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XAU/USD 20 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: As stated in yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that it would not be surprising if price printed a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This expectation materialised; however, the bearish momentum was short-lived as price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS. Price has now printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which allows us to establish an internal range. Currently, price is trading near the extreme of a strong internal low and has wicked into the M15 demand zone, showing a reaction. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal high at 2,641.940, reacting from the current M15 demand zone. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase and is trading within the premium of its internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where a reaction is observed. Consequently, it would not be surprising if the M15 timeframe printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish policy stance and geopolitical tensions persisting, Gold price volatility is expected to remain elevated. Traders should stay cautious and remain prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 19 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: According to rules and a systematic process, price has printed a further bullish iBOS in-line with HTF bullish pullback phase. Currently CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, and internal low are positioned close-by, therefore, price could print new highs to reposition CHoCH. You will note the internal range has significantly narrowed. The printing of a bearish iBOS could potentially be an early signal that the H4 pullback phase has completed. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is currently marked with a blue dotted line. Alternative scenario: H4 remains in bullish pullback phase and is currently trading in premium of 50% EQ where we could see a reaction, therefore, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS on M15 TF. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 18 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed both a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and a subsequent bearish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the need for a pullback across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Currently, price action remains in alignment with the broader pullback requirements. Intraday Expectation The expectation for the intraday session is that price will print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) to signify the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. The positioning of this bullish CHoCH is indicated by the blue dotted line on the chart. However, it is also possible that price could extend to a new low, bringing the CHoCH positioning much closer to the current price action, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal signal. Note: Given the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold prices is anticipated to persist. Traders should exercise caution and remain vigilant in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: The prior intraday expectation was invalidated as price printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), signaling a shift in internal order flow. Following bullish iBOS, the next anticipated move is the printing of a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which would indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. This CHoCH positioning is marked by a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line Alternative Scenario: On the H4 timeframe, there are signs of a bullish pullback phase potentially developing, though there is no confirmation as of yet. In my view, the bullish momentum on the M15 timeframe is to assist the H4 timeframe in confirming its pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Following price has printing bearish iBOS, price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,536.896. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 14 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Previous intraday analysis where I mentioned that price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725 was how price printed. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS. We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low where price is showing reaction from H4 demand zone. Price has printed has yet to print a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low. Price could potentially print a lower low to reposition CHoCH. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 13 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 11 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024. Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355 Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 8 November 2024. Note how price is failing to target weak internal high. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react from either the discount of 50% internal equilibrium level (EQ) or the M15 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe is in a bullish pullback phase, it's no surprise that the M15 chart has printed a bullish iBOS. However, with H4 price trading up to premium of 50% internal EQ and reacting from that premium zone, it wouldn’t be surprising if the price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
15M Gold pullback & "Squeeze" and Buy Breakout RSI > 60-65For education purposes guys. One way to trade Gold is on the 15M, 1HR or 4HR and await for a pullback and squeeze-consolidation. But most of the magic is done with 1 indicator only, the RSI stock-standard with 14. You want to see Gold breakout initially for longs past 70 and get really overbought. The reverse for shorts under 30 on the RSI. So we have not bought anything yet. We set an alert or monitor for the RSI on gold to come back to the 50 level or a bit less is okay. But we basically want the RSI to return to about 50 because this is when the squeeze is happening as Gold has a break from momentum until it fires up again. It will fire up again if you have the price action supporting another run and breakout of Gold. Now, we watch as the RSI momentum starts to build up again and we can buy the Gold price once the RSI hits 70 which is very good breakout momentum. I like to buy at 60 on the RSI but either is okay. You sell when the momentum begins to cool again at an RSI level that still exceeds the 70 level for longs. These are usually in and out trades but if the market really opens up for you then stay long gold and good enjoy watching the strategy. Below is the less noisy chart and it's honestly all you need, 1 indicator RSI with setting 14.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Profited $63K this week, will continue to short goldFirst, let’s summarize this week’s trading situation. There were a total of 22 transactions in this week’s trading day, of which 3 transactions suffered losses, with a total loss of about $3.4K. Almost all of the other 19 transactions were made by hitting TP and making a profit. It is about FWB:67K , so the net profit this week is $63K, and the trading winning rate this week is as high as over 86%. It is a very good trading result. I will start a new trading journey tomorrow.I hope we can achieve better trading results in the new week! How do you view the next gold market? Judging from the recent trend of gold, gold's unilateral rise has continued to reach new highs and was blocked near 2430. After geopolitical tensions eased, market risk aversion dissipated, and gold bears counterattacked, falling as low as around 2290 to find support. However, the decline has not been well extended and has not been able to effectively fall below the 2300 mark, indicating that there is still a large amount of buying support below. Then it began to rebound in shock, and on Friday it rebounded and hit the high of 2354 for testing. Although the current correction of gold is limited, the lows have begun to move upward slowly, and the short-term upward channel remains intact.But I think that 2430 is a clear peak, and the 2400 mark has been failed to be successfully crossed after multiple shocks.Now that the high level is gathering momentum, the price has fallen back, and the decline is still expected to continue. However, due to the large amount of buying support from the bulls, a complete decline needs to digest the bulls’ momentum before it can proceed further. Next, we need to focus on the 2355-2360 area.If gold fails to effectively break through this area multiple times, gold will continue to fall back. In trading, the current market fluctuations are actually not small, which is beneficial for short-term trading. However, what needs to be noted in trading is that if you have profits, you must harvest them in time. Don't always covet the profits at the lowest point and the highest point. It is already very good to get most of the profits in the middle. I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Hawkeye
Gold's decline awaits signal from Fed officialsPrices fell on Monday as investors cautiously moved away from risky assets and braced for a series of speeches this week by Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, to provide a clearer view on the Fed's interest rate cuts. Spot gold contracts fell 0.7% to $1,979.19/oz after breaking through the key threshold of $2,000/oz on Friday. US gold futures fell 0.5% to $1,988.60 an ounce. Precious metals are known to have appreciated more than 7% in October as the Middle East conflict increased demand for safe assets. Wall Street's main stock indexes continued their upward trend, and the 10-year Treasury yield also rose as investors braced for speeches from at least nine officials. This week, Federal Reserve officials, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, spoke out on November 9th. According to CME FedWatch, traders believe there is a 90% chance the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged at its December meeting. Gold is relatively sensitive to rising US interest rates, as the opportunity cost of holding these non-yielding assets increases. Among other metals, silver fell 0.6% to $23.05 an ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
XAUUSD (GOLD) price action with cloud and trendlineGold continues to trade lower on de-escalation of tension between Russia and Ukraine. Markets await Fed monetary policy this week for further direction. Any 50 basis point rate hike will pull yellow metal don below $1900. Technical: The near–term support is around $1960, violation below targets $1925/$1900. Significant reversal only below $1875.The yellow metal faces strong resistance of $2020, any violation above will take to the next level $2050/$2075.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldsignal75
2
XAUUSD (GOLD) $100 record high at $2070Gold lost nearly $100 from its record high at $2070 on easing geopolitical tension. The market mood remains upbeat as Ukraine said that he is no longer insisting NATO on membership. Markets eye US CPI for further direction. The surge in the US treasury put pressure on the yellow metals at higher levels. Technical The near–term support is around $1960, violation below targets $1925/$1900. Significant reversal only below $1875.The yellow metal faces strong resistance of $2020, any violation above will take to the next level $2050/$2075.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldsignal75
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4H ChartGold made a U-turn from a 17-month high on the strong US dollar. The yellow metal was one of the best performers of this week and surged $75 on an escalation of geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine. US 10-year yield regained sharply after hitting a two-week low. The US grew by 7% in the fourth quarter in line with estimates compared to 6.9% previous quarter. The number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits dropped to 232K this week vs an estimate of 233K. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision )) <>
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldsignal75