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XAU/USD 20 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: As stated in yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that it would not be surprising if price printed a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This expectation materialised; however, the bearish momentum was short-lived as price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS. Price has now printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which allows us to establish an internal range. Currently, price is trading near the extreme of a strong internal low and has wicked into the M15 demand zone, showing a reaction. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal high at 2,641.940, reacting from the current M15 demand zone. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase and is trading within the premium of its internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where a reaction is observed. Consequently, it would not be surprising if the M15 timeframe printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish policy stance and geopolitical tensions persisting, Gold price volatility is expected to remain elevated. Traders should stay cautious and remain prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 19 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: According to rules and a systematic process, price has printed a further bullish iBOS in-line with HTF bullish pullback phase. Currently CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, and internal low are positioned close-by, therefore, price could print new highs to reposition CHoCH. You will note the internal range has significantly narrowed. The printing of a bearish iBOS could potentially be an early signal that the H4 pullback phase has completed. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is currently marked with a blue dotted line. Alternative scenario: H4 remains in bullish pullback phase and is currently trading in premium of 50% EQ where we could see a reaction, therefore, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS on M15 TF. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
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FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
XAU/USD 18 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed both a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and a subsequent bearish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the need for a pullback across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Currently, price action remains in alignment with the broader pullback requirements. Intraday Expectation The expectation for the intraday session is that price will print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) to signify the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. The positioning of this bullish CHoCH is indicated by the blue dotted line on the chart. However, it is also possible that price could extend to a new low, bringing the CHoCH positioning much closer to the current price action, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal signal. Note: Given the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold prices is anticipated to persist. Traders should exercise caution and remain vigilant in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: The prior intraday expectation was invalidated as price printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), signaling a shift in internal order flow. Following bullish iBOS, the next anticipated move is the printing of a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which would indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. This CHoCH positioning is marked by a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line Alternative Scenario: On the H4 timeframe, there are signs of a bullish pullback phase potentially developing, though there is no confirmation as of yet. In my view, the bullish momentum on the M15 timeframe is to assist the H4 timeframe in confirming its pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Following price has printing bearish iBOS, price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,536.896. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 14 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Previous intraday analysis where I mentioned that price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725 was how price printed. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS. We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low where price is showing reaction from H4 demand zone. Price has printed has yet to print a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low. Price could potentially print a lower low to reposition CHoCH. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 13 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USDS 12 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 11 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024. Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355 Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 8 November 2024. Note how price is failing to target weak internal high. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react from either the discount of 50% internal equilibrium level (EQ) or the M15 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe is in a bullish pullback phase, it's no surprise that the M15 chart has printed a bullish iBOS. However, with H4 price trading up to premium of 50% internal EQ and reacting from that premium zone, it wouldn’t be surprising if the price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 11-15 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024 Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation. The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions. In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase. This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning repositioned significantly nearer to recent price action subsequently printing a bearish CHOCH. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024. Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355 Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 08 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355 Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react from either the discount of 50% internal equilibrium level (EQ) or the M15 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe is in a bullish pullback phase, it's no surprise that the M15 chart has printed a bullish iBOS. However, with H4 price trading up to premium of 50% internal EQ and reacting from that premium zone, it wouldn’t be surprising if the price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As highlighted in my analysis dated 31 October 2024: We should remain aware that the daily timeframe has been showing early signs of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation, suggesting that price could print a bearish iBOS despite H4 internal structure being bullish. This printed as anticipated, with price printing a bearish iBOS that also confirmed the swing structure. Price is now trading within an established swing range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the start of a bullish pullback phase. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As detailed in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 06 November 2024, I noted that price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Following this, price has printed an additional bearish iBOS and a bullish CHoCH, confirming the internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low after reacting from either the premium of 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone. Note: Considering the Fed’s softer stance, and rising geopolitical tensions, price volatility is likely to remain elevated. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 06 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As outlined in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 05 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. While price has not yet printed a bullish CHoCH, it has moved up to the premium of 50% EQ, allowing me to confirm the internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low. Note: Given the ongoing Presidential elections, the Fed’s softer stance, and heightened geopolitical tensions, price is expected to remain highly volatile. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 04 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As noted in my analysis dated 01 November 2024, I mentioned that I would confirm internal structure if the price reached the premium of the 50% EQ of the internal range. Price has now achieved this, confirming the internal structure. Although price has made attempts to target the weak internal low, it has not yet succeeded. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD with two probabilities for 10/28/2024GOLD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/28/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Abderrahmane_24
Gold breaks new high againGold prices hit a high of 2509 last Friday and closed at 2506, crossing the 2500 mark for the first time in history. Last week, it closed steadily at the 2500 mark. Although it fell back at the opening of this week, the support of 2480 below was not broken, and the overall bullish thinking remains. If the gold price can remain above the key support level and the technical indicators show a positive trend, you can consider going long on dips; if the gold price approaches the important resistance level and the technical indicators show signs of overbought or divergence, you can consider going short on rallies. - Operation strategy: - Pay attention to the 2528 position. If it reaches the 2525 position, you can try to go short with a light position, and then watch the gold price go down to test the 2500 support. The stop loss of short orders can be set in the 2530-2535 range. You can go long directly at 2500, TP2530-40
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevin-Trading-King
1
XAU/USD 23 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. As a result of this strong bullish momentum, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action, reducing the need for a deep pullback to indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Price is not currently showing any signs of a pullback, so I will remain on standby. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal low and instead printed a bullish iBOS. As previously mentioned, price remains extremely volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. After a bullish iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, of a bearish pullback phase initiation would be a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. Price is currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold with two probabilities for 10/22/2024Gold with a high probability to make the decision for 10/22/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Abderrahmane_24
1