as a temporary move toward a more favourable demand zone. This scenario might set the stage for a continuation of the bullish trend on the higher time frame. However, my immediate focus is on seeking selling opportunities to drive the price back down.
Have a great trading week ahead and let's catch some pips!
XAUUSD | Price Action | New Week perspective | follow-up detailsWelcome back to another episode where we dive deep into the dynamic world of Gold. The bulls' recent positive traction lifted Gold's price on Friday; Breaking a four-day losing streak, it surged from its lowest point since March, hovering above the pivotal $1,885 zone.
Adding to the intrigue, the US macro data paints a portrait of an exceptionally resilient economy, lending strength to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. This fortifies the US Dollar (USD), holding it near its peak for over two months, thus constraining Gold's ascent.
Beyond these nuances, traders exhibit a certain caution, likely opting to wait on the sidelines as the momentous Jackson Hole Symposium looms on the horizon next week. Brace yourselves for market volatility as central bankers' comments wield their influence. As the anticipation builds, US bond yields emerge as the juggernauts shaping USD dynamics in the absence of significant domestic economic data.
The broader risk sentiment becomes a compass that will be guiding our trading decision toward short-term opportunities.
Stay tuned as we navigate through the intricate tapestry of Gold's journey, dissecting trends, patterns, and possibilities.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we delve into XAUUSD's price action, decoding accumulation, and distribution patterns. By analyzing historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, we extract insightful cues. The strategic approach? Waiting for compelling follow-through buying signals to confirm a potential near-term bottom for the USD-linked Gold before diving into bullish ventures.
The $1,895 and $1,885 zones take center stage. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the reversal set-up sustains and the price breaks out both the descending trendline and the $1,895 level, a bullish week could unfold. However, the breakdown of the $1,895 level can trigger a USD-favored sell-off.
Stay tuned for more thrilling updates on the Gold market! Remember, trading involves risks, and I always recommend exercising caution and seeking advice from financial professionals. Hit the like button if you found this analysis helpful, and don't forget to subscribe for more insightful content! 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
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It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
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XAUUSD 15M: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 1980.5On the 15M timeframe, price hovering over the support zone at 1985.5. A pullback to the resistance zone at 1990, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and a break below downside confirmation at 1985.5 could present an opportunity to play the drop to the support zone at 1980.5. Price is holding below ichimoku clouds and 20 EMA, supporting our bearish bias.
XAUUSD H4: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 1850.50On the H4 timeframe, prices have broken below a key resistance zone at 1850.50, which is in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci extension. A pullback to this zone could present the opportunity to ride the drop to the support zone at 1831.20, which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. ADX is indicating a strong trend, while MACD is showing bearish momentum, supporting our bearish bias.
XAUUSD selling opportunity | 23 Nov 2022On the H4 timeframe, Gold’s recent rally came to test the 1789.00 resistance level on 16 November, which led to a reversal in price to the downside. Price then came to test the 1729.00 support level twice. We forecast that the bearish trend will extend below the support turned downside confirmation to the next support level at 1675.00.
- Stochastic RSI is approaching the oversold region, while PPO (red line) is crossing the signal (blue line) from above. The technical indicators support our case and show a downside momentum in price.
- When looking at a higher time frame, prices are consistently below the Moving Average while a declining trendline confirms the overall downside trend for Gold prices on the weekly time frame. Stochastic RSI had also clearly crossed over into the overbought region.
- Meanwhile, we expect a trend reversal to the upside for the DXY. Dollar and Gold prices experience an inverse relationship, and the forecasted rise in the Dollar will contribute bearish pressure to Gold.
A GREAT WEEK WAITING US ON GOLD!!Keep you eyes on gold this weekend, as you can see the xauusd has been under a trend line since the 9th of march on bullish movement. The 4th of august, the market broke the trend line, and started a "probably pullback" on the trend line.
SO NOW WHAT CAN WE WAIT FOR?
There is two probabilties, the market may break down that trend line again and go all the way down to the last level drawn in green, or the market can do the opposit, which is more likely to happen, by doing a pullback on the trend line, and around the 1736 level and then go all the way up.
And the Fibonnacci, will help me take my decision to make a better entry!
Personnaly, i'll be waiting for a good entry on the level mentioned before (1736), and then go long on gold.
XAUUSD - Massive Double Tops, Final Support ApproachingAs mentioned in my previous idea I published about Gold, bears are totally in control of the XAUUSD market. As it appears on the price chart, we have entire pandemic and post pandemic period covered in massive double tops. As circumstances have approached to normalcy all around the world, fears of uncontrolled inflation has triggered the response of Feds in terms of drastically increasing interest rates on public debt.
USD is one of the top performing currencies globally today for the last few months (almost since the beginning of war). Metals have taken serious impact from the strengthening USD and exhibiting a strong bearish trend.
As far as chart analysis is concerned, the last nail in the coffin of people holding gold long is the support level of 1680, if this holds, there might be a chance of a bullish revival but if it does not, we are looking at a price of 15xx on gold (target zone 1) and possibly 11xx as target zone 2. It will not rest as long as FEDs do not give it a break on the their Hawkish policies to fight inflation.
As for the trading advice, do not hustle to conclusions around 1680, let the market decide about this level and enter accordingly. However, considering the circumstances, selling is a sure shot on metals. But still wait for the support (1680) to break, as a responsible trader.