Gold: Clear 3200-3260 Range – Buy the DipsThe volatility in the gold market has gradually returned to normal levels 🌟, with trading activity stabilizing into a steady rhythm. Under the core logic that the long-term bullish trend remains firmly intact 📈, the strategy of going long on pullbacks remains the most reliable profit-making approach at present 💰. From a technical perspective, the current gold price has formed a clear consolidation range between the key support level of 3,200 and resistance level of 3,260 📊. Notably, the 3,200–3,210 zone converges multiple technical supports, making it an ideal entry point for long positions 📈.
Trading Recommendations:
Traders are advised to decisively initiate long positions near 3,200–3,210, with stop-loss orders set below 3,180 to manage risk 🚦. In the absence of sudden geopolitical events or major economic data releases 📰, intraday strategies should prioritize the bullish bias, targeting the 3,240–3,260 resistance zone 🎯. It is important to note that while the long-term trend remains upward, short-term market fluctuations may still be influenced by factors such as Federal Reserve policy expectations. Maintain strict position management, avoid excessive leverage, and adopt a prudent mindset to capture trend-driven profits effectively ✨
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3200 -3210
🚀 TP 3220 - 3240
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Xauusdbuy
Gold price suddenly rises, how to get out of the trap at night🗞News side:
1. Humanitarian crisis in Gaza Strip, many civilians injured. I hope that world peace is all right
2. The call between the Russian and Ukrainian leaders is still ongoing
📈Technical aspects:
After gold fell back after touching 3250, it rose again and has broken through to around 3270. This rapid rise was unexpected. Although the 1H moving average turned upward, the gold price is currently consolidating at a high level. It is not suitable for us to enter the market at this time. We should remain on the sidelines and pay attention to the pressure at 3290 above. The short-term support below needs to pay attention to 3250-2540.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Will gold continue to rise to 3280-3330 today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. Today, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "debt surge and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Due to this influence, gold opened sharply higher today, Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250.
Here is the 1-hour chart:
If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later.
The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time.
For now, I think that as long as gold is above 3200 today, gold will continue to rise.
So, if you do it in the short term, you can buy in the 3200-3220 range, with 3200 below as defense, and as long as the upper target stands firm at 3250, you can continue to see the 3280-3300-3330 range.
5/20 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon, everyone!
Last Friday and yesterday, gold did not reach our primary buy or sell zones, instead moving within a narrow range. We captured two trades, gaining about $32 in total movement, resulting in moderate but stable profits.
After opening today, the price pulled back toward the 3200 area, which holds technical support. However, resistance remains dense above, especially between 3226 and 3243. For bulls to break through, stronger momentum and volume will be required.
On the news front, there are no major economic events or key speeches scheduled today, so technical trading will dominate.
Currently, gold continues to consolidate. If intraday volatility remains limited, traders can look to buy low and sell high within the 3243–3189 range. Watch for resistance around 3226 and support at 3198 as key technical levels.
📌 Trading Strategy for Today:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3189 – 3168 (Near support, suitable for bottom fishing)
🔴 Sell Zone: 3267 – 3288 (Close to resistance, good for shorting)
🔄 Scalping/Flexible Zones:
▫️3198-3218-3226-3238-3247-3255
📌 Note: Maintain proper position sizing, set clear take-profit/stop-loss levels, and stay flexible. If there's unexpected news or a breakout during the U.S. session, strategies will be adjusted accordingly.
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup on Gold (XAUUSD)Gold traders, pay attention! We’re watching a textbook triangle pattern unfolding on the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) — and the breakout could be just around the corner. Let’s break down what’s happening technically and why this setup could offer a high-probability opportunity.
🔺 Pattern Overview: Triangle Formation
We’ve got a clear symmetrical triangle pattern developing — marked by converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows. This type of structure often signals a buildup of pressure, a “coiling spring” waiting to explode in one direction. These patterns don’t last forever, and based on recent price action, we’re approaching the apex — which means a breakout is likely imminent.
📌 Key Technical Elements
🔷 1. Minor Resistance Zone
A minor resistance zone lies just above the upper triangle boundary. This area has previously acted as a ceiling where sellers stepped in. A decisive candle close above this level would confirm a breakout — turning this resistance into a potential new support.
🔷 2. Retesting Zone
After a breakout, it's common to see a retest of the breakout level. The chart anticipates this scenario with a projected pullback to the triangle edge. If price respects this zone and forms bullish candlestick patterns (like a bullish engulfing or pin bar), it could provide an ideal entry point with lower risk.
🔷 3. Black Mind Curve Support
There’s a curved support line acting as dynamic support beneath the triangle. This "Black Mind Curve" reflects broader market psychology — it's the path where bulls might step in again if price dips. It adds a second layer of confluence support for this trade setup.
📍 SL & Risk Management
The chart also defines a clear Stop Loss (SL) level around $3,205 — placed slightly below both the triangle’s lower boundary and the curved support. This is a sensible location to minimize downside while allowing room for minor volatility.
🛡️ Pro tip: Always risk only a small percentage of your account per trade — ideally 1-2%.
🎯 Projected Target: $3,342
If the breakout plays out as expected, the projected move targets the $3,342 level. This aligns with:
The height of the triangle projected from the breakout point (measured move)
Previous horizontal resistance and Fibonacci extension zones
This offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entry is timed during the retest phase.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight
What’s happening under the surface?
Bulls are gradually stepping up, making higher lows.
Bears are losing steam as each push down is weaker than the last.
Volume is likely compressing, indicating a buildup of energy.
Once one side gains control (likely bulls based on this setup), a sharp impulsive move is expected.
💡 How to Trade This Setup
Wait for confirmation: Look for a strong bullish breakout candle above the triangle & minor resistance.
Entry Options:
Breakout entry on confirmation candle
Retest entry near triangle top (lower risk, better R:R)
Set SL below the triangle & curve (~$3,205)
Target: First take-profit at $3,280; second at $3,342+
📣 Final Thoughts:
This setup is a powerful blend of technical structure, support dynamics, and clear breakout potential. While nothing is guaranteed in trading, this is a high-quality formation that deserves a spot on your watchlist.
Let the market show its hand — don’t rush the entry. Wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and let the probabilities do the heavy lifting.
🔖 Tags:
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TrianglePattern #PriceAction #ForexTrading #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #TradingViewIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBreakout #RiskManagement
Will gold fall to 3180-3158?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your different opinions in the comment area. Yesterday, Monday, retail traders made a record bottom-fishing in US stocks, reversing the 1% drop in the S&P 500 index caused by Moody's downgrading the US credit rating last weekend.
Yesterday, Monday, gold opened at a high point near 3250, but after the US stock market opened, it basically maintained a downward trend.
From the current 1-hour chart, gold has been fluctuating above the 1-hour chart range yesterday, Monday, but there has been a change today. It has continuously fallen below the hourly chart range support position at the opening.
Therefore, from the current point of view, gold is likely to retreat downward today, and the 3200 mark is currently difficult to hold.
Therefore, we must be alert to the possibility of a retracement today. As for the operation, you can rely on the 3220-3225 range to sell, and look at the target to 3180-3158.
Gold Price Soars After Moody's US Downgrade: What's Next?Gold's Resurgence: A Deep Dive into the Moody's Downgrade and Market Tremors
The world of finance is a complex ecosystem, where a single event can trigger a cascade of reactions across global markets. Recently, such an event unfolded as Moody's Investors Service, one of the leading credit rating agencies, delivered a significant blow to the United States' financial standing by downgrading its sovereign credit rating. This unexpected move, occurring after a period of notable decline for gold, sent shockwaves through the financial landscape, prompting a sharp rally in the precious metal's price. In the early hours of Asian trading, gold surged by as much as 1.3%, reaching approximately $3,245 an ounce, a clear testament to its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty.
The Catalyst: Moody's Downgrade and its Implications
Credit ratings are critical indicators of a borrower's ability to meet its debt obligations. For a sovereign nation, its credit rating influences borrowing costs, investor confidence, and its overall standing in the international financial community. Moody's decision to lower the U.S. sovereign credit rating by one notch, from the pristine Aaa to Aa1, was not taken lightly. The agency pointed to a confluence of persistent and concerning factors. Chief among these were the United States' chronic budget deficits, which have shown little sign of abatement despite various economic cycles. Moody's also highlighted a perceived erosion of political will and institutional strength to effectively address the nation's deteriorating fiscal trajectory. The growing burden of national debt and the escalating costs of servicing this debt were explicitly mentioned as significant concerns underpinning the downgrade.
This wasn't the first time the U.S. had faced a credit rating downgrade. In 2011, Standard & Poor's (S&P) stripped the U.S. of its top-tier AAA rating, a move that also sent tremors through global markets. The parallels are noteworthy, as both instances underscored deep-seated concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. A sovereign downgrade, particularly for an economy as pivotal as the United States, has far-reaching consequences. It can lead to higher borrowing costs for the government, potentially impacting everything from infrastructure spending to social programs. Furthermore, it can dent investor confidence, leading to capital outflows or a re-evaluation of risk associated with U.S. assets.
The immediate market reaction to Moody's announcement was a textbook flight to safety. The U.S. dollar, typically a beneficiary of global uncertainty, found itself under pressure. As the world's primary reserve currency, the dollar's value is intrinsically linked to the perceived strength and stability of the U.S. economy. A credit downgrade, by questioning that stability, naturally led to a weakening of the greenback. This weakening, in turn, provided a direct tailwind for gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so a cheaper dollar makes gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies, thereby stimulating demand.
Simultaneously, U.S. Treasury bonds, long considered one of the safest investments globally, experienced a sell-off. This might seem counterintuitive, as a flight to safety often includes government bonds. However, a credit downgrade directly impacts the perceived creditworthiness of those bonds. Investors demand a higher yield (return) to compensate for the increased perceived risk, leading to a drop in bond prices (yields and prices move inversely). The Treasury yield curve, which plots the yields of bonds with different maturities, steepened, indicating greater uncertainty about longer-term economic prospects and inflation. U.S. stock futures also registered declines, reflecting concerns that higher borrowing costs and diminished confidence could negatively impact corporate earnings and economic growth.
Gold: The Evergreen Safe Haven
Amidst this turmoil, gold shone brightly. Its rally was a classic demonstration of its role as a premier safe-haven asset. Throughout history, gold has been a store of value, a tangible asset that retains its worth when paper currencies or other financial instruments falter. Its appeal transcends economic cycles and geopolitical shifts. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold's supply is finite, giving it an intrinsic scarcity value.
In times of economic stress, such as those signaled by a sovereign credit downgrade, investors flock to gold for several reasons. Firstly, it acts as a hedge against currency depreciation. If the U.S. dollar weakens significantly, holding gold can preserve purchasing power. Secondly, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. If a government resorts to inflationary policies to manage its debt burden, the real value of money erodes, while gold tends to hold or increase its value. Thirdly, in periods of heightened geopolitical risk or systemic financial instability, gold provides a sense of security that other assets may not offer. It is a universally accepted medium of exchange and store of wealth, independent of any single government or financial institution.
The downgrade by Moody's amplified concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, a narrative that has been building for some time. Commentators pointed to over a decade of what they termed "fiscal profligacy," where successive administrations and Congresses have struggled to implement sustainable long-term solutions to the nation's growing debt. The phrase "ticking debt timebomb" resurfaced in financial commentary, underscoring the anxieties surrounding the long-term implications of current fiscal policies for the world's largest economy. These anxieties naturally fueled demand for gold as a protective measure. Adding another layer to these concerns were reports of a U.S. House panel approving proposed tax cuts, which, according to some economic analyses, could add trillions more to the national debt, further exacerbating the fiscal imbalance.
The Preceding Slump: A Market Breather
The vigorous rally in gold prices was particularly striking given its performance in the preceding week. The metal had been on a downward trajectory, poised for what was described as its steepest weekly decline in six months. This earlier weakness was primarily attributed to a strengthening U.S. dollar and an apparent easing of trade tensions between the United States and China. When geopolitical risks appear to subside and economic optimism grows, investors often rotate out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets, such as equities, in pursuit of higher returns. This is often referred to as a "risk-on" environment.
The announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs between the U.S. and China had injected a dose of optimism into the markets. This temporary truce in the protracted trade war improved investor sentiment, reducing the perceived need for the kind of insurance that gold provides. Consequently, capital flowed towards assets perceived to benefit more directly from improved global trade and economic growth, leading to a pullback in gold prices. However, the Moody's downgrade swiftly reversed this trend, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can pivot in response to unexpected news.
Navigating a Complex Web of Global Influences
Gold's price is rarely determined by a single factor. It is subject to a complex interplay of global economic data, geopolitical developments, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. While the Moody's downgrade was the immediate catalyst for the recent rally, other elements continue to shape the landscape.
Ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world provide a persistent undercurrent of support for gold. Any escalation of conflicts or emergence of new geopolitical flashpoints can quickly send investors seeking refuge in the yellow metal. Furthermore, mixed economic data from major economies contributes to market volatility. For instance, softer-than-expected economic indicators from China, the world's second-largest economy, can dampen global growth expectations and influence risk appetite, which in turn affects gold.
Statements from key policymakers also carry significant weight. Comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the potential reimposition of "Liberation Day" tariffs if trade negotiations with certain partners were not conducted in "good faith" served as a reminder that trade uncertainties remain. Such pronouncements can easily reignite concerns and support gold prices.
The Long-Term Horizon: Bullish Undertones Persist
Despite the short-term volatility, many analysts maintain a constructive long-term outlook for gold. Several underlying factors are expected to provide structural support for the precious metal in the coming years. One such factor is the potential for ongoing U.S. dollar weakness, driven by the country's twin deficits (budget and current account) and a gradual shift by some central banks to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from an overwhelming reliance on the dollar. This diversification trend, if it continues, could provide a sustained tailwind for gold.
Moreover, the policies of major governments and central banks can also influence gold's trajectory. For example, periods of expansionary monetary policy, characterized by low interest rates and quantitative easing, can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which yields no income) and potentially lead to inflationary pressures, both of which are typically gold-positive.
It's important to note that gold had already demonstrated strong performance in 2025, even before this latest surge. Year-to-date, the metal had appreciated significantly, reportedly by around 23%, and had even briefly surpassed the $3,500 an ounce mark for the first time in history during April. This underlying strength suggests that broader market forces were already favoring gold.
Major financial institutions have also echoed this optimistic long-term view. JPMorgan, for instance, has projected that gold could average $3,675 an ounce by the end of the year, with a potential to reach $4,000 before the close of 2026. Similarly, Goldman Sachs maintained its forecast of $3,700 by year-end and a $4,000 target by mid-2026. These forecasts often consider a range of scenarios, including the path of Federal Reserve interest rate policy and the likelihood of a U.S. recession. Even with expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts and a potentially lower U.S. recession risk, these institutions see considerable upside for gold.
Investor Strategy in a Shifting Landscape
For investors, the recent events serve as a potent reminder of gold's role in a diversified portfolio. While gold can be volatile in the short term, its ability to act as a hedge against various risks makes it a valuable component for long-term wealth preservation. The Moody's downgrade and the subsequent market reaction underscore the importance of not being complacent about sovereign risk, even in developed economies.
Retail investors might consider gold through various avenues, including physical bullion (coins and bars), gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the gold price, or shares in gold mining companies. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, often allocate a portion of their portfolios to gold as a strategic hedge and a diversifier.
The key is to view gold not as a speculative tool for quick profits, but as a long-term strategic holding that can provide stability and protection during periods of economic or geopolitical stress. The optimal allocation to gold will vary depending on an individual's risk tolerance, investment goals, and overall market outlook.
Conclusion: Gold's Enduring Relevance
The sharp rebound in gold prices following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating is a multifaceted event with significant implications. It highlights gold's unwavering status as a safe-haven asset, its sensitivity to shifts in U.S. dollar valuation, and the profound impact of sovereign creditworthiness on global financial markets. The downgrade served as a stark reminder of the underlying fiscal challenges confronting the United States and their potential to create ripples of uncertainty that benefit traditional stores of value.
Looking ahead, investors and market observers will be keenly focused on upcoming U.S. economic data, pronouncements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, and the evolving geopolitical landscape. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable, the fundamental factors that have historically supported gold – its role as an inflation hedge, a currency hedge, and a crisis commodity – remain firmly in place. As the global economic and political environment continues to navigate complex challenges, gold is likely to retain its allure as a critical component of a well-diversified investment strategy, a timeless guardian of wealth in an ever-changing world. The recent bounce may be more than just a fleeting reaction; it could be a reaffirmation of gold's enduring value proposition in an era of increasing uncertainty.
Gold still has the potential to rebound, continue to buy goldTechnical aspect:
Gold has just retreated to around 3217 and then rebounded again. It has now rebounded to around 3235. Although the rebound strength is a little weak, it has even hovered around 3235 for a long time. But structurally, gold did not destroy the rising structure during the decline, and the strength of structural support was strengthened after the effective retracement support. After being recognized and accepted by the market, gold will continue to rise with structural support. Once gold breaks through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260, it will continue to rise to 3280-3290, or even around 3320.
Trading strategy:
Before the short-term rising structure is destroyed, we can still continue to try to go long on gold in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3240-3250
Geopolitical risks ease, trade progresses: Gold short-term volatIndia and Pakistan have declared a full ceasefire😮, while news has emerged that Russia and Ukraine will observe a 30-day ceasefire. With the cooling of geopolitical risks, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset has diminished. Additionally, high-level economic and trade talks between China and the U.S. in Geneva, Switzerland, have made substantive progress, with most market participants believing the tariff war is nearing an end—further dampening gold’s safe-haven demand.
The market has seen two consecutive days of massive volatility: a surge of $100 on Thursday, followed by a plunge of $100 on Friday, creating a "double kill" for both bulls and bears, which is clearly a capital-driven washout. Currently, the 3120 level still shows a relatively obvious supporting effect. Due to ongoing international relations issues, gold remains in a long-term bullish trend. Traders can continue to take small long positions near 3120😎.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3120 -3130
🚀 TP 3230 - 3260
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Beware of a sharp surge at the beginning of the week!🗞News side:
1. The India-Pakistan conflict has been eased, but India has increased its troops in Kashmir
2. The situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again
3. Trump has asked Walmart to absorb the impact of tariffs on its own
📈Technical aspects:
Gold jumped higher in the Asian session in the morning and once tested the 3250 resistance line. In the short term, the upward space is limited and there is a certain suppression. At present, gold is testing the 3210-3200 support level again. Judging from the 4H chart, if the gold price breaks through this short-term support level, it is likely to go to the 3170 level next, or even test the strong support level of 3150. If it gets effective support at 3210-3200, gold may test the resistance area again. Therefore, in the short-term trading in the Asia and Europe sessions, maintain the high-level short-selling and low-level long-selling cycle to participate. On the upside, focus on the 3250-3260 resistance area. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards the 3300 line. On the downside, focus on the 3210-3200 support line. If it breaks through this support, look to the 3170-3150 important support.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Buy gold, it is expected to hit 3280-3290Fundamentals:
1. Focus on the speeches of Fed officials;
2. Pay attention to Trump's calls with Putin, Zelensky and others;
Technical aspects:
Gold continued its rebound momentum today, but failed to break through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260 many times. However, after multiple tests, it will become easier to break through this area.
According to the current structure, gold rebounded from around 3120, and then built a secondary low point structure around 3154. Today, during the Asian session, it built a structural retracement area around 3206 again. As the low point is continuously raised, an obvious bullish structure is formed in the short term. For short-term trading, we can start to try to go long on gold based on the structural form; if gold successfully breaks through the 3250-3260 area, gold will continue to the 3280-3290 area, or even the area around 3320.
Trading strategy:
Consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3225-3215 area, TP: 3250-3260
Yield Wars and Crypto Surge: Is Gold Losing Its Luster?Gold currently lacks fundamental backing, as macroeconomic conditions continue to favor alternative investment vehicles. Surging U.S. Treasury yields have diminished the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, while Bitcoin’s ascent beyond the $100,000 mark indicates a significant shift in risk-on sentiment. Once considered the premier safe-haven asset, gold has seen substantial capital outflows—particularly after President Trump's inauguration—as institutional interest shifted toward cryptocurrencies and government bonds.
From a technical perspective, gold is currently testing a key supply zone around the 3250 level. A confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) would require a strong move above the 3255 area. However, should a 4-hour candle close below this zone, it would reinforce bearish intent and potentially trigger a 300-pip correction. With both macro and technical factors aligning, the directional bias remains clearly defined—further analysis is unnecessary at this stage.
XAUUSD at the Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around $3,237, currently testing a descending trendline and minor resistance. A clear breakout above this level could open the way to retest the $3,289 resistance area, followed by the $3,435 recent high and potentially the all-time high near $3,498.
Failure to break higher may see the price remain range-bound between $3,240 and $3,289. A break below support at $3,123 would be bearish and could trigger a drop toward $3,050.
Fundamental Drivers:
Moody’s US credit downgrade continues to support safe-haven flows
Fed commentary and trade uncertainty cap directional clarity
Higher Treasury yields remain a headwind for Gold
📌 Key Levels:
Minor resistance: $3,240
Major resistance: $3,289 / $3,435
Support zone: $3,123 / $3,050
The latest gold operation strategyFrom a technical perspective, gold prices experienced a unilateral decline on Thursday, hitting a key support level of $3,120/ounce at the lowest. In the early trading session of the European market, a strong forced short rebound began, with a daily increase of nearly $120. The daily level closed with a long lower shadow positive line, indicating strong buying support below, and the correction formed at the top of the $3,435/ounce stage may be coming to an end. At present, it is necessary to focus on whether the price can continue to stabilize the 5-day moving average (currently running near $3,220/ounce). If the closing today confirms that it has stabilized at this technical level, it can be regarded as a signal of the end of the downward trend. The market may restart the medium-term upward structure, and the market is expected to challenge the integer level of $3,500/ounce or even higher targets in the future.
From the gold 15-minute K-line chart, the K-line relies on the 5-day moving average to rise continuously, and the gold market is relatively strong, but the MACD red column shrinks, and the short-term may be corrected. In terms of operation, it is possible to go long if the 10-day moving average of 3,220 is maintained. In summary, it is recommended to buy gold in the short-term correction today, and short gold in the rebound. Pay attention to the resistance of 3260-3280 on the top and the support of 3200-3190 on the bottom.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy gold in the correction area of 3200-3195, with a stop loss at 3187 and a target of 3220-3240
2. It is recommended to short gold in the rebound area of 3225-3230, with a stop loss at 3238 and a target of 3215-3200
3202 Buy and see reboundGold, the price fell to 3120 on Thursday and then rebounded, and boosted by the market's risk aversion sentiment, it rose to 3252 overnight, and the trend continuity is poor; the daily chart recorded a real big sun, and it will maintain a wide range of fluctuations in the short term, waiting for the results of the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations;
First fell back, now reported 3207; short-term decline and rebound showed a signal of stopping the decline, and a rebound and consolidation are expected in the evening; short-term support 3202, strong support 3192-3186; short-term resistance 3214-3218, strong resistance 3224-3230, break to see 3252;
In terms of operation, it is recommended to try to buy in the short term;
Strategy 1: Buy near 3202, protect 3192, target 3242;
XAUUSD – Triangle Pattern Forming with Breakout PotentialThe price of Gold (XAU/USD) has recently gone through a structural shift, transitioning from a strong downtrend to a phase of market consolidation. This transition is clearly visible on the 1H chart where price has formed a symmetrical triangle, which generally signals price compression and often precedes a large breakout in either direction.
The most recent significant downtrend came to a halt near a well-identified support zone around the $3,157 level. This level aligns with previous reactions, and the price sharply rebounded from this demand area—indicating strong buyer interest and liquidity absorption.
Following this, the market has shown higher lows and lower highs, compressing into a tight range that is forming the triangle pattern.
📐 Technical Structure Breakdown:
🔸 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
A classic consolidation pattern.
Formed by converging trendlines—one sloping down (resistance) and one sloping up (support).
This triangle signifies market indecision between buyers and sellers.
Volume is decreasing, which is typical in triangle formations and suggests a breakout is nearing.
🔸 Trendline Breakout & CHoCH (Change of Character)
The earlier bearish trendline was broken, indicating a change in the short-term trend bias.
The CHoCH label on the chart signals the point where bearish market structure was invalidated by a bullish rally, shifting momentum toward buyers.
🔸 Support Zone ($3,157)
This zone served as the springboard for the current bullish impulse.
Price wicked into this level multiple times and formed long lower shadows, confirming buyer absorption.
Acts as the last line of defense for bulls if price retraces after a fakeout or failed breakout.
🔸 Major Resistance Zone ($3,393)
This level is derived from historical supply, where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers.
Now identified as the target zone in case of a successful bullish breakout from the triangle.
A breakout above the triangle would likely trigger buy-side liquidity up to this resistance area.
🔄 Trade Scenario Planning
✅ Bullish Breakout Setup:
Entry: Above upper triangle boundary (aggressive) or after successful retest (conservative).
Confirmation: Break and close above triangle with volume.
Target: $3,393 (major resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Below last higher low inside triangle or breakout candle low.
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable if managed properly from triangle base.
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
Entry: Below triangle support trendline or upon hitting marked Sell Stop at ~$3,223.
Confirmation: Strong bearish candle closing below the triangle with rising volume.
Target: $3,157 support zone (first target), lower if momentum continues.
Stop Loss: Just above the breakdown candle or inside triangle top.
This provides a hedge setup if the market traps breakout buyers.
📉 Curve Zone & Parabolic Projection:
A curve zone has been drawn to simulate a potential parabolic move to the upside.
If price respects the curve, we might witness accelerated buying once the breakout confirms.
This is a visual guide to monitor momentum alignment with volume and RSI.
📊 Conclusion:
The market is currently in a compressed volatility phase within the triangle. Price is winding up and preparing for a large move. The setup provides a dual-opportunity strategy, allowing traders to position for either direction, depending on which side breaks first. Key levels of support and resistance are clearly defined, and risk can be tightly managed around the breakout points.
This triangle pattern, coupled with a prior CHoCH and clear curve trajectory, gives a strong technical bias for a bullish breakout, but always stay alert for fakeouts and liquidity grabs, especially before big economic news.
🔔 Trading Notes:
Watch for breakout volume and RSI divergence.
Avoid entering prematurely—confirmation is key.
Use alerts at breakout levels.
Be aware of fundamental catalysts (e.g., USD news, Fed decisions, geopolitical tensions).
5/19 Gold Trading Signals🔍 Market Overview:
Last Friday, gold prices entered the 3176–3148 buy zone, and after the market opened today, prices rose to 3249, yielding substantial profits.
From a technical perspective, the overall trend is still under the pressure of a double-top pattern. In the short term, price action remains in a range, but the lows are gradually rising. However, indicators are not yet favorable for bulls. In this case, if the bulls want to take control, then the support at 3182–3176 becomes extremely important during any pullback.
🗞️ News Background:
Trump’s tax cut bill has been approved by a key committee in the U.S. House of Representatives.
👉 This week, further progress must be closely monitored as it directly impacts gold's safe-haven demand.
If trade tensions flare up again, gold is likely to rise sharply due to renewed safe-haven demand.
If tensions continue to ease, downward pressure on gold will likely increase.
Also, watch out for any comments on monetary policy — if rate cut expectations increase, gold could face additional downside risk.
📈 Today’s Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3196 – 3176
🔴 Sell Zone: 3293 – 3318
🔄 Scalp/Flexible Trading Zones:
3188-3209-3236-3252-3269-3282
XAUUSD – Bullish Flag Breakout & Black curve Line | Target Gold (XAUUSD) is currently shaping a textbook bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, signaling a potential continuation of the strong uptrend that started late last year. This setup, when combined with the custom-drawn Black Mind Curve, provides a structured and disciplined approach for identifying entry, retest, stop loss, and profit targets. Let’s break it down in detail:
🔍 1. Flagpole: The Impulse Move
The rally from around $2,550 in December 2024 to nearly $3,330 in April 2025 formed a steep and aggressive uptrend, which now serves as the flagpole of our pattern.
This impulsive wave represents strong buying momentum and is the backbone of the entire bullish flag structure. It shows institutional interest and heavy volume participation in gold, likely driven by macroeconomic factors such as inflation hedging, USD weakness, or geopolitical uncertainty.
🔷 2. Bullish Flag: The Consolidation Zone
Following the peak, gold entered a consolidation phase, forming two parallel descending trendlines, indicating healthy profit-taking and temporary market indecision. This is not a reversal but rather a pause in the trend, often seen before the next leg higher.
This down-sloping consolidation resembles a flag pattern—a reliable bullish continuation formation where the price temporarily contracts before a breakout.
The flag pattern is still valid as long as price remains inside or breaks above the upper boundary with momentum.
📈 3. Breakout Signal and Retesting Level
As of now, price is testing the upper boundary of the flag. A bullish breakout is anticipated once price closes above the $3,300–$3,350 resistance zone.
Following the breakout, a pullback to retest this same level is expected, forming a new support zone—a classic "breakout–retest–rally" setup.
💡 Retest Zone:
$3,300 to $3,350
This is your key zone to watch for confirmation. A bounce here could offer the best risk-reward entry.
🛡️ 4. Stop Loss Placement: Protecting Your Capital
To manage risk effectively, the stop loss should be placed below the lower boundary of the flag, and ideally just under the psychological round number at $2,970.
This protects your trade from a false breakout or sudden trend reversal while keeping the risk/reward ratio favorable.
🎯 5. Target Projection: Measured Move Strategy
We use the height of the flagpole (approximately $750) and project it upward from the breakout point to estimate the target price.
📌 Target Level:
$4,318 (approx.)
This aligns with technical confluence and psychological resistance above the $4,300 level.
If momentum remains strong and the macro environment continues to support gold prices, this level is a very realistic short-to-medium-term target.
🧠 6. The Black Mind Curve: A Unique Trend Framework
The chart features a custom “Black Mind Curve”, a smooth parabolic line following the overall trend structure. This curve acts as a visual guide for trend strength, suggesting that gold is respecting a higher time frame uptrend trajectory.
It helps reinforce that the bullish structure is still intact—even during short-term pullbacks—by mapping the psychological rhythm of market participants.
This curve is especially useful for swing traders who need to maintain conviction during consolidations.
🧠 Trading Psychology (Mind Framework):
"Charts show the facts; your mind interprets the truth."
Here’s the psychological approach for this trade:
Recognize the Setup: Bullish flag is forming—observe, don’t rush.
Wait for Confirmation: Let price break out and retest—avoid FOMO.
Act on Logic: Enter with defined stop and target—keep emotions out.
Stay Disciplined: Don’t move stop loss irrationally—trust your setup.
Let the Market Work: Once the trade is active, manage it calmly.
🔁 Summary of Trade Plan:
✅ Entry: On confirmed breakout and successful retest of $3,300–$3,350
✅ Stop Loss: Below $2,970
✅ Target: $4,318
✅ Pattern Type: Bullish Flag + Trend Curve Support
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3+ (Ideal setup)
📝 Final Thoughts:
This is a high-probability bullish continuation pattern supported by strong technical structure and psychological market behavior. The breakout is likely to attract institutional flows, especially if it aligns with fundamental tailwinds like falling interest rates or rising inflation.
Stay patient, wait for the retest confirmation, and trade with discipline. Gold is poised for a potential new leg higher—and this setup provides a structured roadmap to ride that move confidently.
Gold Trend Analysis for Next WeekGold continued its downward trend in yesterday's morning session, but in the evening, it experienced a long-short washout and returned to the 3,200 mark, closing with a small bearish candle on the daily chart. The question now is whether the daily chart will form consecutive declines. Looking at the daily rhythm, the high points have been declining, which means that after encountering resistance at the three-point line vertex resistance level, it is prone to forming a secondary inflection point for a downward trend. This implies that a pullback should still be expected next week.
Regarding the future direction, short-term bearish sentiment will remain the theme! Overall, the gold price is undergoing a retest during the 4-hour rebound. If the rebound fails to break through the resistance, the decline will continue, and the downward trend will persist. Since the bearish inflection point turned downward from the high, the current bearish trend is still extending downward.
Before the bears reach the key node where bulls build a bottom, rebounds remain opportunities to go short as the main rhythm.
XAU/USD
sell@3210-3220
tp:3180-3160
sl:3230
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD H4 Weekly Chart Update For 19 - 23 May 25As you can see that GOLD H4 for weekly term
First of all note all mentioned levels Carefully, right now market just close above 3200 psychological level
2 upside GAPS remains in focus for now
1st one around 3330-3340
2nd one is 3430
so keep in mind overall trend is remains bullish for now on senior timeframes
Gold Bullish Outlook - Gold BullishFollowing strong buying momentum observed yesterday, gold is currently consolidating within a falling wedge pattern — a typically bullish setup. A breakout from this pattern could trigger a fresh upward move in the price of gold.
Post-Breakout Bullish Targets:
Target 1: 3230
Target 2: 3240
Target 3: 3250
Target 4: 3275
Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis-based outlook. Please assess your risk-to-reward ratio and follow your individual trading strategy. This is not financial advice — trade responsibly and according to your plan.