XAUUSD:Bearish intraday
Last Friday, gold made a strong breakout above resistance, stabilizing above 2600. Today’s opening continues to show slight consolidation at high levels. From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook is bearish, indicating that at least one retest of the 2600 support is needed to determine if there is further upward momentum.
In my personal view, a deeper pullback is more likely. By early October, there’s a high probability of a return to the 2550 level. Thus, my mid-term strategy will focus on short positions. For intraday trading, the key focus will be on the 2600 support area—if it holds, a long position around that level could be considered.
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XAUUSD Volume coming in the last few hoursXAUUSD has formed inverted head & should and started to move back to upside. As of weekend we may see increased volume in the market. In the next few hours can expect gold to have bounce. The best entry can be after a liquidity grab from a break of structure.
XAUUSD: It may fall below 2500
The price is hovering around the resistance level once again, and the difficulty in breaking through remains high. Therefore, today's trading strategy should prioritize short positions.
If there is no significant change over an extended period, I believe there is a strong likelihood that this drop will eventually break below 2500. This is a judgment that requires time to confirm, so let's wait and see with patience.
Proof Technical Analysis Reigns SupremeIn doing my multi-timeframe analysis from earlier in the evening I was bias long. However I wasn't sure if price wanted to make a deeper pullback to the 1H LQZ I had marked up or even come down for the 3rd touch of my trendline in the ascending wedge (reversal pattern).
Dropping down to the 5m timeframe I saw price slowing and formed a hover. I could have set an entry using a lower lot size to build a buffer, confidence, and to be able to participate in the markets - but I didn't. I passed out lol.
I knew my bias was still correct and I was confident in taking "another" long position. I saw a larger flag with the close of that flag above a resistance zone or LQZ however you want to label it, and knew my bias was still valid.
I took my entry as I saw price stalling forming some 5m dojis. After the first big push up I was able to reduced my risk letting the trade play out.
My TP was initially aiming for the high of the day. However I was mindful of NY taking longer to play out and I knew I wasn't able to really monitor my trade. So I "didn't get greedy" and snagged my profits at about 80 ticks on the futures chart.
This was a huge lesson in trusting the story price tells us through market structure and patterns. Although I didn't participate in my first trade, the trade I did take would have been a great stack-in. I'm glad I was able to participate today as my best and only trading days are Thursdays and Fridays.
The 2550 target has been achieved, how to trade next?
Currently, gold has fallen below 2550, and our short-term goal has been achieved. Due to the rapid and sharp decline, there is a need for a rebound and repair on the technical side. It is expected that there will be an increase in the intraday tomorrow. The transaction can be mainly based on low-level longs, and short again after rebounding to the resistance.
XAUUSD: Sell@2577-2590
Have a nice day. I was away on a business trip Tuesday, and just got back today—I hope everyone is doing well.
Gold did not follow my initial expectation of a decline. Instead, after breaking through resistance, it experienced a significant rally. Today, it broke past 2580, setting a new all-time high. Based on current indicators, the market still has upward momentum, and we can't rule out the possibility of testing 2600. However, before that happens, there will likely be a test of support.
Thus, my trading approach is to short gold in the 2577-2590 range for now.
Gold Set to Decline After European Session
Today, the primary focus is on short positions after the European session. During the Asian session, there may be another test of the upper resistance, but the probability of a breakout is low. Therefore, after the European session, bearish momentum is expected to take control. Our trading strategy should align with this trend by initiating sell positions. In the near term, the market is likely to decline towards the 2550 level, with a medium-term target around the 2487 zone.
Gold Forms Triangle Consolidation, Double Top Reversal in Sight?
Yesterday, gold made its first pullback to test support and has now formed a triangle consolidation pattern. I anticipate that today will begin with an upward movement, followed by another test of resistance. However, I believe the resistance will hold, leading to another decline. Eventually, gold is likely to break below the trendline, forming a double top at the highs and triggering a significant bearish reversal.
Gold Nearing Peak: Time to Short Ahead of Expected Pullback
Gold has reached a high level, and technical indicators are starting to show signs of weakening. I anticipate that we are about to see the final short-term push upward, followed by a return to a downward consolidation trend. Prices are expected to drop below 2550.
The current trading strategy is to initiate short positions, gradually adding more as the price fluctuates, and holding until the downward trend begins.
Gold Stagnates at Resistance: A Breakdown Imminent?
Gold has been consolidating at its high levels for some time, with the resistance zone clearly defined. As long as this resistance remains unbroken, the primary focus should be on short positions. The longer the price consolidates, the sharper the eventual decline is expected to be.
Gold has not stopped increasing, long-term sell ordersI update you with the price levels to pay attention to when placing orders. For Sell Scalping orders, pay attention to the red levels at the price points 2595 - 2611 - 2620. For Buy points, 2575-2571- 2554 - 2545. These levels have a maximum SL of 3 prices. Never hold on to more than this level and the points around 2530-2526. This is a long-term swing order zone for Buy, which is expected to be received next week, because there will always be a correction wave. Looking at the market today, the daily and weekly frames are both strong forces for Buy to completely dominate. So if there is any Sell today, just scalp for a short time, and Buy is the main one to be safe. Because today, it is only scalping, so I will only show you the price levels on the Futures market because it has higher accuracy than CFD. Because if Buy holds for a long time, you are afraid of hitting the top, but Sell is afraid of being blocked by the ship. Because gold is at a new ATH peak, there will be no good resistance points. Where to Sell, most analysts currently only use Fibonacci as a price barrier, but it is also risky when the market's upward force is as strong as this, I am busy today and tomorrow I will be online in the market with you, so if you trade today, pay attention to the above price levels, these price zones will change every day and need to be updated the next day, I remind you again that if the price reaches the green liquidity points I marked, Buy is safer, and the red points Sell is high risk, if you do not have knowledge or are weak in knowledge, do not pay attention to the red points, because trading against the wave and trend has a very high possibility of loss, the wave is still expanding and has not shown any signs of stopping, so please pay attention.
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World market
At 06:18:28 09/17/2024, the world gold price stopped at 2,582.76 USD, up 3.73 USD/Ounce, (equivalent to 0.14%) compared to yesterday.
Converted according to the current exchange rate at Vietcombank, the world gold price is about 75,918 VND/tael (excluding taxes and fees).
At the beginning of the trading session on September 16 (US time), the world gold price set a new record at 2,588 USD/ounce. However, immediately after that, profit-taking activities of investors caused the gold price to decrease.
Precious metals received optimistic signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) at the monetary policy meeting taking place this week. The market is leaning towards the possibility that the Fed will decide to cut 25 basis points.
Gao Jin breaks through new highs, how to trade?Gold soared yesterday and is currently in the 2568 area. Today, the rising speed has obviously slowed down. According to the current trend, pay attention to the 2570-0575 area on the top. Don't blindly chase the rise. It is recommended to rely on this area to short once, and the target is the 2550 area. If it does not break 2550, then you can continue to go long. If it breaks 2550, then be careful of gold reversal
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Waiting for Gold's correction! XAU downXAU / USD trend forecast September 16, 2024
Traders lifted bets for an oversized interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve amid signs that inflation in the US is subsiding, which continues to act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.
According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the current market pricing indicates over a 50% chance that the US central bank will lower borrowing costs by 50 basis points later this week.
The expectations were fueled by the softer US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) reports last week, which provided further evidence of easing inflationary pressures.
Based on M45, TRENDLINE to set up SELL signal, wait FOMC news
/// SELL XAU : zone 2603-2606
SL: 2611
TP: 50 - 150 - 200 pips (2586)
Safe and profitable trading