XAU/USD 17 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS
Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdforeast
XAU/USD 15 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has reacted from daily supply zone which could potentially initiate the bearish pullback phase following bullish iBOS.
Bearish CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, is quite a distance away from price, therefore, for a better indication that pullback phase has initiated I would like to see price print a bearish CHoCH.
Intraday expectation: Both swing and internal structures are bullish. We currently do not have any indication or confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore stand aside and allow price to print a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As previously mentioned, following bullish iBOS last week, technically price should have targeted weak internal high as price was in the discount zone of 50% EQ with internal structure being bullish and that we should be mindful that H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, therefore, I would not have be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price printed a bearish iBOS, therefore, the previous intraday expectation was correct.
Following bearish iBOS price printed a bullish CHoCH which indicates bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price reacted at premium of 50% EQ but could not target weak internal low. Price could potentially seek more liquidity by trading up to M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart: