XAUUSD: Continue to be bullish, buy during pullback, target 2700Yesterday, our strategy was to wait for a pullback to the support range before buying. The direction and prediction were very accurate. The gold price pulled back from the initial 2680, the lowest was 2666, and then rose again to the historical high of 2685. Unfortunately, the lowest point of the pullback only reached 2666, which was only 1-2$ away from our buying range of 2665-2660. Therefore, I did not trade yesterday and missed a wave of nearly 20$ of rising profits.
Now the gold price is still around 2680, and my view is still bullish, with a target of 2700.
But there is indeed a risk of pullback if you chase the rise now. After all, the historical high of 2685 has failed to break twice, and you are not sure whether it will appear for the third time.
Therefore, my trading strategy today is still to wait for the pullback to the support range before considering buying.
Depending on the situation, the buying range can be adjusted flexibly.
Xauusdbuy
Use 2684 as resistance to short goldToday, gold was pushed up to around 2683. This round of gold rise is in line with our expectations. Yesterday, we went long on gold in the 2645-2650 area and made a good profit. Currently, gold is approaching the previous high of 2684. Although bullish sentiment is high, I do not recommend going long on gold here directly, after all, the suppression of the previous high still exists.
We have just shorted gold near 2683. Currently, gold has fallen back to around 2674, and our short position has made a good profit. Then our short target is the 2670-2665 area. Of course, if gold can fall back to the 2660-2655 area, I may consider going long on gold in combination with the real-time market.
Can gold rise to 2700 points this time?The trend of gold yesterday and today basically completely verified my trading idea yesterday. When the gold price was still at 2654 yesterday, I clearly said that the high point was definitely not 2666. At the same time, I also said that this high point would most likely break through, and the target could be seen in the 2670-2680 range, and bought at 2650 to make a lot of profit.
Now the new high has reached 2682, but it has not stood firm. Yesterday I said that as long as the gold price can stand firm at 2680, it can refresh the historical high of 2685, and look forward to the 2700 integer mark. Today I also maintain this view unchanged.
Now the gold price is correcting, I think this is a move to accumulate power to refresh the historical high, so I will look for the right time to buy again next
From the Fibonacci retracement indicator of this rise, 2665 is at 0.618, and 2660 is at 0.5, so I think that if it cannot stand firm above 2680, the gold price is likely to fall back to the support range of 2665-2660 again. As long as it reaches this range, it can be bought again
XAU / USD ! 10/16 Bulls prevail $2685XAU / USD trend forecast October 16, 2024
Gold prices rose on Tuesday as US Treasury yields fell, limiting gains for the US Dollar. The economic calendar included the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index and the NY Fed Consumer Expectations Survey, with XAU/USD trading at $2,664.
The Empire State Manufacturing Index for September showed a weak result, while the NY Fed survey indicated higher inflation expectations for the month.
Gold price surpassed the nearest resistance zone of 2660, approaching the next price zone of 2672. The bulls are dominating, determined to find the old ATH of 2685 this week.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2685-2682
SL: 2690
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2665)
/// BUY XAU : zone 2653-2650
SL: 2645
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2670)
Safe and profitable trading
Invest in Gold? Exploring the Impact of Diwali
The price of gold has reached unprecedented heights in the retail market, setting a new record as the Hindu festival of Diwali draws near. Factors, including increased demand, global economic uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions have driven this price surge.
The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) December contracts for gold have also witnessed a significant uptick, reflecting the broader upward trend in the precious metal's value. This positive momentum is largely attributed to favorable global cues, such as concerns over the US debt ceiling and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Factors Driving the Gold Price Surge
• Diwali Demand: The festival of Diwali, known for its celebrations and gift-giving, is a significant driver of gold demand in India. As the festival approaches, consumers are increasingly purchasing gold jewelry, coins, and bars as a symbol of prosperity and wealth.
• Global Economic Uncertainties: The lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, coupled with geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth, have made gold a safe-haven asset for investors. As uncertainty persists, investors are turning to gold as a hedge against market volatility.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates, both domestically and internationally, have also contributed to the increase in gold prices. As purchasing power declines, consumers may seek to preserve their wealth by investing in gold.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East, have created a sense of unease and uncertainty in global markets. This has led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Impact on Retail Market
The surge in gold prices has had a significant impact on the retail market. Jewelry stores and bullion dealers have reported a surge in demand for gold products, leading to increased prices and longer waiting times for certain items. Some consumers may find it challenging to afford the higher prices, while others may view it as an opportunity to invest in a valuable asset.
Government Measures and Outlook
In response to the rising gold prices, governments may consider implementing measures to curb demand or stabilize prices. These measures could include import restrictions, increased taxes on gold purchases, or the release of gold from government reserves.
However, the outlook for gold prices remains positive, particularly in the short term. As Diwali approaches and global uncertainties persist, gold prices will likely continue to be supported by strong demand and a favorable market environment.
Conclusion
The record-high gold prices witnessed in the retail market as Diwali nears are a reflection of a confluence of factors, including increased demand, global economic uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions. While the surge in prices may pose challenges for some consumers, it also presents opportunities for investors seeking to preserve their wealth and hedge against market volatility. As the festival of Diwali approaches, it is anticipated that gold prices will remain elevated, driven by strong demand and a favorable market environment.
Bulls Take Profits, Await Shorting Opportunities
Today's long position within the 2652-2646 range has been successful—congratulations to those who followed my strategy!
In trading, identifying strong signals is critical to profit. Without it, the market can be unforgiving.
Currently, the bulls are in control, but as soon as momentum shows signs of weakening, it will be time to shift focus and prepare for a short position. Stay vigilant and ready to act when the opportunity presents itself.
Still sticking to long gold!Today, gold reached 2638 during the retracement process and then rebounded again, but did not effectively fall below 2640. The gold correction did not fall below 50%, so there is still room for gold to rise again.
From the perspective of technical structure, gold has signs of building a head and shoulders bottom pattern at the short-term level. Once gold cannot effectively fall below 2640, it is still possible for gold to rise to the 2670-2680 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, if gold falls back to the 2645-2640 area, I will consider adding more money to be long gold.
Gold's low has been confirmed, and the rise will be unstoppableIn yesterday's article, I clearly said that you can buy gold boldly when it falls back to the support area of 2642-2630. Although this trend did not come out yesterday, I bought it without hesitation when the gold price fell today, and took profits at 2654. But this does not mean that the gold price has reached its limit. I think as long as the gold price falls back to 2650 later, you can consider buying here, and the high point is definitely not the previous high of 2666.
From yesterday's 1H chart, we can see that 2642 is 0.618. Although the gold price hit 2638 today, the real closing line is still around 2642. Therefore, according to the recent three callback trends, as long as it does not effectively fall below the support of 0.618 in the short term, it can be regarded as a bullish trend.
At the same time, I think the previous high of 2666 is definitely not a short-term high point. This rise is likely to break through here. The first target above can be seen in the range of 2670-2680. If it can stand at 2680, the gold price is likely to test the 2700 integer mark again.
The above is my view on gold today. Recently, my gold trading strategy has maintained a hot state of continuous profit. If you want to copy my trading details, you can contact me
Gold Bears Secure Profits, Ready To Enter Long Position
Today, gold successfully reached our target range of 2644-2637, delivering strong profits for short positions. In trading, clear signals inevitably lead to profitable outcomes.
Now that gold has broken above the MA20 and is showing a bullish formation, we will follow the trend and shift towards long positions. Using the MA20 as our reference line, a buy order should be placed around 2652-2646. However, given the current high price near resistance, it's important to manage risk. I recommend setting a stop-loss (SL) around 2632, but adjust according to your individual account management strategy.
XAUUSD: The risk of shorting is less than that of going long
After finding support around 2638, gold has rebounded and is now approaching the critical resistance zone at 2663-2668. If prices linger here without breaking through, it could weaken the bullish momentum.
From a trading perspective, the risk of going long at the current price outweighs that of shorting. For those entering long positions, caution is advised—avoid overextending and close positions promptly if the previous high isn’t breached. As for shorts, the risk is manageable; smaller initial positions can be opened, with the option to add more if prices rise. In the medium term, I believe a break below 2600 is inevitable.
Gold : A Prime Opportunity for Short Positions
Today, gold remains under significant pressure within the 2660-2668 range, with the resistance around the 20-day moving average (MA20) proving to be a formidable barrier. The bearish momentum is clearly in control, presenting a prime opportunity for short trades.
The recommended strategy is to focus on selling near the MA20 resistance level, targeting the 2645-2637 range. This approach leverages the technical weakness, as the market favors a downward move in the near term.
XAUUSD: Mainly short trading, target 2637-2629
During tomorrow's Asian trading session, the primary range is expected to be between 2654 -2644. There is significant resistance around the 2654 level, and if this resistance holds, the market should favor short positions.
Support is seen near 2643, and if this level breaks, the next target range would shift to 2637-2629. The market's inability to push through resistance at 2658 reinforces a bearish outlook in the near term.
Gold's upward trend is confirmed, buy boldly on pullbacksLast Friday, gold continued to rise, reaching a high of 2661, as the US PPI data showed that the inflation outlook was still favorable to support the Fed's expectations of a rate cut next month.
From the daily chart, we can see that the gold price has now stabilized above the daily average line, and the bullish trend has continued. In the short term, as long as the gold price pulls back to the support area, it is an opportunity to buy. Now it depends on where the gold price will start to rise.
From the 1H chart, the nearest support below is around 2642, which is the 0.618 position of the Fibonacci retracement of this rise, and the second is around 2630.
In today's Asian and European trading period, the gold price pulled back to 2643 and started to rise, which has verified the support strength of the 0.618 position. Therefore, if there is no accident today, as long as it pulls back here, you can buy boldly.
My personal short position sold at 2653 last Friday has been closed with profit when it fell to 2645. Now I am waiting for the pullback to trade long positions.
XAUUSD:Trading around 2638-2663 during the day
Following its drop to the 2600 level, gold has found solid support and rebounded strongly, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions. Prices are now trading back above the 2650 mark.
In the short term, attention should be focused on the 2643-2638 support zone. On the upside, key resistance remains near the recent highs, particularly around 2658.
This week's daily close (1D) will be pivotal. Should we continue to see bearish candles without a break above the previous highs, a significant downturn is likely next week or in early next month. This correction is expected to extend over several weeks, shifting from intraday moves to more sustained declines.
We must also closely monitor the global political landscape. If tensions escalate further, there is a strong possibility of gold breaching the 2700 level. However, if conditions stabilize, we can anticipate a drop below 2550 within the next month.
DOW Theory ! XAU ! 10/14 uptrendXAU / USD trend forecast October 14, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises for the third consecutive day on Monday, reaching over $2,667, a one-week high in early European trading. Expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts due to a favorable inflation outlook drive demand for the non-yielding metal. Additionally, growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provide extra support for the safe-haven asset.
Gold price M30 frame shows signs of breaking DOW uptrend - waiting for old peak resistance zone 2685
/// SELL XAU : zone 2683-2686
SL: 2691
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2656)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold May Rise to 2675.00 - 2685.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold May Rise to 2675.00 - 2685.00
Pivot Point: 2643.00
The pivot at 2643.00 is a key support level. As long as the price stays above this level, the bullish trend is favored.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Long positions as long as the price remains above 2643.00.
Target Levels:
2675.00: The first upside target, marking a continuation of the bullish trend.
2685.00: A higher target, representing an extended move higher.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price drops below 2643.00, look for a bearish turn.
Entry Point: Below 2643.00, initiate short positions.
Target Levels:
2636.00: The first downside target if the pivot is broken.
2628.00: The next support level, indicating further potential downside.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: The RSI is bullish, indicating strong upward momentum and supporting the continuation of the current trend.
MACD Indicator: Although not mentioned here, the bullish trend is reinforced by momentum indicators like the RSI.
Moving Averages: The price is expected to be above its key moving averages, signaling further upside potential.
Market Dynamics:
A sustained move above 2643.00 keeps the focus on the upside targets of 2675.00 and 2685.00.
A break below the pivot at 2643.00 would shift focus to the downside targets of 2636.00 and 2628.00.
Break ! Gold recovered unexpectedly after CPI news⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices regained some ground on Thursday, rising 0.67% during the North American session following a hotter-than-expected US inflation report, balanced by weaker jobs data. However, hawkish remarks from a Federal Reserve (Fed) official limited gold’s gains. XAU/USD is trading at $2,624, rebounding from a daily low of $2,603.
While US inflation for August was slightly higher than anticipated, soft job data provided some relief. The US Department of Labor reported more unemployment claims than expected, raising the possibility of more aggressive Fed rate cuts.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price creates CHOCH in H1 frame - structural change from decreasing to increasing. Gold price recovered. Pay attention to the resistance zones: 2652, 2668
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2626 SL $2623 scalping
TP1: $2634
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2650
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2605 - $2603 SL $2598
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2633
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2675
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: Can the rebound last? Where to enterYesterday, when most people in the market were still bearish, I clearly pointed out that gold had a bottom divergence pattern and bought in the 2605-2615 area. Friends who followed the copy signal made a lot of profit!
The most important data this week are yesterday's CPI and initial jobless claims data. Among them, the CPI data all exceeded expectations. The data did not meet expectations, which was bearish at first glance, but you can analyze it yourself. You can compare the previous value with the published value, which is bullish for gold. In addition, the number of initial and continued unemployment claims rose sharply at the same time, reflecting the signs of weakness in the US job market.
The trend of gold prices also fell to the 2605 support level after the data was released, and then rose rapidly. The current highest price is 2647 US dollars.
From the chart, the current support area is in the 2624-2630 area, and the upper resistance is near 2653, which is also the 0.618 position of the Fibonacci retracement.
Now the price is running at 2637. When the price runs between the support and resistance, everyone knows that I will not participate because the risk is relatively large.
Therefore, today I will give you two options for your reference, and I will implement them when the time comes.
The first option is to wait for a pullback to the 2624-2630 support area and buy bullishly. The upper target is 2640-2645 first, followed by 2660-2670
The second option is to choose to short near 2653, with the target of 2630-2624, followed by 2605
Whichever one arrives first, I will resolutely implement it, and I think the possibility of the second one is not great, so I am more optimistic about the first option, and what about you?
Gold Price Rally Continues: The Safe Haven InvestmentGold prices have been experiencing a consistent upward trend. This move has further solidified gold's position as a sought-after investment, particularly during economic uncertainty. As prices continue to hit new records, the yellow metal remains an attractive asset for investors seeking both security and potential returns.
The allure of gold as a safe-haven investment is well-established. In periods of market volatility or economic turmoil, investors often turn to gold as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. Its physical nature, unlike stocks or bonds, provides a tangible asset that can be held onto during times of crisis. Additionally, gold's limited supply and increasing demand from emerging markets have contributed to its upward price trend.
Beyond its role as a haven, gold has also been gaining popularity as an investment asset. Many investors view gold as a long-term store of value, believing that its price will appreciate over time. While there are periods of volatility, the overall trend has been upward, particularly in recent years. Gold can also be a diversifier in an investment portfolio, helping reduce overall risk.
The continued rise in gold prices has also spurred interest in gold-backed investments. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the price of gold have become increasingly popular, offering investors a convenient and liquid way to invest in the precious metal. These ETFs can be bought and sold on stock exchanges, making them accessible to more investors.
However, it's important to note that investing in gold is not without its risks. While gold has historically been a good hedge against inflation, there are no guarantees of future price appreciation. Economic conditions, geopolitical events, and changes in investor sentiment can all impact the price of gold. Investors need to do their research and consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
In conclusion, gold continues to be a highly sought-after investment asset. Its reputation as a safe haven, coupled with recent price increases and the reduction in customs rates, has made it even more appealing to investors. Whether as a hedge against inflation, a long-term store of value, or a diversifier in an investment portfolio, gold offers a unique set of benefits. However, it's important to approach gold investing with a long-term perspective and a thorough understanding of the risks involved.
Gold has a bottom divergence, buy at the low todayThe US dollar continued to rise this week and has now risen to a two-month high. Gold also fell for the sixth consecutive trading day yesterday, and the lowest point of 2605 was tested many times, but it still did not fall below.
Therefore, from the current trend, it is not possible to continue to short, because the support of the 2605 line is very strong, and after the precipitation of the past few days, the short-selling force has also weakened a lot.
At the same time, it can be seen from the figure that the price trend is falling, but the MACD indicator is continuing to strengthen, which obviously forms a bottom divergence pattern, which is a bullish signal.
From the 1H chart, the upper suppression point is in the 2630-2640 area, and the lower support is 2605-2615.
So today's trading strategy is to buy in the support area and target the upper resistance area