IS THIS THE START OF THE BULL RUN FOR GOLD?We all know the story for gold. We all heard about it. Crazy estimates of 3000-5000 usd and even 10k usd price valuation. But after we hit over 2000 usd, price action went south really fast and nearly never corrected. Until it formed a double bottom recently. Bears cant go further and bulls started to win the fight. Now there is chance for a bull run. If price movement can close couple days above 50 day ema and previous support zone of 1756-1763, i do think we can be more optimistic about gold.
Also it is important to note that when summer arrives gold prices tend to go higher. This coupled with the fact that fed will not raise rates this year and they probably will not change their bond buying program can cause huge price increase in gold market. Also US bond rates does seem to chill a bit and this can lead gold price rise even more.
Everything looks optimistic for gold price if it can close couple candlestick on daily chart around this 50 day ema area. If not we cant be too optimistic until it close above this area. After all market expect decrease in quentitive easing and increase in interest rates in the foreseeable future.
What you think about gold? Im heavily long in gold, at least for the short term, and want hear your idea!
Xauusdchart
GOLD W2 Apr 2021Gold
Long Setup
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 Major bullish giveaway is on the weekly chart where a very strong bullish pinbar followed by a bullish candle. I believe many retail traders may short gold when the market opens as it is now at a so called 'resistance'. Price is expected to take out all the sellers by pushing higher.
[GOLD W1 Apr 2021]GOLD
Long Setup
Continuation trade:
👉🏻 Price attempted to break 1700 level or even stay below it twice. We could very much assume that buyers are very much in control now. Some minor pullback will induce me into buying this precious metal. A significant break below 1670 will only then change my bias completely. We are also entering our 2nd quarter of the year, some change in momentum could be expected.
[GOLD W4 Mar 2021]GOLD
Buy setup
Continuation trade:
💪🏼 GOLD as well has successfully made a rebound from the said 61.8% area and is approaching back to the 50.0% area. Noticed that market sentiment on retail traders are shorting the gold at the end of last week as price has approached so called 'resistance'.
2 major reasons why I'll be on the opposite side of the crowd:
1. Market usually oppose the market sentiment
2. Back in W2 MAR 2021, Ending diagonal was a success in the lower timeframe as mentioned here (), this pattern indicates a strong trend reversal.
GOLD W2 Mar 2021GOLD
Long Setup
👉🏻 Continuation trade from:
After a successful dump on the precious metal. Price has reached our previous said 61.8% Fibonacci area, It is advisable to wait for a reaction and enter on the pullback. Long positions would be favorable for investors in the market.
👀
Lower timeframe shows a potential ending diagonal. A long position may be placed after a significant break to the upside
GOLD W4 Feb 2021GOLD
Neutral setup
👉🏻 The precious metal has been dumping since the New Year from $1955. Now is seating, for the second time at the major 50% of $1451 and $2075. Friday's close was not a decent candle to go long on, price could break down further to test the 61.8% level. Of course any further bounce could be a favourable indication to go long to the previous highs.
📉 DXY:
The dollar has been in a downtrend after breaking the 95 level, and hovering around the 90 region ever since.
📰 Investors are not as interested in gold as much as previous years. Biden's $1.9 trillion care package is still in the talks to be approved and could be further bearishness on the Dollar if approved.
GOLD W3 Jan 2021GOLD
Short Setup
Price didn't manage to break the high of 1965.37. Could anticipate price to make lower movements
GOLD W4 NOV 2020GOLD
Short Setup
From the yearly lows of $1451.10, GOLD hasn't tested the 0.382 fibonacci retracement. With the price recently broken off a bearish flag pattern on the smaller timeframe, price is expected to test the said level soon.
38.2%-50.0% retracement level would be a favourable level for buyers to step in.
GOLD W3 AUG 2020GOLD W3 AUG 2020
We're safe to say that Gold is consolidating after a huge drop of approximately 10%/2000pips in just 5 trading days. As I have mentioned countless times: Gold is a commodity to have a much better risk to reward ratio in longing than shorting.
Daily A doji like candle followed by a confident bullish candle which closed above the doji wick indicates that buyers is still in control. Many would say there was a bearish engulfing and three black crows before the bull candles. Hence neutral bias at the moment = consolidation.
H4 Price has tagged the 200MA on the 4 hour timeframe.
If price were to break below 1912-1916 (below the doji) 1750 would be an interesting area to go swing long. 1750 is also the 50% fib area, pulling from 1455 lows to the 2075 highs.