XAUUSD: Get ready for a gold reboundOANDA:XAUUSD Yesterday, financial markets plummeted due to recession fears, but today global stock markets and stock index futures are rebounding. Gold, despite its drop, is expected to bounce back as a safe-haven asset. Interest rate futures have almost fully priced in a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September
Once recession risks are mitigated, gold's liquidity will make it a top safe-haven choice, especially as purchasing power declines. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical crises will keep influencing gold prices
Technically, 2420 is a key level. Breaking it could open up more upside potential. If not, the downtrend may continue. The 2380-2360 area is strong support; if it holds, prices may rise again, but if broken, further downside is likely
If you have different views or questions, let's discuss the latest insights on GOLD
Xauusdbuy
GOLD: 1 HR View, Let's see how it goes! Dear Traders,
We have two possible sell entries first one is risky where we can see price reversing from current trading price. However, it can be riskier, there is safe entry that you can take when price to small upside correction and then continue to drop.
Good luck and trade safe.
Gold prices enter a recovery period and the plunge is overOANDA:XAUUSD Against the backdrop of concerns about economic recession, global assets are experiencing a sell-off.
But as a safe-haven asset, shouldn't gold rise? Instead, it followed the sharp drop of $100.
This situation is very abnormal, so I don't think gold will continue to fall. Once investors calm down and look back, gold will soon highlight its safe-haven characteristics.
The market now believes that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September is 90%, and the US dollar index is also falling, and the probability of gold prices continuing to fall is shrinking.
And the Middle East geopolitical crisis has not yet passed, and you don't know when it will break out again, leading to rising risk aversion.
Under the above multiple premises, we should not be overly bearish on gold
Technically speaking, 2420 is a watershed, which has already highlighted its importance in the previous trends that have served as resistance and support many times. Once it breaks through, it will open up room for growth.
On the contrary, gold will maintain a low-level oscillation pattern, because such actions will be carried out after a big drop or a big rise. The main support area below is 2380-2365. Be prepared to sell if it falls below.
★Welcome to share your views and questions below, let's discuss TVC:GOLD 's latest ideas
Gold vs. Yen Carry Trade: A Shifting Paradigm
For years, the yen carry trade has been a cornerstone of many investment portfolios. This strategy involves borrowing low-yielding Japanese yen to invest in higher-yielding assets, such as US Treasuries. However, a confluence of factors is making gold, represented by the XAU/USD pair, an increasingly attractive alternative.
The Yen Carry Trade Under Pressure
The yen carry trade has historically been a profitable strategy, fueled by Japan's ultra-low interest rate environment. However, recent developments have cast a shadow over its allure.
• Rising Interest Rates: Global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, have embarked on a tightening cycle to combat inflation. This has narrowed the interest rate differential between the US and Japan, reducing the potential profit from the carry trade.
• Yen Strength: The Japanese yen has shown unexpected resilience, countering the traditional trend of yen weakness. This is partly due to safe-haven flows as investors seek refuge from global economic uncertainties.
• Geopolitical Risks: Increased geopolitical tensions can disrupt carry trades. A sudden shift in risk appetite can lead to rapid yen appreciation, erasing potential gains and incurring significant losses.
The Allure of Gold
In contrast, gold has emerged as a compelling investment option.
• Safe-Haven Asset: Gold is often perceived as a safe-haven asset, providing a hedge against economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical risks. As global economic conditions become increasingly volatile, investors may seek the security of gold.
• Inflation Hedge: With inflation concerns persisting, gold has historically been seen as an effective inflation hedge. As the price of goods and services rises, the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines, making gold an attractive store of value.
• Diversification Benefits: Gold can help diversify an investment portfolio. Its low correlation with traditional asset classes can reduce overall portfolio risk.
• Central Bank Demand: Central banks have been net buyers of gold in recent years, supporting its price. This ongoing demand can provide a bullish undercurrent for the gold market.
XAU/USD: A Closer Look
The XAU/USD pair, representing the price of gold in US dollars, offers investors exposure to the gold market.
• Dollar Dynamics: While gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, the US dollar can also appreciate in times of uncertainty. Therefore, the performance of XAU/USD depends on the interplay between gold and the dollar.
• Interest Rate Sensitivity: Gold is generally inversely correlated with interest rates. Rising interest rates can put downward pressure on gold prices, as investors may prefer higher-yielding bonds. However, this relationship is not always straightforward, and other factors can influence gold's price.
Conclusion
The decision to invest in gold or continue with the yen carry trade is a complex one, influenced by individual risk tolerance, investment horizon, and market outlook. While the yen carry trade has historically been a profitable strategy, the changing interest rate environment and geopolitical risks have increased its challenges. Gold, with its safe-haven appeal and inflation-hedging properties, offers a compelling alternative. Investors should carefully consider the potential benefits and risks of both options before making a decision.
It's important to note that this article provides general information and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Gold / XAUUSD Money Heist Plan in gold minesMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist XAUUSD / GOLD mines based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on 2 plans. Our target is Green Zone for bearish market and red zone for Bullish Market that is High risk Dangerous level, market is Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High for Bearish Traders & Swing Low for Bullish traders using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
sharp market sell-offtrying to find international gold rate index: it`s authentic that gold does not marvel us with a very good result, sweeping liquidity, making many hearts freeze, then returning, so the restoration segment makes many human beings not able to yawn, breathe oxygen. The mainstream fashion remains increasing, the sharks simply dance a bit bit.
*) these days, August 6, 2024: we are able to wait to shop for in step with the fashion, these days gold has back to the proper factor to begin a sturdy growth to the 2500 mark, with the Fed's hobby charge reduce earlier than the emergency meeting, encouraging traders to shop for.
- purchase immediately at modern-day rate
- wait to shop for round the brand new 2406-2408 place with the subsequent targets:
tp 1: 2422
tp 2: 2433
tp 3: 2445
=> the marketplace continually surprises us, we should comply with the order principle (sl-prevent five prices), area in buying and selling, affordable access and exit.
- desire all traders a success buying and selling and remarkable victory.
XAU/USD Imminent Longs from 2390 back upThis week’s analysis for gold reveals a compelling setup. We've observed a bearish reaction from the supply zone I previously identified. With a character change to the upside and a daily demand zone in place, this setup suggests a potential rally.
If price reaches the 2-hour supply zone (Scenario B), I will look for a distribution pattern to consider short-term sells. However, we'll assess this as price progresses.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
Character Change: Price has shifted to the upside, leaving a robust demand zone.
Accumulation: Recent accumulation suggests readiness for a new rally.
Trend Alignment: Gold remains bullish, reflecting the overall market trend.
External Factors: Ongoing geopolitical events and news typically push gold higher.
P.S. If price surpasses the supply zone, there is a strong likelihood that gold could reach new all-time highs and continue its upward trajectory.
Gold prices can be long now.
Yesterday, before the gold price closed, I suggested to continue going long on gold today. Today, the gold price market is in line with expectations again. At the same time, the market released a signal that is good for gold. The gold price hit the position near 2397 again. It has not yet broken through 2400. But Eddy believes that it is only a matter of time before it breaks through 2400. At present, the gold price remains around 2390. Short-term long positions can be carried out below 2386.
Investors with sufficient funds can consider entering the market in advance.
COMEX:GC1! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD TVC:DXY
XAU at the beginning of the week fluctuated too much⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price is up on Monday due to a weaker US dollar. The market is reacting to the recent dovish stance from the FOMC and softer US job report. This, along with low US Treasury bond yields and a weak US dollar, is supporting gold prices. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also boosting gold as a safe-haven asset.
Traders are watching the US ISM Services PMI on Monday for potential market moves. If the Services PMI improves as expected, it could strengthen the US dollar and limit gold's gains.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The volatility at the beginning of the second week was amazing - fluctuating around the large border from 2415 - 2465. Still in the long-term Uptrend, waiting for important resistance and support areas to enter orders.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2419 - $2417 SL $2412
TP1: $2430
TP2: $2445
TP3: $2460
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2479 - $2481 SL $2486
TP1: $2465
TP2: $2450
TP3: $2430
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD / GOLD Mining Robbery Plan in Bullish SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist XAUUSD / GOLD Mining Robbery Plan based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 4h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Gold price in uptrend !! Still expecting ATH✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 8/5 - 8/9/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices are under pressure after hitting a two-week high of $2,477 earlier during the North American session. Data showed that the US jobs market feels the effects of higher borrowing costs set by the Federal Reserve as the number of Americans applying for work dipped. This bolstered the golden metal, which rallied over 1% before retreating. The XAU/USD trades at $2,430, down 0.60%.
Wall Street’s trade with substantial losses, as most equity indices plunged at least 2.20% after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that July’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) figures missed the mark, while June data was revised downward.
🔥 Identify:
The H4 uptrend is still quite clear, the trendline is beautiful for new growth, there are still many factors that help Gold reach a new ATH in the near future, typically the FED may cut interest rates in September 2024.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2478, $2502, $2530
Support : $2420, $2372, $2354
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
NF - NEW ATH XAU - market expectations⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price rises to around $2,450 per ounce in Asia on Friday. Traders are waiting for US labor market data for July. Recent data on manufacturing and employment in the US have raised concerns, boosting demand for safe-haven assets like Gold. US ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 46.8 in July, lower than expected. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended July 26 increased to 249K.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Sentiment and the market are looking forward to a new ATH point today after the NF news was announced. The expected resistance zone is 2500
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2442 - $2444 SL $2438( scalping / Only applicable for Asian and European sessions )
TP1: $2449
TP2: $2455
TP3: $2462
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2415 - $2417 SL $2410
TP1: $2425
TP2: $2440
TP3: $2450
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2502 - $2504 SL $2510
TP1: $2490
TP2: $2480
TP3: $2460
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
NFP is about to announce whether gold can break through 2484I must remind you that my strategy is very long, but it is rich in analysis and details. Be sure to read it carefully. This is a great learning opportunity and I hope you don’t miss it.
8.2 Sharing of gold strategies and operation ideas
With the escalation of the Middle East conflict crisis and the Fed's dovish stance, yesterday's multiple data were bullish for gold, pushing the gold price to move up continuously. Today, the Asian and European sessions have once again ushered in a rare pull-up, with the highest point reaching 2468. Under this general background, we can still maintain the bullish strategy unchanged.
As risk aversion caused by geopolitics in the Middle East escalates, coupled with the possibility of expanding conflicts at any time, gold may once again experience a sharp rise.
The Fed's September rate cut is a foregone conclusion, and the probability of increasing the rate cut basis point is still rising. This is the first rate cut in more than four years, and the impact can be imagined.
From the daily chart, under the bullish technical background, it is inevitable that the gold price will test the historical high of 2484 points, but considering that the current gold price is relatively high, there may also be the possibility of a sharp price correction due to profit-taking. Therefore, our idea is to be bullish, but not to chase the rise, and wait patiently for the price to fall back.
Although today's NFP data is an unstable factor, I think that in the context of the generally optimistic market, the negative impact of NFP data will not be too great. If it is negative, it will give us the opportunity to intervene at a lower price. On the contrary, if it is positive, everyone will be happy.
Operation strategy: Be conservative and wait until around 2335 to intervene, and be aggressive and intervene at 2350.
XAUUSD Friday Trading Strategies and Signals
xauusd
Trading on Friday is the most difficult, plus several major news data will be released this week.
Tomorrow, the US non-farm payrolls data will be released. There will be relatively rapid and large price fluctuations in a short period of time.
So please set a stop loss when trading:
Yesterday and today, gold rose violently.
So tomorrow we can maintain several buying areas and sell at several specific resistance prices while the trend remains unchanged:
Sell:
2466-2471 (the first resistance area to be reached. Maybe 2475. But trading in the price range is very advantageous)
2480-2484 (historical high)
Of course, I think scalping at 51-54 can also win some profits.
Buy:
2432-2436 has been triggered now, we can hold and observe, because I think there may be a risk of price correction.
2418-2421. The price meets the initial assumption of the correction.
Of course, I always improve that everything can happen in the trading market. The price price correction exceeds the support area of 2412. I think it will test the 2390 area again.
In short, trading in our price range will always earn you some profit.
If you make a profit following my trading range, please give me a thumbs up and join me. Maybe I will update again with a new analysis before the news is released tomorrow. This is a preliminary trading plan
#XAUUSD60 Gold breakout, a new peak emerging?Assessment of the European - American session trend on August 2, 2024:
In the Asian session, there was a double peak sweep in gold, affecting our trading plan significantly.
The trading trend in the European-American session is still BUY. Today is the 6th day of the W candlestick pattern, with many news events strongly impacting the market.
There are two possible scenarios:
1. Gold will have a slight correction from 2468 to the range of 2453-2458 before continuing to rise strongly.
2. Gold may experience another double peak sweep to fill the liquidity area of 2410-2413 due to news events and then rise strongly again.
Gold may reach 2484 or form a new peak, which is entirely possible. However, price levels to watch are 2420-2413 and 2453-2458.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2453-2455
SL 2449
TP 2458 - 2468 - 2495.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2410-2413
SL 2407
TP 2416 - 2430 - 2473 - floating.
Uptrend continues after FOMC ! XAU ATH ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price struggles to rise despite a small increase earlier, trading just below $2,445, almost unchanged today. Investors are more interested in riskier assets due to expectations of the Fed starting to cut rates soon, leading to a positive stock market and weakening demand for gold.
The Gold price is somewhat supported by a weak US Dollar caused by the Fed's cautious stance. The Fed's hints at a rate cut in September and low US Treasury bond yields are keeping the dollar down. Additionally, tensions in the Middle East are supporting the safe-haven gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price after yesterday's FOMC news, benefited from the increase in price from the statement that the move will reduce interest rates as soon as September 2024. Expect a new ATH to continue in 2024
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2422 - $2420 SL $2415
TP1: $2430
TP2: $2440
TP3: $2450
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2433 - $2431 SL $2427
TP1: $2445
TP2: $2460
TP3: $2480
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2472 - $2474 SL $2479
TP1: $2465
TP2: $2458
TP3: $2450
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: Interest rate cut + geopolitical conflict, how to trade?8.1 Sharing of golden strategies and operational ideas
This week's gold market can be said to be a trading variety that global investors are paying close attention to. First of all, it is a super data week, coupled with the escalation of geopolitical conflicts again, making investment enthusiasm high. After Israel launched two consecutive political conflicts, the gold price rose by $80 in three days under the support of the dovish remarks released by Fed Chairman Powell. If the data is positive again in the next two days, it is very likely that gold prices will rise by more than 100$ this week.
Yesterday, Powell's speech increased the possibility of a rate cut in September. Coupled with the retaliatory statements of Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah, the gold price is likely to continue to rise in the short term. Therefore, our strategy center is mainly to buy at low levels.
Judging from the current trend of gold prices, it is undergoing a correction after a sharp rise. Below, we first look at the previous high near 2430, and then look at the support level of 2420. From the picture, we can see that 2420 is the low of the upward trend line. This point is also where the MSA50 moving average and the lower track of the Bollinger Bands are located.
In summary, we can intervene at these two support points today.
You can formulate detailed operation ideas by yourself or consult me
#XAUUSD/GOLD breaks out, is it a long-term buying opportunity?After breaking through the resistance zone of 2430-2433, the current gold price is forming a peak around 245x, with the breakout at 2386 giving gold an upward momentum again.
The market is very difficult to trade, and the trading trend for the Europe - US session is BUY. Key price areas to watch are 2428-2432 and 2390-2400. If the price fills this liquidity area, it will be an opportunity for us to target the peak zone of 2480-2484.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2429 - 2432
SL 2426
TP 2435 - 2450 - 2373.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2390 - 2393
SL 2387
TP 2400 - 2430 - 2373.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2451-2453
SL 2457
TP 2448 - 2440 - 2432 (small volume).
Strong recovery before ADP - NF news !! XAU ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price rises for the second day after dropping to $2,400, reaching a one-week high in Asia. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East increase due to an Israeli attack on Lebanon. Global economic growth is slow, pushing investors towards gold.
The US Dollar weakens from a three-week high on Fed's dovish expectations, supporting gold prices. Investors are cautious and await more clues on the Fed's rate-cut plans before making new investments. All eyes are on the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting happening today.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Price increase before ADP - NF news today July 31, 2024 thanks to the middle east military tension. Technical trends show that buyers dominate the long-term frame H4
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2388 - $2390 SL $2383
TP1: $2405
TP2: $2420
TP3: $2440
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2430 - $2432 SL $2435 scalping( Asian and European sessions )
TP1: $2425
TP2: $2418
TP3: $2410
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2452 - $2454 SL $2459
TP1: $2440
TP2: $2430
TP3: $2420
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: Remain cautious and wait for pullbacks to buySharing of gold strategy and operation ideas on July 31
Yesterday, Israel launched an airstrike on the capital of Lebanon, targeting the commander of Hezbollah, which led to an increase in risk aversion. Safe havens such as gold and silver suddenly soared in the case of a decline. This morning, the news that the top leader of Hamas was assassinated in Iran again escalated the increasingly tense geopolitical crisis in the Middle East, and the price of gold rose directly to 2425 points. This makes people have to worry that the powder keg of the Middle East may explode at any time.
In addition to the geopolitical crisis, today we also need to pay attention to the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision. According to market forecasts, the previous value was 5.5%, and the forecast value was also 5.5%. In my opinion, there should be no surprises in the announcement of the results. But we need to focus on the speech of Fed Chairman Powell after the data is released. Is it hawkish or dovish? This is what really affects the trend of gold prices.
Due to yesterday's sudden incident, our bearish signal yesterday was stopped, and the current price came to 2418 points, which changed the current technical form. The previous pressure of 2400 and 2410 has now become support. If today's data is bullish for gold, the price is likely to continue to test the previous high of 2430, or even reach a recent high. If it is bearish, the price will return to below 2400 again.
Therefore, today we strive to make a steady layout and patiently wait for the price to fall back to support and buy, with the target being the previous high of 2430.
The above strategy is for reference only
Two major news are about to detonate the gold price market.
Two major news are about to detonate the gold price market.
Will the follow-up of the attack on the top leader of Hamas detonate the gold price market? Will gold continue to rise if the Fed cuts interest rates?
Senior analyst Eddy believes that gold will directly go long on gold prices before the two major news come. Waiting for the market to soar. Hamas's resistance is undoubtedly the fuse that leads to the rise in gold prices. The upcoming Fed interest rate will also drive gold prices up again. So now is still a great opportunity to buy. The current price is at 2421. The battle line is extended. Buy in the range of 2410-2420. Wait for the market to rise.
Investors with large funds can buy multiple orders in advance. If your funds are relatively small. Remember to go long in a small position at a stable position.
COMEX:GC1! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD TVC:DXY