XAUUSD: It may fall below 2500
The price is hovering around the resistance level once again, and the difficulty in breaking through remains high. Therefore, today's trading strategy should prioritize short positions.
If there is no significant change over an extended period, I believe there is a strong likelihood that this drop will eventually break below 2500. This is a judgment that requires time to confirm, so let's wait and see with patience.
Xauusdbuy
Proof Technical Analysis Reigns SupremeIn doing my multi-timeframe analysis from earlier in the evening I was bias long. However I wasn't sure if price wanted to make a deeper pullback to the 1H LQZ I had marked up or even come down for the 3rd touch of my trendline in the ascending wedge (reversal pattern).
Dropping down to the 5m timeframe I saw price slowing and formed a hover. I could have set an entry using a lower lot size to build a buffer, confidence, and to be able to participate in the markets - but I didn't. I passed out lol.
I knew my bias was still correct and I was confident in taking "another" long position. I saw a larger flag with the close of that flag above a resistance zone or LQZ however you want to label it, and knew my bias was still valid.
I took my entry as I saw price stalling forming some 5m dojis. After the first big push up I was able to reduced my risk letting the trade play out.
My TP was initially aiming for the high of the day. However I was mindful of NY taking longer to play out and I knew I wasn't able to really monitor my trade. So I "didn't get greedy" and snagged my profits at about 80 ticks on the futures chart.
This was a huge lesson in trusting the story price tells us through market structure and patterns. Although I didn't participate in my first trade, the trade I did take would have been a great stack-in. I'm glad I was able to participate today as my best and only trading days are Thursdays and Fridays.
The 2550 target has been achieved, how to trade next?
Currently, gold has fallen below 2550, and our short-term goal has been achieved. Due to the rapid and sharp decline, there is a need for a rebound and repair on the technical side. It is expected that there will be an increase in the intraday tomorrow. The transaction can be mainly based on low-level longs, and short again after rebounding to the resistance.
XAUUSD: Sell@2577-2590
Have a nice day. I was away on a business trip Tuesday, and just got back today—I hope everyone is doing well.
Gold did not follow my initial expectation of a decline. Instead, after breaking through resistance, it experienced a significant rally. Today, it broke past 2580, setting a new all-time high. Based on current indicators, the market still has upward momentum, and we can't rule out the possibility of testing 2600. However, before that happens, there will likely be a test of support.
Thus, my trading approach is to short gold in the 2577-2590 range for now.
Gold Set to Decline After European Session
Today, the primary focus is on short positions after the European session. During the Asian session, there may be another test of the upper resistance, but the probability of a breakout is low. Therefore, after the European session, bearish momentum is expected to take control. Our trading strategy should align with this trend by initiating sell positions. In the near term, the market is likely to decline towards the 2550 level, with a medium-term target around the 2487 zone.
Gold Forms Triangle Consolidation, Double Top Reversal in Sight?
Yesterday, gold made its first pullback to test support and has now formed a triangle consolidation pattern. I anticipate that today will begin with an upward movement, followed by another test of resistance. However, I believe the resistance will hold, leading to another decline. Eventually, gold is likely to break below the trendline, forming a double top at the highs and triggering a significant bearish reversal.
Gold Nearing Peak: Time to Short Ahead of Expected Pullback
Gold has reached a high level, and technical indicators are starting to show signs of weakening. I anticipate that we are about to see the final short-term push upward, followed by a return to a downward consolidation trend. Prices are expected to drop below 2550.
The current trading strategy is to initiate short positions, gradually adding more as the price fluctuates, and holding until the downward trend begins.
Gold Stagnates at Resistance: A Breakdown Imminent?
Gold has been consolidating at its high levels for some time, with the resistance zone clearly defined. As long as this resistance remains unbroken, the primary focus should be on short positions. The longer the price consolidates, the sharper the eventual decline is expected to be.
Gold has not stopped increasing, long-term sell ordersI update you with the price levels to pay attention to when placing orders. For Sell Scalping orders, pay attention to the red levels at the price points 2595 - 2611 - 2620. For Buy points, 2575-2571- 2554 - 2545. These levels have a maximum SL of 3 prices. Never hold on to more than this level and the points around 2530-2526. This is a long-term swing order zone for Buy, which is expected to be received next week, because there will always be a correction wave. Looking at the market today, the daily and weekly frames are both strong forces for Buy to completely dominate. So if there is any Sell today, just scalp for a short time, and Buy is the main one to be safe. Because today, it is only scalping, so I will only show you the price levels on the Futures market because it has higher accuracy than CFD. Because if Buy holds for a long time, you are afraid of hitting the top, but Sell is afraid of being blocked by the ship. Because gold is at a new ATH peak, there will be no good resistance points. Where to Sell, most analysts currently only use Fibonacci as a price barrier, but it is also risky when the market's upward force is as strong as this, I am busy today and tomorrow I will be online in the market with you, so if you trade today, pay attention to the above price levels, these price zones will change every day and need to be updated the next day, I remind you again that if the price reaches the green liquidity points I marked, Buy is safer, and the red points Sell is high risk, if you do not have knowledge or are weak in knowledge, do not pay attention to the red points, because trading against the wave and trend has a very high possibility of loss, the wave is still expanding and has not shown any signs of stopping, so please pay attention.
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World market
At 06:18:28 09/17/2024, the world gold price stopped at 2,582.76 USD, up 3.73 USD/Ounce, (equivalent to 0.14%) compared to yesterday.
Converted according to the current exchange rate at Vietcombank, the world gold price is about 75,918 VND/tael (excluding taxes and fees).
At the beginning of the trading session on September 16 (US time), the world gold price set a new record at 2,588 USD/ounce. However, immediately after that, profit-taking activities of investors caused the gold price to decrease.
Precious metals received optimistic signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) at the monetary policy meeting taking place this week. The market is leaning towards the possibility that the Fed will decide to cut 25 basis points.
Gao Jin breaks through new highs, how to trade?Gold soared yesterday and is currently in the 2568 area. Today, the rising speed has obviously slowed down. According to the current trend, pay attention to the 2570-0575 area on the top. Don't blindly chase the rise. It is recommended to rely on this area to short once, and the target is the 2550 area. If it does not break 2550, then you can continue to go long. If it breaks 2550, then be careful of gold reversal
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Waiting for Gold's correction! XAU downXAU / USD trend forecast September 16, 2024
Traders lifted bets for an oversized interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve amid signs that inflation in the US is subsiding, which continues to act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.
According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the current market pricing indicates over a 50% chance that the US central bank will lower borrowing costs by 50 basis points later this week.
The expectations were fueled by the softer US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) reports last week, which provided further evidence of easing inflationary pressures.
Based on M45, TRENDLINE to set up SELL signal, wait FOMC news
/// SELL XAU : zone 2603-2606
SL: 2611
TP: 50 - 150 - 200 pips (2586)
Safe and profitable trading
Is $2600 approaching XAU price?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) climbed for the third consecutive day, hitting a new all-time high of $2,589 during Monday’s Asian session. Traders are factoring in the possibility of a larger Fed rate cut due to signs of easing US inflation, which has weakened the US Dollar near its yearly low, boosting gold.
Additionally, US political uncertainty and ongoing geopolitical risks continue to support demand for the safe-haven metal. However, a positive tone in global equities limits further gains. Traders are cautious ahead of key central bank decisions from the Fed, BoE, and BoJ this week.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still on the path to increase in price to reach a new ATH - Positive FOMO from the market before the news of interest rate reduction this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2565 - $2563 SL $2558
TP1: $2572
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2590
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2551 - $2549 SL $2544
TP1: $2557
TP2: $2563
TP3: $2570
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2600 - $2602 SL $2607
TP1: $2590
TP2: $2575
TP3: $2560
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD Broke The Res , Best Place To Buy Clear Now To Get 500 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD M30 IdeaGold Prices Record High Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation
- Gold reached an all-time high of $2,586 per ounce last week, rising over 3.25% as speculation grows about a potential U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut.
- Traders are betting on a larger-than-expected cut, potentially 50 basis points, to stimulate the economy, which has been impacted by inflation concerns and global uncertainty. This surge marks gold’s strongest weekly gain since mid-August.
• Rate Cut Expectations Drive Gold’s Rally
- The likelihood of a 50-basis-point rate cut has grown to 50%, up from just 14% earlier in the week.
- Speculation surrounding aggressive Fed action has boosted gold’s appeal, as lower interest rates make non yielding assets like gold more attractive.
• Support from U.S. Dollar, Bond Yields, and Global Easing
- Despite gold's rise, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a slight gain, while bond yields fell, with the 10-year Treasury dropping 2.1 basis points. Lower bond yields decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold, further driving its appeal. Meanwhile, global monetary easing, including a rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB), and increased gold reserves by central banks, especially in emerging markets, have added to the metal's strength.
• Looking Ahead: — Gold’s Outlook
- All attention is now on the Fed’s upcoming meeting, where a rate cut is widely expected.
- The market anticipates a 25-basis-point reduction, though there’s a 49% chance of a larger 50-basis-point cut. A larger cut could push gold prices above $2,600 per ounce. The Fed will also provide projections on future rate cuts, which could suggest further easing in 2024, supporting gold’s bullish trend.
- In the short term, gold prices are likely to remain strong, with the possibility of testing new highs depending on the Fed’s actions.
- If the central bank continues to ease monetary policy and inflation moderates, gold could remain a favored asset, particularly if bond yields remain low.
FOMC - Special important information next week ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/16 - 9/20/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices soared to a new all-time high of $2,586, driven by a weakening US Dollar on Friday. Expectations of a larger Fed rate cut are fueling the rally, with some predicting gold could reach $3,000. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,582, up nearly 1%.
CME FedWatch Tool data shows increased bets on a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed, jumping from 27% to 43% after a Wall Street Journal article by Nick Timiraos and comments from former New York Fed President William Dudley. Meanwhile, odds for a 25 bps cut fell to 57%.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price officially created ATH 1 week before FOMC, this is the psychology that FED will almost certainly lower interest rates next week. The higher ATH target next week continues to take place but not too large. Expected new ATH zones: 2602, 2638
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2602, $2638, 2676
Support : $2559, $2531, 2505
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
The historic high in the value of gold. Where to next? The historic high in the value of gold. Where to next?
At the moment, the situation on the XAUUSD (gold vs. US dollar) market is showing interesting and volatile movements. In recent weeks, we have seen price fluctuations due to a number of factors such as changes in the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve, global economic instability and increased interest in safe assets amid geopolitical risks.
Gold prices often react to news about inflation and interest rates. When expectations of rising interest rates increase, this can put pressure on gold prices as precious metals do not generate interest income. However, when uncertainty in the economy or risks increase, investors seek safe haven assets such as gold, which usually drives prices higher.
XAU / USD ! Upward price trend awaits ! 4th quarter 2024🔔🔔🔔🔔 NOTE
XAU/USD overview: in September 2024
🔥One thing worth noting:
✅7 resistance tests: 2528-2531
✅3 times support testing: 2472-2470
Another very important price zone at the end of 2024. Decide the future trend for Gold
🔥With 7 resistance tests: shows that buyers have the majority - overwhelming. However, it cannot be overcome. NOVA thinks the main reason is because large funds - coordination of countries want to adjust prices to reach ATH at the appropriate time (for example: September interest rate reduction, November US presidential election).
🔥Technical H4 frame: supports a very nice Uptrend
🦋🦋Technical - economic / political combination. To decide the appropriate trend and time
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NEW ATH: 2560 - 2590 - 2650
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⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest